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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 916657 times)
ssmc2
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July 16, 2015, 12:52:59 AM
 #3261

He gets bullish around 2040. Tongue
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Wary
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July 16, 2015, 05:42:48 AM
 #3262

That all falls in EW analysis. ... Even the infrastructure built on top of the blockchain can go through EW-esque waves
If you have a hammer, everything looks like a nail Smiley

Fairplay medal of dnaleor's trading simulator. Smiley
lebing
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July 16, 2015, 06:47:51 AM
 #3263

Where did you get these time frames from Ryn? EW is never good with timeframes...

Bro, do you even blockchain?
-E Voorhees
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July 16, 2015, 07:25:12 AM
 #3264

Where did you get these time frames from Ryn? EW is never good with timeframes...

http://www.tradingfives.com/articles/elliott-wave-guide.htm

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July 16, 2015, 11:52:37 PM
 #3265

The uptrend is healthy so far. Goes up on increasing volume and down on decreasing.



Oscillators are healthy with no bearish and little bullish divergence on macd.



As said before there is a resistance of yearly vwap



I don't start EW count until I'll see triangle (wave 4). Until this I watch for volume, divergences and trend lines. This gives me more realistic picture and don't let me go by invalid EW subcounts.

Han
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July 17, 2015, 01:01:50 AM
Last edit: July 17, 2015, 02:20:22 AM by Han
 #3266

But Master, the hourly sma200, the "holy grail" of all bubbles has been decisively broken on all exchanges and the price remains below it still. This does not concern you?

Edit: Thanks for the explanation. It makes sense that the hourly sma200 would only matter at the end of a bubble.
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July 17, 2015, 01:48:21 AM
 #3267

May be its a false bubble start, but trend still healthy. Price shows resistance at 320-340, where daily ma360 and yearly vwap located. It may take some time to show its strength.

Price is on positive daily and weekly BB territory, above daily 200 ma, above log downtrend line, Weekly ADX shows start of trending, while Daily ADX shows correction. No bearish divergences.

Hourly 200 ma matters on strong bubble trend. But current trend only starts and very infant. Uptrend was recently born.

I'll notify if I'll see warning/reversal signs.

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July 17, 2015, 02:01:41 AM
 #3268

Here are most important resistances by geometry after breaking log downtrend (most-most important is red)


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July 17, 2015, 10:56:55 AM
 #3269

Hourly pennant



zby
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July 17, 2015, 11:59:56 AM
 #3270

Hourly pennant


wedge
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July 17, 2015, 12:13:43 PM
 #3271

Always like your analysis luc! Think it's the first time I post here tho

Hourly divs:

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July 18, 2015, 01:04:35 AM
Last edit: July 18, 2015, 01:16:53 AM by masterluc
 #3272

Is that cup and hadle here 4 months long?



impulse
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July 18, 2015, 03:38:27 AM
 #3273

Is that cup and hadle here 4 months long?




Wow, that's the most textbook cup and handle I've ever seen in a bitcoin chart. How long to resolve the handle?
Cconvert2G36
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July 18, 2015, 03:46:37 AM
 #3274

two weeks ™
onecent
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July 18, 2015, 04:14:39 AM
 #3275

Is that cup and hadle here 4 months long?




hell yeah!
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July 18, 2015, 04:21:23 AM
 #3276

Is that cup and hadle here 4 months long?




hell yeah!
Bullish as Fuck! We be going to the upper east side as it looks. Prep your litecoin parabolic launch buys and ride the wave up to .07-8ish then flood it back into daddycoin. Mission creep.
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July 18, 2015, 08:36:33 PM
 #3277

Is that cup and hadle here 4 months long?



Yep Cool
Question is if we already sow the bottom of the handle. I think we did and that we just need to get some serious buying volume in next few days.

Do you agree that there is a huge gap between crypto world and traditional world.. We're launching an ICO that will change this: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=2212650.msg22292459#msg22292459
molecular
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July 19, 2015, 11:27:47 AM
 #3278

Is that cup and hadle here 4 months long?



Yep Cool
Question is if we already sow the bottom of the handle. I think we did and that we just need to get some serious buying volume in next few days.

here's another pic (apparently masterluc found the pattern before me):



The handle can retrace up to 50% of the cup. So it can go down to $240.

I've been watching many cup & handles in bitcoin and usually it doesn't retract that far, so it's possible we'll turn up already at this point.

However, this one is exceptionally big, so it's hard to draw conclusions from past cup & handles which were usually smaller.


PGP key molecular F9B70769 fingerprint 9CDD C0D3 20F8 279F 6BE0  3F39 FC49 2362 F9B7 0769
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July 19, 2015, 11:45:44 AM
 #3279

here's another pic (apparently masterluc found the pattern before me):



The handle can retrace up to 50% of the cup. So it can go down to $240.

I've been watching many cup & handles in bitcoin and usually it doesn't retract that far, so it's possible we'll turn up already at this point.

However, this one is exceptionally big, so it's hard to draw conclusions from past cup & handles which were usually smaller.

The top of the cup is $310 and the bottom $210, so wouldn't 50% of the cup be $260 and not $240? If we reach $240 things will look very bearish again imo, anything below $255 will turn me back into a bear for the next couple of months at least.

Bitcoin = Gold on steroids
molecular
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July 19, 2015, 12:38:38 PM
 #3280

The top of the cup is $310 and the bottom $210, so wouldn't 50% of the cup be $260 and not $240? If we reach $240 things will look very bearish again imo, anything below $255 will turn me back into a bear for the next couple of months at least.

yeah, sorry, $260. I miscalculated.

PGP key molecular F9B70769 fingerprint 9CDD C0D3 20F8 279F 6BE0  3F39 FC49 2362 F9B7 0769
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