Error-bars and Training-&-Validation on the Bitcoin Generalized Stock-to-Flow (S2F-G) Model - which predicts $170K for the next (2024-28) cycle:
And when the model is invalidated again, you will compute new exponents and rename it to the Revised Generalized Stock-to-Flow (S2F-GR) Model. Yeah, and we should already learn from the first modelling that we have, predicting the price is very difficult and as much as we factor everything we can think of to come up with another model, improved version of the first one, it is till going to be a hit or miss. And I think we don't have complicate things, perhaps conservative prediction will be last all time high of $69,000 by 2.x. |
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Tatum with the highest scoring game 7 performance was something to witness. I think they’ll be able to take Miami and win the East.
Right, Tatum just peaked right about that the last 2 games against the Sixers. He has struggled in game 6 in the road, but he keeps on shooting until he got one and that's what he needed. After that he also take over game 6 and win the game for them. But on the other hand, game 7 was different at their homecourt, he didn't have a bad shooting night that he needs to overcome. Every time he had the ball you know that he is going to shot it, whoever is in front of him, including Joel Embiid. I also saw the Suns got rid of their coach. I think it was him or Ayton at this point…
That's how it is though, Suns getting the best record a few seasons ago, Mike Budenholzer fired after giving the Bucks their championship. Looking forward to some more playoff basketball tomorrow after a night off tonight. Hopefully the Lakers can beat Denver and repeat what happened in the bubble.
Nuggets though is the clear favorite going on game 1. Let's see how the Lakers will do, if they can steal one just like what they did on their series against the Warriors, taking game 1, it will be a big psychological victory for them. |
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Current number of post (Including this one): 9997
Rank: Legendary
bech32 address: bc1qn3xgkn92k8nfq5mde3wgw7qmgmxsmsgjtqpgeu
Merit earned in the last 120 days: 60+
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Bitcointalk Username: Baofeng
Forum Rank: Legendary
BTC segwit address: bc1qn3xgkn92k8nfq5mde3wgw7qmgmxsmsgjtqpgeu
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At itong araw na to medyo bumaba pa ulit:  Siyempre good news na to sa tin, hindi katulad ng mga nakaraang araw at sa tingin ko pababa pa to hanggang weekends so antay antay pa tayo at wag muna mag transact kung hindi talaga rush o kailangang kailangan. For the record, ang default na magtatagal sa mempool ang transaction natin is 14 days. |
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I feel like the bet to make tonight is the Boston Celtics beating the Philadelphia 76ers to go along with the Denver Nuggets beating the Phoenix Suns. The short version, betting on the home teams. Longer version, Philadelphia has been playing too erratic and I don’t think they’ll be able to consistently win again, especially in Boston. As for the Suns, they seem to have pissed Denver off last game and I expect Denver to respond. I do hope the Suns win though.
Both home teams are the favorite in this game, so I wouldn't surprised if they will pull a big win here. Celtics will have the advantage though, I mean their bench is deep and if we see in this series, the way Sixers won, it's very close. So playing at home, I think we will see Celtics winning by double digit lead here. For the Suns, gonna love the atmosphere though, Booker + Durant seems to be unstoppable in the last 2 games. I think the Suns too are pissed off with the way Jokic push Mat Ishbia the owner of Phoenix Suns. So it's seem this is going to be personal for the Suns so expect a dog fight here. So I will risk +6.5 with the Suns. |
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@Asuspawer09 May tutorial dito: TUTORIAL: How to use Electrum (for advanced users). Kailangan mong taasan ang fee, yun nga kasi nga grabe ang taas at parang walang katapusan tong pag spam sa mempool ngayon. Nasa 500 sat/vByte na ngayon kung gusto mo agad na confirmed ang transaction mo. Kung gagamit ka ng 200 sat/vByte nasa huli parin yan at mababa ang priority, so parang ganun parin ang lalabas. Ang sakit nito kapag urgently need ng funds at ang Bitcoin to withdraw ay eksakto lang sa pangangailangan, malaki ang magiging kakulangan dahil sa transaction fee. Nakakainis rin talaga itong mga attacker, pangsariling kapakanan lang ang iniisip kahit na gumastos sila ng malaking halaga basta maimplement nila ang kanilang mga propaganda sa paninira ng Bitcoin economy. Kaya kung wala naman importanteng pagkakagamitan ay ipagpaliban muna ang mga transaction sa Bitcoin network. Sa kabilang banda may magandang epekto rin naman ang mga ganitong attack para lalong maimprove at maging maganda ang Bitcoin technology sana nga lang ay mabigyan na ito ng lunas ng mga Bitcoin developer at bumalik na rin sa normal ang transaction fee. Oo, yun talaga ang masamang dulot sa nung kataasan ng fee sa ngayon, aminin na natin, karamihan as umaasa sa signature campaign payment dito para may extra tayo linggo linggo, pero kung mababawasan pa to dahil sa nagyayaring spam attack eh talagang wala tayong magagawa kung mag withdraw at isakripisyo ang 200-300 PHP na mawawala sa atin. @Asuspawer09 May tutorial dito: TUTORIAL: How to use Electrum (for advanced users). Kailangan mong taasan ang fee, yun nga kasi nga grabe ang taas at parang walang katapusan tong pag spam sa mempool ngayon. Nasa 500 sat/vByte na ngayon kung gusto mo agad na confirmed ang transaction mo. Kung gagamit ka ng 200 sat/vByte nasa huli parin yan at mababa ang priority, so parang ganun parin ang lalabas. Mismong si Hhampuz nagparamdam na ng malaking apekto nitong sobrang taas ng Fee in which never nya naging issue from the beginning na nag handle sya ng campaign , though previously sinusubukan na nya gumamit ng bench addresses para lang mabawasan ang TX yet itong linggo na to or pati ang mga susunod pa ay magiging pabigat talaga. The mempool is extremely congested right now and I've spent close to $200 on this tx but there's still an unknown of when it'll be confirmed. I'll try and see if we can sort something out next week if the issues persist.
Malamang magtatagal pa to at pinaka maganda nating gawin is wag na muna maglabas kung hindi din naman sobrang importante , dahil pag nagkataon eh pagssisihan pa natin once na magkaron na ng Bull market sa mga susunod na buwan dahil sa laki ng natapyas sa transaction fees natin now. Baka ang ibig sabihin niya rito ay 200 sat/vByte and binayaran nya, mataas talaga yun pero mabuti naman at na confirmed naman so pasok na to sa mga wallet ng campaign participants. Although humuhupa na sa ngayon, nasa ~144 sat/vByte and hishest priority at nasa ~100 sat/vByte ang lowest. So magandang sign to, kasi kagabi natin kung sinilip ko umangat na naman na halos 300 sat/VByte. At kung titingnan mo ngayon ang mga Brc-20 tokens, halos lahat bagsak na, baka mga ilang araw o linggo na lang tapos na ang hype dito at tuluyan nang lumuwag ang network. |
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Obviously the possibility of Bitcoin holding the last support level we have at $26k is in decrease, which is a point of control for buyers, as sellers has continued on mounting of so much pressure towards the down side, just as the price is sitting right now on $27k.
It's healthy for the market to see price break out of a resistance and comes back to confirm it as a support, since we broke out of $25k, we haven't gotten a clear pullback into that zone and which I do think that the market is building up for.
I know we are all sad that it has gone under 28k and the fact that it is not doing that well this past week or so makes us all upset. But we are still at the start of the month, we are barely out of the first week, there is a good chance that we could end up with a good increase this month for sure. I am not saying that it will go on for a long time and keep decreasing, I feel like it could go back up, and see above 30k finally again. It has seen that last month and ever since that we have failed so far, and I feel like we could see that again this time around. The best thing about it is the fact that we are going to end up with a lot of new people who will be in profit, all those people who bought now under 30k will be able to profit when the price goes back above 30k yet again. I don't think we should be sad, we just have to stomach this another downtrend. Yeah, we are talking about $30k or even higher for this month. But I will say that at the back of my mind, I seeing a downtrend and retesting as well as $25k, but I hope I will be wrong. Lots of pattern has been forming base on the chart (head and shoulder), so it means there are a lot of movement that can really happen for this might. But in a hindsight, if it forms a bearish trend, then just take advantage of the situation and continue to accumulate. |
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I have nothing against it, another way to promote or bring awareness to BTC. However, I'm wary about the $5 wrench attacks appear to be on the rise in the crypto community. Criminals are everywhere, and maybe it they see you wearing a Bitcoin tshirt, they might think that you are a enthusiast and obviously have some in your mobile phone and they might follow you at home and attempt to rob you, just saying. |
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Napa log in tuloy ako sa Coins ko at baka bumalik na din yung limit ko. Sa kasamaang palad mukhang nareset ata at nakalimutan ko na pw ko. O baka inubos na nila yung natira kung balance at closed na account ko. Diba 10% per month ba yung ibabawas pag inactive account?
Heto yun, according to Users Agreement nila: 2.11. Inactive Accounts. Coins.ph may charge inactive maintenance fees of Php15.00/month to Coins.ph Wallets that have not been used for any monetary transaction at least twelve (12) months from date of the last transaction. https://coins.ph/user-agreement@bhadz - oo nga hindi papahuli kaya lang tapos na ang bigayan sa $Pepe, ang dami daw kumita ng malaki dun, hehehe. |
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Artificial intelligence is on a fast track. Task that were once considered to be time consuming and energy sapping are now completed within minutes using AI. some traders sit for hours in front of their gadgets analyzing charts and studying trends yet they end up making bad trade calls, but now there are AI bots that analyses the market and places trades automatically even while you sleep.
Isn't it we have trading bots already? So friends, what do you think the future have in store for BTC trading and mining?
There are a lot for AI to be really train specially in trading, there are signals that might be interpret in the wrong way. And there are events that can't be anticipate that will affect the price to the upside and downside. I agree that AI is on fast track and every sector are being affected positively (or negatively). They could automate the trading process as what trading bots is right now, but there are some parameters that human intervention is still needed. |
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lol. Bitcoin has been going up because the bear market ended a month ago. That is the only reason it needs to go up.
You don't need to freak yourself out just because it is range trading. This is normal buddy. Whenever the price boosted or come back low then we cannot come to the conclusion that its a Bull or bear run because now the bitcoin is again reduces so it don't not describe about the declining of bitcoin but its just for some moment some days or even some weeks but soon it goes up. We don't know about the ending of bear market as the price can regularly altered in positive or negative direction. Movement of price is surely normal but avoiding of your emotional behavior during such situations are very essential part of trading to be a successful investor. Technically though we are still in the bear market, so the price will tend to go down. What we have been seeing since the start of the year is that the price goes on a recovery phase, after we have seen the lowest low of $15,500 due to FTX collapse. But after that, investors goes on the market again. As we can see January alone we have like 40%+ bounce. But it doesn't mean that we are out of the bear market yet. And in the last 24 hours, perhaps due to the network spam or congestion, a lot has been selling their Bitcoin or maybe converting it to stable coins because it's very expensive to do Bitcoin transaction now. But in any case, it doesn't mean that we will go down hard again. We still have a good support at $27k and if it fall down then $25k is the next big support. |
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@Asuspawer09 May tutorial dito: TUTORIAL: How to use Electrum (for advanced users). Kailangan mong taasan ang fee, yun nga kasi nga grabe ang taas at parang walang katapusan tong pag spam sa mempool ngayon. Nasa 500 sat/vByte na ngayon kung gusto mo agad na confirmed ang transaction mo. Kung gagamit ka ng 200 sat/vByte nasa huli parin yan at mababa ang priority, so parang ganun parin ang lalabas. |
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I have a feeling that he will be extradited very soon.
And I read that he can spend another 6 months or more in a prison in Montenegro. Even the extradition of criminals from Europe to the United States can take a year or more. And then the Montenegrin authorities will act according to the circumstances and try to keep such a rich scammer on their territory for as long as possible. My theory still has a right to exist until Do Kwon is extradited. Not sure if that is the best move for the Montenegrin authorities. I mean what will they get from keeping Do Kwon in their prison? So it's better for them to really extradite him, it's just the question on who is going to get him first, US or South Korea? Both countries has made a official request already. So let's see, because it seems that they are keen on prosecuting Do Kwon first, forged documents and after he served his sentenced, he might be extradited. S.Korea, US seeking extradition of crypto entrepreneur Do Kwon -Montenegro. While Do Kwon is in prison in Montenegro, many important events can happen in the world. The US wants to take money from Do Kwon. If he does not give them back, he will be in prison for life. This is the rule of a strong country, which can dictate terms to other countries. Not sure what important events though that might affect Montenegro to extradite or not to extradite Do Kwon to the US. Of course, what's US after is the money that Do Kwon still have in his pocket, it's not that they are going to get it and confiscate for themselves, they will have to liquidate it as per the charges they have on him. Then once his assets has been liquidate then it could the claimants or the victims can get at least part of the money they've lost, I'm talking about US citizens here and not the totality of the victims, (there could be South Koreans and other nationalities for that matter). Extradition from Montenegro can last more than a year, then another trial in the United States can also last a long time. The injured party then needs to prove the damage in order to receive compensation. Then the commission and the procedure for compensation for damage will be formed. Ordinary people will not receive anything or the services of lawyers will cost them more. Yes and that's why US is really at the tail of Do Kwon because they want to pay compensation right away. And this is not the first time that US will exercise their extradition with Montenegro, there was a couple who fled to that country when they pull a scam for a $20 million fraud. https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/fugitive-couple-extradited-united-states-montenegro-begin-prison-sentences-20-million-fraudSo for me, sooner or later Montenegro will extradite Do-Kwon in the States and then face the charges and liquid his assets to pay for all of his victims. Of course lawyers are going to be paid, that's part of their job. But Do-Kwon has a lot of assets and there could be more unravel in court proceedings. |
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The problem is, schools are not teaching students how to make money, how to be entrepreneur. I'm not saying that school is bad or we shouldn't educate ourselves. However, what we learn after school is that to get a job, work for a certain company, target a salary and then work many hours which for me is not right. So if us, parents can just guide our children after graduation on how to make money, how to become entrepreneur themselves, then maybe they won't have to find and go to the cycle over and over again, just saying. I know it's going to be hard for us because kids now are different and they have their own decisions which they think is right for them. But at least we should tell them right away the secrets of life or how to grow money in the future.
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The Los Angeles Lakers led the series to 2-1. The score of the match is 127-97.
6 players reached double digits in Los Angeles and had a big impact on the victory. In the GSW, Steph had 23 points. The defeat was inevitable as Klay Thompson could not contribute enough score. The next match will again be at the Crypto.com Arena. If Los Angeles wins that game, the series will go 3-1.
Game 4 is a must-win for GSW. But can they really do it at Crypto.com Arena? I am still contemplating if I will bet on this desperate GSW game because they might not perform at the same level when they are at home. There are complaints about free-throw differentials in this playoffs. In the next game, GSW should not stop fighting even after a possible Lakers rally. They also need to play defense in order to limit Laker's offense, especially on AD. They will have to win at Crypto.com otherwise it will be over for them. So yeah, last chance for us to bet on the Warriors in game 4 and see how they are going to upset the Lakers at their home court. It's time for Kerr to make the adjustments, although there are noises in that background that can be destructive to them like the Poole and Kuminga issue of not getting enough playing time. But they still have Steph Curry, so we might as well take the risk and bet on the underdog Warrior in game 4. My lone bet for today is on Philly as the team wants to make it even at 2-2. Another must-win situation while the team is still playing at home. Not an easy task against NBA's top favorite team though.
Sixers won in overtime mate, wasn't able to watch the game though, but we all know that they will have to come out in this game and Joel Embiid delivers with 34 points 13 rebounds and Harden with another 47 points in this series. So this is becoming very interesting now as they are heading back to Boston Garden and Celtics trying to defend their home court advantage. |
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According to what's happening in the market today., Bitcoin's value has changed a lot in the past, still going up and down quickly. Recently, it reached a really high value in April 2021, but then went down a lot in May 2021. There are different reasons for this, such as concerns about the environment and government rules. Some people think that in the short term, the price could still go up and down a lot because of different things like the economy and what people think. It's hard to know for sure what will happen, so people who want to invest in Bitcoin should be careful and think about the risks and rewards before doing anything because the Bull market may be in trouble.BTC
I would agree that there are reasons that might affect the price, like the one you mentioned but there could be other factors too, like the basic supply and demand. I think this is going to be the most important parameter in the next bull run. It's the obvious, while the supply is dwindling due to the halving, the price is going to go up because demand is so high. And with that, we have seen this already, right after the halving, the price will suddenly shoot up, not even there is a environment concern, which is pure FUD to me, I suggest you read this paper: Can Bitcoin Stop Climate Change? Proof of Work, Energy Consumption and Carbon Footprint (SoK), not even government regulations, and not even Covid-19 pandemic in 2020 deterred the eventual bull run. It there is more risk in crypto market? it's not Bitcoin but the altcoin market, wherein there's a lot of pump and dump, scams and others that you can lose your money. |
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[quote author=Coin_trader link=topic=5447688.msg62199124#msg62199124 date=1683296567] [quote author=Baofeng link=topic=5447688.msg62185609#msg62185609 date=1683069972] So katulad ng concern ni @SFR10 na hindi sya comfortable ibigay ang mga impormasyon na to, pwede sigurong alternative is PhilPost: [img width=420]https://talkimg.com/images/2023/05/16/blob99e855e345316b07.png[/img] https://www.facebook.com/PHLPost/posts/process-of-sending-and-claiming-of-parcelscourtesy-bureau-of-customs-ph/2727421454045886/(Matagal tagal na akong hindi nakaka tapak sa PhilPost, last time siguro mga late 90's pa, hehehehe) [/quote] Makupad mag deliver itong Philpost bro at mahal kapag may tracking number. May ganitong feature din ang LBC na pwede mo na ipick-up ang item sa LBC branch na malapit sayo. Need yung reference number at ID para makuha mo yung parcel. Wala talagang way para maclaim yung giveaway dati na physical ang prize anonymously kahit sa global collectible board. Halos lahat ng whale collectors doon ay nagsesend ng identity nila. Tiwala lang talaga sa OP ng giveaway na iingatan nya identity since malalaman mo dn naman yung sa kanya kapag received mo ng parcel. Then gamit ng privnote para safe yung details in case na mahack yung account ng both side dahil automatic na binubura yung letter once nabuksan na ng isang beses. [/quote] Hindi pa kasi ako nakasali sa global collectible board. Siguro ang pinag hahawakan na lang natin talaga dun eh wag i divulge yung personal info na binigay natin sa kanila katulad ng sinabi mo. Although kung hindi alam ng nakakarami, meron din isang trusted na member sa Collectibles na recently nang scam, at ito ay si Yogg. My Cold Keys Just Got Swiped! All Cold Kuntz!! yogg sweeping again - Playtoshi edition At regarding sa Privnote: Privnote Phishing Scam Uses Same Typosquatting Domain for the Past Year. |
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