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Author Topic: ASICMINER Speculation Thread  (Read 808627 times)
binaryFate
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August 26, 2013, 11:48:27 AM
 #2621

I'll make a speculation: the drop of hashrate these last days was due to moving hardware, maybe to a new location, maybe some internal re-organization.
This was required in order to scale the farm up. Now we start to see the result: additional hardware is on!

It shall be confirmed in the next 24~48h, but I think we may be significantly above 60TH/s this time, maybe 80 or even higher.

Monero's privacy and therefore fungibility are MUCH stronger than Bitcoin's. 
This makes Monero a better candidate to deserve the term "digital cash".
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August 26, 2013, 12:26:19 PM
 #2622

I'd like to see it at least 200TH, coz bitfury, yet another new comer is putting up 90TH as of right now.
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August 26, 2013, 12:28:26 PM
 #2623

I'd like to see it at least 200TH, coz bitfury, yet another new comer is putting up 90TH as of right now.

That would give AM above 30% of the hash rate, a bit too much right now. I'm a shareholder but I'm also concerned with bitcoin sufficient decentralization.


Monero's privacy and therefore fungibility are MUCH stronger than Bitcoin's. 
This makes Monero a better candidate to deserve the term "digital cash".
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August 26, 2013, 12:56:25 PM
 #2624

I'd like to see it at least 200TH, coz bitfury, yet another new comer is putting up 90TH as of right now.

That would give AM above 30% of the hash rate, a bit too much right now. I'm a shareholder but I'm also concerned with bitcoin sufficient decentralization.



25-27% is fine by me , but more is concerning.

 Imagine 2 companies mines mining each at 31% of Network. And one will fail to mine, due to unforeseen facts, DDoS, power , internal failures , tsunami, etc

This is a classic unintended 50+ attack of the network, bad for business , Bitcoin may fail.
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August 26, 2013, 01:00:55 PM
 #2625

I'd like to see it at least 200TH, coz bitfury, yet another new comer is putting up 90TH as of right now.

That would give AM above 30% of the hash rate, a bit too much right now. I'm a shareholder but I'm also concerned with bitcoin sufficient decentralization.



25-27% is fine by me , but more is concerning.

 Imagine 2 companies mines mining each at 31% of Network. And one will fail to mine, due to unforeseen facts, DDoS, power , internal failures , tsunami, etc

This is a classic unintended 50+ attack of the network, bad for business , Bitcoin may fail.

This is unrealistic and if you expect this you'll be disappointed. AM stated it will hold 10% on average.

Monero's privacy and therefore fungibility are MUCH stronger than Bitcoin's. 
This makes Monero a better candidate to deserve the term "digital cash".
Zubilica
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August 26, 2013, 01:37:36 PM
 #2626

well atm it looks like 15-17%.
velacreations (OP)
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August 26, 2013, 01:42:20 PM
 #2627

well atm it looks like 15-17%.

no, atm it is 6%

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August 26, 2013, 01:42:52 PM
 #2628

well atm it looks like 15-17%.

no, atm it is 6%

This is based on the last 36 hours average.

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August 26, 2013, 01:47:14 PM
 #2629

well atm it looks like 15-17%.

no, atm it is 6%

This is based on the last 36 hours average.
which is the minimum time frame to make an accurate estimate.

Zubilica is making an estimate based on 12 or 6 hours estimates, which are highly inaccurate.  I've seen the 6 hour over 100 TH/s many times, and AM's hash rate has never actually been over 60 TH/s

I think it is unwise to say the hash rate is 15%, if you are using the 12 or 6 hours estimate as your basis.  You'll be disappointed.


velacreations (OP)
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August 26, 2013, 02:08:57 PM
 #2630

I posted this on the other discussion, but it is more appropriate here.  This is a screenshot from Aug 20, 2013.  Notice the 6 hour estimate.  Now, go look at our historical hash rates.  We never got above 60 TH/s, even though the 6 hour showed a huge jump.


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August 26, 2013, 02:37:14 PM
 #2631

betsofbitcoin pool ?
Zubilica
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August 26, 2013, 03:39:14 PM
 #2632

Time will tell, anyhow i predict over 60 TH
velacreations (OP)
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August 26, 2013, 05:26:40 PM
 #2633

so, what does this mean:


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August 26, 2013, 06:00:46 PM
 #2634

It means that the average hash rate in last 6 hours was 52.3 Thash/s Smiley
velacreations (OP)
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August 26, 2013, 06:03:04 PM
 #2635

It means that the average hash rate in last 6 hours was 52.3 Thash/s Smiley

You, sir, have an excellent grasp of the obvious.
 Grin

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August 26, 2013, 06:07:36 PM
 #2636

It means that the average hash rate in last 6 hours was 52.3 Thash/s Smiley

You, sir, have an excellent grasp of the obvious.
 Grin

you have just reminded me:

velacreations (OP)
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August 26, 2013, 06:40:28 PM
 #2637

that was awesome!  my computer screen is now covered with coffee...  Cheesy

ianp
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August 26, 2013, 06:50:14 PM
 #2638

The reality is that AM is likely hashing at around 45 th/s, give or take a bit.

Have a look at this:

http://www.dpcapital.net/blockchain/?hours=120,96,72,48,24

You can extrapolate that further and see that it's likely that AM hasn't added any additional hashing power for some time (one month+.) They've been hashing around 45-50 th/s for at least that long.
weaknesswaran
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August 27, 2013, 12:05:42 PM
 #2639

Will we see sub 2.00 if dividens are even lower this week?
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August 27, 2013, 12:51:08 PM
 #2640

Will we see sub 2.00 if dividens are even lower this week?

If we do, I might have to take out my life savings to buy more  Wink
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