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2161  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: October 25, 2023, 02:14:48 PM
El Classico will be so interesting this weekend but Barcelona confirmed will play without some of their players and one of them is Lewandowski and this is home match for Barcelona and according to the head to head statistics i can see Barcelona under Xavi always had good results from Real Madrid but Madrid also has been experience to beat Barcelona at Camp Nou 4-0 last season on Copa Del Rey so this match will be so tight

But indeed from team conditions Real Madrid was more better than Barcelona because this weekend the players such as Bellingham, Vinicius or Rodrygo confirmed will be available and do not forget too they still have Joselu as supersub player who almost be scored goals everytimes he was play so in my opinion Real Madrid had good chances to win the match but Barcelona is slightly the favourite with odds @2.40 and Real Madrid @2.75

I still don't understand this skewed odds. Barcelona only lost one point more than Real Madrid, but they did so against much weaker opponents. The home field factor will not play a big role and may not even be in favor of Barcelona since they will not be able to play in front of their fans in bus (as they had to do once last season), and in an open game Real will look more dangerous.
2162  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: October 25, 2023, 02:08:09 PM
I think the competition for golden boot this season will be tougher as Erling Haaland is yet to score the number of goals he already had by this time last season. Yes we all know the impact KDB brings to the squad but in his absence Haaland will have to find his way around if he want to be in the golden boot contest, Son of Spurs is already proving to be a competition for Haaland this season.

It should be noted that even last year, with all the dominance of City and the fact that Tottenham took only 8th place, the gap between Haaladn and Kane was very small. I don’t believe that Tottenham can seriously compete for the Premier League title, but it is quite possible that Son can compete for the golden boot. Especially if Tottenham gets the opportunity to have penalty kicks at City level  Grin
2163  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: October 25, 2023, 02:00:14 PM
As you can see, Bayern still won and this game seems to correspond to the pattern when the underdog plays very well and even better than the more eminent opponent, but in the end “for some reason” the better team wins. This is a common pattern when the stronger team strains exactly as much as it needs to strain to win. However, I’m not yet sure that this is exactly what is happening with Bayern, they don’t look convincing in the Bundesliga either. So maybe today luck was just on their side, who knows.
I think this is quite natural because Bayern munich visited Galatasaray's headquarters where they had to play carefully and not care whether their game was bad or not. Their target was to win and they succeeded in doing that. Indeed, if you look at it, of course galatasaray was able to play better and was far superior in possession of the ball and they also recorded a lot of shots in this match, but bayern munich is a strong team and full of experience, they can survive pressure situations to steal the win.

Even so, fans are quite satisfied with their performance because in the 3 matches in the Champions League where bayern munich were able to record wins in those 3 matches. And they are at the top of the standings as well as have a big chance of becoming group winners. I think Tuchel really needs to change the style of play for bayern munich in the next match.

I think this is not just a big chance, but an event that bookmakers quote as 1.01. Bayern will definitely not give up first place. Tuchel is a great specialist in tactical decisions, but I don’t know whether he should change anything for the next game or not. The main question that is not clear to me is how strong Bayern can be when it really needs to be. For example, in the Bundesliga with Bayer and Lepzig, Bayern was unable to achieve the required result.
2164  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏆Rollbit.com | Champions League Pool | $11,000+ in Prizes ⚽️ Discussion Thread on: October 25, 2023, 11:58:07 AM
If we ignore the final result, United are as dull as can be. If it weren't for a miracle (that Onana finally did some work) United would have only one point after 3 games.
When it comes to gambling, I never include United because these guys are to inconsistent week in week out!! And today was going to be another record breaking for them, but Onana showed his worth today... lucky break..

Yeah, Onana did 10% of what was expected of him and now Ten Hag is making a big deal out of it (taking the public's attention away from the fact that United are still playing like crap), my ass  Angry

If we ignore the final result, United are as dull as can be. If it weren't for a miracle (that Onana finally did some work) United would have only one point after 3 games. In fact, even Inter disappointed me in this round (as they burned my handicap bet), but United disappointed me threefold. I wonder how the return game will go now - whether United will defend 0-0 or try to play football  Cheesy
Yeah, they got win, but that's only positive thing from this game. It was equal game, but after all, Copenhagen isn't elite team thatthey should fear.

No one should be afraid of anyone, but this was a statistically equal game (which should not be the case in the United-Copenhagen pair), it may well be that the pendulum of luck in the return game will swing towards Copenhagen.

Being consistent is good, but it definitely won't lead to the top - since the number of participants is large, someone will be lucky enough to guess several unlikely results with big odds. Personally, I'll only bet on unlikely outcomes from now on - I forgot to use my 10 points last round and now feel like I'm way behind, so I need to bet heavily.

I'm surprised myself that the King of backing the underdogs is advicing us against it now. buwaytress when did you start believing in consistency?

Yes, I was surprised too! In addition, theoretically, the bookmaker’s margin is greater at low odds, so those who bet on high odds should, on average, lose less than those who bet on low (reliable) odds.
2165  Local / Разное / Re: Форум недоступен из России on: October 25, 2023, 11:37:53 AM
Quote
В экономике тоже жопа + переназначение пыни в марте 2024 с вероятной второй волной мобилизации к которой уже подготовились весьма основательно. В таких условиях я не удивлюсь не то что блокировкам ВПН а тому что введут белые списки, а все что за их предел будет выходить будет в бане. Как к такому подготовиться (если не брать вариант смены страны проживания) я не знаю.
Кстати, а что касается платного ВПН - кто каким пользуется? Лично меня вот ВПН от Роскомсвобода , в принципе, устраивает, но не нравится то, что отключения серверов или ещё какие-то перебои стали гораздо чаще. Временно пользуюсь анонимайзерами, но они менее удобны.

ProtonVPN у меня платный, но если на мобиле он уже несколько месяцев работает стабильно (хотя некоторые сервера отвалились, т.е. по факту сейчас всего пару каналов есть рабочих только), то на ПК "всё". Работает только на одном компе на 7-ке, так как тут по какой-то неведомой причине (наверно потому что я настроил этот ВПН еще до возникновения тотальных блокировок) программа грузится и открывает интерфейс  где можно менять настройки. При попытке запустить на других компах ВПН пытается подключится к своим серверам, без подключения интерфейс программы недоступен. Т.е. чтобы запустить этот ВПН надо иметь уже включенный ВПН. Вот такой вот маразм.
2166  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: October 24, 2023, 10:16:57 PM

Unfortunately (for me since I bet on Bayern), the truth is that Bayern can easily afford to lose a game or two (even though they are used to getting a 100% result in the group stage) since they still will qualify in first place. We can only hope that Tuchel does not want Bayern to perform worse/at the level of last season (according to average indicators) and will try to achieve a convincing victory today.

I see Galatasaray dominating this match even though previously Munich was predicted to win easily and I don't understand whether Munich is aiming for the safe side by playing a draw and taking advantage of the second leg moment, because we know that Munich is in a safe position in the group regardless of whether it finishes in first place or runners-up, while Galatasaray is not in a safe position because Manchester United could catch up moreover they only have a difference of 5 points. Anyway, it will be very interesting to wait for the final results in this group because 3 great teams compete with each other there and the struggle only occurred between Galatasaray and Manchester United.

As you can see, Bayern still won and this game seems to correspond to the pattern when the underdog plays very well and even better than the more eminent opponent, but in the end “for some reason” the better team wins. This is a common pattern when the stronger team strains exactly as much as it needs to strain to win. However, I’m not yet sure that this is exactly what is happening with Bayern, they don’t look convincing in the Bundesliga either. So maybe today luck was just on their side, who knows.
2167  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: How often is your luck in gambling? on: October 24, 2023, 10:08:43 PM

At the moment, it’s easy to leave the country (at least until the second wave of mobilization has been announced), and I may actually have to flee from here. But for now there is time and I am trying to prepare to leave the country not as a refugee (to be a nobody in a new place and start from scratch) but as someone who can immediately work and earn a decent living. Thank God the Internet now allows me to work from anywhere in the world, for example, now I am farming (in games) and my income exceeds the average salary in the country. Now I want to try YouTube (although my fucking country is cut off from monetization) and streaming.
Fore since you already stated that you are not up to 18 in your previous comment make your case to be that of someone who doesn't have a choice most especially in terms of relocations from your your country to another one because you may fine things tough in the other country compared to you living in your country and also even if you consider leaving as a refugee,  I will still not advice that considering your current condition as a citizen to that of your condition as an under-aged rerefugee

I advised you to continue to push through with the current condition of things on your end and also try as much as possible to save up for the future so that,  when you have finally attained the age to leave your country,  it will be to go for a vacation or studies.

Oh god  Grin I thought it was obvious that “I have a family and I am not 18 years old” meant that I was much older than 18. But thanks anyway for the advice and attention  Wink
So far, the most risky gambling I’m involved in is that I’m delaying leaving the country because I want to do it in the most profitable way for myself. I hope luck will smile on me here.
2168  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏆Rollbit.com | Champions League Pool | $11,000+ in Prizes ⚽️ Discussion Thread on: October 24, 2023, 09:11:38 PM
Manchester Uniteds Maguire seems to be on fire of late, over the weekend picked up a man of the match award and today against Copenhagen scores the only goal of the game to secure an important 3points,and Andre Onana put to the test with a late penalty that saw him save  his team from throwing away their lead, congrats boys!!!

If we ignore the final result, United are as dull as can be. If it weren't for a miracle (that Onana finally did some work) United would have only one point after 3 games. In fact, even Inter disappointed me in this round (as they burned my handicap bet), but United disappointed me threefold. I wonder how the return game will go now - whether United will defend 0-0 or try to play football  Cheesy
2169  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: October 24, 2023, 09:05:57 PM
Everybody is impressed with the performance of Tottenham this season the level of commitment is so high the club that had this kind of consistency last season was Arsenal and Arsenal is not doing badly for itself self but compared to how they played last season saka is not even in form compared to how that boy was on fire looking as if is not in form currently. and am very sure Tottenham will be a concern for plenty of clubs in the Premier League and those who want to win the league must find a way of contending with Tottenham before it gets too late.

Am an Arsenal fan but I feel the win of Arsenal against Manchester City was pure luck and if they don't prepare well against Tottenham it is not going to be an easy one to go down if not comprehended on time.  Their only advice is they should try and maintain that position and take advantage now that Manchester City is not that strong.

Today, somewhere on Twitter, I saw statistics that in the first 9 games, Tottenham head coaches (about 9 people) scored from 21 to 24 points, quite funny for not the strongest and most titled team in the Premier League. The start is often good, but what next? Regarding the advantages of Tottenham, their main advantage is that they do not play in the Euro Cups, so they will have more strength for the entire distance.
2170  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: October 24, 2023, 06:19:59 PM


In less than 1 hour the match between Braga vs Real Madrid will be presented and as usual Ancelotti will still use his flagship formation, namely 4-4-2 diamond. Maybe there are some new things here, such as Modric and Fran Garcia returning as starters and also Camavinga who will become a defensive midfielder replacing Tchouameni. However, there is something that really surprises me about Ancelotti and he still trusts Rodrygo as a starter. Even in the domestic league, Rodrygo is currently under performing and very rarely scores goals.

I'm quite confused as to why Ancelotti doesn't want to give a chance to Joselu who is much more productive as a striker and it's possible that this time Real Madrid will still have difficulty scoring goals if they still rely on Rodrygo in the attack line. Apart from that, a miracle from Jude Bellingham will still be awaited in this match. My prediction is that Real Madrid will win with a narrow score of 1-2 and they will still dominate the top of Group C.

Considering the status of the opponent, Ancelotti’s experiments are quite understandable, and the appearance of Modric is further evidence of this, in addition to experiments, this is also a rotation. Real Madrid have already beaten the direct and most dangerous competitor in the group, they have 6 points out of 6, so even if today they win with a small score or even draw, it will not be a problem. But I'm really looking forward to a big win.
2171  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: October 24, 2023, 06:14:55 PM
In the closing match of the week, Valencia defeated Cadiz at home. Atletico Madrid had not won for four weeks in a row after defeating the three Couliers, but as of today they managed to end this winless streak and win with a good game against their opponents. The hosts, who took the lead with a goal in the early minutes, made good use of their opponents' ten men and managed to take a 2-0 lead four or five minutes after the opponents were down to ten men. With the end of the first half, the result of the match was actually determined.

 Grin Excellent description of the pause for international games. But only there was not a month, but only 2 weeks. Atletico have 6 wins in their last 6 games (including the Champions League) and by the way, if you take into account the lost points, they now share first place with Real, as does Girona. I wouldn't be surprised if they become (for a while) sole leaders or continue to keep pace with Real - they have an easy calendar of games.
2172  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io 🥊 Fury vs Ngannou 🥊 (Saturday, 28 October) on: October 24, 2023, 06:03:56 PM
1. Ngannou
2. 2
3. 2
2173  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: October 24, 2023, 06:01:18 PM
I'm not frightened because I'm confident Bayern will win the game, Bayern Munich can not afford to lose against Galatasaray, because they're top team and untouchable in UCL competition. First half, the score is 1-1 and outstanding performance from both sides. Galatasaray entertaining Bayern Munich with a high level performance. A competitive game but the best side will always go home with solid points. In addition, Galatasaray performance surprised everyone because nobody expected them to be in good shape against an elite team like the Bavarians.

Unfortunately (for me since I bet on Bayern), the truth is that Bayern can easily afford to lose a game or two (even though they are used to getting a 100% result in the group stage) since they still will qualify in first place. We can only hope that Tuchel does not want Bayern to perform worse/at the level of last season (according to average indicators) and will try to achieve a convincing victory today.
2174  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [banned mixer] 🦁 Fantasy Premier League Pool ⚽ Discussion Thread on: October 24, 2023, 05:54:25 PM


I can't help but admire this team, talk about skill, btw this isn't my fpl team but the highest of game week 9 in the entire world..

Am wondering to myself what stops us from getting such scores with such a practical team and without any Manchester city assets that I expect everyone to own at least 1 but a non City squad, this is a slap in the face..well played Gretna FC(Serbia).

Team Kanapka, congrats on that solid 110 points making you the GW9 champ

Crazy result, but if this is a screenshot from his account, then you can pay attention to his average points - 67. This is a very good indicator, but still not so unattainable even for those who have “regular” teams with Haaland, etc. Of the thousands of players who assemble teams, he was lucky, and besides the main players like Salah, Son, etc. the underdogs also scored points. Maybe in the next game day, only the player with the top picks will be in first place.
2175  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏆Rollbit.com | Champions League Pool | $11,000+ in Prizes ⚽️ Discussion Thread on: October 24, 2023, 05:45:41 PM
~
@swogerino @rohang @Igebotz Yeah I personally can't really tell right now what strategy works but I believe consistency is key. I mentioned maybe 18 point average (for 180 total points sounds decent Top 10 but too early to tell). Worth mentioning plenty of 10-point stakes on decent favourites suggest many agree here.

Being consistent is good, but it definitely won't lead to the top - since the number of participants is large, someone will be lucky enough to guess several unlikely results with big odds. Personally, I'll only bet on unlikely outcomes from now on - I forgot to use my 10 points last round and now feel like I'm way behind, so I need to bet heavily.
2176  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Bundesliga ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread 2023/2024 on: October 24, 2023, 09:36:57 AM
~
For the record: season 2022/23   bullrun2020bro (419 points)

KTChampions is averaging just under 15 points per round and that would by far destroy bullrun2020bro's 419 points.


Edit: these are the results from the German pool:

saison 2019/20   cygan (386 punkte - besonderheit: tippspiel hat ab dem 4. spieltag begonnen)
saison 2020/21   Lemming (403 punkte)
saison 2021/22   cygan (459 punkte)
saison 2022/23   bullrun2020bro (419 punkte)


@KTChampions, lucky streak or pure skill? ;P

I think it’s too early to say what will happen at the end, I’m sure that we will see a kaledoscope both in the top and in other parts of the table.
As for me, I'm sure it's luck. Firstly, my results in other polls are bad (I even avoid looking at the statistics so as not to lose my good mood), and secondly, the Bundesliga looks random to me, maybe I understand a few teams from here, but overall I can’t say that I understand this league.
2177  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: October 23, 2023, 04:36:08 PM
I agree, Because even if we consider Athletic Bilbao a weak team, still Barcelona needed to win this game harder because they are currently racing with Real Madrid in La Liga while Real Madrid is much stronger than last season because of the players they bought. Now we are waiting for the next game in La Liga between Barcelona and Real Madrid.

It is worth noting that despite the fact that Real was unlucky with Seville, Barcelona is still one point behind and it can be assumed that Barcelona will desperately need a victory. I'm sure Real will also play to win (after all, Real is competing for first place with Girona hahaha) but they have more room for maneuver tactically. If Barcelona rolls the ball in the middle of the field, then Real will not be forced to open up and waste energy on pressing, they will be able to play according to the scheme “ok, 0-0 will suit us”.
2178  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: October 23, 2023, 04:29:44 PM
Quite good odds for a team that has not a single defeat and 6 wins in 8 games. If it were City the odds would be about 1.30. I am also tempted to bet on Tottenham, but I will refrain, it seems too incredible to me that after 9 rounds Tottenham will be in first place. But I won’t bet on Fulham either, not even a double chance, because Tottenham are rightfully the favorites, their game is really good and the result is not a coincidence or a series of “lucks”. I will watch the game as an outside observer.

The exact result is about not failing to get points in this match because yes, so far this season Tottenham has managed to get very good results. Although not all matches are won but at least, Tottenham managed to be unbeaten so far this season. So yes, playing at home against Fulham can be a definite result for Tottenham to win or draw. Because anyway, so far this season also when Fulham played away, in fact Fulham managed to hold Arsenal to a draw with a score of 2-2 in the third week this season. Therefore, at least I said Tottenham would still get points whether it was through a win or a draw because after all, maybe Fulham could have provided a difficult resistance in this match to be able to end the match with a draw, who knows.

It is likely that Tottenham will not lose today, the question is that if we bet on a double chance, we will only get +14% to the bet or to the multi-bet. Maybe the profit and risk are comparable, but I don’t like to bet on the continuation of series (anomalous, and imo the Tottenham series can be considered anomalous). I'd rather bet on United against Coppenhagen with a handicap, it will be equivalent to 5-6 bets on Tottenham and more profitable (and risky, of course).
2179  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Do your parents know about your gambling habit ? on: October 23, 2023, 03:51:06 PM
A strange question (if we are talking about gambling as simple entertainment and not as an addiction that causes some problems), my parents probably don’t care how I have fun (I can decide for myself) but rather how my family and I are doing with our health/at work/in school, etc. My parents were never into gambling, so this topic is not common to us and we do not discuss it.
2180  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: How often is your luck in gambling? on: October 23, 2023, 03:39:48 PM
Yes, I agree with what you write, but I have to make clarifications: for me, the amount that can change my life is the amount that will allow me to leave my fucking country (Russia). Taking into account the fact that I have a family and I am not 18 years old, you understand that I am not ready to significantly reduce the standard of my life in a new place, so I am only considering (at least for now) a move where I will have a serious financial cushion.

Well, it couldn't be helped if we feel that we're not going anywhere or becoming financially free in our own country, cause I can actually relate since I would literally want to go overseas and get a job as well get paid non bare minimum wage, of course is not actually easy to find one. I did not know your situation to suggest things that might not be applicable in your case, my apologies. Adjusting to new things is really hard, I'm currently living on my own but I consider things already hard with budgeting money, since I'm away from my family (1000km away but also PH). Since this country is full of corrupted people. And hopefully you could find better place to move and save up money.
Well, currently the situation in Russia is complicated, I know that, but is it so difficult for you to leave the country? Europe is very close, have you considered going out like Venezuelans do? I really admire him, because they have to go through jungles, facing very difficult situations, the Russians for me are people who are very intelligent and apart from that they are people who have gone through difficult situations, I know that the situation with the president and with the War is a complicated thing, but there must be something like a way where you can leave with your family safely, and then ask for asylum in another country, that's what the majority did, however, I don't know how much control the Russians have over it. going out, of course with family and everything becomes very complicated, but I don't know if the policies apply to you, I know that the USA as well as most countries have rules and facilities to enter the country but as refugees, but in a country with so much complication can give you some ease, of course that's what I can say.

Many people I know wanted to go to Russia because of how beautiful it is, in fact in the government I am in they offered me a postgraduate degree to go to Russia permanently, I don't know, but I think things could happen somehow because I didn't accept it, because it seemed very far away and because wow I like the language a lot, but the fact that it was so far away is something I didn't like, a friend did leave and I think he got married and is there, he didn't He regrets it, but of course it is very different to live from that moment to now as the situation is there, to have everything that represents being a country where many things are prohibited, I hope you can leave your country with your family safely, they give you the opportunity to be in another country, or that another country asks you so you can work, that's what I can see you can do, depending on your skills, it's one way to do it.

At the moment, it’s easy to leave the country (at least until the second wave of mobilization has been announced), and I may actually have to flee from here. But for now there is time and I am trying to prepare to leave the country not as a refugee (to be a nobody in a new place and start from scratch) but as someone who can immediately work and earn a decent living. Thank God the Internet now allows me to work from anywhere in the world, for example, now I am farming (in games) and my income exceeds the average salary in the country. Now I want to try YouTube (although my fucking country is cut off from monetization) and streaming.
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