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1341  Economy / Speculation / Re: bitcoinica instruction thread? on: March 22, 2012, 09:00:01 PM
ah i see. i covered my position with USD to avoid the mathematical complexity of doing so with bitcoin, but shorting with a large tradable balance in USD affords me little opportunity to profit from the leverage. i caught the drop though, and profited a small amount, so all in all a pretty good first run with bitcoinica.
1342  Economy / Speculation / Re: bitcoinica instruction thread? on: March 22, 2012, 08:49:28 PM
thanks for the replies! question -- why is my unrealized p/l just the difference between my base price and the current price times the size of my position? with 2.5x leveraging, shouldnt my profits/losses be multiplied by that much?
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=56797.0 there u can get info

that was a great read for risk management but i still don't understand the point of leverage if my p/l is solely calculated by the size of my actual position. is leveraging just to inflate my "tradable balance"?
1343  Economy / Speculation / Re: bitcoinica instruction thread? on: March 22, 2012, 03:29:36 PM
thanks for the replies! question -- why is my unrealized p/l just the difference between my base price and the current price times the size of my position? with 2.5x leveraging, shouldnt my profits/losses be multiplied by that much?
1344  Economy / Speculation / bitcoinica instruction thread? on: March 22, 2012, 02:24:47 PM
can anyone walk me through how to use the bitcoinica interface to, say sell short? i know very little about margin calls, leverage, et cetera. i already have a position and am a little anxious because i don't really know what all the values signify. help would be much appreciated  Smiley
1345  Economy / Speculation / Re: calling the short-term top on: March 15, 2012, 08:41:11 PM
BIG move up coming.
Market is very thin. Indicators show what might happen but that doesn't mean it will happen.
Market needs a fresh blood to move up high. Speculation only is probably not enough, more media coverage is needed.

indicators respond to the actions of traders, because they are all based on price and volume.



-acc/dist keeps going down yet price is stable. i can now confirm the OP, that $5.20 will definitely be the bottom, as long as the acc/distr line foreshadows a reversal soon.

-mass index is ready for another price movement

-william's and ultimate oscillators both scream short-term oversold.

so listen to crypt and take this opportunity to pump up that long!

also, i hope you're enjoying my analysis; i've been thinking of doing a subscription-type service i just don't know how big my fan club is xP i haven't really gotten any votes on the 'your favorite speculator" thread.
1346  Economy / Speculation / Re: calling the short-term top on: March 15, 2012, 02:13:54 AM
BIG move up coming. Acc/Distr has still been decreasing the whole time the price has been rising, but now seems like it maybe be finally bottoming out. aroon and adx both show continuation patterns suggesting a strong bullish move soon. after the consolidation/correction described in this thread is over, we may see the largest rally since the push to $7.00. the price may even be strong enough not to correct at all, and to consolidate along the resistance at $5.35 and then launch from there.

1347  Economy / Speculation / Re: calling the short-term top on: March 15, 2012, 12:34:59 AM
i just think we'll retrace to $5.20 before resuming UP.
Why on earth would one even bother to call this micro stuff?

because there is still debate over whether or not this is a reversal. the price movement now is an important signalling factor.
1348  Economy / Speculation / Re: calling the short-term top on: March 14, 2012, 11:01:09 PM
This is the strongest spike since the beginning of the rally from 2.5. You are wrong.

that is incorrect. the end-december rally was much larger. futhermore, the size of this movement is exactly my point -- we've overstepped the rates of growth leading off of the last bubble, and since the growth patterns are nearly identical everywhere else it makes me suspicious whether or not this is stable. i just think we'll retrace to $5.20 before resuming UP.
1349  Economy / Speculation / calling the short-term top on: March 14, 2012, 08:37:10 PM
so this is clearly a reversal, but rather early if you compare the shapes of the tail end of the bubble to that of the echo bubble (they're nearly identical, it's amazing). so we're definitely overdue for a correction. $5.20 will be an important level of support, but we may break that and bounce of $5.05 (the last level of support before the recent knife).

1350  Economy / Speculation / Re: Its Breaking 5 now on: March 13, 2012, 11:27:44 AM
i wouldn't think that relationship should hold as a rule. and i suspect people have been migrating from mtgox to other, actually functional tickers like clark moody's.
1351  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: betco.in's a ghost town now? on: March 12, 2012, 01:46:18 AM
it's been more than 24 hours now since my 100 btc withdrawal. no transaction has been initiated in the blockchain. what should i do?
1352  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: betco.in's a ghost town now? on: March 10, 2012, 07:43:24 PM
It would be wise to do your research first before sending BTC anywhere.

Just a wise thought...

i found the site through the signature of a well-respected member. i was just surprised at the lack of 'action'. i guess i shall be moving my btc elsewhere.
1353  Economy / Trading Discussion / betco.in's a ghost town now? on: March 09, 2012, 10:07:45 PM
just made an account and deposited a good amount of btc. but the tables are all empty? i hope this was not uncovered as a scam or the site is in disuse such that i may not get my bitcoins back... anyone know?
1354  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin in Obama's second term? on: March 08, 2012, 08:58:14 AM
1. i don't, but it's part of his campaign
2. this post was incredibly sarcastic and shouldn't be taken seriously at all
3. i just wish there was some way to restructure the global economy so that it's not just a giant pyramid scheme where the rich sit on top.
1355  Economy / Speculation / Re: the rocket ready to blastoff from the launching platform at $5.00 on: March 06, 2012, 07:46:11 PM
What size was this wall at 4.9, arepo?

wish i had screen capped. maybe that would help me 'get over myself'. i'm just trying to have a pleasant conversation here...

i'd estimate about 20k. it was sloped too, orders placed at even intervals, all with sizes powers of 2. so what exactly is going on here?

someone playing with the order books, to make it look bullish

this is unheard of ... Wink

haha exactly my thoughts:

this is hilarious. powers-of-two-that-be manipulator keeps building up and removing wall at $4.90 to spook people. enticing the bull trap and it's not going to work. he shouldn't have left the support there so long to begin with, he would've been able to get some cheap cheap bitcoins. as for now, we're going up up up mr binary be damned.
1356  Economy / Speculation / Re: the rocket ready to blastoff from the launching platform at $5.00 on: March 06, 2012, 07:31:12 PM
What size was this wall at 4.9, arepo?

wish i had screen capped. maybe that would help me 'get over myself'. i'm just trying to have a pleasant conversation here...

i'd estimate about 20k. it was sloped too, orders placed at even intervals, all with sizes powers of 2. so what exactly is going on here?
1357  Economy / Speculation / Re: the rocket ready to blastoff from the launching platform at $5.00 on: March 06, 2012, 06:44:17 PM
this is hilarious. powers-of-two-that-be manipulator keeps building up and removing wall at $4.90 to spook people. enticing the bull trap and it's not going to work. he shouldn't have left the support there so long to begin with, he would've been able to get some cheap cheap bitcoins. as for now, we're going up up up mr binary be damned.

Its just a visual glitch... you are funny/sad
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=67578.0

i don't think so... i've seen the glitch before. it appears as though a large order will 'flicker', leaving ghostlines. the huge wall of support however is actually gone, as evidenced by the data on clark moody's ticker. and it was there for a few hours. same cycle happened in the early hours of this morning.
1358  Economy / Speculation / Re: the rocket ready to blastoff from the launching platform at $5.00 on: March 06, 2012, 06:29:56 PM
this is hilarious. powers-of-two-that-be manipulator keeps building up and removing wall at $4.90 to spook people. enticing the bull trap and it's not going to work. he shouldn't have left the support there so long to begin with, he would've been able to get some cheap cheap bitcoins. as for now, we're going up up up mr binary be damned.
1359  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin in Obama's second term? on: March 06, 2012, 05:58:50 PM
So then vote for ron paul

Even in the off chance Ron Paul actually gets into position, he WILL be assassinated.  Bet on it.

yes, and hopefully before he completely dismantles the federal government and the 1/2 of americans who are considered "low income" fall the rest of the way through the social safety net, ushering in a new and historically unprecedented era of class division in the united states.

actually, that sounds like the recipe for class war, the only thing powerful enough to bring fat cats to their knees. bring it, paul!
1360  Economy / Speculation / Re: eerily quiet ... lets talk walls! on: March 06, 2012, 11:38:01 AM
this thread should be deleted

Oh my...such an epic thread and that's your contribution?

we've already seen what you call contribution
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