Bitcoin Forum
January 21, 2022, 04:48:46 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 22.0 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Pages: « 1 ... 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 [90] 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 ... 336 »
  Print  
Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 939885 times)
kevin08
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 62
Merit: 10


View Profile
September 06, 2014, 12:49:29 AM
 #1781



So, if 2011 is any indication, we'll see another painful capitulation soon enough, then about a year of at best weak price increase, ending in about 600/700 if we're lucky.

But maybe GABI and COIN will save us! Because as everyone knows, HNIs love to throw funds into a downtrend.

/bearmood

So you agree with falling?

Who is falling?

This guy

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=336063

All his posts predict bitcoin will keep falling in value.

until it goes back up.

So you agree with Risinnnnng?

I agree with falling, squeezing and rising yea ^^

Who is squeezing?
1642783726
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1642783726

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1642783726
Reply with quote  #2

1642783726
Report to moderator
1642783726
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1642783726

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1642783726
Reply with quote  #2

1642783726
Report to moderator
1642783726
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1642783726

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1642783726
Reply with quote  #2

1642783726
Report to moderator
Advertised sites are not endorsed by the Bitcoin Forum. They may be unsafe, untrustworthy, or illegal in your jurisdiction. Advertise here.
1642783726
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1642783726

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1642783726
Reply with quote  #2

1642783726
Report to moderator
1642783726
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1642783726

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1642783726
Reply with quote  #2

1642783726
Report to moderator
h3speros
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 189
Merit: 100



View Profile WWW
September 06, 2014, 04:31:47 AM
Last edit: September 07, 2014, 10:07:42 AM by h3speros
 #1782

i come to see if masterluc have posted new wisdoms and all i can see is some crap about falling and rising

only crypto market predictions, no bullshit https://twitter.com/h3speros
oda.krell
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007



View Profile
September 06, 2014, 01:01:40 PM
 #1783



So, if 2011 is any indication, we'll see another painful capitulation soon enough, then about a year of at best weak price increase, ending in about 600/700 if we're lucky.

But maybe GABI and COIN will save us! Because as everyone knows, HNIs love to throw funds into a downtrend.

/bearmood

So you agree with falling?

Who is falling?

This guy

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=336063

All his posts predict bitcoin will keep falling in value.

Don't understand the question or comparison then. If you read my other posts you will see that I'm long term optimistic for Bitcoin (and BTC price).

In my post, I pointed out that the last time we were this far below the SMA200 was in 2011. I don't think this means Bitcoin is doomed, and you will note I didn't say that either, but it definitely makes me wonder how long it'll take before we see the next uncontested rally.

Not sure which Bitcoin wallet you should use? Get Electrum!
Electrum is an open-source lightweight client: fast, user friendly, and 100% secure.
Download the source or executables for Windows/OSX/Linux/Android from, and only from, the official Electrum homepage.
masterluc
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 938
Merit: 1013



View Profile
September 08, 2014, 02:27:35 PM
 #1784

Huh, look at this. We're now pretty much exactly one full SD below the daily 200 SMA.
Bitcoin is faster than 200d bb =) There are far more than 5% candles close outside bands. So you either enlarge candle interval or make MA interval shorter.

I don't give here trading advices. Moreover, simply "buy" or "sell" is really bad trading advice. Because you need to know the target and stop loss points for your long or short positions.

At this time xbtusd failed to leave daily negative BB20 zone for two months and new move is on horizon.


oda.krell
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007



View Profile
September 08, 2014, 02:58:14 PM
 #1785

Huh, look at this. We're now pretty much exactly one full SD below the daily 200 SMA.
Bitcoin is faster than 200d bb =) There are far more than 5% candles close outside bands. So you either enlarge candle interval or make MA interval shorter.

Huh? I don't get it... here's the daily SMA200 with bands at 1 standard deviation above and below plotted. Or, in other words, Bollinger Bands set to 200.

Mid August and now has daily candles close below the lower band. My point was, that's the first time this has happened since 2011.

(And I'm pretty sure of that, went back to look at the old mtgox data to confirm.)


So, I'm not sure what you meant: I am wrong with my claim ("first time since 2011"), or do you mean I'm using too slow settings?


Nevermind. Pretty sure you meant "Don't rely on BB200, it's too slow for BTC." Correct?

Not sure which Bitcoin wallet you should use? Get Electrum!
Electrum is an open-source lightweight client: fast, user friendly, and 100% secure.
Download the source or executables for Windows/OSX/Linux/Android from, and only from, the official Electrum homepage.
masterluc
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 938
Merit: 1013



View Profile
September 08, 2014, 03:46:11 PM
 #1786

BB shows 1 x σ, but in a case of 200 d/bb there should be 2 x σ bands or even 3 x σ.

Yep, i see it useless. Except MA of course.

masterluc
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 938
Merit: 1013



View Profile
September 08, 2014, 04:52:17 PM
 #1787

$NATGAS at strong support. Outstanding rally probably expected.



Gold is one step from free fall.


Carra23
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 980
Merit: 1000


Need a campaign manager? PM me


View Profile
September 08, 2014, 08:30:49 PM
 #1788

But what about Bitcoin, masterluc?
masterluc
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 938
Merit: 1013



View Profile
September 08, 2014, 08:34:26 PM
 #1789

nothing changed. still bearish.

oda.krell
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007



View Profile
September 08, 2014, 09:02:13 PM
 #1790

BB shows 1 x σ, but in a case of 200 d/bb there should be 2 x σ bands or even 3 x σ.

Yep, i see it useless. Except MA of course.

Thanks for the clarification.

And I got your "5% of candles" comment as well now, I think. As in: if less than 5% of the candles are outside the bands, the bands are moving too slow.

I'm a bit slow on the uptake sometimes Cheesy

Not sure which Bitcoin wallet you should use? Get Electrum!
Electrum is an open-source lightweight client: fast, user friendly, and 100% secure.
Download the source or executables for Windows/OSX/Linux/Android from, and only from, the official Electrum homepage.
lebing
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1288
Merit: 1000

Enabling the maximal migration


View Profile
September 08, 2014, 11:25:47 PM
 #1791

I agree that technically bitcoin looks in pretty bad shape.

I want to make sure reading this thread here (which is quite good btw Lucif) is not making their trading decisions based solely on technical information alone. The paypal news today is something that the community has been waiting for since I joined this forum. This is the moment when we change from might be... to will be a major player in commerce of the future. Because of the technical bearishness of the last year or so I think people are not registering how large of a shift this actually is. In the not so far off future that will certainly change and morph into the euphoria we (those who have been around here for a few years) have all become accustomed to and the price will follow suit. Ignore the fundamentals at your own peril.

Bro, do you even blockchain?
-E Voorhees
masterluc
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 938
Merit: 1013



View Profile
September 09, 2014, 04:18:04 AM
 #1792

I agree that technically bitcoin looks in pretty bad shape.

I want to make sure reading this thread here (which is quite good btw Lucif) is not making their trading decisions based solely on technical information alone. The paypal news today is something that the community has been waiting for since I joined this forum. This is the moment when we change from might be... to will be a major player in commerce of the future. Because of the technical bearishness of the last year or so I think people are not registering how large of a shift this actually is. In the not so far off future that will certainly change and morph into the euphoria we (those who have been around here for a few years) have all become accustomed to and the price will follow suit. Ignore the fundamentals at your own peril.
Oh well, I just specially opened this thread to send my greetings to "news traders" and saw this =)

xbtusd is in medium-term bearish zone, it didn't escaped from daily and weekly red area still. Even with such moon fundamental news.

So far....

Maybe people just tired to buy so the market doesn't give a fuck to even paypal?  Grin Or probably aunt Yellen tired to print? Or wait... probably true financial armageddon is on a table and whales just want to get their $$$ back, primary from emerging markets. Or even put all together...

Anyway, you are talking about fundamentals of bitcoin, but you don't take into account The World Financial Fundamentals, 100s trillions dollars fundamentals which prepare to sudden change.

But everything may change quickly. Welcome to times of great changes, which hated by every chinese. I still don't beleive I outlived two destructions of motherland. But much more is ahead for all of you. Rothschilds will win this time.

lebing
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1288
Merit: 1000

Enabling the maximal migration


View Profile
September 09, 2014, 03:57:39 PM
 #1793

I agree that technically bitcoin looks in pretty bad shape.

I want to make sure reading this thread here (which is quite good btw Lucif) is not making their trading decisions based solely on technical information alone. The paypal news today is something that the community has been waiting for since I joined this forum. This is the moment when we change from might be... to will be a major player in commerce of the future. Because of the technical bearishness of the last year or so I think people are not registering how large of a shift this actually is. In the not so far off future that will certainly change and morph into the euphoria we (those who have been around here for a few years) have all become accustomed to and the price will follow suit. Ignore the fundamentals at your own peril.
Oh well, I just specially opened this thread to send my greetings to "news traders" and saw this =)

xbtusd is in medium-term bearish zone, it didn't escaped from daily and weekly red area still. Even with such moon fundamental news.

So far....

Maybe people just tired to buy so the market doesn't give a fuck to even paypal?  Grin Or probably aunt Yellen tired to print? Or wait... probably true financial armageddon is on a table and whales just want to get their $$$ back, primary from emerging markets. Or even put all together...

Anyway, you are talking about fundamentals of bitcoin, but you don't take into account The World Financial Fundamentals, 100s trillions dollars fundamentals which prepare to sudden change.

But everything may change quickly. Welcome to times of great changes, which hated by every chinese. I still don't beleive I outlived two destructions of motherland. But much more is ahead for all of you. Rothschilds will win this time.

Im not sure if we use the same macro level fundamentals,  but I absolutely do include my own. This is especially why bitcoin is poised to do do well. Just the effect of fatca alone in the comung years creates a vacuum which will gleefully suck that right into its hungry mouth.

Bro, do you even blockchain?
-E Voorhees
oda.krell
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007



View Profile
September 09, 2014, 05:05:06 PM
 #1794

Price has this funny way of sneaking up on a new low. Daily median already lower than on August 18/19, but current low still above the low of that day.

Happens more often, I think, last time in late March/early April, with one more capitulation (and new low) shortly afterwards.





Now, tell me why my analysis sucks, lucif Tongue

Not sure which Bitcoin wallet you should use? Get Electrum!
Electrum is an open-source lightweight client: fast, user friendly, and 100% secure.
Download the source or executables for Windows/OSX/Linux/Android from, and only from, the official Electrum homepage.
h3speros
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 189
Merit: 100



View Profile WWW
September 09, 2014, 06:19:50 PM
 #1795

Price has this funny way of sneaking up on a new low. Daily median already lower than on August 18/19, but current low still above the low of that day.

Happens more often, I think, last time in late March/early April, with one more capitulation (and new low) shortly afterwards.





Now, tell me why my analysis sucks, lucif Tongue

great find, avg price can be telling sometimes, this might be useful in uptrends also

only crypto market predictions, no bullshit https://twitter.com/h3speros
JustAnotherSheep
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 239
Merit: 100



View Profile
September 10, 2014, 09:43:23 AM
 #1796

Looks like lower lows will have to wait for now



Last time there was bullish div on 4h was just before the rise from $440. This time it's also compounded with the PayPal news (although I'm not sure how much, if any, effect that will have).

Also unrelated, SierraChart is amazing Grin Can't believe how much smoother it runs compared to the memory hog TradingView.

Is it a bull? Is it a bear? No, it's just another sheep.
andy35
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 62
Merit: 10


View Profile
September 10, 2014, 11:14:46 AM
 #1797

Looks like lower lows will have to wait for now


Last time there was bullish div on 4h was just before the rise from $440. This time it's also compounded with the PayPal news (although I'm not sure how much, if any, effect that will have).


Do you think the price will go generally up from here, or do you expect some lower lows in the coming weeks?
Wilhelm
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1540
Merit: 1109



View Profile
September 10, 2014, 11:18:58 AM
 #1798

Looks like lower lows will have to wait for now


Last time there was bullish div on 4h was just before the rise from $440. This time it's also compounded with the PayPal news (although I'm not sure how much, if any, effect that will have).


Do you think the price will go generally up from here, or do you expect some lower lows in the coming weeks?

no we are watching at another small dead cat bounce, it's a fake recover
we will surely go lower this week, the next target is $300

Falllling did you make a new account so you could be wrong AGAIN?!?!

Bitcoin is like a box of chocolates. You never know what you're gonna get !!
boumalo
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1736
Merit: 1014


View Profile WWW
September 10, 2014, 12:09:12 PM
 #1799

Looks like lower lows will have to wait for now


Last time there was bullish div on 4h was just before the rise from $440. This time it's also compounded with the PayPal news (although I'm not sure how much, if any, effect that will have).


Do you think the price will go generally up from here, or do you expect some lower lows in the coming weeks?

no we are watching at another small dead cat bounce, it's a fake recover
we will surely go lower this week, the next target is $300

It may go lower but the economic reality in the west and the superiority of the Bitcoin protocol will be the catalyst for a big rally

2017orso
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 434
Merit: 250


View Profile
September 10, 2014, 12:26:14 PM
 #1800

If we are truly at the cusp between innovator and early adopter stages it may indeed take some time as masterluc envisioned a little while back - minus the call for $10.  Stagnation in price for a time = buying opportunity.  Looking at it any other way is likely foolish.
Pages: « 1 ... 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 [90] 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 ... 336 »
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!