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1121  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: June 20, 2023, 12:48:50 PM
^   And Emmet is getting old, if not just plain old for a fighter in his weight class at 39.  Lower weight classes can't get away with what the heavy weights can get away with in terms of getting over 35.

And Emmet has taken a lot of damage in his career.  I wouldn't be surprised if Topuria knocks him out around R3...

Anyway, this event looks more like a parlayable one with most of the favorites possibly getting the W.

UFC Free Fight:  Emmet vs Burgos
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HTiPhsugyDI

For me, at 38 years old Josh Emmett still has it in him, well not a slick movement but still you can really not underestimate Josh Emmett if it comes to brawls and if a fighter is a likely brawler and is not really aiming for that technicality of the fight Josh Emmet could win this but against Ilia Topuria it is a different story Ilia Topuria is a different kind of beast for sure when it comes to fighting IQ the level of Yair Rodriguez will be upon him and the durability of Yair will be upon him for sure, and it is never a surprise if Topuria Knocks Emmett up because that is what I likely as expecting,





Yup.  Topuria is a future title challenger.  Is Emmet still at top 5?  If Topuria wins he could be in the conversation.

Tbh I didn't think Topuria was that good until I saw him fight Bryce Mitchell, who is another top prospect, was undefeated at the time, good at wresting and GnP and he's durable.  Yet Topuria made him look like just another lowly opponent and finished him.

UFC Free Fight:  Topuria vs Mitchell
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CsbK_ubVQ_w

It could be Topuria inside the distance.  I wonder how much that line would be when props come out.
1122  Economy / Gambling / Re: Rollbit.com | Crypto's Most Rewarding Casino 👑 on: June 19, 2023, 02:05:24 PM
Such nice gambling discussion going on here (:

Lmao yup.  There's usually one in every site's thread.
1123  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Looking for the Next Great 1000x on: June 19, 2023, 01:55:05 PM
^  The thing that makes it true is if you're not early then 99% of the time, you won't get 1000x.  If the coin is already being promoted on Twitter then take it as a sign that you're late and be happy with the smaller gains that you'll be able to get from it.  It won't be the pipe dream but it's still a win.

But yeah...  Has anybody noticed the LADYS pump?  Up by a tad over 50% in just a couple of days or so.  But it's kinda hitting resistance rn, so prolly better to wait for a sell down before getting in.
ladys as far as I can remember got its good time because it just got shilled by elon and suddenly the rally arrive and the price going up like there's no tomorrow.
but as the time goes, once shills from elon subsides also gone the main and only driving force that helps driving the price goes up further.
it just this way with these meme coins in general and lately i've seen pattern that the newer meme coins that got shilled aren't necessarily gonna hold on for long.
at best its gonna last months and then went downhill ever since, i guess many realized that these meme coins aren't really sustaining.

Uh no, Elon shilling a Milady was a couple weeks ago..?  Unless there was a new more recent tweet I have no idea about.  But yeah, I hope you guys made a little something something with the memecoins I mentioned.  All of them were going up fast for just a couple of days except for a couple of them.  Got some out in stables and still waiting to rotate to the big kahuna PEPE if it starts moving.

If not memecoins, looking to make some trades on APT and SUI.  But dunno...  With the US session not looking so good rn, I feel like crypto is about to go red.
1124  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏁🏎️ Sportsbet.io🏁 FORMULA 1 2023 Season🏁🏎️Prediction Pool Discussion Thread on: June 19, 2023, 01:36:34 PM
I just did a random pick for this round of F1 as I still believe we will have 1 chaos race and it seems that Canada might be that one.

Also , after Ferrari won LeMans , I went with Lec to get another podium , followed by a victory and 1-2 podium for Ferrari with both Max and Lewis having a DNF as I didn't take neither of them for top 10. Instead , I went with Perez to take 3rd place and also the fastest lap of the race. Grin Grin Grin

I did the same and didn't change my picks after quali...  But I got my best result in the pool thus far because of it.  Cheesy  I think I'll be doing just that from here on out.  I don't think I'll be fighting for the money spots anyway since I'm ranked 22th at the table.

Can't wait for the next races, Austria, Silverstone, Hungary then we go to Belgium!  I hope it doesn't rain in Belgium. Spa is prolly my favorite track of all time.

1125  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: June 19, 2023, 01:25:43 PM
^   And Emmet is getting old, if not just plain old for a fighter in his weight class at 39.  Lower weight classes can't get away with what the heavy weights can get away with in terms of getting over 35.

And Emmet has taken a lot of damage in his career.  I wouldn't be surprised if Topuria knocks him out around R3...

Anyway, this event looks more like a parlayable one with most of the favorites possibly getting the W.

UFC Free Fight:  Emmet vs Burgos
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HTiPhsugyDI
1126  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: SINBAD.io MIXER June Bitcoin Price Prediction Challenge on: June 19, 2023, 01:16:18 PM
Prediction 2:  $27,355.55
bech32 address:  bc1qumea7x2xqaz6k62g2rq26yf8hzqe2mn0mfkpar
1127  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Any airdrop hunters here need some leads on: June 17, 2023, 12:53:14 PM
airdrops are so random if you eager to get that share of airdrop you should just try all of the airdrops that you think have potential.
and their tasks various too, if you want to get same rewards like arbitrum get yourself follow retroactive airdrop like many have mentioned.
Airdrops have always been kind of hit and miss but now they are more a miss than anything, personally I do not know why a person will still invest their time trying to claim airdrops, many years ago this was easy to do as in order to get an airdrop there was nothing for you to do, but now airdrops have all kind of requirements and in some cases those requirements are even a secret, so a person could waste a great deal of their time and still not qualify for the airdrop.

Yea this is true. It’s a lot harder to get a decent airdrop which can actually amount to something. Most of these new projects with airdrops go nowhere or they are complete scams to steal seeds or other info.

Years ago there was tons and tons of airdrops and you could make a good living just claiming them. These days you need to be very patient. Only decent ones coming out this year is Layer Zero and ZkSync. And the last good airdrop was Arbitrium which was a huge success.

Really?  I never realized there were a lot of airdrops from years ago.  What were the good ones?  I think I may have been missing out.  Lol.  The only airdrop that I've ever received was ARB.  And I didn't even expect anything even after minting the Odyssey NFT.  I just kept on using the stuff they had in Arbitrum for trading.

But all in all, airdrops are a good way to build up additional units for your bankroll, just focus on the good ones.
1128  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏁🏎️ Sportsbet.io🏁 FORMULA 1 2023 Season🏁🏎️Prediction Pool Discussion Thread on: June 17, 2023, 12:40:28 PM
Thought this might be the time I actually watch a race, and then Euro qualifiers come around so I know where my priorities will continue to lie this weekend Wink

Giving up looking for good odds for a podium finish for an outsider. Someone give me a quick rundown on why Bottas is no longer considered a contender -- 250/1 for a podium place. I know he's switched down to an inferior car but are the differences in machines really so huge that good drivers stand no chance? Or is it a combination of Bottas also deteriorating?

He was never a contender...  Even when he was driving the best car right up there with Hamilton at Mercedes.  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

He's just relatively an average driver, who's dependable and consistent.  But other than that, he's nothing special.  It's also exactly why Toto Wolff gave him Mercedes' second drive.  To just be the no. 2 driver, defend Hamilton and try to finish 1 - 2 every race.  It was all good for a couple of years until Bottas wanted to be champion himself.  Lol.  That's when the incnsistencies in his performance started to happen because he was getting emotional at times.
1129  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Motosport General discussion tread --- Formula1, MotoGP, WTCC, ETCC, DTM..... on: June 17, 2023, 12:32:34 PM
I wonder if we can see Verstappen in a Ferrari car in the future. There must be 4 or 5 years on his new contract now and I don't expect him to decide to leave Red Bull in this time period. Something big should just happen like Red Bull's dropping down from the title race for Verstappen to think of his future earlier. But I don't think such thing will happen that easy.




I think Verstappen stays as long as Horner stays with Red Bull.  Maybe if Horner goes to Ferrari and becomes their team principal, Verstappen couod follow.  Wink

The other influencial guy in Red Bull is their CTO Adrian Newey.  The guy is a genius designer and engineer.  Any team willbe lucky to have him...  But I think he's gonna retire in a couple of years or so.  There was a time when he demoted himself to a pure car designer role, giving signs of retirement and have less responsibilities with the team.  But later went back and had a more active role again.

Don't think Red Bull would be where they are today without Newey...  And Horner for that matter.  :/

Anyway, what do you guys think of Hamilton to finish on the podium at 2.10?  Mercedes might have made a breakthrough in car development.
1130  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: June 17, 2023, 12:20:00 PM
^  And Cannonier is so strong that whenevever his opponents take him down, he could almost always find a way to get up.  Another thing is his opponents won't just try to take him down as they they'll get starched with one tiny mistake.  So from a risk reward point of view, it's prolly better not to try the take down.  Grin  But dunno...  From the looks of it, Vettori is stubborn af and he prolly knows his chin could take it.

Here are the weigh ins...  No misses again.  I think the UFC should give a no miss bonus for these guys.

UFC Vegas 75:  Weigh In
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nce6C9V75yY

UFC Vegas 75:  Face Off
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eEwVk2CFriI

Jared Cannonier (185.5) vs Marvin Vettori (185.5)
Joaquim Silva (155.5) vs Arman Tsarukyan (155.5)
Christian Duncan (186) vs Armen Petrosyan (186)
Lucas Almeida (145.5) vs Pat Sabatini (145)
Nikolas Motta (155.5) vs Manuel Torres (156)
Nicolas Dalby (170.5) vs Muslim Salikhov (170)
Alessandro Costa (126) vs Jimmy Flick (125.5)
Kyung Ho Kang (135.5) vs Cristian Quinonez (135)
Denys Bondar (126) vs Carlos Hernandez (125)
Tereza Bleda (125) vs Gabriella Fernandes (126)
Dan Argueta (136) vs Ronnie Lawrence (136)
Modestas Bukauskas (205) vs Zac Pauga (205)
1131  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Looking for the Next Great 1000x on: June 16, 2023, 12:50:00 PM
^  The thing that makes it true is if you're not early then 99% of the time, you won't get 1000x.  If the coin is already being promoted on Twitter then take it as a sign that you're late and be happy with the smaller gains that you'll be able to get from it.  It won't be the pipe dream but it's still a win.

But yeah...  Has anybody noticed the LADYS pump?  Up by a tad over 50% in just a couple of days or so.  But it's kinda hitting resistance rn, so prolly better to wait for a sell down before getting in.
1132  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Any airdrop hunters here need some leads on: June 16, 2023, 12:40:12 PM
After years of disappointment in airdrops of tokens that end up not being traded anywhere like Ethplode and Stabila, I missed on the Arbitrum airdrop, now I am looking for potential real good airdrops. It doesn't have to be in the thousands, a few real dollars are fine for the effort.
I hear zkSync and Venom can be big, I tried SUI but was unlucky to be late and they didn't really giveaway to that many people.
Please let's help each other with real good advice.

Just focus on tier 1 airdrops and avoid wasting your time on projects that will prolly go nowwhere.  So what are the tier 1 projects that have a chance to have an airdrop?  I think Layer Zero and zkSync should be your top two projects to participate in.  Use the protocols associated with them and do it with high volume if possible.

Other projects that could be included in tier 1 that could also do their own airdrops are Starknet and Polygon zkEVM.  Good luck.

But for me personally, I'm starting to poke around Arbitrum Nova.  I think blockchain gaming could make a come back and Nova will be a huge part of it.
1133  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC Sentiment Poll for June on: June 16, 2023, 12:27:06 PM
And I'm not really sure why you're saying support is at 23k because this is what I'm looking at...  25k or so was tested twice during August and Feb, before finally breaking out at March.  Now it seems like it has flipped back to being resistance.



It's because $23K is the volume support, whereas there isn't a lot of support volume between $24K and $26.5K. It's also very close to the 200 Day MA* currently around $22.5K that within the coming days will be at $23K. As you can see there is increasing volume support from $25K down to $23K, but similar to the correction in March, price came down to the peak of this volume support before reversing to the upside.



In summary, the same reason I was bullish about $20K acting as support, while others were fearing much worse prices, is more of the less the exact same reason why I see $23K acting as a support level. Arguably there is more chance of $23K acting as support than there was of $20K back in March, as back then the 200 DMA was barely rising, whereas now it's been in an uptrend for the past 3 months.

It's also partially due to the market mentally. Most were/are expecting $25K to act as support, somewhat similar to those who thought $22K/$23K would act as support back in March, whereas instead it failed. If most people expect old resistance to turn into new support it probably won't, especially with price effectively in a neutral zone between the 50 Day MA (declining bearish) and 200 Day MA (rising bullish).

Naturally I'd have a completely different opinion if for example the re-test of $25K was in line with some other support level, like the 50 Day MA, or otherwise the 200 Day MA, but this isn't the case. Old resistance on it's own turning into new support just seems unlikely to me, especially now the 200 WMA has broken. Whereas the confluence of support as described at $23K looks a lot more appealing to me.

Also the 50 Week MA has just started trending back upwards in the past few weeks for the first time in around 18 months and is priced around $22.5K. This is usually a defining factor or a confirmed trend reversal, similar to January 2022 when it flipped bearish, even if somewhat delayed. In summary, if $25K is the short-term support level, $22K to $23K is the long-term support level here.

*Had the wrong MA on that chart, it should have been the 200 which is currently at $23.7K (not 260 ie 5 year which is at $22.5K).

Ah right.  Maybe I should start looking at the volume too next time as mostly I've just been looking at the price action when looking for support, resistance and when they flip.

Is the blue and yellow area graph on the right all the liquidity in the order book?  Makes sense if it is.  But the thing is traders can pull their orders out anytime.  So I'd not put too much stock in it.

Anyway, yesterday's daily candle closed above 25k - 25.3k and it's holding today.
1134  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: June 16, 2023, 12:15:56 PM
Hey guys, weigh ins gonna start in three hours.  Sometimes it's good to see how some of these guys look before making your bets.  Like at UFC 289, I think it was TopTort777 who noticed that Dariush didn't really look that good on the scale.  The sharps were all over Dariush causing Oliveira's line to go a little bit deeper in underdog territory.  Smiley  And you guys saw what Oliveira did to him in the cage.  Dariush's durability was shot.  I mean was it a bad weight cut?  Dunno...  But with Dariush's case, there has to be some correlation with looking bad on the scale and getting finished in one round.

UFC on ESPN 46:  Vettori vs. Cannonier Official Weigh In
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vRu9uFMrFYw
1135  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC Sentiment Poll for June on: June 15, 2023, 12:39:34 PM
And I guess sideways would look like this?



After the bounce, it looks like we're going back to how it was going prior to it.

Surprising to see most people vote sideways for a change. It's a good sign that people aren't too bullish right now at least, even if maybe they should be a bit more bearish given the current correction.

As for the sideways theory, I'm not too convinced. Once price eventually reaches $25K level, that's looking increasingly likely, it will either act as support or fail imo, rather than any prolonged attempt to hold it as support. I say this as there is a lot of fear in the market right now with what the SEC is up to, even if it doesn't directly effect Bitcoin what so ever, people are still selling regardless it seems.

Personally I still find it more likely for price to re-test around $23K, potentially with a more capitulation style candle/event given the current market sentiment, followed by a swiftly returning back above $25K. Not so dissimilar to $20K correction that quickly returned to $25K. Despite the background noise, I don't see much different so far with the current correction than that of March. The only difference is we haven't seen the quick move to the downside yet, but instead a slow grind downwards with low volume or support, but I think we are getting closer to an increase in volatility in order for lower prices to arrive.

There's a couple of guys who voted for it to go up.  It's going to be funny if they're the two guys who got it right.

Well it certainly wouldn't be out the question. Price is only down -5% this month, so ending the month >$27.2K would indeed be an up month, even if potentially not by a lot.

Anyway, I think the couple of sell downs that went to 25.3k could qualify for '25k' as it's more about the range than the actual number with these things.  So some room for error is fine imo.  But yeah...  Things are starting to move up to 26k again with some resistance.  Looks like it's not gonna be smooth sailing and your 23k call could happen.  :/

I agree that $25.3k could well qualify as testing $25K, as the previous highs were only around $50 less than that. However the issue I currently see is the close below the 200 WMA which will signal caution for many investors, even speculators, at least until it is reclaimed. At present, the $26.3K to $26.5K is now acting as resistance, where the 20 as well as 200 WMA are based, even if the week is still young.



I'd have much preferred a re-test of $25K prior to closing strong back above the 200 WMA, which would have signalled strength in the market. But instead last weeks close only signalled weakness. Hence without the combination of $25K previous resistance turning into new support, along with confirming the 200 WMA as support, I see the next realistic downside target as around $23K, close to the 50 Week MA.

Let's see what happens when US session starts in around 30 mins from now.

I'm not sure this is that relevant at present, as it's only relevant when traditional markets and Bitcoin are correlated, whereas in the past 5 weeks Bitcoin has corrected and S&P has broken to the upside, so there is now a short-term inverse correlation. While this could be a lagging indicator for a Bitcoin break-out in the near future, this still remains to be seen as price continues generally to the downside.

And as we were talking about 25.3k being qualified to be '25k', the real 25k was tested and was broken.  :/  If the daily candle doesn't close above 25k - 25.3k and it establishes itself as resistance, it looks like BTC could go back down to 19.5k - 20k range.  

And I'm not really sure why you're saying support is at 23k because this is what I'm looking at...  25k or so was tested twice during August and Feb, before finally breaking out at March.  Now it seems like it has flipped back to being resistance.

1136  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: MMA Info and Predictions - Bellator, KSW, PFL, ONE... on: June 15, 2023, 12:24:43 PM
As long as the free bet isn't expired and you made a bet out of it, the bet is live no matter when the expiry date for the free bet is.  So yeah...  I was looking around shopping for lines for my free bet and saw Volkanovski vs Rodriguez which going to be a week after this weekend's event.  Rodriguez at 4.00 seems like a good deal so I took it.  I'd imagine it to be around 3.10 - 3.20, maybe less even, on fight day.
Oh ok, I always thought I had to place a freebet before, so I probably missed on some nice bets.
For Rodrigez I dont think he can win against Volkanovski, Volk is a machine and he is going to give his best performance now after losing from Islam Makhachev few months ago.
Odds on Miles Johns against Raoni Barcelos looks great to me for this weekend in UFC.

As for Romero, yeah..  Would've wasted it on him.  But I do think he could make it really close.
Maybe in first round, he is toasted after that, if he survives that long Grin

Wdym?  Place the bets on events before the date that the free bet expires?  :/  Nah man, just make the bet on any event on any date before the free bet expires.  And even if it expires, I think Steve from Sportsbet could give you another one if a free bet expired and you hadn't used it for some reason.  Not sure.

As for Rodriguez, for sure Volk wins it.  But at 4.00, I think Rodriguez could win one if they fought 4 times.  Just playing with numbers in my head.  And it's just a free bet.  Grin
1137  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: June 15, 2023, 12:16:26 PM
^  Vettori has more volume, he's a better wrestler and prolly more durable than Cannonier even though Cannonier looks like a scary gorrila.  But there's something about Cannonier that makes fighters become less aggressive and less likely to follow the same game plan that they originally have.  It turns them into counter strikers just like him.  Lol.  Maybe it's the..  Oh I don't know...  His KO power?  Cheesy

But yeah, I have Cannonnier but not that confident to put a bet on it.
1138  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Looking for the Next Great 1000x on: June 14, 2023, 12:49:43 PM



 Started a watch list again for PEPE, BOB, WOJAK, TURBO, LADYS and BOBO.


Check out the list, looks like memecoins are back in vogue.  Except for PEPE and BOB, the rest are up today by at least 10%.  But overall they're all in the green.  Not bad with all the shenanigans going on in the market rn and with the SEC going after exchanges and branding alts as unlicensed securities.  :/  But guess what, memecoins are not securities so fk that guy Gensler.  Lmao.  He basically needs to shut Ethereum down to stop all the trading going on in DeFi right now.  Something that can't just be done that easy.

They're too late.
1139  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: MMA Info and Predictions - Bellator, KSW, PFL, ONE... on: June 14, 2023, 12:38:18 PM



I should've bet my Sportsbet free bet on Romero instead of Rodriguez.  Grin
Can you place a free bet if it expires before the date when this fight is starting?
This whole Bellator fight card in available early on Sportsbet but I think your bet on Romero would be wasted.
He has minimal fighting chance to win against Nemkov who is in top form and one of the best Light Heavyweight fighters in the world.
Nemkov has a reach advantage and he is 16 years younger, so only chance for Romero is some surprise KO punch.
https://sportsbet.io/sports/mma/bellator/bellator-297/matches

As long as the free bet isn't expired and you made a bet out of it, the bet is live no matter when the expiry date for the free bet is.  So yeah...  I was looking around shopping for lines for my free bet and saw Volkanovski vs Rodriguez which going to be a week after this weekend's event.  Rodriguez at 4.00 seems like a good deal so I took it.  I'd imagine it to be around 3.10 - 3.20, maybe less even, on fight day.

As for Romero, yeah..  Would've wasted it on him.  But I do think he could make it really close.
1140  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏁🏎️ Sportsbet.io🏁 FORMULA 1 2023 Season🏁🏎️Prediction Pool Discussion Thread on: June 14, 2023, 12:26:17 PM
^  I like rain on some tracks, no rain for most others.  Like Spa Belgium, Suzuka Japan and Silverstone, I don't like it to rain in specifically those tracks because those are the races I look most forward to every year.  As for others, I could care less.  If it's possible, I wish it would rain in the desert.  Lol.  Bahrain, Saudi Arabia and the newer tracks are mostly boring.  Rain would be welcome there.

But I think Singapore's night race would be very interesting if it rained.  It would make the ambiance more exciting.

Here's the Canadian GP schedule for anybody interested.

2023 Canadian GP Schedule
Friday, 16 June:  Practice 1  13:30 - 14:30
Friday, 16 June:  Practice 2  17:00 - 18:00
Saturday, 17 June:  Practice 3  12:30 - 13:30
Saturday, 17 June:  Qualifying  16:00 - 17:00
Sunday, 18 June:  Race  14:00
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