Here is an 'interesting" suggestion re new poll on WO:
How much are you currently losing "on paper" from the ATH in your current bitcoin position (not counting the profit/loss from earlier sells)
1. less than $1K 2. between $1k and $10K 3. between $10K and 100K 3. between $100K and $1 mil 4. between $1mil and $10mil 5. between $10mil and $100mil 6. Above $100mil
Not sure if people would be honest in their answers, but am curious to see the spread anyway. EDIT I also think that it is more interesting to measure from the ATH instead of the profit/loss since every individual buy price is different, but ATH is the same for everyone.
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Thank you both. I know WO. I sometimes see you mad hatters posting memes about people getting wrecked on margin, trying to warn the clueless newbies. So true!
You'll know what to do when theres blood in the streets cup. go on margin? ...sorry...too soon?
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well I mentioned the golden astroid over and over and over. Said if real it could tap gold bigly to under 200 an oz. 31 mill tonnes is a lot less than the asteroid ☄️ amount but it would tank gold if easy to mine. in theory 152,000 tonnes of pure gold is all the was ever mined. so if that gold was 10% yield it would be 3.1 million tons of pure gold which is 20 x what has been mined. https://www.amnh.org/exhibitions/gold/eureka/gold-fun-facts#: source for gold mined They say it's equal to 320,000 tons of refined Au, so more like 1%, but still, it's 2X of what was mined before (in ALL TIME). P. Shiff is surely not happy. Does it make Uganda the new Saudi Arabia? I doubt it. Mr. Market is scratching it's proverbial head: "what can be a store of value"? We already know the answer, not sure if and when they would agree en masse. BTW, gold lost value recently, no surprise there.
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So I sold my btc off and bumped my btc up the next day. I have 46% more btc today than sunday.
I have cash ready if we go lower.
I will do a buy when we go under 20k which should be tonight.
After fed does .75 percent jump on weds we will rally
but if fed only does .5 we will crash more.
Mostly issue is we are locked in with stocks at the moment.
Very well done! I would say "be careful with those sorts of gambits". But the reason is I am not good at doing exactly what you did. So I would only really be saying it to me. Yea, this kind of moves are always very risky. You can't predict where the turn would be. In fact, saying that it was 21K does not make it so. Seems a bit "artificial". 75 points are already 'priced' in. no way they would do only 50 now. In 6 mo my cash lump would earn 4% more or less...woo hooo. We shall see what the price would be during and after those 6 mo.
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A thought occured: M. Saylor is a giant death_wish...sorry, pal. wtf did he (M.S) got so much on margin? Should have just bought in cash+ a little (or none) on margin. Now, obviously WS 'wants' to liquidate his position as they always do with all margins.
There must be a player or players behind this and it all point to one in particular... ..Who was the person who said that bitcoin cannot do transactions recently? Where did celsius funds go? Make your own conclusions.
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Eh, 200 WMA?
btw, what is the biggest-ever % dip below 200 WMA, other than the Covid crash which I do not think can be compared to any other event in the past few decades? Off the top of my head, I do not know. I know it could scrape along a little bit below it for awhile, without setting any new precedents.
covid (march 2020) was the biggest, went to 300 WMA on a wick. average was 5.3K, went to 3.8K, so about 28% below 200 WMA. The equivalent (on a wick) would be about 15.8K (just numbers, no prediction whatsoever).
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Sell and buy back immediately, harvest losses...if your trading vol is high enough, the fees should be low enough. HIFO with losses harvested make for the best strategy, IMO for US tax payers
Gotta be careful to not screw yourself with short-term vs long-term cap gains though. Loss carry-over is also a potential issue. yes, those $3K/year are not very generous, lol but if a 20k sale creates a 40k loss then if you buy it back and the 20 k rallies to 80k you can sell 40k in under a year with no tax. and have 20k left over. maybe 40 leftover, but yea, pretty much so. It's just difficult to time the trades well. You blink and could be buying 5K above your sell. js
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* death_wish crosses his fingers and prays to Divine Bitcoin that the 200 WMA line has the most solid wall of bid support in the history of all markets. Dear newbies: This is what margin does to you.What's the exact 200 WMA price? right here plus minus $100
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Peter Brandt is depressing....but has one valid point to consider:
in his opinion an asset that repeatedly declines more than 80% is not an investment, but speculation. Well, 80% down from 67566.87 (highest closing vs intraday 68789.63) is $13513. Currently, we are at about 66.7% decline from the highest closing.
So, if you subscribe to PB view, it's showtime for bitcoin to show it's mettle as an investment vehicle. Note that I don't talk about a "store of value' because i don't think there is one, unfortunately. I guess clean water, food, air and a powered shelter are 'stores of value', but we can't put them in a "bottle" to use when needed.
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Sell and buy back immediately, harvest losses...if your trading vol is high enough, the fees should be low enough. HIFO with losses harvested make for the best strategy, IMO for US tax payers
Gotta be careful to not screw yourself with short-term vs long-term cap gains though. Loss carry-over is also a potential issue. yes, those $3K/year are not very generous, lol
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I always say that you have to buy in RISING market, not in dropping one. I know that it is counterintuitive, but it is so. Of course, timing is still tricky because you can have a temporary reprieve that could last months.
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Interestingly, btc dominance is declining slightly, but it is a false signal. it does not mean that alts are doing better, it simply means that everything is depreciating vs stablecoins.
OK, now that we are in OFFICIAL bear market in stonks, what's your opinion on ultimate stonks bottom? I think it would be somewhere between 3337 and 2250 SP500 (completely negating the COVID bump) At 3337 it would be a 30% decline. At 2250 it would be a 53% decline (might take a year or two).
When SP was 3337, btc was about 10K When SP panic dropped to 2250, btc was at 3.8K
Add to it more scarcity in btc now and we should have better outcomes than prior numbers, but it is quite sobering. It is also entirely possible that large money people would start to "escape" from SP500 and into bitcoin. We shall see.
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Good time to harvest losses, all you US tax payers
I always do it in late November (for stocks), then rebuy >30 day later. For btc or anything else-anytime is OK as long as they don't change the law for wash sales, but chances are probably zero that they would before the end of the year. That's just me.
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unfortunately 2nd mortgage on a cardboard box under a bridge doesnt fetch much nowadays.
Something about this ₵ sign looks off... the product quality vs price, perhaps? EDIT my bad, I thought it is $400
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We are all "psychopaths" apparently remember ?
this "psycho" is still here.....and have some unused funds. was thinking of using them at the 'bottom' of the stock market plunge, but might put into btc instead...in due course. Not buying the falling knives, though, although it is tempting.
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Hey, at that—newbies who are scared that we just dipped below $25k (now bouncing towards $26k), and that there is chit-chat about $22k, should remember that some people sold Bitcoin for under $220 in early 2015. No, I did not omit any zeroes, or turn any letter-k to a zero. I wonder if the people who sold BTC at $220 feel bad now. selling at $220 was not frown at for most of 2015. It depends what did you sell it for. At that point most sales would of been because BTC is dead. srsly? hardly, imho. I remember this thread being a desert. A lot of people had given up. maybe, but mining threads were as active as ever, maybe much more than today 'cause many people were mining with S7. I think it was the last tolerable miner as far as noise at home is concerned (S9 and later had to go to a basement, a different structure or to a separate facility).
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Hey, at that—newbies who are scared that we just dipped below $25k (now bouncing towards $26k), and that there is chit-chat about $22k, should remember that some people sold Bitcoin for under $220 in early 2015. No, I did not omit any zeroes, or turn any letter-k to a zero. I wonder if the people who sold BTC at $220 feel bad now. selling at $220 was not frown at for most of 2015. It depends what did you sell it for. At that point most sales would of been because BTC is dead. srsly? hardly, imho. In 2015 people were treating btc more like money, there was no planB, "store of value" (for most part), etc Many people were just "playing" with the concept.
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Hey, at that—newbies who are scared that we just dipped below $25k (now bouncing towards $26k), and that there is chit-chat about $22k, should remember that some people sold Bitcoin for under $220 in early 2015. No, I did not omit any zeroes, or turn any letter-k to a zero. I wonder if the people who sold BTC at $220 feel bad now. selling at $220 was not frown at for most of 2015. It depends what did you sell it for.
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@JJG...sucks to be me, then, lol
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