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Question: Price prediction for the May 21 weekly close:
<$20,000 - 4 (5.7%)
$20,000 - $22,000 - 0 (0%)
$22,000 - $24,000 - 2 (2.9%)
$24,000 - $26,000 - 3 (4.3%)
$26,000 - $28,000 - 7 (10%)
$28,000 - $30,000 - 11 (15.7%)
$30,000 - $32,000 - 15 (21.4%)
$32,000 - $34,000 - 7 (10%)
$34,000 - $36,000 - 6 (8.6%)
$36,000 - $38,000 - 1 (1.4%)
$38,000 - $40,000 - 2 (2.9%)
>$40,000 - 12 (17.1%)
Total Voters: 70

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 25618200 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (160 posts by 2 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Last of the V8s
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January 23, 2018, 09:40:27 PM

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/articles/study-suggests-25-percent-bitcoin-users-are-associated-illegal-activity1/
criminals use money, and they move it about more than hodlers
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Toxic2040
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January 23, 2018, 09:48:09 PM

For those of you who's Latin is rusty..

Isaac Newton
Quote
"If I have seen further than others, it is by standing on the shoulders of Giants."


Bitcoin GitHub History Visualized
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K2OBbK-7qPc
Ibian
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January 23, 2018, 09:52:44 PM

I find myself in need of a pretty rock. Mostly just because. But diamonds are too... cliche, mainstream, dirty? Something less common, but still very pretty to look at. Any suggestions?
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January 23, 2018, 10:02:44 PM

I find myself in need of a pretty rock. Mostly just because. But diamonds are too... cliche, mainstream, dirty? Something less common, but still very pretty to look at. Any suggestions?




Glass Butte Fire Obsidian...one of my fav "rocks".

I am thinking you are talking about jewelry like a ring...rather than a specimen.  If thats the case...Sapphire?
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January 23, 2018, 10:07:06 PM

My google-fu uncovered tanzanite. Apparently only discovered 50 years ago, pretty blue color. Never heard of it before, maybe something like that would do.
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January 23, 2018, 10:12:41 PM

@Ibian, try Blue Diamond ? Altho that may seem a bit cliche too. I'd probably just get some other metal like palladium or platinum, or one of those gold plated tops I've seen advertised.
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January 23, 2018, 10:17:58 PM

I find myself in need of a pretty rock. Mostly just because. But diamonds are too... cliche, mainstream, dirty? Something less common, but still very pretty to look at. Any suggestions?

You'll find prettier rocks rooting around on the average beach for nothing.
JayJuanGee
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January 23, 2018, 10:20:29 PM

This fits the format of late 2013 / 2014 better than early 2013. early 2013 was this immediate 80% flashcrash that rebounded on huge volume. late 2013 / 2014 was a slow jagged grind down on lower volumes, which is what is happening here. Im not saying it's going to happen but in no way can you compare this chart to the early 2013 chart.

https://i.imgur.com/A5VQPrM.png
early 2013 which looks nothing like the current chart

It seems the 2013 example is a bit different: the price ran up 10x in about 2 months; the aftermath was brutal and prolonged.
In the matter at hand, the run up was much more gradual; I do not have the time to fully reflect on the comparison of the 2013 aftermath and my expectations for the current 'aftermath', but it almost seems as if the 'aftermath' already took place. Perhaps a short trip to $7,500 to satisfy the perma bears but the damage visible on the 3d chart is minimal compared to the 2013 example.

I remain with my original thoughts: in order to have a post-bubble period one should first have a bubble. Wake me up at $50k  Grin

Actually, after this current considerable correction to 43% and then to 53% and bouncing around in the 35% to 45% territory, and the earlier three corrections of 30% and 40% and 27%, it seems that $50k would no longer be bubble territory, unless we were to go there in a rapid fashion, such as in one or two months... Wake me up at $120k, you fucks.   Tongue   Tongue
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January 23, 2018, 10:24:51 PM

I find myself in need of a pretty rock. Mostly just because. But diamonds are too... cliche, mainstream, dirty? Something less common, but still very pretty to look at. Any suggestions?



 It's only about US$100Mill ... or ~BTC100 at 2023 prices.
edit: all of the stones are diamonds; fancy, coloured diamonds
Last of the V8s
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January 23, 2018, 10:32:12 PM

Je suis ni vise pouvez vous m’expliquer sans mot compliqué comment comprendre un tableau  graphique merci
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?board=208.0 Bitcoin Forum > Local > Français > Débutants
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January 23, 2018, 10:34:31 PM

-snip-
Je suis ni vise pouvez vous m’expliquer sans mot compliqué comment comprendre un tableau  graphique merci

une grande demande pour votre deuxième poste ... peut-être essayer ici?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?board=187.0



*edit

smoked by the v8..  Cheesy

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January 23, 2018, 10:46:10 PM

What the fuck is going on...

BTCBTC skyrocketing Wink weee

>>pic<<
Just bought another small fraction. Now I have whopping 0.25 BTC. I cant remember the last time  i had that much Grin I love these corrections
next buy order at 10k
If we get to 6k, i might have whole 1 BTC by then  Smiley


Yeah.. I hope the rest of us and the many HODLers get fucked, merely so you can accumulate a whole BTC.    Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

I do find it a bit strange that you, as a member here since mid 2011, do not HODL more BTC, and also that you would be planning to increase your BTC holdings by 3x, in the event of another approximately 40% BTC price drop.  It is likely you are in a BTC accumulation stage rather than in a BTC maintenance stage, in spite of your years of membership on this forum.

Just for illustrative purposes, I will disclose that I have several times more BTC than you, and I am not trying to brag, but just stating a fact based on your representations.

And let me assert that surely, I am much more wealthy overall if BTC prices are up rather than down, but sounds like you and I have a similar BTC buy on the way down strategy, yet it seems that I play with much less extremes than you (likely because I am in a kind of maintenance stage and you are either in an accumulation stage or a BTC gambling stage).   

Even though both of us are buying BTC as prices go down, my accumulation of BTC in terms of the percentage of my whole BTC holdings remains way smaller than yours, and if BTC prices were to go down another 40% from here, to approximately $6k, my current preset BTC buying plan would only trigger that I buy about 4% more BTC into my overall BTC holdings.   

Seems like my street cred as largely a BTC HOLDer is bolstered by such a fact that I am not playing around with a very large percentage of my BTC holdings, even though I could possibly profit a bit more from a bit more aggressive BTC selling strategy that would thereafter result in me buying more BTC on the way down, but it seems that I am too chicken shit and conservative to take such a more aggressive approach, because I feel that overall I would probably end up getting screwed out of more BTC, if I were to take such a more aggressive approach that results in playing around with a larger percentage of my overall BTC holdings.   
im not worried about long time holders, I believe they would  survive another brief 40% drop like they had to many times before.  Smiley
There is a plane B as well (actualy thats A), to accumulate through alts, which seems to be much easier than waiting for very deep dips.

Yeah, I find it strange too, but have already wrote somewhere, that i was hit but nearly every exchange scam since 2011  Grin Back then I was just a poor boy with old computer. I left back to forex several times after i got tired of getting scammed-but always returned after while... and finally quit with FOREX rigged game for good last summer.
[I can still remember my first encounter with scammer - on IRC otc market: https://bitcoin-otc.com/viewratingdetail.php?nick=FractalUniverse&sign=NEG&type=SENT]

The grid trading system is very good for bitcoin, you are playing it very safe. Im much more aggressive in trading, but true- its connected to amount of funds involved. There is large amount of variations to grids. its not necessary to accumulate or release slowly. Increments and position size may be variable as well as fixed; and if it goes in one direction for too long, defensive strategy can be used (slowly rebuying high or decreasing positions when it gets out of comfortable zone, hedging, playing with support/resistance  etc. .. use your imagination, its not crucial to get in close to bottoms or sell close to top). But of course, when/if it gets to the point when i have optimal funds for trading, BTC profits will go into offline wallet.

Many holders here have lots of bitcoins because -years ago- you/they did what I didnt. And interestingly, im not envious at all. There is no problem to get back on track in this phase. Its not too late yet.
JayJuanGee
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January 23, 2018, 10:48:20 PM

Yes, a very self-teachable moment. Once we start mooning again I need a strategy that goes beyond kicky memes. I'm an adult now!


I get the sense that you really do not want to learn from your mistakes.

The reality of the matter is that we do not need to "moon" before you can consider and even begin to implement a strategy that is going to cause less emotional behaviors from yourself.

Surely, none of us go from 100 to 0 on the emotional scale without some practice, and likely none of us go completely to zero on such a scale.

You admitted that you already sold 5%, so you can structure a plan that would allow you to buy part or all of that 5% at certain price points that are comfortable for you (which would be on the way down), and you can also set up your future sell points that are comfortable for you (which would be on the way up).  Surely, you are not a lost cause unless you keep repeating the same exact behavior that is causing nervousness and causing you to do the opposite of what you should be doing and failing/refusing to learn from it.  Can we hope that you take some immediate action?  What is the likelihood that immediate action will be taken?  50/50?
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January 23, 2018, 10:49:55 PM

I find myself in need of a pretty rock. Mostly just because. But diamonds are too... cliche, mainstream, dirty? Something less common, but still very pretty to look at. Any suggestions?

You'll find prettier rocks rooting around on the average beach for nothing.



JayJuanGee
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January 23, 2018, 10:52:03 PM

So what do you think, guys ? Sell my next block @ $11.5k or hold out for $12.5k (likely within 24 hours...)



You're awful needy for a top.

And we get it with the mill or two already. Meh.


hahahahaha

Hilarious....


I am not going to chime in with substance on this particular point (unless begged) because I already gave my suggestion on this point, about 2 weeks ago. 
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January 23, 2018, 10:55:59 PM


I have no doubt, but I'm on a schedule. I've made peace parting with 20-30% of my Bitcorn reserves to fund my retirement, within the next 30 days.

Now I'm just dealing with the stress of timing my sell-walls Sad

Is people like you that are holding the train.. you waited how many years to sell BTC and now you cant wait to be a fiatllionare?  WTF?
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yes


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January 23, 2018, 11:00:03 PM

Just sell when you feel the time is right. Selling into stronger hands never hurts and nobody went bankrupt taking a little fiat profit  Roll Eyes
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January 23, 2018, 11:00:09 PM

I have an idea we're going to see 14k again soon (perhaps Jan 27th/28th).  I bet you can get 13.5k with a tad more patience.

I have no doubt, but I'm on a schedule. I've made peace parting with 20-30% of my Bitcorn reserves to fund my retirement, within the next 30 days.

Now I'm just dealing with the stress of timing my sell-walls Sad
Have you noticed some reaction of the market, after you place an order?
I was always wondering how the bots react, when real sell wall appears on order book.
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January 23, 2018, 11:02:50 PM

I'm not sure what's going on with the mempool/fees right now, but I don't like it.

Something is going on... Bullish signal ?

https://dedi.jochen-hoenicke.de/queue/#2h


think johoe's nodes musta went down momentarily
https://mempool.observer/


in other 'news'
lightning struck Stripe
https://stripe.com/blog/ending-bitcoin-support
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January 23, 2018, 11:03:11 PM
Merited by Mrpumperitis (2)

Seems like fees have collapsed.

This makes me believe that the big spammers are now getting hurt by low BTC prices and want to contribute to the price recovery!
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