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Regarding bequeathing, I haven't decided yet what to do.
It mostly depends on the overall value with respect to $$.
Different value means things could be organized differently: RE, trust(s), organizing a charity or contributing to one, etc., etc.
Depending on the number of zeroes, you could do one type of things or another as direct inheritance could be a blessing or a curse.
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Willy Woo on "What bitcoin did" podcast with Peter McCormack. An interesting conversation..WWoo is kind of skeptical on S2f, bullish on bitcoin overall, but suggests to keep minimum 15% in cash (stables), up to 40% on spikes. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7OdpjKM4eJ0 |
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<snip>Just have trouble with the lack of trees & seasons...
it depends on the place...Texas is big. Houston has a bewildering variety of trees..from oaks and pines (surprisingly) to palms. Pines around here tolerate both 30F and 100F quite well. Quite a lot of deciduous trees (losing leaves in fall/winter): crepe murtles, redbuds, silver maples. It's just the Fall does not really start until November-December. The city is VERY green overall. I have a soft spot for Galveston too. More the town than anything. It might be the most terrible beach you can visit on the whole gulf, but it still has some charm  Houston gets a bad rep... and it is a big overstuffed, flat, hot city like Dallas... but you are right about the trees! I like that little town too...the beach with it's muddy water-meh, but OK for a walk. Padre Island and/or Corpus Christi-that's another story  . People can say whatever they want, but I like Texas, warts and all. Been here about 25 years as well. Will probably keep the house even when I retire and maybe get another house more north (or south!) and move seasonally. |
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<snip>Just have trouble with the lack of trees & seasons...
it depends on the place...Texas is big. Houston has a bewildering variety of trees..from oaks and pines (surprisingly) to palms. Pines around here tolerate both 30F and 100F quite well. Quite a lot of deciduous trees (losing leaves in fall/winter): crepe murtles, redbuds, silver maples. It's just the Fall does not really start until November-December. The city is VERY green overall. |
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COVID found me too….
First time…. It took a long time ….
Take care El, I hope you recover real soon. El is not the name, though... El Duderino=The Duderino just an FYI |
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@hisslyness, @cAPSLOCK
Wow, that would be quite a headstart! Your kind offer is gratefully appreciated.
Amazon says it will take a few days to get all the stuff: some items are backordered.
After that, my first free half day will be dedicated to installation and configuration.
I know I'm currently docked with cAPSLOCK, not sure i've got a connection with hisslyness, but I'll open a 5M sat channel with your node when you get it configured. hisslyness, drop me a PM if you're interested in a connection, if we aren't connected already. The WO Lightning Cartel in the making! Be careful, Biodom might ask you to move it to another thread (and Bob might open one). are you in love with me or something? ...I am straight...that said, focusing more on bitcoin stuff and less on your strategizing about russkies did help the board content afterwards, imho. |
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Market..running like a headless chicken (OMG, facebook...facebook)
Bitcoin: that funny Decaprio meme
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If there was no bubble, i am not sure why everybody expects 80-85% decline?
This is kind of awkward and does not make much sense to me.
Can we still go lower than 200wk average (~19K and rising)?
Yes, but only maybe in a war or general depression situation, imho.
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Here are some Fib recovery numbers that I got:
Considering an entirety of the down move from 69044 to 31951 (your numbers could be slightly different, but this is what i got), then Fib recovery numbers are:
$46128 for the 38.2% recovery
$54875 for the 61.8%
$61107 for the 78.6%
Above the latter number and at least an ATH retest. If the range is our destiny for 2022 and even a bit later, then, typically the advance would probably be somewhere between 38.2% and 61.8%, so $46-55K.
55K-61K-is a no man's land, but would be very optimistic, indeed. 50% recovery is NOT a Fib number, but it comes to $50.5K. IMHO, we might get to $46-60K, but would then turn back and oscillate for a while.
Politics, however, could change all this (providing either more downside or upside).
A murky picture, but at least those are the numbers I would pay attention to.
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@jjg:
1. stuck in the range we are.
2. you have no bitcoin (to speak of), since you did not take my generous 1.3(something) btc bet with 4:1 odds in your favor, so stfu about bets, like, forever.
3. FTFY
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Do we need a separate thread for discussing which topics should have a separate thread?
You should ask Biodome, he's the expert. skål |
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I feel like we glossed over the whole small mac idea and I am not comfortable with that.
Agree, but Biodome would just demand that we move the debate to another thread, so we had better let Chart Buddy just dominate the thread. kebab, kebab ( originally from biker youtube vid) YES to ChartBuddy, NO to ChartBuddy detractors...."We are all Buddy" Could you please move that to a separate thread, we don't want that kind of debate here. why don't you post something original for a change? |
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I feel like we glossed over the whole small mac idea and I am not comfortable with that.
Agree, but Biodome would just demand that we move the debate to another thread, so we had better let Chart Buddy just dominate the thread. kebab, kebab ( originally from the biker youtube vid) YES to ChartBuddy, NO to ChartBuddy detractors...."We are all Buddy" if a "small mac" would be introduced, you better copyright that idea pronto...btw, smallmac.com is "only $2.6K, smallmac.me is $6.99, smallmac.club $4.99 this list is my present to those who like domain squatting hurry up |
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^ gawd, you are right, can someone branch russia/ukraine into another thread, please?
this is starting to dominate.
What is wrong with you people? every time an interesting debate starts here you want to silence it, why? would you rather have endless chart buddy posts? It's the various debates that makes this thread worth reading, so stop trying to move every interesting debate to a separate thread. Creating a separate thread for Covid debate was a big mistake, let's not make another one. I would rather you Biodome moved to another thread than poisoning this one with your constant fright of opinions. well, you want me to "bloody your nose" with my opinion instead? not going to oblige, but your desire for kitchen strategist thinking is noted. Maybe Greece should invade Sweden? They seem to be equally matched, lol discuss... |
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^ gawd, you are right, can someone branch russia/ukraine into another thread, please?
this is starting to dominate.
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 Some stats for context, 67% population of Crimea were ethnic Russians, 80% of population spoke Russian as their primary language, and naturally this is how they voted, Yanukovych (blue) was the pro Russian president that ended up winning  Current military conflict is in the two regions that voted 91% and 93% for pro Russian president. So Hm: based on the voting patterns one could make a pretty reasonable assumption that the area of "land" just above Ukraine, to the right of Poland, and below Lit/Latvia/Estonia would probably be pretty highly "Pro someone other than Russia". Would Russia be ok in ceding that territory in exchange for the areas that voted Russian in the Ukraine? After all it is geography.... That area is Belarus, headed by Lukashenko, lol Belarus is independent, but closely aligned with Putin. I doubt any land "exchange" would occur there. |
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nobody put much stock in what presidential order/directive means? it's supposedly coming next week.
..regulate..regulate..regulate.
imho, if they do, it would be more of a "command and control" economy that we would like to admit.
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If I had an "extra" house, I could have sold it in 2016 too as I was trying to invest as much as I could (within some strict limits), but selling the house where I live-you have to be a bit more adventurous-like the Taihuttu dude (he sold the house when btc was $900, became a nomad with his whole family).
In any case, selling a live-in house to try to gain a bit of leverage is probably beyond most people. I have seen a couple reports like this, but usually it was a second house or a house that was inherited.
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@jjg: "In 4 years, around 3BTC will be 1/3 of fuck you status. In 8 years, less than 1 BTC will be fuck you status.. "
maybe too ambitious, especially the first number (assuming it refers to fu status of $3 mil).
the last cycle (counting from the top to a potential top) of 2017-2021 was a lot of volatility, not much gains (from top to top).
I found that you already assigned 45% to that it was, indeed, the top at 69K with more than 50% chance if we don't top out in Q1 (which look to be not happening, realistically).
I agree, but to assign a more bullish pattern to the next cycle (top to top:2021-2025) is, perhaps, premature, although it is very possible.
We would have to go 4.82X (from top to top) vs this cycle 3.48X. same ballpark, but would not fit the diminishing return pattern (if there is such a pattern).
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OT: A weird story: https://decrypt.co/91476/ethereum-vitalik-buterin-get-back-100m-donated-shibIs this some kind of game to them? I send you 10, you send me one back..lol VB is now a biotech adviser? maybe it is erroneously reported, but i find the whole story strange, to put it mildly. Before there was a story how he was doing that 'sending' using lots of precautions, but if you are sending to a truly burned address, why all the precautions? |
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