Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[d_eddie]

I think it’s the requirement for an “always online” connnection. Just easier with cloud.  

Don’t ask me to explain what happens if your node goes offline.  I don’t know.

It enables each of your channel counterparts to broadcast transactions stealing the value you have locked up in that channel, for one. Amongst other ills.

And gives said counterpart the chance to have their whole assets on that channel forfeited by you if anyone snitches on them within a week. I wouldn't try that.

Comprehensive list of entities currently operating such a service:
1)  

Currently: you and yourself. You must hurry and do it within a week. Can you switch on your LN node once a week until it syncs your own channels only?
Outsourcing to to others, uh, well, hm, we're still working on it  

However, as usage increases, IF (and it's a big IF) this kind of cheat should become popular (which I don't think, being too risky because it implies you do have a stake in the channel - you're not just stealing someone else's coins), then I'm sure several such services will appear, as the marginal cost of running a patrol service alongside your own LN node is so low as to be negligible. Like buying a cheap lottery ticket. Find a thief, grab some coin. Why not? Let me engage in a flight of fantasy: future LN clients for desktop machines will have patrolling functions included, and there will be a switch NOT to run a patrol service. Working as a part-time guardian will be the default.

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[Typex]

I'm also curious where BTC will be at the end of 2018?

As are we all.

Somebody did a monte carlo simulation based upon a random sampling of daily returns. The center of the probability distribution function was $55.5K.

$55,530 center of distribution
Probability of less than $13K - 9.84%
80% confidence interval: $13,200.00-$271,277.00

You can quibble with the validity of past returns used as a basis for future predictions, but its one analysis.

https://medium.com/@xoelop/weve-simulated-the-bitcoin-price-for-the-whole-2018-you-won-t-believe-the-result-4a602679dac2

That's a pretty solid analysis (bookmarked), $55K is a very realistic prediction. I would only assume that at the end of 2018 $55K wouldn't have been to all time high but still a very good price estimation. At the end of the day it's still educated guessing but it was refreshing to see a HQ price analysis based on raw math.

I would assume that a high percentage of those random walks resulted in their ATHs reaching very close to the end of the year.

[El duderino_]

Breaking 24777$ prediction game      FINAL LIST        

27/12/2017 bikerleszno
29/12/2018 cAPSLOCK  
30/12/2017 digithusiast
31/12/2017 Raja_MBZ
01/01/2018 elg
02/01/2018 wachtwoord
03/01/2018 JimboToronto
04/01/2018 d_eddie  
05/01/2018 BTCMILLIONAIRE
06/01/2018 HanvanBitcoin
07/01/2018 ghandi
08/01/2018 savetherainforrest
09/01/2018 explorer
10/01/2018 bicoinpsycho
11/01/2018 Bitcoinaire
12/01/2018 speedwheel
13/01/2018 undeadbitcoiner
14/01/2018 northypole
15/01/2018 ivomm
16/01/2018 maca068
17/01/2018 bitcoinvest
18/01/2018 last of the v8s
19/01/2018 mfort312
20/01/2018 1982dre
21/01/2018 flamast2
22/01/2018 RealMachasm
23/01/2018 willope
24/01/2018 kartala
25/01/2018 orpington
26/01/2018 rolling
27/01/2018 LFC_bitcoin
28/01/2018 jojo69
29/01/2018 CristiTCM
30/01/2018 rayX12
31/01/2018 realsteelboy
01/02/2018 twocorn
02/02/2018 mancroofer
03/02/2018 True Myth
04/02/2018 poolminor
05/02/2018 itod
06/02/2018 scheptan
07/02/2018 vapourminer
08/02/2018 alexeft
09/02/2018 siera
10/02/2018 AlcoHoDL
11/02/2018 Dunkelheit667
12/02/2018 yonton
13/02/2018 Wekkel
14/02/2018 Thekool1s
15/02/2018 starmman
16/02/2018 Globb0
17/02/2018 leveldkrypto
18/02/2018 olesh
19/02/2018 BitCoinBurger
20/02/2018 Paashaas
21/02/2018 flynn
22/02/2018 icygreen
23/02/2018 erisdiscordia
24/02/2018 phil_s
25/02/2018 sirazimuth
26/02/2018 Arriemoller
27/02/2018 yonton
28/02/2018 Muttley
01/03/2018 bones261
02/03/2018 heater
03/03/2018 soullyG
04/03/2018 InvoKing
05/03/2018 Notme
06/03/2018 sa_94
07/03/2018 NUFCrichard
08/03/2018 Imbatman
09/03/2018 Roombot
10/03/2018 STT
11/03/2018 badream
13/03/2018 erre
14/03/2018 julian071
15/03/2018 podyx
17/03/2018 fragout
18/03/2018 fabiorem
21/03/2018 dakustaking76
23/03/2018 nikauforest
31/03/2018 vroom
01/04/2018 somac.
02/04/2018 kurious
04/04/2018 fluidjax
05/04/2018 bitcoinbunny
08/04/2018 tyler1890
10/04/2018 ludwigvon
11/04/2018 hairymaclairy
16/04/2018 practicaldreamer
18/04/2018 free-bit.co.in
27/04/2018 drbrockoin
01/05/2018 sprinkles
02/06/2018 oblox
07/07/2018 IntroVert
03/08/2018 toxic2040
28/08/2018 bitserve
15/10/2018 Yefi
05/11/2018 mikenz
31/12/2018 melman2002
01/01/2019 Spaceman_Spiff_Original
12/02/2019 FractalUniverse
21/04/2019 gentlemand
20/02/2020 romneymoney
18/12/2021 luckygenough56

UPDATE     AND GOOD LUCK

WHY SO MANY OFF YOU THINKING PRICE WILL BE ONDER 8K END THIS MONTHY??  WHILE SO MANY OFF YOU GUESS ALL THE CLOSEST POSSIBLE  DATES WHEN THIS LIST CAME OUT

[jojo69]

Olive Branch   

die Turk

[vroom]

at least the bitcoin market dominance is increasing right now.

At least there's that.

Oh. 34.9%? Is that good?

it was at 33% a few days ago and incredible 34.8% yesterday

[jojo69]

BCH/BTC making a new low on GDAX

[Typex]

at least the bitcoin market dominance is increasing right now.

At least there's that.

Oh. 34.9%? Is that good?

it was at 33% a few days ago and incredible 34.8% yesterday

It will usually gain market dominance when the overall market cap is dropping because the alts act like leveraged versions of BTC.

[vroom]

segwit adaption is increasing.

How are you measuring that?

[podyx]

What the fuck is going on...

[yefi]

Been following this thread with a smile on my face for a while now,
-the best of your quotes, images and posts bundled would make a great book-,
and there seem to be some pretty smart, very wise, highly experienced and extremely old BTC-guys hanging out here.
Hopefully you are willing to advice; what do you foresee as the smartest USD/BTC price-range to buy the dip?

Sycophancy will get you nowhere

[bitcoinvest]

are you ready to go under 8000€ / BTC ?

[d_eddie]

What the fuck is going on...

Another shake of the tree, while the bears still have some breath left.

[bitcoinvest]

it's funny how when everything shows that we go down further more people speak about ATH? what are you drinking people??

one advice to the newbies here: DO YOUR RESEARCH ! DO NOT listen what you read here as advice... you may loose money..

[mindrust]

Cheap bitcoins are good for exports. Now thanks to cheap coins theymos can sell more VIP accounts. Cheap bitcoins are good for business guys. Let's make it $1/piece, export booms everybody is happy. xcept hodlers:(

[Bitcoinaire]

This bores me........

[OWZ1337]

What the fuck is going on...

BTCBTC skyrocketing weee

[fabiorem]

are you ready to go under 8000€ / BTC ?

8k is old news. Now its 4-5k.

We are in a bear market, and since its based on panic, a bear market is irrational.

Corrections are for rational markets. This recent fallback to 10k is no more a correction.

[FractalUniverse]

What the fuck is going on...

BTCBTC skyrocketing weee

>>pic<<

Just bought another small fraction. Now I have whopping 0.25 BTC. I cant remember the last time  i had that much I love these corrections
next buy order at 10k
If we get to 6k, i might have whole 1 BTC by then  

[Last of the V8s]

new bitcoin.org discussion

bit odd to put 'fraud protection' in such pride of place. 'counterfeit protection' maybe, but it's a fraud to say there's fraud protection. noobs will lose money over this
fees discussion is cobrawank
keeping the llama is approved
'borderless' is doubleplus approved

[bitcoinvest]

What the fuck is going on...

BTCBTC skyrocketing weee

Just bought another small fraction. Now I have whopping 0.25 BTC. I cant remember the last time  i had that much I love these corrections
next buy order at 10k
If we get to 6k, i might have whole 1 BTC by then  

and then wait some hours or days to go at 4k and panik sell lol