^ Not sure about 28k being meaningless if it's going to need to hold as solid support for the next break out above 30k. It's only meaning is confirming $25K as a double bottom as well as the current range, which previously was in doubt. Holding it as support doesn't increase the chances of breaking above $32K imo, only of re-testing it as part of the current strong range. I don't doubt there will eventually be a break of $32K, most likely from the current long-term range, but unlikely it will happen anytime soon. $30K seems somewhat irrelevant as a resistance level now, it's purely psychological as $32K has established itself as the top of the range (similar to May 2022). Either way it'll need a lot more volume than present to break-out up or down. Let's not forget that price was previously in a range of $15K to $25K for 9 months, so not it's worth getting surprised by remaining in the range for another two months, in fact it'd be quite fitting for market structure to repeat itself. Being bullish because price as found support from $25K and bearish when rejected from $30K/$32K, in the long-term view, is clearly becoming pointless. Finding the support from $25K again has invalidated the bearish outlook, but this doesn't make it bullish, simply back to neutral for the immediate term. Similar to rejection from $32K again, it wouldn't be bearish, simply still neutral within the range. Ultimately we've established a range for 7 months and remain neutral within it. Anyone being bullish/bearish in the immediate term during this period was wrong, there's no denying that. Eventually either the bulls or bears will be right when the range breaks - and no doubt they'll say they told you so. But by that time those bulls/bears will be wrong enough times that being right eventually won't be that surprising either. And it looks like BTC got up there really fast to test it. Lol.
We also went from $27K to $30K within two days back in June, but alas the resistance around $32K kept prices within the range. The exception to my analysis would be if an ETF get's approved, then sure there will likely be a moonshot to the upside out of the range. But personally I don't see this happening anytime soon either, likely early 2024, around the same time when the range will be broken based on current time-frame. Fundamentally I think we need to break the current market structure of going from the top of the range to the bottom and visa versa. For example re-testing $32K resistance then actually holding $28K as new support, this would be the first step towards being able to invalidate the range. Without that, price is most likely going to continue ping-pong between support and resistance until something changes... Mmmm dunno... As far as I'm concerned, the double bottom was confirmed when BTC made a higher low around Sept 25 and again around Oct 11. The run up to 28k for me and breaking clean above it was a confirmation to start getting in as momentum has been building up. But I'm not really gonna argue... Technical analysis is a fickle thing. One guy interprets it one way while the other guy interprets it another way but they both come to the same conclusion.
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P.S. Usman has lost 3 last fights. That is the first warning for being ready to get fired ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) There's no way UFC will hold his last loss against him given the 11 days notice and the fact he was fighting a top guy in a higher weight class (and did quite OK). And not only that. He saved the co main match up of a PPV event and somewhat made it better imho. Usman is also like Tony Ferguson, Nate Diaz, Michael Bisping, Daniel Cormier, etc, etc... Just one of them guys who the UFC likes keeping around because they're an asset to the company. Anyway what a boring weekend without a UFC event. There's no way UFC will hold his last loss against him given the 11 days notice and the fact he was fighting a top guy in a higher weight class (and did quite OK).
Usman agreed to fight Chimaev because of the huge payout. This is natural because Usman has won in negotiations. This defeat was also beneficial for Usman because it could be assumed that Usman lost this fight due to lack of preparation. Chimaev has been training for months at the training camp, while Usman has only started preparing for the Training Camp in just 11 days. And one more thing, Usman has received a very large fee from the UFC (I don't know how much) to fill this fight. And the UFC very may well should. I mean you're asked to fight a killer on 11 days notice? I'd say the same. Want me to fight a Russian killer? Pay me btch! ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif)
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For really short term speculation, it's gonna be the newly listed memecoins listed in Uniswap. That's if you know what you're doing, you don't get your money trapped in honey pots and dodge the rugs. I've seen some guys make make a good clip out of it. And come to think of it, there are the newer but more established memecoins out there that seem to have a good following and doesn't seem go away for the time being. Check out SPX, CAL, MOG, ticker $BITCOIN in Ethereum, AIDOGE and POGAI in Arbitrum, TOSHI and MOCHI in Base. NFA. Another thing I'm looking into for short term trading are sports fans tokens. ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif)
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Just made my picks for Pot 1 and Pot 2. ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) It's gonna be funny if I win Pot 2 this round and hopefully it gets me back in the running for the in the money spots. Anyway, I missed it and I'm lazy... But where could we see the table for Pot 2? Just curious who's leading, how much behind I am with having nil and if I still have a chance. Lol. Thanks... And not really sure what to bet but for a small bet, what do you guys think of this parlay? Napoli draw no bet and Atletico draw not bet at 2.09.
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Damn... I was about to make the next event's roster and just saw that it's not gonna be this weekend. :/ But this could be a good opportunity to introduce something new to you guys... And tbh, I haven't watched a full event of any of any of these. Lmaooo. I don't really like it much but I'll give it a chance just this once. ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) Introducing... Date: Wednesday, Oct 5 Main Card: 9:00pm EST Venue: UFC Apex Center, Las Vegas, Nevada Live Streams: https://rumble.com/v3qzhzr-power-slap-5-viernes-vs-vakameilalo-october-25-2023-at-9pm-et-6pm-pt.html Main CardDa Crazy Hawaiian vs Kalani “Toko” Vakameilalo Damien “The Bell” Dibbell vs Nate “The Buffalo Soldier” Burnard Ron “Wolverine” Bata vs Austin “Turp Daddy Slim” Turpin John “The Machine” Davis vs Azael “El Perro” Rodriguez Vern “The Mechanic” Cathey vs Bear Bennett Wesley “All the Smoke” Drain vs Travis “Tenacious” Aragon Waylon “Ice Cold” Frost vs Andrew Provost Ryan “The King of Kings” Phillips vs Darius “The Destroyer” Mata-Varona I checked a couple of books and I only saw a Slap betting market in Rollbit. No shill, just saying. https://rollbit.com/sports?bt-path=%2Fmma%2Fslapping%2Fpower-slap-5-2327105590456885278Enjoy. ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif)
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^ Same with WMMA. Lol. What is it with women and sports? There's always some shenanigans that's gonna happen and you could sometimes feel it coming too. Like for a time in WMMA, like 5 years ago, the huge underdog would pull off an arm bar from guard at a higher rate than usual and make them win the match. Anyway yeah... Avoid huge favorites in WMMA, esp in parlays.
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^ If it was a 5 rounder I think short notice Usman could've edged it out and could've won the match. The first round was really good for Chimaev tho. It was a 10 - 8 which sealed the deal for him... Now that Chim is at the top 5 in 185, it's going to be a lot harder for him. Hope the books keep giving him chalky lines. Here's the post fight conference and the results. Enjoy! UFC 294: Post Fight Press Conferencehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u-NMEApeXXsUFC 294: ResultsIslam Makhachev def Alexander Volkanovski TKO Khamzat Chimaev def Kamaru Usman Majority Decision Magomed Ankalaev vs Johnny Walker No Contest Ikram Aliskerov def Warlley Alves TKO Said Nurmagomedov def Muin Gafurov Submission Muhammad Mokaev def Tim Elliott Submission Trevor Peek def Mohammad Yahya Unanimous Decision Javid Basharat vs Victor Henry No Contest Sedriques Dumas def Abu Azaitar Unanimous Decision Mike Breeden def Anshul Jubli KO Muhammad Naimov def Nathaniel Wood Unanimous Decision Victoria Dudakova def Jinh Yu Frey Unanimous Decision Shara Magomedov def Bruno Silva Unanimous Decision
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Prediction 2: $30,555.55 bech32 address: bc1qk0dja5ssgdh4qdf99pje3450vcdqk0hmp25vmv
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^ Yup, sucks. Lol. And I just wanna win some free bets here and there to make long shot degen parlays with them. ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) Won't use my own money betting them and I don't really care about the 100 correct predictions prize. But I do want to win the 10k jackpot for getting 7 picks right... I know what memecoins I'm gonna ape into if I get lucky for a free 10k. Ticker BITCOIN and SPX6900. They could be the SHIB of the next bull market. PEPE should've been it but they fked up and wasted a perfectly good first mover advantage. Anyway... Kinda got distracted there talking about memecoins. :/
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^ Might be good to check all the odds for Verstappen this season and see the results if somebody bet 100 bucks on him at every race. Pretty sure the books also figured something out and juiced these lines so much that it becomes -EV and a slightly losing proposition if you bet on him in all races this season. I mean if you really could come in ahead with 10 bucks per 100 then the books would def be leaking money there... I don't think they would allow it.
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Ok guys... The event starts in 1.5 hours. Earlier than the usual schedule. Just dropping by to post thr weigh in results and the last couple of vids from Embedded. Good luck to all your bets and let's have some fun watching these matches boys... Leeeezzzz gooooo! UFC 294: Embedded Episode 5https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nQLqx3XEtuoUFC 294: Embedded Episode 6https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wfv0W7KJUioChamp Islam Makhachev (155) vs Alexander Volkanovski (154.5) Khamzat Chimaev (185.5) vs Kamaru Usman (184.5) Magomed Ankalaev (206) vs Johnny Walker (205) Ikram Aliskerov (186) vs Warlley Alves (185.5) Muin Gafurov (135.5) vs Said Nurmagomedov (136) Tim Elliott (126) vs Muhammad Mokaev (126) Trevor Peek (155.5) vs Mohammad Yahya (156) Javid Basharat (136) vs Victor Henry (136) Abu Azaitar (186) vs Sedriques Dumas (186) Mike Breeden (159.5)* vs Anshul Jubli (155.5) Muhammad Naimov (145.5) vs Nathaniel Wood (146) Victoria Dudakova (116.6)* vs Jinh Yu Frey (116) Shara Magomedov (186) vs Bruno Silva (186) *Missed weight
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^ If they're tired then prolly just choose the best goal scorers per club as they're more likely to score a goal at current conditions..? Another thing could be to choose the so so goal scorers as they prolly didn't play during the international break and will be coming into these matches fresh and rested. :/
I went with the former. Lol. So my picks are Salah, Haaland, Hwang, Saka, Fernandes, Watkins and Son.
So anyway, guys! The early kick off match starts now so it's ok to share your picks. Noticed nobody shows their picks as much as they used to.
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^ Not sure about 28k being meaningless if it's going to need to hold as solid support for the next break out above 30k. And it looks like BTC got up there really fast to test it. Lol. I guess we'll be needing some good news to get above it and the fake ones just won't cut it anymore. ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) We need the real ones now. All in all, fake news or real news it's looks pretty good imho. Just some resistance at 30k but it's not a surprise... Stay safe out there guys. ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.postimg.cc%2Fx1JxnMYr%2FA7-F6-A4-DC-119-E-4681-8-FDC-B04-A972-B2-ADD.jpg&t=663&c=2_eXPHQDOwdzug)
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~ Did Adesanya really say himself he won't be fighting for a long time? I can't find anything like that in any news feed. He's 34 and not getting any younger. Taking a long break would probably not do him much good. But it's his decision to make. Yes he said he is going to take a long break from fighting, he was active as a champion and he has two loses in 3 fights and that might have motivated him to take a break from fighting, Adesanya announced this through his twitter page That's prolly gonna be good for him.. He already made a lot of money anyway, so no need to rush back into the cage. He's one of the greatest 185'ers and he has nothing more to prove. And what it also does is open up the weight class for newer, younger, hungrier fighters to go at it. So it's good for 185 overall. Anyway, does anybody have some updates on Usman's knee? Seems like nobody is talking about it anymore. UFC 294: Embedded Episode 4https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eXz83shcZQkHere's the pre fight press conference. UFC 294: Pre Fight Press Conferencehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tzcd56QxLfACeremonial weigh ins is gonna be in 30 mins! Lezz gooo!!! UFC 294: Ceremonial Weigh Inhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Lg8DyAg9uc
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Huh wat? Everybody want to stop seeing Stroll on F1, i hope next year he is not more between the 20 drivers of the grid, he have so many chances to show us and the world how good he is, and he never sho anything good, the only one time when he show some quality was in that Turkish Gp.
I kinda feel for the guy. He's a poor little rich boy, prolly being pressured by his dad to excel in something. But even with all the support and all the money being poured on him to give him some sort of advantage, he still turned out to be a mediocre driver. Alonso out performed him this season and I think Vettel did the some in the season prior... :/ He prolly should just quit and just be a regular guy, getting drunk and go out with girls. It's getting pretty clear that he's not happy with F1 anymore. Then again, I'd like him to stay for the lulz... Esp after losing Latifi. ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif)
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^ And why didn't you come out with this piece of news earlier before I made my picks in the Multi Master, hmmm? ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) But seriously tho, that sucks. And as one guy said in the comments, if Usman's knee blew up in a light work out then he wouldn't have done well vs Chimaev in the cage. Man... Now watching Chim vs Usman would def suck now. It reminds me of the open work out Cain Velasquez did before his match vs Ngannou. We saw how that ended. I guess the bet is gonna be if Usman gets out of R1..? Edit: After watching the vid a couple more times, it doesn't really show Usman blowing up his knee. The Cain Velasquez one was clear as night and day. The Usman one, not so much... We'll see what's up in a couple of days.
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13. Islam Makhachev 12. Kamaru Usman 11. Johnny Walker 10. Ikram Aliskerov 9. Said Nurmagomedov 8. Tim Elliott 7. Trevor Peek 6. Javid Basharat 5. Sedriques Dumas 4. Mike Breeden 3. Nathaniel Wood 2. Viktoriya Dudakova 1. Shara Magomedov
NOT go the Full Distance: 6
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1. Yes 2. No 3. No 4. No 5. 15 seconds
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^ Nice... I think I won a free bet myself... But that might be in the Multi Master. Lol. I'm trying to win a free bet in Superbru tho... But it's hard. Didn't realize F1 pools are way harder than football pools. ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) ^ Lol. I man Verstappen could 'slow down' his ambition but he'll end up still winning because he has the best car and prolly he's the best driver this season. He's miles ahead of the driver he was 4 years ago. Still too aggro at some spots but more controlled and a tad below reckless. ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) But you know it's still there in his back pocket if given a good challenge. Most drivers would prolly fold against Verstappen's aggressive nature except Hamilton and possibly Alonso. I like this new format a lot better. There's more stuff to think about and it's not just about who gets to post 'Verstappen, Verstappen, Verstappen, 10 secs' in the thread the fastest. Yeah when you get on a roll like that then it's all about breaking records, so the only "danger" is he tries too hard and makes a mistake but with all the others around him making mistakes instead it's a bad bet to go against him. I like the new format too, gives late entries a fairer chance ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) Watch out for Brazil!! Betting wise I would never make a bet for him at the lines the books are giving him for. They have Verstappen at 1.23 to win the US GP. Lol. No thank you... And it's funny because I think betting on a 5 to 1 underdog for Tim Elliott in UFC 294 holds less risk than betting on Verstappen at 1.23 who's supposed to have the race in the bag. You just never know in F1. :/
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Track: Circuit of the Americas, Austin Texas, USA
And I think it's high time the books allow the same event parlays for F1.
This is a great track for a sprint race. Just ban Verstappen and it will be a great weekend to watch That or the other teams should pick up the slack and actually make their car faster. They pay millions on engineers ffs. Can't they just give the fans a competitive car? It's not Red Bull and Newey's fault that they're doing a good job in designing a fast car. And isn't making a great, fast car the whole point of F1? I mean yeah, Alpha Romeo, Haas and the smaller teams prolly should be given a break and we shouldn't expect too much. But Ferrari and Mercedes? No excuse. I agree,it is not the fault of a great driver who has refused better teams and stayed at Redbull even when Redbull was not at all dominating the Championship,I give credit to him for the loyalty given to Redbull which has been rewarded with 3 consecutive World Titles.I liked him when he said after winning his first title via radio "Let's do this for another ten years together" which again showed great belief in the team. I also agree with the fact that Ferrari and Mercedes has absolutely no excuses when it comes to their budget and I would also add one of the oldest and successful teams of F1 history which they hold the fastest ever world record pit stop,McLaren also has no excuses. Yup, def McLaren should be in that list of teams that should start picking up the slack. They're making the sport boring for the fans by not finding ways to get up to speed in car development as Red Bull. And the funny thing is, the fans of the other teams itt blame the FIA, blame Red Bull instead of blaming their own team for not doing a good job. And, yeah I like Red Bull and Verstappen, Vettel, Horner, Newey, Ricciardo, etc, etc... But if they suck, you see me laugh about it too. So to everybody, just lighten up and don't get too wound up about it.
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