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Author Topic: ASICMINER Speculation Thread  (Read 808627 times)
velacreations (OP)
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August 08, 2013, 05:20:20 PM
 #2161

there are a few things at play right now with AM:

1. Lack of news/details about upcoming blades - we've been waiting a while for this, and the lack of news has caused anxiety in the market
2. IPO Mania - everyone wants to get rick quick, yet the prices of all these new securities are dropping.  I guess promises don't have a lot of value.
3. Whales liquidating - like it's been already said, lots of AM direct shares have flooded the market, there's little demand right now, lots of btc have been lost to the IPOs, so share price drops.

How does the downtrend change?

1. News from FC.  I've seen rumors around Aug 10, Aug 20 as news dates.  He typically makes announcements when there's a lot of good stuff to announce. 
2. IPO mania continues to decline.  As people lose money on these IPOs, and with each one they look less legit, people will start to ignore them, just as they do any new altcoin.

#2 takes care of itself, eventually. So does #1.

So, right now, the best strategy is to pick up cheap shares when and where possible, and wait for news.

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August 08, 2013, 05:42:41 PM
 #2162

Ugh, stock is imploding. 
Wonder how much of it might have to do with - https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=269950.0
velacreations (OP)
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August 08, 2013, 06:56:22 PM
 #2163

Ugh, stock is imploding. 
Wonder how much of it might have to do with - https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=269950.0

Looks like Avalon is shipping:


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August 09, 2013, 12:41:54 AM
 #2164

Has anyone though that friedcat could be waiting for hundred of TH/s purchased to BFL or thousands of Avalon chips? I think it would be an interesting strategy.

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August 09, 2013, 01:10:21 AM
 #2165

Looks like my prediction we will see 3.0 before 5.0 going to come true.  This will dip below 3 in an intra-day selling frenzy - keeping my coins on the sidelines waiting for that moment.
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August 09, 2013, 01:20:29 AM
 #2166

any predictions on the bottom?
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August 09, 2013, 01:42:14 AM
 #2167

Looks like my prediction we will see 3.0 before 5.0 going to come true.  This will dip below 3 in an intra-day selling frenzy - keeping my coins on the sidelines waiting for that moment.
Agreed. I see 3btc as the lowest it will go, but of course the market likes to prove me wrong.
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August 09, 2013, 01:42:56 AM
 #2168

Looks like my prediction we will see 3.0 before 5.0 going to come true.  This will dip below 3 in an intra-day selling frenzy - keeping my coins on the sidelines waiting for that moment.

Just dipping in (pun intended!) to say that I highly doubt sub 3.0, but I'm wrong from time to time. People lose site of the reality of the market often, which is what would have to happen for AM to dip that low. Low 3's, maybe. The smart money is buying in now or waiting until Sat. to see what the weekend lull brings.

The greedy bastards are waiting for 3 and sub 3, which they may get... Those bastards! Smiley


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freedomno1
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August 09, 2013, 02:09:15 AM
 #2169

Mumbles if it drops to the support at 2.5 then I'm all in

Believing in Bitcoins and it's ability to change the world
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August 09, 2013, 02:15:36 AM
 #2170

If it drops to 2.5 I will also be all in....there is too much value there from the div's alone.

I just bought more at 3.4x, and I will keep buying all the way down.  

Nom Nom Nom
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August 09, 2013, 02:28:21 AM
 #2171

Iv'e got my orders in... it just needs to dip a little lower.

Of course, if it goes back up I will be even more happy. When you are sitting on shares and have some divs to reinvest, you win either way, up or down.
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August 09, 2013, 03:36:37 AM
 #2172

It has weak support around 3.4, but any little bad news (or any "good" news from the competition) and you will definitely see panic selling.  I don't think it will stay below 3.0 long, but I could see some big speculators dump for any price once it breaks below 3.0 leading to a swoosh down.  That would be the time to buy.  Anyway, time will prove whether I am right or wrong about hitting 3.0 before 5.0
mechs
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August 09, 2013, 03:38:26 AM
 #2173

It has weak support around 3.4, but any little bad news (or any "good" news from the competition) and you will definitely see panic selling.  I don't think it will stay below 3.0 long, but I could see some big speculators dump for any price once it breaks below 3.0 leading to a swoosh down.  That would be the time to buy.  Anyway, time will prove whether I am right or wrong about hitting 3.0 before 5.0
Actually, would anyone like to make a bet with me?  I'll do heads-up bets for 1BTC per person that this will hit 3BTC before 5BTC.  Can use John K. or Dooglus as escrow and split the fee. I'll take up to 10 bets.
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August 09, 2013, 04:01:09 AM
 #2174

Avalon's Update: http://www.avalon-asics.com
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August 09, 2013, 04:15:39 AM
 #2175

A relative positive for ASICMiner
chriswilmer
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August 09, 2013, 04:42:27 AM
 #2176

Food for thought.

For a short while ASICs were "hyper profitable", but it's beginning to feel like getting a return on investment is increasingly tricky. Maybe we're going to start to see a lot of ASIC mining companies drop out of the race as quickly as they came (not everyone of course, just those that don't have super cheap labor and electricity costs).
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August 09, 2013, 04:50:03 AM
 #2177

RALLY!
chriswilmer
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August 09, 2013, 05:09:51 AM
 #2178

Quote
Extortion, a familiar tactic when it comes to the Bitcoin scene and business in China.

I don't really understand this. Is extortion a familiar tactic when doing business in China in general, or specifically when doing Bitcoin business in China? It seems odd to refer to extortion, or any tactic, as "familiar" for such a new thing as Bitcoins. In any case, I found the statement surprising. Are ASICMiner staff frequently fending off extortion attacks as well?
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August 09, 2013, 05:12:23 AM
 #2179

RALLY!

Makes sense, all DIY projects are now at a standstill with the chips in customs.
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August 09, 2013, 05:14:04 AM
 #2180

Quote
Extortion, a familiar tactic when it comes to the Bitcoin scene and business in China.

I don't really understand this. Is extortion a familiar tactic when doing business in China in general, or specifically when doing Bitcoin business in China? It seems odd to refer to extortion, or any tactic, as "familiar" for such a new thing as Bitcoins. In any case, I found the statement surprising. Are ASICMiner staff frequently fending off extortion attacks as well?

They make a stack load of money. I'm sure they are being attacked in many ways. Money is a dirty business wherever you are.
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