Guy Corem (OP)
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Spondoolies, Beam & DAGlabs
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June 10, 2014, 06:31:46 AM |
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Like whom, you mean?
Could be bitfury, asicminer, avalon, bitmain, innosilicon, knc, blackarrow or maybe a company that has yet to reveal itself. Hello my friend, I've missed you. Is is too boring at one of AM threads ? None of those companies can match the price point of SP30 with current gen and Q3 planned hardware. Not to mention the W/GH/s advantage. What exactly is all the Q3 planned hardware? You don't happen to have the specs/prices of all the next gen asics do you? If you are so confident that you will have the best $/GH/W ratio than why not offer in stock hardware? I have pretty good idea of all the major players plans for Q3 - 2015 Q1. You forgot PeerNova, Cointerra and 21e6 I don't have stock hardware. All the stock hardware was bought.
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jimmothy
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June 10, 2014, 06:42:54 AM |
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I don't have stock hardware. All the stock hardware was bought. I mean why not sell sp30 in stock or even BTO? Why put the additional unnecessary risks involved with preordering on your customers?
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raskul
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June 10, 2014, 06:47:39 AM |
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I don't have stock hardware. All the stock hardware was bought. I mean why not sell sp30 in stock or even BTO? Why put the additional unnecessary risks involved with preordering on your customers? I'm a customer. I see no risk in this.
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tips 1APp826DqjJBdsAeqpEstx6Q8hD4urac8a
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xstr8guy
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June 10, 2014, 06:55:58 AM |
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I don't have stock hardware. All the stock hardware was bought. I mean why not sell sp30 in stock or even BTO? Why put the additional unnecessary risks involved with preordering on your customers? I'm a customer. I see no risk in this. C'mon now, let's not be silly here. There is risk in every preorder. You see a low chance for failure because Spoondoolies has proven to be an upstanding company. But don't mistake that for zero risk. And with a pre-order with a no-refund policy, the buyers have assumed all risk if a catastrophic failure occurs.
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Guy Corem (OP)
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June 10, 2014, 06:56:54 AM |
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I don't have stock hardware. All the stock hardware was bought. I mean why not sell sp30 in stock or even BTO? Why put the additional unnecessary risks involved with preordering on your customers? C'mon now, let's not be silly here. There is risk in every preorder. You see a low chance for failure because Spoondoolies has proven to be an upstanding company. But don't mistake that for zero risk.
And with a pre-order with a no-refund policy, the buyers have assumed all risk if a catastrophic failure occurs.
Already explained multiple times in the thread before. Will explain once again. Put execution risk aside - the RockerBox / SP30 is a simple project. Die Shrink, same miner concept as the SP10. The execution risk is virtually non existent. The two other risks - BTC price and hash-rate are not under our control. Why we can't finance in stock SP30: Assume the following (not exact figure, just to get the idea): - 3 months lead time on the ASICs and other long lead time components - SP30 BOM (without NRE) is $3,000 - Each month we want to produce 3,000 miners We don't have $27M. Each customer can do his/her own calculation regarding the BTC and has-rate risks and decide whether they want to take it or not.
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Bicknellski
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June 10, 2014, 07:01:43 AM |
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Like whom, you mean?
Could be bitfury, asicminer, avalon, bitmain, innosilicon, knc, blackarrow or maybe a company that has yet to reveal itself. Could be. Given what Spondoolies has put out and given they meet deadlines... are you willing to wait if waiting is the option for a July or August miner from the competition? Will it be as good as a SP30? Hmmm tricky to say the least. Space / density etc have start playing on the operators now. You really have to wonder is worth all the cabling and stack vs a single box? Cooling? Power? Doing things at home is pretty much dead and the game is moving into ever larger and larger operations. I don't see how 100s of small designed rigs can keep paces with these Spondoolies designs space wise. It is a risk. I agree don't buy pre-orders. Unfortunately I didn't even listen to myself and I jumped on the 2 x SP30s for August that I bought against the rule NEVER DO PRE-ORDERS. Love the Spondoolies team and all but it is a risk. Don't do it unless you know you can afford to lose every penny. That is only safe way to think about it. It is even more of risk to purchase other fabricators given the history.
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raskul
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June 10, 2014, 07:05:36 AM |
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I don't have stock hardware. All the stock hardware was bought. I mean why not sell sp30 in stock or even BTO? Why put the additional unnecessary risks involved with preordering on your customers? I'm a customer. I see no risk in this. C'mon now, let's not be silly here. There is risk in every preorder. You see a low chance for failure because Spoondoolies has proven to be an upstanding company. But don't mistake that for zero risk. And with a pre-order with a no-refund policy, the buyers have assumed all risk if a catastrophic failure occurs. OK, i'll rephrase. I'm a customer, I see no risk in buying any miner from this particular company.
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tips 1APp826DqjJBdsAeqpEstx6Q8hD4urac8a
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jimmothy
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June 10, 2014, 07:15:48 AM |
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We don't have $27M. Doesn't explain why you need 3 batches of preorders. Would 1 batch of preorders not be enough to fund the next 2 batches? The execution risk is virtually non existent. The two other risks - BTC price and hash-rate are not under our control. Virtually nonexistent seems a bit optimistic. Regardless the other two risks are unnecessary and you could choose to avoid them by selling in stock.
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Bicknellski
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June 10, 2014, 07:16:51 AM |
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We don't have $27M. Doesn't explain why you need 3 batches of preorders. Would 1 batch of preorders not be enough to fund the next 2 batches? The execution risk is virtually non existent. The two other risks - BTC price and hash-rate are not under our control. Virtually nonexistent seems a bit optimistic. Regardless the other two risks are unnecessary and you could choose to avoid them by selling in stock. Did you actually read what the guy from Spondoolies posted? Seriously is he lying to you? Read the whole thing and comment don't cherry pick it. He explains. I think you can measure if he is telling the truth on those facts right? They sell units based on the same calculations each time... so if they do it more than once or twice or thrice same reason. Seriously I get you want to warn people off of the pre-orders. I agree but you are not accepting their explanation what more do you want? Already explained multiple times in the thread before. Will explain once again. Put execution risk aside - the RockerBox / SP30 is a simple project. Die Shrink, same miner concept as the SP10. The execution risk is virtually non existent. The two other risks - BTC price and hash-rate are not under our control.
Why we can't finance in stock SP30:
Assume the following (not exact figure, just to get the idea):
- 3 months lead time on the ASICs and other long lead time components - SP30 BOM (without NRE) is $3,000 - Each month we want to produce 3,000 miners
We don't have $27M. Each customer can do his/her own calculation regarding the BTC and has-rate risks and decide whether they want to take it or not.
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Guy Corem (OP)
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June 10, 2014, 07:22:45 AM |
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Would 1 batch of preorders not be enough to fund the next 2 batches?
I'm a bit disappointed that you didn't understand the meaning of 3 months lead time. I'l explain in details: To finance September batch, I need to start paying from June To finance October batch, I need to start paying from July to finance November batch, I need to start paying from August So I need to pay 3 batches in advance, before I'm able to sell "in stock" hardware and starting to get revenues. btw: your precious AM system builders are taking pre-orders as well. Guy
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jimmothy
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June 10, 2014, 07:32:24 AM Last edit: June 10, 2014, 08:05:05 AM by jimmothy |
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Would 1 batch of preorders not be enough to fund the next 2 batches?
I'm a bit disappointed that you didn't understand the meaning of 3 months lead time. I'l explain in details: To finance September batch, I need to start paying from June To finance October batch, I need to start paying from July to finance November batch, I need to start paying from August So I need to pay 3 batches in advance, before I'm able to sell "in stock" hardware and starting to get revenues. btw: your precious AM system builders are taking pre-orders as well. Guy Did you not sell july batch before may? And august batch before june? Maybe you can't fund the entire august batch with only july preorder funds but I really doubt you need the money for a september batch. How much SP30 worth of chips could you buy with all the funds from preorders so far?
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Guy Corem (OP)
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June 10, 2014, 08:07:03 AM |
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Would 1 batch of preorders not be enough to fund the next 2 batches?
I'm a bit disappointed that you didn't understand the meaning of 3 months lead time. I'l explain in details: To finance September batch, I need to start paying from June To finance October batch, I need to start paying from July to finance November batch, I need to start paying from August So I need to pay 3 batches in advance, before I'm able to sell "in stock" hardware and starting to get revenues. btw: your precious AM system builders are taking pre-orders as well. Guy Did you not sell july batch before may? And august batch before june? Maybe you can't fund the entire august batch with only july preorder funds but I really doubt you need the money for a september batch. How much PH worth of chips could you buy with all the funds from preorders so far? July batch was very small, It will be build with samples. August batch is medium. We already paid for September ASICs and the batch size is fixed. We won't give actual numbers, just say that it's considerably less than AM advertised bogus numbers.
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raskul
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June 10, 2014, 08:08:10 AM |
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AM are dumping a gazillion PH on the network at lunchtime today, didn't you know? and all their investors are thrilled about it.
(part of this statement is true)
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tips 1APp826DqjJBdsAeqpEstx6Q8hD4urac8a
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jimmothy
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June 10, 2014, 08:22:03 AM |
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July batch was very small, builds on samples. August batch is medium.
So my basic understanding is that you are are short the ~$5,000,000(guessing around $0.1/gh) you need for 3 months worth of chips and are using preorders to fund it. And by doing so you are putting investor level risks on customers. We won't give actual numbers, just say that it's considerably less than AM advertised bogus numbers. What bogus numbers? Do you doubt AM sold ~8ph worth of chips or that they have 60ph worth of wafers in hand?
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Guy Corem (OP)
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June 10, 2014, 08:27:13 AM |
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... And by doing so you are putting investor level risks on customers ...
Completely untrue and false. September batch is covered. For every batch we open, we're covering it with the necessary financing.
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Searing
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Clueless!
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June 10, 2014, 08:29:18 AM |
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July batch was very small, builds on samples. August batch is medium.
So my basic understanding is that you are are short the ~$5,000,000(guessing around $0.1/gh) you need for 3 months worth of chips and are using preorders to fund it. And by doing so you are putting investor level risks on customers. We won't give actual numbers, just say that it's considerably less than AM advertised bogus numbers. What bogus numbers? Do you doubt AM sold ~8ph worth of chips or that they have 60ph worth of wafers in hand? er and your point is? its called pre-orders for a reason... these guys seem to be doing so in a manner of less then 3 month turn around unlike others so....what am i missing in this argument that all pre-ordering is bad? (could have a point) but if everyone (at one time or another) has done pre-orders..er kinda a moot point me thinks Searing
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Old Style Legacy Plug & Play BBS System. Get it from www.synchro.net. Updated 1/1/2021. It also works with Windows 10 and likely 11 and allows 16 bit DOS game doors on the same Win 10 Machine in Multi-Node! Five Minute Install! Look it over it uninstalls just as fast, if you simply want to look it over. Freeware! Full BBS System! It is a frigging hoot!:)
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Guy Corem (OP)
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June 10, 2014, 08:30:13 AM |
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What bogus numbers? Do you doubt AM sold ~8ph worth of chips or that they have 60ph worth of wafers in hand?
I'm not doubting any numbers provided by Friedcat. I'm doubting that the hash-rate will actually come online. AM is playing and loosing catch-up game with Bitmain. Inferior ASIC, not relevant for Q3 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=641957.msg7227862#msg7227862
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jimmothy
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June 10, 2014, 08:33:19 AM |
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... And by doing so you are putting investor level risks on customers ...
Completely untrue and false. September batch is covered. For every batch we open, we're covering it with the necessary financing. Does that mean no preorder funds were used to fund september or previous batches? Regardless of the funding, nonrefundable preorders are investor level risks.
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Guy Corem (OP)
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June 10, 2014, 08:38:35 AM |
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Does that mean no preorder funds were used to fund september or previous batches?
For every batch we open, we use the revenues we got until that batch was opened and augment it with additional funding if needed.
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Collider
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June 10, 2014, 08:39:03 AM |
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Seriously, if you don´t like pre-ordering then dont.
You will most likely be stuck with a technically inferior product with higher power draw and lower hashrate though.
This is the free market after all, and if there is demand for this, spondoolies will supply it.
They had in stock hardware of sp10s for a while, but as demand then increased, they aren´t able to produce any faster on such short notice.
Companys also need to be able to predict demand, and pre-orders are a great way of ensuring spondoolies will be able to ship the highest amount of rigs in the shortest time available.
If you don´t want a company doing pre-orders, that company will most likely end up mining with their own equipment. Is that what you prefer?
Also, AM Gen3 devices will not get much below 1w/GH at the wall, so yeah... seen that. Come Q3/Q4 they will be expensive doorstops.
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