1634
|
Economy / Speculation / Re: The big picture which may have been missed.
|
on: January 17, 2018, 01:39:34 PM
|
Do you believe in the principle of our current (flawed) banking system ? Fine, do as you want and sell, try to profit the wave of cryptos, extend your fiat and forget about it. If you're right, every cryptos will go down eventually. Do you believe in cryptos ? Buy more, hodl. If you're right, value will increase.
Your answer is in Venezuela. It is not a matter of beliefs, but of facts.
|
|
|
1636
|
Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
|
on: January 17, 2018, 12:41:15 PM
|
I hope it stops at 8k.
But it can go to 5k, due to the noobs panicking. Just look at the other threads.
Never invest what you cannot lose. Never go all in. Always start with 5-15% of what you have.
Always hold it, until it matches what you want to buy with it, something expensive, like a sports car or a house.
And even when it matches what you want, dont sell it all, only a small part. Plan for dozens of cars or houses, not just one. Plan for a retirement.
Bitcoin critics are buying it at this moment. People like Dimon and Buffet are buying it. They dont need to understand the tech, they have clerks to take care of it.
The problem with these noobs is that they put all their money on it. Everything, their entire wages go to it. That's the recipe for disaster.
|
|
|
1637
|
Economy / Speculation / Re: SELLL!!!!!!!!! TESTED 2X AT 10200 = CRASH!!!!!!
|
on: January 17, 2018, 12:27:28 PM
|
This crash happens every year, always in January.
This year is more intense, because of futures markets. They opened in December because they studied the charts, and noticed the usual crash in January.
Most of the pump starting in November was done by millionaires associated with hedge funds. This was after futures was announced by the end of October.
When futures opened in December, they bet on shorts, and using leverage, sold contracts by 10x the price. They sold contracts without having it, taking loans from the house.
Then they go back to the bitcoin exchanges and short it. They dont do it alone, but in groups, so it is all coordinated, like they did with gold and silver before. The short provokes a panic, the price matches the contract, and then they cash it out, with 10x the price stipulated in it. That is, if he shorted 1000 bitcoins, he got 10000 bitcoins, but with the value in cash.
What he will do with all this cash? He will buy more bitcoins and pump the price again, this time even higher because of the leverage. Rinse and repeat, and a lot of people will suffer from it.
It will become worse when it opens in Nasdaq, probably by April or May. Probably bitcoin will be "tamed" in a couple years, like they did with gold and silver. We just dont know at what price it will stay, as some of these millionaires are bulls and will bet on longs.
Now, someone will say that if you hold your bitcoins in cold storage, we might get safe due to smaller supply. But what dictate the price is what is being traded on the exchanges, so they can do the same thing with a low volume.
But nothing of this is possible if there is no panic.
The return to the mean in Eliott's Wave is between 5k and 8k. It should be 8k, if we count only those institutional pumps, but theres the panicked noobs, and they will drive the price even lower, to around 5k.
Bears will say the mean is between $200 and $800, but most of these bears are shilling for BCash, and wants the flippening to happen. However, every altcoin is going down with bitcoin, due to the panic. Notice that theres no future markets for altcoins, only for bitcoins, so the real driving force on this crash are the noobs selling it at a loss.
|
|
|
1639
|
Economy / Speculation / Re: $800-$4000 will be the bottom.
|
on: January 16, 2018, 08:36:46 PM
|
But from there until calling the bottom at 800$... there's quite a long way and makes OP get into the long list of FUDers.
Just add a zero to his numbers. The bottom will be between $8000 and $40000.
|
|
|
1640
|
Economy / Speculation / Re: $800-$4000 will be the bottom.
|
on: January 16, 2018, 08:27:43 PM
|
It doesn´t really matter whether you look at LedgerX, CBOE or CME - the trading volume is dismal at all of them! The introduction of Bitcoin futures so far hasn´t really had any impact on the BTC price in my opinion.
Really? Who do you think was buying thousands of bitcoins in November and first half of December, after futures got announced? The same guys who are now betting for shorts. They pumped the price, and now they are dumping it. Then they claim the cash from their bets, and use it to buy more bitcoins, recovering what they lost dumping it. They use a leverage of 10x in their bets, so they win 10 times what they dumped. These are big players, they have millions of dollars at their disposal. We cant do anything against them, as anyone can buy criptos, even governments. If there was no futures, we would be stationed around 10-11k by mid-December and falling to 7-8k due to the January dip (see charts from previous years). But what we had was a steep rise to 20k and now we are falling back to October levels.
|
|
|
|