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2061  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: November 11, 2023, 05:43:55 PM
Mbape is lonely ever since Messi and Neymar left. There wasn't too much chemistry with Messi but I know of Neymar and that is why he is still struggling everyday to match up with Dembele and Muani to keep the team in better place for the club. Chelsea is not too different than PSG, they are even worse because PSG are in good place in domestic league than Chelsea that sit in number 10 struggling. Mbape also need the Champions League, if he should come to Chelsea, it will take him years before such can happen with this their poor form.

 Imagine their domestic club, a team that ended in 9th place last season is currently sitting on number one spot on the League 1 table, that is shameful to PSG coming from a club that hasn't win a trophy since 2000. I think France played there self do much for depending on Mbape for winning the world cup but perhaps they will not give him much interested by next season if they fail to win the Champions League this season.

Theoretically, if Mbappe is so good (I think so), then with his arrival Chelsea will consistently be in the top 4 (in fact, they should be in the top 4 without Mbappe, but with less probability). Another thing is that Mbappe has already completed his exploits (playing at PSG was a definite sacrifice on his part) and now he needs guaranteed titles - like Kane, he must make the right choice. The problem is that no club can guarantee the Champions League title, but in Real Madrid it is still as comfortable as possible to try to achieve this.
2062  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: November 11, 2023, 05:35:14 PM
PSG and Milan are favorable teams in Group F will lead to next round but its unpredictable after fantastic performance from Dortmund and success managed top position awhile, although their position still not secure yet for one place to next round but winning one match of two matches left will make it easy for Dortmund to next round. Next match will be final match for Dortmund want to lead next round or not because facing the second team standings Milan if get three points automatically Dortmund will lock one ticket to 16 round.

Looking on current standings team position, I think Dortmund is more favorite team will get next round ticket despite have PSG or Milan will get one ticket left. Newcastle opportunity is not close yet depend their next match result against PSG will get three points or not, over chance to next round if loss from PSG and looks realistic finish on 3rd standings to get place in Europe League.

Despite winning the last game, Milan are still underdogs and they need consecutive wins to maintain their chances of reaching the last 16. For example, if in the next game Milan - Dortmund Dortmund wins and PSG wins in the parallel game, then Milan will automatically lose all chances. In the event of a draw, not everything will depend on them. Judging by today's game of Dortmund, Milan has chances, but whether they will be able to realize them is unknown since Milan is also unstable.
2063  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: November 11, 2023, 05:27:43 PM
This is the opening match of the day, but not the week, since yesterday the weekend was already opened with the Athletic - Celta game. It seems to me that everyone overestimates Girona, and they have excellent results, but not least due to the fact that in the first 12 games they had only one top opponent - Real Madrid, to whom they lost 0-3. I expect Girona's lead to end before the game with Barcelona.

Screw Celta Vigo and Iago Aspas last night, he failed to score that penalty which would've put them ahead as at that point. That was a fine save from the goalkeeper. The loss now put the job of Rapheal Benitez in jeopardy. It doesn't seem like they'll Improve. I think Benitez would be sacked and not allowed for too much game. He's already lost too many gmaes.

Rayo Vallecano currently takes the lead at home, Girona will need better than they doing to make sure they win or at least draw this match. I'm keeping my fingers crossed, I don't want to see them drop points.

Celta remains in the relegation zone, but the situation there is such that one victory can change the situation, I don’t know if a change of coach will help the club. Using the example of Seville, one can assume that not, although at first it seemed that the club had overcome the crisis.
Girona again surprised and even pleased, but unfortunately I had already begun to bet against the continuation of their impressive streak, so the fact that they were able to turn the game around and win with a score of 2-1 is not very pleasant for me.
2064  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: November 11, 2023, 05:18:23 PM
I am surprised that Dortmund’s odds are still very weak:

2.52 - 3.85 - 2.58

In fact, Dortmund and Stuttgart are neighbors in the standings, plus Dortmund has a stronger historical background and reliability - they have only one defeat in the Bundesliga, and Stuttgart has 3. It seems to me that the bet on Dortmund is obvious here.
Yep, it's totally out of control but I'm quite happy with these odds because however placing a bet on Dortmund at these odds is definitely a good thing.
Indeed, VFB is still quite good until now but with the not-so-good results they received in the last few matches and their current opponent is Dortmund actually I think this is too raising the chances of VFB who is playing home.
But even though it's like that, I'm still happy because 2.58 is an odds worth betting on.

This is crazy, but if you look at the final statistics, it turns out that the bet on Stuttgart was underestimated! Stuttgart completely dominated:

Shots - 22:5
Shots on target – 10:1
Corners – 6:1

Expected goals for Stuttgart 4.4! It turns out that Dortmund was lucky to lose today with a minimal score, lol. Dortmund, as usual, was an unpleasant surprise (a very strange game after they beat Newcastle) and Stuttgart proved that even without their main striker they can play great (although the implementation of scoring chances is very weak).
2065  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 11, 2023, 05:12:41 PM
Finally Tottenham Hotspur has been exposed this season, I believe that I mistaked the fact that they win matches as them being a contender to the English premier league. But I think all that has been exposed.
Chelsea really broke them and today they were lucky to get the lead over wolves but they did not make that count and wolves equalised then later won all in the additional time. I don't think Tottenham Hotspur are a challenger for the prestigious English premier league anymore.

While City is playing in the league, it is too optimistic to say that anyone else is claiming the title. And I don’t understand what exposed means? Tottenham will be only one point behind second place at the end of the round. Every team has bad games, even City cannot show 100% results. Speaking of unsuccessful games, United had another one today, but they were able to take three points.
2066  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: November 11, 2023, 11:26:43 AM
Rayo Vallecano vs Girona is the opening La Liga match in this week and looks excited Girona not any pressure yet on the top stable standings because they are playing early match than Madrid or Barcelona. Girona have won four consecutives match in La Liga and last defeated from Real Madrid and they have consistent performance in the winning trend until success lead top position awhile. Girona still managed top position standing have two points remaining from Real Madrid will play next tomorrow but they will under pressure if Girona success keep continue the winning trend.

Its first time in La Liga until 12 matches who the first standings position managed by outside dominance teams Madrid or Barcelona, looking for two matches later Girona have opportunity keep manage top position before facing Barcelona and possibility stop Girona winning trend or not.

This is the opening match of the day, but not the week, since yesterday the weekend was already opened with the Athletic - Celta game. It seems to me that everyone overestimates Girona, and they have excellent results, but not least due to the fact that in the first 12 games they had only one top opponent - Real Madrid, to whom they lost 0-3. I expect Girona's lead to end before the game with Barcelona.
2067  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tyson Fury vs Francis Ngannou Boxing October 28 on: November 11, 2023, 11:20:04 AM
As far as Fury vs Wilder was concerned, officially the first fight ended in a draw therefore Fury defeated Wilder twice. Usyk on both occasions when he defeated Joshua showed how superior he was but Joshua never had the smartest boxing brain, he was never on the same level as Fury or Usyk. If Fury and Usyk do not get the fight on the balance of power will eventually shift to other boxers, I hope we see the fight.

Fury defeated Wilder three times, and Usyk declassed Joshua twice. No matter how they fight with each other (Wilder and Joshua), it is unlikely that this can somehow change their position regarding the Usyk-Fury pair, at least until we see the first fight between Usyk and Fury. Theoretically, one could speculate that the balance of power in this four could turn over over time, but these boxers are at such an age that in the coming years they will simply end their careers.

Officially yes, but you can put it another way: Fury and Wilder had three fights. I don't think there have been many cases in the history of boxing at the top level where boxers have met more than three times in conditions where one of them had not won in the previous three fights.
The most important thing now is to see the Usyk-Fury fight, then the balance of power will, of course, change dramatically as I am sure that this generation will simply retire or will earn money from time to time in exhibition fights.
2068  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: November 11, 2023, 11:12:30 AM
Al Hilal is the most consistent top club so far, Al Hilal is still performing optimally and has not received defeat for 13 matches and has only had 2 draws, I think the Saudi pro league has found the winner of the title this season, although it is too early to speculate but Al Hilal looks very tough at the moment.

indeed the season is still long and Al Hilal still has to face 21 more matches but Al Hilal has shown its greatness from the start of the season and if you look at the previous record Al Hilal really deserves the title because of its consistency from season to season there is no doubt and in my opinion if Al Hilal does not have any problems with their players. Al Hilal will continue to appear tough like this when facing the matches they will face.

It seems to me that it is too early to talk about this before a personal meeting with Al-Nasr. After all, if Al-Nassr had not been relaxed in the first two games after winning the Arab Champions Tournament, they would now have equal points. If you look at the statistical indicators, these are equal teams and everything should be decided in personal meetings.
By the way, the other day there was news that Al-Hilal would suspend the contract with Neymar in order to free up space for signing a new midfielder. I wonder under what conditions this “suspension of the contract” is possible. Apparently Neymar will continue to receive a salary, but he will be outside the club.
2069  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: November 11, 2023, 11:05:12 AM
Bayern Munich has odds @1.07 this odds obviously will not be profitable for the bettors but their current opponent is only Heidenheim which is promotion team and they were still struggling want to survive at Bundesliga 1 and so far Heidenheim has been lose 6 times and Heidenheim has been several times to lose with big scores from Augsburg and Leverkusen so this is easy match for Bayer Munich

Bayern Munich this season has scores 38 goals in Bundesliga and this proven they are as the team with the most goal and Bayern Munich also has strong defense because from 10 matches they only conceded 7 goals and their striker Harry Kane currently was on fire because he was scores 8 goals in the last 3 matches which is this is fantastic records and for this match i think Bayern Munich will be able to win with 3 goals margin or more and this option has better odds than if we pick Bayern Munich win

Yes, betting with a handicap is the most reasonable thing you can do when the odds are so small and you don’t want to bet on an outsider. But it seems to me that a handicap of -3 goals is too risky, it is better to take a handicap of -2 goals with odds of 1.53 and make this outcome the basis for a multi-bet.
It is noteworthy that Bayern have currently scored the most in the league and conceded the least.
2070  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 11, 2023, 10:53:11 AM
I don't think the game against Sevilla is an indicator of anything. Sevilla after 11 games has 11 points in La Liga and this is an extremely low figure for any league and especially for La Liga. But I also expect a big victory over Burnley since this team scores the worst in the Premier League and concedes almost 3 goals per game on average. Arsenal must crush it.

You have a point when we compare Sevilla to Newcastle of course. However I just thought that maybe that victory would be enough to improve the morale of the players to get well-prepared for their next game.

Manchester United - Luton is another game to be played today. Luton really surprised us on the previous week by drawing with Liverpool home. When we think about this Manchester United had better be extra careful. Because they are having a really tough season and they are still deprived of important defensive players such as Martinez and Casemiro.

United have not yet had “easy” victories this season, so even in the game with Luton it is unclear how events will develop. I predicted a confident victory for United (it seems with a difference of +2 goals) because sooner or later even a bad club wins big, but today Rashford is playing again and who knows, maybe he will get a red card again or, as usual, waste all his scoring chances  Grin
2071  Local / Майнеры / Re: Глобальные новости крипто-майнинга on: November 11, 2023, 09:46:09 AM
Укрупнение майнеров в преддверии халвинга идёт своим чередом. Hut 8 получила одобрение от SEC на слияние с US Bitcoin. Ожидается, что объединённая компания будет обладать хэшрейтом 5,6 EH/s при доступе к генерирующим мощностям на 825 МВт. Похоже, что надолго переживут грядущий халвинг, в основном, либо очень крупные и оптимизированные конторы, либо очень маленькие майнеры с каким-нибудь доступом к очень льготной цене на электроэнергию.

Вполне логично ведь любой бизнес имеет тенденцию к укрупнению. С маленькими майнерами проблема в том, что они будут в деле пока старое оборудование (стоимость которого уже отбита) позволяет майнить без обновления парка асиков. В какой-то момент, после n-ой волны апгрейда асиков их тоже сожрут. А там уже дело пойдет к "приватизации" битка регуляторами непосредственно через указание какие транзы можно майнить а какие нет. Все идёт по плану (с).
2072  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io ⚽ Newcastle + Southampton + Săo Paulo ⚽ (Saturday + Sunday) on: November 10, 2023, 08:47:35 PM
Game 1:  39, 13'
Game 2:  39, 13'
Game 3:  39, 13'
2073  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io - UFC 295 - Multi Master Challenge - (Saturday) on: November 10, 2023, 08:46:23 PM
13. Jiri Prochazka
12. Sergei Pavlovich
11. Pat Sabatini
10. Matt Frevola
9. Mackenzie Dern
8. Stephen Erceg
7. Tabatha Ricci
6. Nazim Sadykhov
5. Mateusz Rebecki
4. Jared Gordon
3. John Castaneda
2. Kevin Borjas
1. Dennis Buzukja

NOT go the Full Distance 5
2074  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: November 10, 2023, 04:15:56 PM
It looks like it is determined that Guirassy will not be able to play against Dortmund. This is really bad news for Stuttgart of course. Because they are relying on his finishing skills quite much. Without him they haven't been able to get good results so far. I don't think this will change against Dortmund as well. They would probably have serious issues with scoring easily.

Dortmund should be able to make use of their situation. They got a bad result against Bayern Munich maybe but we still saw really good against Newcastle in the Champions League. I expect them to win here again.

I am surprised that Dortmund’s odds are still very weak:

2.52 - 3.85 - 2.58

In fact, Dortmund and Stuttgart are neighbors in the standings, plus Dortmund has a stronger historical background and reliability - they have only one defeat in the Bundesliga, and Stuttgart has 3. It seems to me that the bet on Dortmund is obvious here.
2075  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 10, 2023, 03:48:28 PM
Arsenal played really bad against Newcastle on the previous game week. It caused them to lose the game as well. They already had some games in which they played really badly even though they won those ones. However I believe we will see some progress this week. They should be able to win against Burnley home comfortably.

I saw them really solid against Sevilla last night by the way. They completely dominated the game in Emirates and won by 2-0 easily. This should be a good sign for their future games in the Premier League as well. The interesting thing is the recent games between Arsenal and Burnley ended up with close scores. Maybe this would be the one things change.  Smiley

I don't think the game against Sevilla is an indicator of anything. Sevilla after 11 games has 11 points in La Liga and this is an extremely low figure for any league and especially for La Liga. But I also expect a big victory over Burnley since this team scores the worst in the Premier League and concedes almost 3 goals per game on average. Arsenal must crush it.
2076  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: November 10, 2023, 03:10:51 PM
It seems that after this round the fight for the title will be between two clubs Al-Nasr and Al-Hilal as the rest will fall behind by 5 points or more. But if Al-Hilal cannot beat Al-Taawoun, which is currently in fourth place, and if they win, they will overtake Al-Ahli, then everything will get confused again. Al-Nasr plays with team from 8th place tomorrow, so we can expect them to take 3 points.

It sounds impossible to happen. I meant that if the fact al hilal can't be beaten by the club which is placing above taawoun. Al hilal is having all of its main players ready to face taawoun. I expect the club to win at least two goals against al taawoun. Al hilal's odds is very disappointed but considering that al hilal is the strongest team in the saudi pro league and i must say that if that may become an easy win.
I see no problem is facing al hilal. Mitrovic and savic will be ready to face taawoun. Im sure mitrovic will able to destroy taawoun soon.
It's just the matter of time until that will be going to happen. Nassr may struggle to play without ronaldo. Even though al nassr was winning the last game but it doesn't mean the club can perform better than previous game.

On the contrary, it is impossible not to lose points ever. And if you think about it, where else is it more logical to lose points than in a game with a team that is very close in the standings? Yes, Al-Hilal is the favorite but this does not guarantee that they will win today. The game has already started and I see that the live odds are very interesting - 1.38 for Al-Hilal to win.
2077  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: November 10, 2023, 03:02:27 PM
But leading the table after 12 games is a whole lot different from leading the table after 5 games. But don't get me wrong, I agree that this is very early to conclude anything about their chances to finish the season at the top or among the best La Liga teams, but the consistency they have maintained over almost a third of the season has been remarkable. They enjoy the game and score so many goals. It is great attacking football.

But I am looking forward to December 10th when they play against Barcelona at home and then beginning of January they play against Atletico Madrid also at home. If they then still lead the table and don't lose these games, I think we can welcome a new contender for the La Liga title.  

I think you're looking too far ahead. Before the game with Barcelona, Girona will have 3 more games and for example in the next one (with Rayo Vallecano) their chances are estimated as 2.34, which is quite far from the favorite’s quotes. Girona had one big match this season - against Real Madrid at home and they lost it 0-3. Just because they were able to win against a lot of weak teams (check who they beat) does not mean that they will be strong in games against strong teams.
2078  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: November 10, 2023, 01:43:04 PM
Mbappe is really at a very big point of his career. Here any decision will be the turning point around his career with Real Madrid slowly losing interest in the French forward, I think he’s gonna be so quick to chose another destination so that he can continue to flourish, but sincerely I think Real Madrid might still come for him owing to the fact that the lack of a striker is what’s the missing piece in their formidable team.

 With Chelsea and Liverpool watching from the sides, I think Mbappe’s priority will be UCL football and with Chelsea’s current form, I think that might not be a good destination for this star man, Real Madrid has everything he needs but does he have what Real Madrid needs? Surprises are bound to spring up in the last minutes owing to the fact that Mbappe’s transfer will be the big news of the summer and his new club will be on the spotlight next season,Let’s see how things unfold.

Mbappe is almost 25 years old (in a month) and given the fact that new stars like Haaland, Bellingham and some others are emerging, he really needs to hurry to occupy his niche both in the media space and in the “golden annals of football”. Despite the fact that he already has many achievements with the national team, at the club level he cannot yet boast of anything special since the Ligue 1 titles do not interest anyone. If the transfer to Real takes place, we will see the first news in the winter as official negotiations will already be resolved between the parties.
2079  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: November 10, 2023, 01:34:22 PM
Al-Ahli failed to maintain its lead after being held to a draw by host Damac with the same score of 2-2. I thought this would be a landslide victory for Al-Ahli because they were ahead in the first half with 2 goals. But it seems that as the host, Damac didn't want to give up and didn't want to accept the result until in the end they managed to equalize in the 73rd minute and also in the 90+1 minute. Al-Ahli would have almost gotten 3 points if Damac had not scored a goal in the minute of injury time and with this result Al-Ahli failed to match the points tally with Al-Nassr in the standings.

It seems that after this round the fight for the title will be between two clubs Al-Nasr and Al-Hilal as the rest will fall behind by 5 points or more. But if Al-Hilal cannot beat Al-Taawoun, which is currently in fourth place, and if they win, they will overtake Al-Ahli, then everything will get confused again. Al-Nasr plays with team from 8th place tomorrow, so we can expect them to take 3 points.
2080  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +93056 units on: November 10, 2023, 01:18:24 PM
As a result, United implemented an even more interesting option - they lost to Copenhagen in the Champions League and seem to be saying goodbye to this tournament  Grin I'm surprised at how resilient he is - any other coach would have been fired for half of these failures.
It seems that Arsenal had no problems at all with Sevilla (which made their only shot on target in stoppage time). They are terrible in both tournaments, so perhaps the odds for their victory of less than 10 should be considered unprofitable?

Sigh, yes, but 4/1 odds on Kopenhagn didn't attract me enough for betting, unfortunately. The smart bet now would be an acca on them to win their next two games vs Galatasaray and Bayern, but no markets yet for the latter game so I will do this manually Wink

I actually think TH is good, but I've said before the real problem is to undo the culture of "it's ok to be average" at the club. Rashford had his manager backing him throughout his horrid start but then he goes clubbing after losing the derby? I think he doesn't have the full team backing, which is a shame.

Hmmm... You have a peculiar view on betting, but I didn’t think that you had the same view on coaches  Wink Maybe as a Liverpool fan you just like United's results under Ten Hag?  Cheesy I evaluate Ten Hag completely differently, but I write about this everywhere so I won’t repeat myself.
Yes, I heard about this situation with Rashford, but I didn’t attach much importance to it since it seemed to be not a club get-together, but a birthday in the family circle. But to be consistent, Ten Hag should have punished Rashford anyway.
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