1425
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Economy / Speculation / Re: McAfee Speculation Thread
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on: February 15, 2018, 07:54:53 PM
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Idk why media and community is giving too much attention to his useless and inaccurate statements about cryptos. Just a publicity stunt to be in news all the time, i didn't find any proper analysis of him. $1M in 2020 means bitcoin need to have a growth rate of about 5000% per year, damn.
He used a very obscure model which predicts 1 million per coin at 20% global adoption.
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1429
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Are there any optimists left? Is $100K still possible?
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on: February 13, 2018, 02:55:04 PM
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$100k is possible, but not with the market full of fearful and crying pussies.
Everytime I come here now is this despicable moaning in every fucking thread.
This is exactly what the bankers want. They dont want bitcoin to succeed as a currency. Much better for them to be an asset in the hands of a selected few.
And why rich investors are so few? Because they have patience, they take such blows and keep going on. They also diversify, and dont put everything in the same basket. You go all-in in crypto, you get burned.
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1430
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Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Preço não para de cair. Nada mais pode ser feito.
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on: February 13, 2018, 02:36:18 PM
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Manipulado não sei se seria a palavra adequada para tal, mas que de vez em quando bate uma desconfiança quando eu olho o preço do BTC e do ETH e vejo que este está exatamente na proporção de 10% do big brother, isso parece bem suspeito mesmo kkk Foi manipulado sim. Teve uma bolha em novembro e dezembro, provocada por especuladores institucionais. E vai acontecer de novo.
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1431
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Has Bitcoin turned the corner?
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on: February 12, 2018, 10:27:01 PM
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Do like I did, OP. Leave 5% of your stash as a offering to appease KARHU, the bear of the polar axis.
No matter at what price level you sold, it will be the bottom in a near future.
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1433
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: February 11, 2018, 09:13:05 AM
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Each Sunday at Bitfinex we have 15% drop, caused by 13-15K BTC sold more than bought. Who are these guys: miners, corporate accounts playing with lending/margin trading? Why they sell always on Sunday/Monday in the last months? I read a post in twitter that corporate accounts will be closed soon. May be this is the cancer that stops the bull runs.
They should stop lending and margin trading as well, at least until the market recovers. There are sharks in these waters and they will use all kind of leverage tools available to bring the market down. This is bad for bitcoin image, because it will scare the average joe, thus slowing adoption as a currency.
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1434
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Read this before you think to sell
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on: February 11, 2018, 09:08:09 AM
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I'm not bearish, but this recovery is taking too much time.
For me, its possible to have a small, temporary, bear market in cryptos. Cryptos have proven most TAs are simply a matter of faith. All those theories about cup and handle, head and shoulders, double and tripple bottoms, they dont work with bitcoin. So its the idea of a long bear market.
But a short bear market would not last a couple of weeks, either. So this slow recovery is a indicative of a bear market, even if people here dont want to admit it. Its painfully slow to recover, like the market was in a kind of hybernation. Since there is a still active bull trend, bitcoin keeps going up from time to time, although not sidelined enough, making we believe the bear trend is over. This points that this bear market will be short-lived, and once more bitcoin will break TA theories.
Fact is: a lot of people who bought dont believe in the technology, they just want quick profits, so they sold everything during the fall. But the people who believes in it, and wants it as a store of value, didnt sell, and there's a lot of people in this camp too. Theres a bear trend, but the previous bull trend is still strong. This is bringing such tension to the market.
The bears are not satisfied, most shorted it during the fall, not at the peak, so they want it at $1000, below mining costs. The bulls think its enough, they want it back to $10k in a matter of days. I'm kind of a bull because I sold 5% at the bottom (to decrease exposure), and still wants it to go higher, I dont care if my order will refill it or not.
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1436
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: February 09, 2018, 11:49:29 PM
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The TA matches 2014 more than 2013. Actually it matches 2011 even more. And why do you assume 'wall street' wants to buy bitcoin? Wall street is already doing what they do best which is to divert attention away to their own fake derivatives, their own coins, and their own stocks.
Maybe they want bitcoin to cover those fake derivatives. How many of those WS funds do you think are not doing exactly the same as tether do, but dont have any media exposure because it is common practice there? Bitcoin is like a pure, pristine, untainted market to them.
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1437
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Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Preço não para de cair. Nada mais pode ser feito.
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on: February 09, 2018, 11:41:01 PM
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Em anos eleitorais o preço do dólar costuma disparar. Logo, se o preço do bitcoin acompanhar a cotação do dólar, no fim do ano o preço do BTC terá um bom incremento de valor em reais.
Interessante, então poderemos ter um bom aumento no valor. O dólar estava 3,12 até anteontem, hoje está 3,29, e nem chegamos em abril ainda. Eu vendi uma parte de minhas posições de outubro pra reduzir minha exposição, agora só vou comprar bitcoin a partir de vendas em topos. Para descobrir os topos, precisamos aprender a analisar estes gráficos. Eu acho uma bobagem este constante conflito entre touros e ursos. Ambos os lados exageram as previsões, e embora isso seja cômico e divertido, não nos leva à uma posição adequada para comprar e vender, pois sempre exageram. Precisamos de análises mais sérias. A abertura dos futuros e a aprovação do senado americano deveria nos levar nesta direção. Subida e descida muito rápidas significam que alguém vai se queimar, e não quero ser este alguém. O ideal é termos gráficos equilibrados, que permitam pontos de entrada e subidas satisfatórias, sempre aumentando o volume. Touros e ursos deveriam se unir e encontrar um ponto de acordo para que ninguém se queime mais. Veja a consolidação de volume que teve entre agosto e final de outubro, é aquele tipo de subida que eu quero, uma subida orgânica, com várias correções pequenas. Compare com a loucura de novembro e dezembro e a quebradeira em janeiro, foi dinheiro que entrou dos fundos de cobertura (após o anúncio dos futuros, no final de outubro), e as baleias se sentiram tentadas à vender, por isso a quebradeira. Tem que ir devagar.
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1438
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin will someday be worth as much as 40 times its current
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on: February 09, 2018, 11:17:31 PM
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In 2013 they said it was to be worth $50k in "some years". I didnt have any btc at that time, and the use cases were so few you could doubt it would reach such value. Now, here we are, and we want the value to be what the Winklevoss brothers predicted.
We can reach 50k right at this year. We only need a assortment of good news, news that can skyrocket the price, and make the marketcap go to 2 trillion. News like Giancarlo convincing the central banks to have reserves of bitcoin, something like that.
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1440
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Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Preço não para de cair. Nada mais pode ser feito.
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on: February 09, 2018, 02:42:51 PM
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Uma coisa que eu notei: quando o preço do dólar sobe, o do bitcoin também sobe, e o dólar sobe quando o mercado brasileiro (ações, títulos, etc) está caindo. Já nos EUA, o bitcoin está acompanhando (mais ou menos) oscilações do mercado. Isso significa que o bitcoin tem baixa relação com o valor do real.
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