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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 919613 times)
John999
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April 21, 2014, 12:25:25 PM
 #1501

Does anyone know when was the last 1 week EMA cross in bitcoin history?
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prophetx
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April 21, 2014, 02:57:13 PM
 #1502

This is a lovely chart... thank you very much for it.

You're welcome, glad you like it Smiley

Here's an extrapolation of the same chart:



i like this chart Smiley
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April 22, 2014, 03:28:15 PM
 #1503

Does anyone know when was the last 1 week EMA cross in bitcoin history?

Bitstamp - January 11, 2012.
Price of Bitcoin - $6.95

boumalo
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April 26, 2014, 10:34:31 AM
 #1504

I have absolutely no idea what to make of this Huh



The triangle has been pierced on both sides, however I feel the volume for the drop was far too low to indicate a bottom, and volume for the rally is almost nonexistent. Perhaps the triangle has been rendered obsolete, and this is a retrace of the still-relevant downtrend?


i'm no market expert or anything, but couldn't the low volumes at the bottom be fuel for an even bigger rush?

Consider this:

For months a lot of people have been patiently waiting for the price to drop. and it did drop to $340ish eventually. If for a week or so the price seems to be stable at $400+ or even rising (even if it rises with 1% a day) all these people who were waiting for cheap coins may lose faith that the price will ever reach sub-340 again and will panicbuy, as soon as some of them buy, the price wil rise even more, triggering a chain reaction of panicbuys and therefore a new rush with a very high volume.

Is this a plausible scenario? I think so, but like i said, i'm not an expert.

I can imagine a dozen of scenarios where the price is going up rapidly in a matter of months; people panic buying, shorts buying buying back their positions and positive price news momentum will push the price even higher in everyone of the scenarios

ElectricMucus
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April 26, 2014, 11:40:42 PM
 #1505



lol
masterluc
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April 27, 2014, 02:31:41 AM
 #1506

How bullish divergence turns into bearish



Bitcoin_is_here_to_stay
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April 27, 2014, 04:01:06 AM
 #1507

How bullish divergence turns into bearish




Very interesting - thanks for posting it.
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April 27, 2014, 03:08:06 PM
 #1508

How bullish divergence turns into bearish




What looked like a bullish divergence was caused by the truncation of the downward sub-wave, possibly because of positive news from China at that time.
But when weekly MACD is about to go negative for the first time since September 2011, guess what comes next...

Sometimes, if it looks too bullish, it's actually bearish
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April 27, 2014, 03:39:32 PM
 #1509

...
What looked like a bullish divergence was caused by the truncation of the downward sub-wave, possibly because of positive news from China at that time.
But when weekly MACD is about to go negative for the first time since September 2011, guess what comes next...

dump?
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April 27, 2014, 04:59:40 PM
 #1510

How bullish divergence turns into bearish




What looked like a bullish divergence was caused by the truncation of the downward sub-wave, possibly because of positive news from China at that time.
But when weekly MACD is about to go negative for the first time since September 2011, guess what comes next...

It is interesting and it may be enough to make a trade for a day trader

But there are a few scenarios from where we are and some are bullish

N12
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April 27, 2014, 05:06:00 PM
 #1511

Bearish divergence: Price does higher high, indicator does lower high
Hidden bearish divergence: Indicator does higher high, price does lower high

This isn't really a bearish divergence if the slope is just less negative. Plus, you drew it from different points in time for price vs. indicator.

Anyway, I checked it out on bitcoincharts, and there, the daily MACD actually does show a hidden bearish divergence, very strictly speaking (the slope is almost flat). Didn't catch that before, so thanks for that. Grin
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April 27, 2014, 08:53:22 PM
 #1512

I'm not really TA master but I don't see any bearish divergence out there. Bullish divergence failed, yeah, but there's no bearish one at all.


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boumalo
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April 29, 2014, 02:53:14 PM
 #1513

lol are you serious? falling wedge pattern doesn't make sense in forex/bitcoin

edit: oh and btw we already broke the bottom line at $453 in gox Tongue

#330 November 20 2013

Having bitcoins and gold seem horrible right now but having any fiat currencies will feel horrible within a few years when having bitcoins or gold will mean you are rich

Tzupy
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April 29, 2014, 03:04:25 PM
 #1514

In August - September 2011 daily MACD seemed to indicate a bullish divergence too, but the market said no:


Sometimes, if it looks too bullish, it's actually bearish
masterluc
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April 29, 2014, 03:37:01 PM
 #1515

In August - September 2011 daily MACD seemed to indicate a bullish divergence too, but the market said no:


For this chart - market said yes finally. On this chart divergences progressively developed during few months and eventually made major $1.99 low.

igorr
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May 01, 2014, 02:32:16 PM
 #1516

LOL,

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Cлaвьcя, Oтeчecтвo нaшe cвoбoднoe,
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boumalo
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May 03, 2014, 01:25:09 PM
 #1517


I have a task for you to show you are not blindly bearish : tell us 3 reasons why Bitcoin could suceed

igorr
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May 03, 2014, 03:08:53 PM
 #1518


I have a task for you to show you are not blindly bearish : tell us 3 reasons why Bitcoin could suceed

There is much reasons,

Just read my threads started before 3-4 months,  all my analysis and predictions is so accurate.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=400001.0

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=374935.msg4014576#msg4014576

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=420005.msg4563711#msg4563711

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=419207.msg4553769#msg4553769

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=467191.0

Cлaвьcя, Oтeчecтвo нaшe cвoбoднoe,
Бpaтcкиx нapoдoв coюз вeкoвoй,
Пpeдкaми дaннaя мyдpocть нapoднaя!
Cлaвьcя, cтpaнa! Mы гopдимcя тoбoй!
podyx
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May 04, 2014, 06:07:11 PM
 #1519

-text-

Bitcoin_is_here_to_stay
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May 06, 2014, 02:48:11 AM
 #1520


LOL. And bump for the great thread.

$438 support broken, $425 probably, too - where is the next stop?
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