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Author Topic: ASICMINER Speculation Thread  (Read 808627 times)
Franktank
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August 13, 2013, 10:51:25 PM
 #2301

Long Term Div Prediction:

We will see 0.05/share for dividend payout within the next 8 weeks.
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freedomno1
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August 13, 2013, 10:53:36 PM
 #2302

Long Term Div Prediction:

We will see 0.05/share for dividend payout within the next 8 weeks.

Been a while since someone made a prediction
Can you add some Flair to it Whistle  Wink

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August 13, 2013, 11:06:17 PM
 #2303

Long Term Div Prediction:

We will see 0.05/share for dividend payout within the next 8 weeks.

You're betting on Friedcat being dumb. He would never pay a dividend that extreme - better to keep the money in his piggy bank for a rainy week. Unstable divs are bad news for the share price.

Not to mention there are a lot of rainy weeks for AM in the not so distant future.

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August 13, 2013, 11:12:58 PM
 #2304

I'm just gonna keep chucking my Bitcoins I get from Litecoin mining and exchanging them into Bitcoins into ASICMINER, because they pay a healthy dividend, even at these inflated share prices. I'll chuck in the boat, which is money I have saved in stocks such as AT&T and Dow Chemical, plus any spare money I make, if the share price goes below BTC2.5, unless it doesn't go below that before 2017. I'm assuming Bitcoin will not go mainstream, which is why I'm planning to dump my ASICMINER shares in December 2016. If Bitcoin goes mainstream, transaction fees will cover the halving of the block reward in 2017, so I won't dump my ASICMINER shares.

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August 13, 2013, 11:18:24 PM
 #2305

Long Term Div Prediction:

We will see 0.05/share for dividend payout within the next 8 weeks.
first time posting here...so please correct me if i've got something wrong

on what is your prediction based on?
imo a lot is changing soon with the new startups and 2nd gen mining knocking on the door
(though these miners will probably be distributed at the earliest during late fall/ winter)
shortterm looks good with more hardware sales for asicminer but I have no clue on midterm to longterm prediction.

Do you assume avalon and cointerra and several others don't stand up for what they promise while asicminer
will stay in the background until friedcat suddenly shows up with a nice product?
Or will shareprice sink so low that higher dividends are used to push it up again?
 

velacreations (OP)
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August 14, 2013, 12:09:05 AM
 #2306

Long Term Div Prediction:

We will see 0.05/share for dividend payout within the next 8 weeks.
first time posting here...so please correct me if i've got something wrong

on what is your prediction based on?
imo a lot is changing soon with the new startups and 2nd gen mining knocking on the door
(though these miners will probably be distributed at the earliest during late fall/ winter)
shortterm looks good with more hardware sales for asicminer but I have no clue on midterm to longterm prediction.

Do you assume avalon and cointerra and several others don't stand up for what they promise while asicminer
will stay in the background until friedcat suddenly shows up with a nice product?
Or will shareprice sink so low that higher dividends are used to push it up again?
 

people want hardware.  AM has hardware and is shipping right now.  That's what the prediction is based on.

I don't know that we will see .05, but I think we will certainly see .04, and set a new high.

For this week, we'll be closer to .025 - .03, next week should be .03 or better. 

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August 14, 2013, 12:23:01 AM
 #2307

Long Term Div Prediction:

We will see 0.05/share for dividend payout within the next 8 weeks.
first time posting here...so please correct me if i've got something wrong

on what is your prediction based on?
imo a lot is changing soon with the new startups and 2nd gen mining knocking on the door
(though these miners will probably be distributed at the earliest during late fall/ winter)
shortterm looks good with more hardware sales for asicminer but I have no clue on midterm to longterm prediction.

Do you assume avalon and cointerra and several others don't stand up for what they promise while asicminer
will stay in the background until friedcat suddenly shows up with a nice product?
Or will shareprice sink so low that higher dividends are used to push it up again?
 

people want hardware.  AM has hardware and is shipping right now.  That's what the prediction is based on.

I don't know that we will see .05, but I think we will certainly see .04, and set a new high.

For this week, we'll be closer to .025 - .03, next week should be .03 or better.  

Wait, what? People wanted hardware back when block erupters cost 50 BTC per blade and AM was making a killing on each unit. Why exactly is the dividend going to be bigger now, with lower margins and the competition on the doorstep?

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August 14, 2013, 12:33:16 AM
 #2308

Long Term Div Prediction:

We will see 0.05/share for dividend payout within the next 8 weeks.
first time posting here...so please correct me if i've got something wrong

on what is your prediction based on?
imo a lot is changing soon with the new startups and 2nd gen mining knocking on the door
(though these miners will probably be distributed at the earliest during late fall/ winter)
shortterm looks good with more hardware sales for asicminer but I have no clue on midterm to longterm prediction.

Do you assume avalon and cointerra and several others don't stand up for what they promise while asicminer
will stay in the background until friedcat suddenly shows up with a nice product?
Or will shareprice sink so low that higher dividends are used to push it up again?
 

people want hardware.  AM has hardware and is shipping right now.  That's what the prediction is based on.

I don't know that we will see .05, but I think we will certainly see .04, and set a new high.

For this week, we'll be closer to .025 - .03, next week should be .03 or better.  

Wait, what? People wanted hardware back when block erupters cost 50 BTC per blade and AM was making a killing on each unit. Why exactly is the dividend going to be bigger now, with lower margins and the competition on the doorstep?

Volume.
Franktank
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August 14, 2013, 12:56:56 AM
 #2309

Long Term Div Prediction:

We will see 0.05/share for dividend payout within the next 8 weeks.
first time posting here...so please correct me if i've got something wrong

on what is your prediction based on?
imo a lot is changing soon with the new startups and 2nd gen mining knocking on the door
(though these miners will probably be distributed at the earliest during late fall/ winter)
shortterm looks good with more hardware sales for asicminer but I have no clue on midterm to longterm prediction.

Do you assume avalon and cointerra and several others don't stand up for what they promise while asicminer
will stay in the background until friedcat suddenly shows up with a nice product?
Or will shareprice sink so low that higher dividends are used to push it up again?
 

I could've meant it as a cumulative dividend.  Tongue

With everything that's happening, you could argue either way for whatever you do hear. August is before all the mining machines supposedly ship. Just a hunch, nothing more.
TheJuice
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August 14, 2013, 02:42:58 AM
 #2310

Long Term Div Prediction:

We will see 0.05/share for dividend payout within the next 8 weeks.
first time posting here...so please correct me if i've got something wrong

on what is your prediction based on?
imo a lot is changing soon with the new startups and 2nd gen mining knocking on the door
(though these miners will probably be distributed at the earliest during late fall/ winter)
shortterm looks good with more hardware sales for asicminer but I have no clue on midterm to longterm prediction.

Do you assume avalon and cointerra and several others don't stand up for what they promise while asicminer
will stay in the background until friedcat suddenly shows up with a nice product?
Or will shareprice sink so low that higher dividends are used to push it up again?
 

people want hardware.  AM has hardware and is shipping right now.  That's what the prediction is based on.

I don't know that we will see .05, but I think we will certainly see .04, and set a new high.

For this week, we'll be closer to .025 - .03, next week should be .03 or better.  

Wait, what? People wanted hardware back when block erupters cost 50 BTC per blade and AM was making a killing on each unit. Why exactly is the dividend going to be bigger now, with lower margins and the competition on the doorstep?

Volume.


Here is one group buy: https://blockchain.info/address/1BywWhaLuHfoK4Hwi2ppPVRSCsxRb91cAS?offset=50&filter=0

Over 3k BTC in the past week. A conservative guess is this is 2k BTC profit for ASICMINER.

0.005 BTC/share from one group buy. There are probably 5 group buys, maybe not this large. But that could easily be 0.025 BTC/share over 2 weeks. Unclear exactly when these will be put into the dividends.

I'd imagine next dividend (tomorrow) is .012 mining + 0.0125 sales = 0.0245.

 

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August 14, 2013, 02:49:14 AM
 #2311

"For this week, we'll be closer to .025 - .03, next week should be .03 or better. " 

WOW!  do you have the reasons?

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freedomno1
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August 14, 2013, 02:52:21 AM
 #2312

Well next week you can all bet on asicminer.info before monday for a chance at a prize Smiley
Whistles posts on Wednesday

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Franktank
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August 14, 2013, 03:04:40 AM
 #2313

Guys, we've been doing it wrong! Mr. Icahn just showed us how to make money!

1) Buy large position in ASICMiner
2) Tweet your large position in ASICMiner, saying that it's undervalued; speak w/ friedcat, "more to come"
3) Huh
4) Profit!
Vycid
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August 14, 2013, 03:22:20 AM
 #2314

Long Term Div Prediction:

We will see 0.05/share for dividend payout within the next 8 weeks.
first time posting here...so please correct me if i've got something wrong

on what is your prediction based on?
imo a lot is changing soon with the new startups and 2nd gen mining knocking on the door
(though these miners will probably be distributed at the earliest during late fall/ winter)
shortterm looks good with more hardware sales for asicminer but I have no clue on midterm to longterm prediction.

Do you assume avalon and cointerra and several others don't stand up for what they promise while asicminer
will stay in the background until friedcat suddenly shows up with a nice product?
Or will shareprice sink so low that higher dividends are used to push it up again?
 

people want hardware.  AM has hardware and is shipping right now.  That's what the prediction is based on.

I don't know that we will see .05, but I think we will certainly see .04, and set a new high.

For this week, we'll be closer to .025 - .03, next week should be .03 or better.  

Wait, what? People wanted hardware back when block erupters cost 50 BTC per blade and AM was making a killing on each unit. Why exactly is the dividend going to be bigger now, with lower margins and the competition on the doorstep?

Volume.

Ah, I see, AM is going to sell well over 5x as many units as they did when the difficulty WASN'T going up over 50% a month?

velacreations (OP)
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August 14, 2013, 04:24:58 AM
 #2315

Ah, I see, AM is going to sell well over 5x as many units as they did when the difficulty WASN'T going up over 50% a month?

No, people are going to buy from BFL and wait a year for their product to arrive.

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August 14, 2013, 04:28:03 AM
 #2316

Well next week you can all bet on asicminer.info before monday for a chance at a prize Smiley
Whistles posts on Wednesday

what's your mean? could you pls clarify it?

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freedomno1
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August 14, 2013, 06:51:33 AM
 #2317

Well next week you can all bet on asicminer.info before monday for a chance at a prize Smiley
Whistles posts on Wednesday

what's your mean? could you pls clarify it?

This post
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=99497.msg2904319#msg2904319
It is a weekly guess the dividends game on their forums you can begin guessing the dividends every week to win a prize.

Wednesday means I need to post it on the AM FB page for more people to read after the dividend announcement for those that don't check bitcointalk a lot.
(I Would have posted the guessing game a few days ago but I wanted to see if I could add an order units now sidelink at the same time basically a we are shipping post for everyone to WOOT at. (Maybe next week))

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August 14, 2013, 11:23:09 AM
 #2318

Neither ASICMiner's share of the network hashrate, not its exorbitant markups on hardware sales, are sustainable in the face of pending competition. Share price will be lucky to be half today's value this time next year.
JimiQ84
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August 14, 2013, 11:25:42 AM
 #2319

Neither ASICMiner's share of the network hashrate, not its exorbitant markups on hardware sales, are sustainable in the face of pending competition. Share price will be lucky to be half today's value this time next year.

Have you heard about the coming 1000TH/s of gen1 chips and december prototype of gen2 chip? It looks like you haven't.
101111
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August 14, 2013, 11:30:14 AM
 #2320

Neither ASICMiner's share of the network hashrate, not its exorbitant markups on hardware sales, are sustainable in the face of pending competition. Share price will be lucky to be half today's value this time next year.

Have you heard about the coming 1000TH/s of gen1 chips and december prototype of gen2 chip? It looks like you haven't.
Or franchising.
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