🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread

[YuginKadoya]

It appears that we have 2 sexy fighting kittens for this event hehehe. Miesha "Cupcake" Tate and Michelle "Karate Hottie" Waterson.

Karate Hottie appears to be very underestimated for this fight. She is more experienced in the octagon and she also has improved her wrestling skills to control those opponents that are bigger than her. Amanda Lemos is strong, however, she is also not very good.

There other sexy fighting kitten might not be a kitten. She is a sexy fighting leopard hehehe. I do not mind to my money in her. She is also a former champion who should never be underestimated.

Oh la, la, those fighting Kitties were really to die for, and where did you get those photos, they are really tempting to look at,

Anyway, It is not a slight intention to underestimate Michelle Waterson I really think she is great and I will actually root for her because I really love our fighting kitties, but Amanda Lemos is the real deal and if Waterson wants to win against her she needs to focus more on grappling, there is a soft spot for Lemos there and if Waterson can capitalize on it then she can win,

Just my two cents. When was the last time you saw Chandler was using his wrestling, except trying to stop take downs ? In last 10 years, he has won thanks to elite wrestling 3 times out of 14. Wrestling did not work well in a fight against Oliveira. I think Chandler prefer to fight in stance. And if he fights Fiziev, the chances of winning will be 50/50. I even think that Fiziev has more chances to knockout Chandler, than Chandler to knockout Fiziev. If they fight, Fiziev, as a master of Myai Thai, will try counter every take down attempt with knee, and with his reflexes and speed, this knee will end their fight.

Well During Chandler's 8 recent fights he often does those takedowns but it will not be going into a follow-up to submission or ground and pound mostly he wants a stand-up fight and a front kick to the face of Tony Ferguson, I think this is a desperation move from Chandler and you didn't see this every day for Chandler to throw that kind of a kick, and not a characteristic of Michael Chandler to throw something like that, and after that win against Ferguson he even said that he will give us an exciting fight, which is I really doubt, and if Fiziev VS Chandler could meet I will put all my eggs on Rafael Fiziev, I think he can pull through and give Chandler a great fight he will not forget, for me the power shots of Fiziev is what will KO Chandler,

Main bout Brian Ortega vs Yair Rodriguez match Brian Ortega for feathweight seems very likely to me to win, he's very much wanting to play a title match with Volkanovski again. What was their encounter last year, we saw a solid fight for twenty-five minutes. I hope we see a fight like this in this match. Yair Rodriguez has a good career, he has fought with important fighters but for me Ortega is more talented.

Brian Ortega is a well-rounded fighter I think that is why he is the favorite to win on betting, but the Kicking Acrobatic Yair Rodriguez can capitalize on those leg kicks and keep his distance for Ortega's takedown, he might win this, but in a boring fashion and knowing Yair Rodriguez he doesn't like boring fight he will surely bombard Ortega with all that he got, in a more beautiful manner with his kicks,

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[1714579715]

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[notblox1]

I totally forgot the fight that champ Volkanovski had fight with Ortega, and that was maybe one of the hardest fights for champion.
Checking UFC stats, and I see Rodriguez has overall slightly better Striking Accuracy, Defense, Takedown Accuracy and Defense, with reach advantage and more strikes landed.
Both fighters had experience with 5 rounds in fight, but Rodrigez had three and he won two in UFC.
This is not easy bet to make, and I expect long bloody war, but I am still on Rodrigez to win by decision, and fight to go to distance gives very nice odds on Sportsbet:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/mma/ufc/ufc-fight-night-ortega-vs-rodriguez/ortega-brian-vs-rodriguez-yair-629be5d8fba435cc007f66d0

Watch short video preview the UFC Long Island main event matchup between Brian Ortega and Yair Rodriguez.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pnadO_RrYrQ

[tokeweed]

Chandler is a tough match up for him too due also to the elite wrestling.

For me, Makhachev is a real threat to Fiziev, and the level of wrestling for Chandler for me is not that much to the Dagestan wrestling of Makhachev, it is proven that Fiziev has great balance for takedown defense and I think Chandler will just be Clobbered by Fiziev when going for a takedown,

Just my two cents. When was the last time you saw Chandler was using his wrestling, except trying to stop take downs ? In last 10 years, he has won thanks to elite wrestling 3 times out of 14. Wrestling did not work well in a fight against Oliveira. I think Chandler prefer to fight in stance. And if he fights Fiziev, the chances of winning will be 50/50. I even think that Fiziev has more chances to knockout Chandler, than Chandler to knockout Fiziev. If they fight, Fiziev, as a master of Myai Thai, will try counter every take down attempt with knee, and with his reflexes and speed, this knee will end their fight.

You're right...  Chandler doesn't really use his wrestling as his primary mode of attack.  But the thing is you know it's there ready to be used.  And if all else fails in the striking, I think any fighter who can't compete in a striking battle vs Fiziev will have to resort to their wrestling skills.  RDA did but he wasn't good enough.  But Chandler?  He's D1 wrestler so I think he could take Fiziev down easier than RDA did.  Dunno, that's how I see it happening in my head.

[YuginKadoya]

I totally forgot the fight that champ Volkanovski had fight with Ortega, and that was maybe one of the hardest fights for champion.
Checking UFC stats, and I see Rodriguez has overall slightly better Striking Accuracy, Defense, Takedown Accuracy and Defense, with reach advantage and more strikes landed.
Both fighters had experience with 5 rounds in fight, but Rodrigez had three and he won two in UFC.
This is not easy bet to make, and I expect long bloody war, but I am still on Rodrigez to win by decision, and fight to go to distance gives very nice odds on Sportsbet:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/mma/ufc/ufc-fight-night-ortega-vs-rodriguez/ortega-brian-vs-rodriguez-yair-629be5d8fba435cc007f66d0

Watch short video preview the UFC Long Island main event matchup between Brian Ortega and Yair Rodriguez.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pnadO_RrYrQ

In my opinion, the fight on Volkanovski vs Ortega was super legit and Volkanovski is dominating Ortega on the standup even though Brian Ortega caught Alexander Volkanovski on the ground and the fastest Guillotine Ortega has pulled against Volkanovski, and in 26 seconds Alexander Volkanovski still survives from Ortega's Guillotine, but Man Volkanovski if they fight again I will still bet for Volkanovski, he is absolutely one of the great strikers in the UFC, 

And in the Ortega VS Rodriguez fight, I really think that Ortega would have his dominance against Rodriguez, Ortega can capitalize on those leg kicks to secure a submission, and for Yair Rodriguez, he can win here if he can go the distance and keep the pace of his striking,

You're right...  Chandler doesn't really use his wrestling as his primary mode of attack.  But the thing is you know it's there ready to be used.  And if all else fails in the striking, I think any fighter who can't compete in a striking battle vs Fiziev will have to resort to their wrestling skills.  RDA did but he wasn't good enough.  But Chandler?  He's D1 wrestler so I think he could take Fiziev down easier than RDA did.  Dunno, that's how I see it happening in my head.

I think his Wrestling will be in the main game plan and the last result against Fiziev if they fight, I think Michael Chandler will pull another move that he hasn't used inside the Octagon at all like the Front Kick he used against Tony Ferguson, you see Ferguson isn't really aware that a kick on his chin is coming because his guard was all on the side, I really think he can pull something like that and his opponent doesn't have any idea about it to happen,

[TopTort777]

Ferguson really did not expect that front kick, but I think this was due to him being already old for mma, or slow, or less prepared for the fight. Such front kick are very common for Muay Thai, were Fiziev feels like fish in water.

If we use Fiziev and Chandler skills like paper-rock-scissors, then I think Fiziev is better in striking, but Chandler is on a completely different level of wrestling. Imho, in fights, pure wrestler usually beats pure striker (just because it is easier and faster to learn how to punch and kick, then become elite in wrestling). To bad Chandler refuses to use his wrestling in fights. He uses it as a defensive skill only. But since Fiziev wont try to take him to the ground, I expect them to fight in stance only.

[tokeweed]

^  I think vs Fiziev, Chandler would have no choice but to use his wrestling.  And he has a good camp with those guys at Sanford MMA.  Pretty sure they'll come up with a good game plan that should incorporate Chandler's wrestling.

Anyway, it's really nice to see the fighters making weight lately.  Another event with no misses...  Here are the results.

Brian Ortega (146) vs Yair Rodriguez (145.4)
Amanda Lemos (116) vs Michelle Waterson (115)
Li Jingliang (170.6) vs Muslim Salikhov (170.8 )
Su Mudaerji (125.8 ) vs Matt Schnell (126)
Shane Burgos (145.8 ) vs Charles Jourdain (145.6)
Lauren Murphy (125.2) vs Miesha Tate (125.8 )
Dalcha Lungiambula (185.6) vs Puna Soriano (185.6)
Jack Shore (136) vs Ricky Simon (135.6)
Bill Algeo (146) vs Herbert Burns (145.4)
Dustin Jacoby (205) vs Da-un Jung (205.6)
Dwight Grant (184.4) vs Dustin Stoltzfus (185.6)
Emily Ducote (115.6) vs Jessica Penne (115.8 )

There seems to be a mistake with Tapology's page for this event.  Lemos vs Waterson is at straw weight, not at fly weight.  I put Lemos at my top ticket.  Now I'm feeling like it's going to be a close match.  :/

[Balmain]

Ferguson really did not expect that front kick, but I think this was due to him being already old for mma, or slow, or less prepared for the fight. Such front kick are very common for Muay Thai, were Fiziev feels like fish in water.

If we use Fiziev and Chandler skills like paper-rock-scissors, then I think Fiziev is better in striking, but Chandler is on a completely different level of wrestling. Imho, in fights, pure wrestler usually beats pure striker (just because it is easier and faster to learn how to punch and kick, then become elite in wrestling). To bad Chandler refuses to use his wrestling in fights. He uses it as a defensive skill only. But since Fiziev wont try to take him to the ground, I expect them to fight in stance only.

In the Ferguson-Chandler match, Ferguson was already out of shape and unfit. Chandler had such good timing and was able to get that epic kick in his chin, with his hands down as if Ferguson's cardio wasn't all that good either. In the Fiziev and Chandler match, both sides will respect each other's wrestling and the fight will be standing. Fiziev's hands and technique are better, I agree, but I think Chandler's durability and cardio are better than him.

[Welsh]

There seems to be a mistake with Tapology's page for this event.  Lemos vs Waterson is at straw weight, not at fly weight.  I put Lemos at my top ticket.  Now I'm feeling like it's going to be a close match.  :/

Yeah, I'm thinking this could be a close fight, and Waterson takes it via decision. Now, I'm not going to bet my house on that mind you. However, I'll be placing it in my ticket or I might go the safer route, and just put a bet down to go the distance.

I'm still undecided hence why I haven't posted my predictions or bets yet. Just going to review a few things, but Waterson is my early lean.

Jack Shore also will be on my ticket, not only because of being bias, and a supporter of him, but I genuinely believe he beats Simon, despite his wrestling skills. It'll be a very good grappling match I think.

[LUCKMCFLY]

Israel Adesanya vs. Jared Cannonier - Israel Adesanya's gimmick is more entertaining than the fight. Dana White should book  Alex Pereira for the next title defense or I more  fight in the top 5 before facing Adesanya.

Alexander Volkanovski vs. Max Holloway - No doubt Alexander Volkanovski is the goat in the Featherweight Division better to move up and aim to be a double champ.

Sean Strickland vs. Alex Pereira - What a brutal left hook was that, so cold.

Pedro Munhoz vs. Sean O’Malley - What a disappointing fight! Sean O’Malley next fight should be in the top 15 for us to see if this guy is a prospect to be a contender in the Bantamweight Division.

For me Adesanya was a spectacular fight, as many of us think, the winner Adesanya is showing that he has improved a lot in his technique and is showing it in his way of fighting, it is not very common to see fighters like this, despite the Cannonier's entry I must admit, I liked it a lot, I could also see that this time Adesanya used his arms a little more, a style more focused on boxing, it's not bad at all, it is known in advance that boxers have a more particular style and that can be the origin of winning a fight, the good blows and the technique that he used seemed impeccable to me, not perfect but impeccable.

[Welsh]

For me Adesanya was a spectacular fight, as many of us think, the winner Adesanya is showing that he has improved a lot in his technique and is showing it in his way of fighting, it is not very common to see fighters like this, despite the Cannonier's entry I must admit, I liked it a lot, I could also see that this time Adesanya used his arms a little more, a style more focused on boxing, it's not bad at all, it is known in advance that boxers have a more particular style and that can be the origin of winning a fight, the good blows and the technique that he used seemed impeccable to me, not perfect but impeccable.

I don't think his style has changed all that much, except for being more cautious, which he has a right to be. Holding onto that belt, and getting the win is the only thing that's on his mind, and that's what gets him paid. I have seen speculation that pay per view buys have been going down on Izzy fights, not sure if that's reliable, and also don't know if that's because of his adjustment while being champ.

Although, he's a bit hard to understand, as he moved up a weight, and took the risk of a clean record. So, he isn't overly cautious, just in his style of fighting. Against Romero, and a little earlier in his career he definitely took more risks.

[Ratash]

The fight i am most interested about is makhachev vs olivieira its a bit unknown how islam is at the top level if he can withstand oliveira striking and take him to the ground how good will he be and is it enough for him to beat the champ so many question UFC fans want answers to.

[Welsh]

I'll probably get my predictions out tomorrow, but I think the bet I'll be placing will be the following:

- Jack Shore to win by decision
- Miesha Tate by decision
- Waterson vs Lemos to go the distance
- Jessica Penne vs Emily Ducote to go the distance

That four fold accumulator returns 12.96. I'm not sure if putting Ortega on it for a bit more return is worth the risk. I expect a rather close main event. However, I'm feeling quite confident on the above. I might consider going for a Waterson by decision to buff up that return also.

[YuginKadoya]

Here are my picks for the upcoming fight on UFC on ABC 3: Ortega vs. Rodriguez highlighted in green are my picks

Brian Ortega VS Yair Rodriguez

The stake odds for this fight is Ortega with 1.57 while 2.41 for Rodriguez, well I am for Ortega here but I really like Yair Rodriguez's style and the acrobatic kicks were really awesome, for me, this could go the distance or could be a submission wins for Ortega, but Yair could also win this fight and I am always saying here in my previous post, that if this goes the distance Yair could win this with pressuring kicks to Brian Ortega, and get away to crucial takedowns and it could be a boring fight to some but it is a way for him in beating Ortega Izzy style, but if Ortega could pressure him going to the ground then it is over for Yair Rodriguez because Brian Ortega is well-known with his grappling, so for me, I will pick Brian Ortega, but I really want to see some picks here for Yair Rodriguez and what they think will he do to win the fight,

Michelle Waterson VS Amanda Lemos

The Stake odds for this fight are 3.35 for Waterson, while 1.33 for Lemos, for this game Amanda Lemon has the power to win against Waterson, but Waterson is well-rounded and has very decent wrestling, well I never see Waterson could win this actually, and even though I am a Karate Hottie fan and I really love her but I don't think she will perform his Jui-Jitsu on Lemos, mostly she will remain in stand-up and this could simply be brutal to Waterson because Lemos is decent in striking, sad to say but even though I like Michelle Waterson, I can not be blinded on what Lemos can do, so my pick will be Lemos,

Jingliang Li VS Muslim Salikhov

The stake odds for this are 2.30 for Jingliang while 1.62 for Salikhov, for this fight I am seeing Jingliang struggling again, Salikhov only has 2 losses and both losses were a rear-naked choke Submission is Jiliang can get the back of Salikhov which is impossible to do because Salikhov can still finish you as well on the ground, even though he surely loves striking I think his wrestling is for the Last resort situation, for me, I will be going with Muslim Salikhov,

[Welsh]

The stake odds for this fight is Ortega with 1.57 while 2.41 for Rodriguez, well I am for Ortega here but I really like Yair Rodriguez's style and the acrobatic kicks were really awesome, for me, this could go the distance or could be a submission wins for Ortega, but Yair could also win this fight and I am always saying here in my previous post, that if this goes the distance Yair could win this with pressuring kicks to Brian Ortega, and get away to crucial takedowns and it could be a boring fight to some but it is a way for him in beating Ortega Izzy style, but if Ortega could pressure him going to the ground then it is over for Yair Rodriguez because Brian Ortega is well-known with his grappling, so for me, I will pick Brian Ortega, but I really want to see some picks here for Yair Rodriguez and what they think will he do to win the fight,

The thing is with Ortega, I find him to be technically brilliant some days, and then other days he just leaves his head on the center line, and almost invites his opponents to give him a good hiding. I do like him though, and while I have nothing against Rodriguez, I would like to see him win. His two losses come from Max Holloway, and Volk which isn't bad at all, considering the two just fought for the tile. Alright, Volk outclassed Max in every way possible, but Max still isn't a slog.

I'll probably put Ortega on my betting slip with the above in mind. The dude has only really lost against top tier opposition, literally the top guys, and while I'm not trying to be disrespectful to Rodriguez, I don't think he is quite on the level of these two.

[Sarah Azhari]

Main bout Brian Ortega vs Yair Rodriguez match Brian Ortega for feathweight seems very likely to me to win, he's very much wanting to play a title match with Volkanovski again. What was their encounter last year, we saw a solid fight for twenty-five minutes. I hope we see a fight like this in this match. Yair Rodriguez has a good career, he has fought with important fighters but for me Ortega is more talented.

Brian Ortega is a well-rounded fighter I think that is why he is the favorite to win on betting, but the Kicking Acrobatic Yair Rodriguez can capitalize on those leg kicks and keep his distance for Ortega's takedown, he might win this, but in a boring fashion and knowing Yair Rodriguez he doesn't like boring fight he will surely bombard Ortega with all that he got, in a more beautiful manner with his kicks,

Ortega can win if a fight is close, but Rodriguez is sure to avoid that and might be a little bit away to find a good position to land his kick on Ortega's neck, then we will see Ortega KO sooner.

[tokeweed]

I'll probably get my predictions out tomorrow, but I think the bet I'll be placing will be the following:

- Jack Shore to win by decision
- Miesha Tate by decision
- Waterson vs Lemos to go the distance
- Jessica Penne vs Emily Ducote to go the distance

That four fold accumulator returns 12.96. I'm not sure if putting Ortega on it for a bit more return is worth the risk. I expect a rather close main event. However, I'm feeling quite confident on the above. I might consider going for a Waterson by decision to buff up that return also.

I like it...

And I'm more confident in picking Ortega to win than most of these other fighters in the event but I'd say don't add him in your parlay anymore with it being already at 12.96.  I feel like Yair Rodriguez could surprise a lot of us who follow these smaller events more closely.

Anyway in case some of you missed it, here's the ceremonial weigh ins to see the fighters one last time before throwing your money. 

UFC Long Island:  Ceremonial Weigh Ins
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k29d3TStQhA

[TopTort777]

Charles Oliveira has become a new Roobet ambassador. Congratz!

Cryptocurrency are presented in UFC more and more. We have stake.com and crypto.com already. Now Roobet.com is presented there. I think duelbits or someone else popular are going to be presented there soon.

Ngannou, Oliveira, Adesanya - who else represent crypto in UFC?

[tokeweed]

^  Damn.  It's really surprising to see these guys come in crypto at this point of the market.  I mean it's good to see but if anybody told me a UFC fighter would sign a deal with a crypto gambling site at the next bear market during 2018, I'd say they should put down the crack pipe.

[TopTort777]

Fresh from instagram!



A fight a lot of people been waiting for - UFC 280 on October 22 Oliveira vs Mahkachev for lighweight title. The result will make a lot of people to shut up.

What do you think? Belt goes to Dagestan again or Oliveira proves what he has been talking about “being better than Khabib”  

[notblox1]

This event started much earlier than usual and it already finished, but main event finished really strange and fast.
Ortega popped up and injured his shoulder and fight was finished as KO win for Yair Rodriguez, but fight started really interesting with lot of punches.
I think that Ortega had surgery on same shoulder and maybe he is going to need one more, but both fighters asked for rematch in future.
Good thing for me, I was right with my prediction that Rodriguez will win