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1061  Economy / Speculation / Re: Will bull run of BTC start soon? on: July 03, 2018, 07:21:00 PM
We can have four types of market: stable, moderate, unstable bullish, and unstable bearish.

Right now, bitcoin had only the two last types. And the first type is not a market at all, as bitcoin would turn into a world currency and be no more viable for trading. Moderate is the traders dream, going up and down from time to time, without excesses on both sides.

For now, we are in a grey zone, between the unstable bullish and the unstable bearish. Maybe we will have a moderate market soon, that is good for both sides.
1062  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 01, 2018, 04:00:57 PM
Why would anybodies coins be lost by HODLING in Core addresses? Anybody else please deny or confirm this?


I run bitcoin-qt and my biggest security concern is me losing my password.
1063  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Analysis With dmwardjr (ProwdClown on Trading View) on: June 30, 2018, 04:24:43 PM
Interesting, the phase D is in August, and some predictions are poiting for a recovery in August.

That's why Im convinced the bottom will be now in July.
1064  Economy / Speculation / Re: Calling bottom in September 2018 on: June 30, 2018, 04:10:08 PM
Thats a good analysis, but you are supposing a slow recovery, like the one in 2015. However, back at the day, bitcoin did not have so many use cases as today. I think the use cases might lead to a faster recovery.
1065  Economy / Speculation / Re: Do you believe that the price is controlled by whales/manipulators? on: June 30, 2018, 03:34:49 PM
Yes, but not the kind of whale that is portrayed here.

I doubt that the idealistic whale, which joined bitcoin very early, and who truly believe in the tech, have been responsible for these dumps. They are being painted as the culprit, so that people are led to believe that the tech is worthless, and that even its earliest adopters are getting rid of it.

The whale that I imagine is the kind that joined the market in 2014, that is, hedge funds. These institutional investors are the ones that place bets in futures markets, and they try what they can to manipulate the price and close their positions in futures, which are leveled. They dont need most of the supply for this manipulation, only most of what is on the exchanges. However, for each fund betting on shorts, theres one betting on longs, which believe in the tech, so we cant throw these institutional investors all in the same bucket.

The real culprit are the exchanges. Most of the volume is not on them, but on cold storage. However, the price is manipulated through them. Mechanisms to block such crashes should be implemented, but nobody is talking about it, because "muh freedom". According to some idealists, freedom to have our asses raped by the banks is more important than a healthy market, where everybody can join in.
1066  Economy / Speculation / Re: Triple bottom: yes or no on: June 30, 2018, 03:25:19 PM
No, because there were two double bottoms already, and nothing changed, no bull market started.

This will be just another trap.
1067  Economy / Speculation / Re: Market is slowly degrading on: June 29, 2018, 03:50:53 PM
I've heard that many guys are just quitting the game right now because they are afraid to lose everything, so they just use the stop loss and it causes them to take the money.

1068  Local / Criptomoedas Alternativas / Exchange que lide com EOS on: June 29, 2018, 03:32:54 PM
Eu ia perguntar isso na sessão de altcoins, mas como ela continua sendo uma sessão de anúncios, pergunto aqui.

Alguém sabe se existe alguma exchange que venda EOS diretamente em reais?

Eu estou pensando em comprar, mas não estou interessado em voltar pra Bittrex. A taxa de retirada deles é sempre muito alta, e eu pretendo sacar para uma carteira Jaxx.
1069  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: ETH VS EOS on: June 29, 2018, 03:28:23 PM
I think Im going to make stashes of both, in the same quantities, but I'm still not sure about the capabilities of EOS.
1070  Economy / Speculation / Re: CME Futures Expiration Suppressing Market's Growth? Your Thought! on: June 29, 2018, 03:19:30 PM
You really hit the nail on the head with that steemit article.


Im not the author, but what he wrote I was already suspecting before, and had put some ideas here. People called a conspiracy theory, so I let it go.
1071  Economy / Speculation / Re: What's your plan? on: June 29, 2018, 03:15:07 PM
Buy ether (and maybe eos) until bitcoin reaches $5000. Then, after that, start buying bitcoin until the $2000s. All in small quantities. I installed Jaxx and will hold ether there.

Unfortunatelly, theres no coin to hedge against bitcoin, all of them have their prices pegged to it. So I will be buying in a freefall. But I will not lose the train this time.

1072  Economy / Speculation / Re: CME Futures Expiration Suppressing Market's Growth? Your Thought! on: June 29, 2018, 02:47:59 PM
Yes, but I hit this key too much already.

I will leave only these two links:

https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@supercrypto1/4th-dimension-bitcoin-manipulation-cartel-price-suppression-is-the-goal

https://blog.goodaudience.com/bitcoin-futures-and-the-ghost-of-gold-81418864c961

They dont want to destroy bitcoin. They want to adopt it, but they want us out. To dominate the market, they need the supply, so they need to buy it cheap. Even governments wants it, as part of their treasures.

If you sell in panic, know that big money is taking your coins. Thats how they got rich in the first place: through patience.
1073  Economy / Speculation / Re: Market is slowly degrading on: June 29, 2018, 02:37:06 PM
The market is in zombie mode. Some assets keep resurrecting a bit, some turn "dead". It's a bit too scary for new investors and the older ones are fighting a hard patience game imo.


For a zombie market, we need zombie coins.

Can you recommend one?
1074  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 29, 2018, 02:20:41 PM
If you get scared and don't use segwit addresses, then segwit adoption will slow down and eventually we'll go back to where we have started and then they'll be pushing for a block size increase again.


I dont use segwit for storage, not because of the FUDsters, but because it was not clear if the segwit adress use the same private key of the legacy adress that was used to create it, or if it dont have a private key at all. Since this was never cleared, I keep the cold storage in legacy adresses. Today, this dont make too much of a difference, since the fees are very low.

A legacy address start with 1, a segwit start with 3. This was technically cleared, and it dont matter when the address was created.
1075  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 29, 2018, 01:55:53 PM
I won't be keeping my cold storage coins in a segwit address though.


None of mine are in segwit addresses.

Months ago I asked some technical questions about segwit addresses not having private keys, and nobody answered. Since then, I only used segwit addresses as entry adresses, but not as storage.

1076  Economy / Speculation / Re: There's no point in re-testing $1300 on: June 29, 2018, 01:47:29 PM
I agree. However, the word "test" and, even worse, "re-test", are just terms used by shameless speculators, who wants to buy in a very low price.

5k was "tested" several times during the rise last year, and also 8k, and then 10k. Thats why too much people was took by surprise, when they saw the price falling so much.

When you say the price was enough "tested", people enter in a comfort zone, and think a fall will never happen, since the price is now "safe", because it was "tested".

We should avoid those fancy words. Theres no "test" of price here, the only real test is on your nerves.
1077  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 29, 2018, 01:31:20 PM
BCash Observer Ver/LN - Ego war movement tracking & discussion.
1078  Economy / Speculation / Re: Which will happen first? BTC=$4999 or less, or $10,000 or more on: June 29, 2018, 01:07:38 PM
Fall to less than $5000.
1079  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: All Altcoins -10%+,Is it time to buy? on: June 29, 2018, 04:50:16 AM
Yes. I just bought some ether today.

1080  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: WIll ETH pass BTC in 2019 ? on: June 28, 2018, 07:53:12 PM
It already passed, in some fields:

https://www.flippening.watch/

Also, I think $350 would be an absolute bottom for ether:



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