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Author Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation  (Read 3312366 times)
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hodlmybtc
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April 16, 2015, 02:27:02 PM
 #4841

Price action couldn't be more boring Grin

On a positive note I orderered some physical Moneroj from cryptonic.net at 0.004 and higher BTC price too



Should be arriving soon Cool

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April 16, 2015, 04:11:57 PM
Last edit: April 16, 2015, 04:46:16 PM by medusa13
 #4842

280 support gets penetrated, will it hold?
funny to see r/bitcoin talk about us. some over there really think bitcoin will be anonymous one day Roll Eyes
i also like to see peter todd taking a stand regarding monero.

action now! 0.00283

XMR Monero
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April 16, 2015, 06:52:19 PM
 #4843

Sold all my XMR. i will buy back at 0.0020-0.0015 Cool
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April 16, 2015, 06:59:49 PM
 #4844

Sold all my XMR. i will buy back at 0.0005-0.0010 Cool

That's what most guys said with within the 0.0010-0.0015 range, we all know how that played out. 

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April 16, 2015, 07:13:32 PM
 #4845

Sold all my XMR. i will buy back at 0.0020-0.0015 Cool
see you at 0.01  Cool
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April 16, 2015, 07:17:25 PM
 #4846

Sold all my XMR. i will buy back at 0.0020-0.0015 Cool
see you at 0.01  Cool

+1  Grin

some wise man once said it's way more dangerous to not hold monero compared to holding it.

but lets see it positive, maybe your panic buy back will trigger the next big move up, so it could be worse (happend to me no joke)

XMR Monero
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April 16, 2015, 07:45:27 PM
 #4847

Sold all my XMR. i will buy back at 0.0020-0.0015 Cool
see you at 0.01  Cool

Perhaps, chances of sub 0.002 are much higher than 0.01 imo. Please dont say but there's x amount of buy support. 1) We all know that can disappear  in an instant 2) daily inflation at 0.01 is 150btc so even if the price was to go near there it wouldn't be for long, just like when it was visited in the June pump. Difference this time being there are far more coins in circulation.
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April 16, 2015, 08:07:04 PM
 #4848


Perhaps, chances of sub 0.002 are much higher than 0.01 imo. Please dont say but there's x amount of buy support. 1) We all know that can disappear  in an instant 2) daily inflation at 0.01 is 150btc so even if the price was to go near there it wouldn't be for long, just like when it was visited in the June pump. Difference this time being there are far more coins in circulation.

and we could all die tomorrow Shocked, there is over 550 BTC in buy support right now, it only disappears when it disappears.

btw I remember your nick in the polo trollbox when XMR was dumped at 004 and you were thanking for all the fish  Cheesy

want to buy back lower?  Wink

Talk about changing the subject lol. There was around 380btc yesterday. As far as I can see a lot of the support isn't real, surprise surprise (same with btc). imo (remember this is a speculation thread not a these are facts thread) a lot of the support is miners keeping people from selling, you know cause why would you sell with all that support, to keep the price up so they can offload their virtually free botnet coins at a higher price.

LOL I certainly was not buying anywhere near that price, perhaps you should look at the trollbox archive and then you can apologise  Grin You'll find I said I was out (of my trading stash) when the price was way higher than it is now.

Clearly you don't know but I've been here since almost the beginning, was mining and buying coins otc for 0.0003-0.0006/xmr so I dont need to buy back cheaper. I have a massive bag with the average cost way below yours, of that I can guarantee.

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April 16, 2015, 08:09:48 PM
 #4849

Theres nothing to apologize, I'm speculating as well  Cool

not going to lie saying I fully trust 100% of people say in either places  Tongue

There is when you're stating incorrect facts (I was buying at 0..04) as an argument against my points...
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April 16, 2015, 08:18:33 PM
 #4850

Theres nothing to apologize, I'm speculating as well  Cool

not going to lie saying I fully trust 100% of people say in either places  Tongue

There is when you're stating incorrect facts (I was buying at 0..04) as an argument against my points...

I'm not really interested in what you says that much, it was just a comment from what I vaguely remembered, after Truecryptonaire posts I have a small suspicious most people are using this thread to manipulate feelings in the markets.

Comparing myself to truecryptonaire, now you really should say sorry  Cheesy.

Its a speculation thread of course people are going to talk their book, who would be long and then speculate its going down and who would be short and say its going up. Clearly you're long so you dont mind the people in here saying 0.01 as that fits your narrative, if anyone says it might go down though then they're manipulating feelings. lol
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April 16, 2015, 08:30:41 PM
 #4851

It's more of a waiting game than anything in terms of massive increases in price due to inflation yet to absorb. There will be a point, however, when the emissions will have little effect on supporting the price but it's anyone's guess where the price will be when that level hits. There are definitely whales waiting for large orders to be dumped into and large orders to pop up on the sell side trying to manipulate the orderbook to snag.
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April 16, 2015, 08:52:37 PM
 #4852

OK, so I don't know if this is OT or not but here goes.

What's your opinions on BTC next stable price? I will have to be buying in again and obviously want to grab BTC as low as possible as it's nothing more than a vehicle to XMR for me.

“Bad men need nothing more to compass their ends, than that good men should look on and do nothing.”
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April 16, 2015, 09:33:53 PM
 #4853

It very much looks like that the 40k XMR support is real.

Though we have tried 280 price so many times that it is about time for it to fall, I am still uncertain if it will happen now or not. At least that 40k someone needs to sell first.

If we turn up now, it is a tremendous show of force and a buy signal (provided that you can buy at a reasonable price, let's say <330). If we turn down, I have the intuition that the immediate collapse to 180 that everyone hopes might not be happening. There are support levels in between. It's just that in the very big picture, the price has clearly liked <200 and >300 more than the area in between.

The reason why I write so little here is that the important things don't change that quickly. Monero is still very undervalued even at 0.01. Tbh even 1000x the current price is not near the potential of the currency and does not allow its full utility. The adoption of a cryptocurrency has strong positive feedback loops that can surprise everyone.

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April 16, 2015, 09:49:21 PM
 #4854

OK, so I don't know if this is OT or not but here goes.

What's your opinions on BTC next stable price? I will have to be buying in again and obviously want to grab BTC as low as possible as it's nothing more than a vehicle to XMR for me.

I am very curious as to how many monero holders take this stance. Are you "All in" or do you hold some xbt?

I know it's heresy to ask how much btc deep these "all in"ers (or anyone) are as it infers approximate xmr holdings, but my curiosity begs the question still.

I don't believe in BTC and won't even be bothered to call it XBT as most of the world doesn't know or even care what XBT means and barely knows what BTC means. I think it's retarded to try to rename something that is just getting a foothold in peoples mind. But I think XBT (happy?) will be gone in under a decade as the Blockchain will (If it hasn't already) be completely mapped and when that happens then All hell will break loose as LEA and Lawyers will be going apeshit over who owns what. It's already been shown by Coins being blacklisted from exchanges and gateways like coinbase collecting user info, the writing is on the wall.

“Bad men need nothing more to compass their ends, than that good men should look on and do nothing.”
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April 16, 2015, 10:22:41 PM
 #4855

OK, so I don't know if this is OT or not but here goes.

What's your opinions on BTC next stable price? I will have to be buying in again and obviously want to grab BTC as low as possible as it's nothing more than a vehicle to XMR for me.

Disclaimer:  I am clueless Grin

I think btc is near it's low now.  A couple of days ago it seemed the majority was expecting a long squeeze with prices dropping below 200.  On Monday I scraped together some fiat and bought btc @225.  Then when people started talking I scraped a little bit more together in case there was a squeeze even I thought it probably wouldn't happen.

Today the btc I had on Polo vanished Shocked
I did however find more Monero there. Cool

Tomorrow is the 18th somewhere in the world.  I will donate a small amount to the devs in celebration of Monero's first brthday Smiley
I expect the DB (the idiot proof one Tongue) on the 19th. Kiss

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April 16, 2015, 10:36:00 PM
 #4856

OK, so I don't know if this is OT or not but here goes.

What's your opinions on BTC next stable price? I will have to be buying in again and obviously want to grab BTC as low as possible as it's nothing more than a vehicle to XMR for me.
...
Today the btc I had on Polo vanished Shocked
I did however find more Monero there. Cool...

LOL, Thx. Smiley

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April 16, 2015, 11:09:34 PM
 #4857

OK, so I don't know if this is OT or not but here goes.

What's your opinions on BTC next stable price? I will have to be buying in again and obviously want to grab BTC as low as possible as it's nothing more than a vehicle to XMR for me.

I am very curious as to how many monero holders take this stance. Are you "All in" or do you hold some xbt?

I know it's heresy to ask how much btc deep these "all in"ers (or anyone) are as it infers approximate xmr holdings, but my curiosity begs the question still.

I don't believe in BTC and won't even be bothered to call it XBT as most of the world doesn't know or even care what XBT means and barely knows what BTC means. I think it's retarded to try to rename something that is just getting a foothold in peoples mind. But I think XBT (happy?) will be gone in under a decade as the Blockchain will (If it hasn't already) be completely mapped and when that happens then All hell will break loose as LEA and Lawyers will be going apeshit over who owns what. It's already been shown by Coins being blacklisted from exchanges and gateways like coinbase collecting user info, the writing is on the wall.

Nomenclature semantics aside, I simply find interest in the motivations of different xmr investors. I share many of your concerns for btc (happy?, Tongue) and have gravitated to Monero for similar reasons. I believe bitcoins fungibility is fundamentally broken. It's development has also failed to remain agile, miserably. However I still see significant gains to be made down the road. I still hold a strong belief that for Monero to make it, bitcoin has to make it first. The public will be too cynical of cryptocurrencies if bitcoin fails. If crypto is to happen, it rather needs to succeed then fade into the background as something superior takes over. Otherwise I think some kind of state sponsored cryptocurrency may be the more likely outcome.


EDIT: Don't want to be OT. Looks like 0.003 is quite determined to be the price of monero right now.

I don't disagree, I did not mean to sound like I think BTC will crach and burn. I just see it going the LTC route albeit slowly as it is not an abandoned project. I think Bagholders will be looking to diversify and that is one reason XMR got a nice shot in the arm recently and I fully expect that to continue. As time passes holders will continue to see the threads come apart and will inevitably drift toward XMR and/or other alternatives. AFA the bolded statement, I cannot see any scenario where that will happen. The writing is on the wall and the only reason it will not be a quick death is large holders (and stubborn true believers) will shore up their investments as they divest.

To address the "motivations of different xmr investors" I cannot speak for others but mine is simply the belief that it is needed for a free society and anything supporting that goal is where you will find me.

“Bad men need nothing more to compass their ends, than that good men should look on and do nothing.”
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April 17, 2015, 02:22:44 AM
 #4858

It very much looks like that the 40k XMR support is real.

Though we have tried 280 price so many times that it is about time for it to fall, I am still uncertain if it will happen now or not. At least that 40k someone needs to sell first.

If we turn up now, it is a tremendous show of force and a buy signal (provided that you can buy at a reasonable price, let's say <330). If we turn down, I have the intuition that the immediate collapse to 180 that everyone hopes might not be happening. There are support levels in between. It's just that in the very big picture, the price has clearly liked <200 and >300 more than the area in between.

The reason why I write so little here is that the important things don't change that quickly. Monero is still very undervalued even at 0.01. Tbh even 1000x the current price is not near the potential of the currency and does not allow its full utility. The adoption of a cryptocurrency has strong positive feedback loops that can surprise everyone.

The bolded part is important, and what people miss. In regards to btc and in regards to all other coins. I question the people claiming price stability around these levels (btc or xmr) and still claiming "utility". Not many serious in size financial transactions can be made today.
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April 17, 2015, 02:38:12 AM
 #4859

Yes, cryptocurrencies become more useful as their liquidity goes up. And their liquidity should increase as they become more useful.

It seems we're currently experiencing this feedback loop in the reverse.


Year 2021
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April 17, 2015, 03:04:23 AM
 #4860

OK, so I don't know if this is OT or not but here goes.

What's your opinions on BTC next stable price? I will have to be buying in again and obviously want to grab BTC as low as possible as it's nothing more than a vehicle to XMR for me.

I am very curious as to how many monero holders take this stance. Are you "All in" or do you hold some xbt?

I know it's heresy to ask how much btc deep these "all in"ers (or anyone) are as it infers approximate xmr holdings, but my curiosity begs the question still.

I don't believe in BTC and won't even be bothered to call it XBT as most of the world doesn't know or even care what XBT means and barely knows what BTC means. I think it's retarded to try to rename something that is just getting a foothold in peoples mind. But I think XBT (happy?) will be gone in under a decade as the Blockchain will (If it hasn't already) be completely mapped and when that happens then All hell will break loose as LEA and Lawyers will be going apeshit over who owns what. It's already been shown by Coins being blacklisted from exchanges and gateways like coinbase collecting user info, the writing is on the wall.

Nomenclature semantics aside, I simply find interest in the motivations of different xmr investors. I share many of your concerns for btc (happy?, Tongue) and have gravitated to Monero for similar reasons. I believe bitcoins fungibility is fundamentally broken. It's development has also failed to remain agile, miserably. However I still see significant gains to be made down the road. I still hold a strong belief that for Monero to make it, bitcoin has to make it first. The public will be too cynical of cryptocurrencies if bitcoin fails. If crypto is to happen, it rather needs to succeed then fade into the background as something superior takes over. Otherwise I think some kind of state sponsored cryptocurrency may be the more likely outcome.


EDIT: Don't want to be OT. Looks like 0.003 is quite determined to be the price of monero right now.

All of this.  BTC is broken to me, but I still expect and, I suspect, require it to soar for a time before the masses realize its dangers and limitations.  Before this happens Monero needs to strengthen and grow in preparation for the exodus from BTC  Cool
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