Bitcoin Forum
December 09, 2016, 05:31:53 PM *
News: To be able to use the next phase of the beta forum software, please ensure that your email address is correct/functional.
 
   Home   Help Search Donate Login Register  
Poll
Question: Bitcoin Forecast: What do you expect BTC/USD prices to do in the next 4 weeks?
Up
Down
Same as now
I don't know

Pages: « 1 ... 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 [65] 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 ... 157 »
  Print  
Author Topic: Bitcoin Forecast, Bitcoin Speculation & Bitcoin Technical Analysis. Up or DOWN?  (Read 509482 times)
grod
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 154


View Profile
October 08, 2011, 07:36:39 PM
 #1281

Is this a reasonable short term wave interpretation?
Code:
Friday 19:30 21:00 02:00 11:00 14:00 18:00 22:00 Sunday---------> Monday
($5.0)
             ($4.5)

                  i      ($4.2)
     I     II           ii                 III
                   ($4.0)     iii    ($4.0)
                                    iv            
       ($3.8)                  ($3.8)      v           (<$3.8)
                                                a b c IV     i-v V
                                           ($3.?)                (<$3.?)
Friday 19:30 21:00 02:00 11:00 14:00 18:00 22:00 Sunday---------> Monday
or


Mmmyeah, I'd say you've got the cunt on that chart pretty much nailed.
1481304713
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1481304713

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1481304713
Reply with quote  #2

1481304713
Report to moderator
1481304713
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1481304713

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1481304713
Reply with quote  #2

1481304713
Report to moderator
Advertised sites are not endorsed by the Bitcoin Forum. They may be unsafe, untrustworthy, or illegal in your jurisdiction. Advertise here.
1481304713
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1481304713

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1481304713
Reply with quote  #2

1481304713
Report to moderator
iopq
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 644


View Profile
October 08, 2011, 07:37:09 PM
 #1282

why do I even read this anymore? you're just always optimistic, with resistances everywhere, but the price keeps dropping slowly

S3052
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1946


BTC Up or Down? go to www.bullbearanalytics.com


View Profile WWW
October 08, 2011, 08:24:12 PM
 #1283

Is this a reasonable short term wave interpretation?
Code:
Friday 19:30 21:00 02:00 11:00 14:00 18:00 22:00 Sunday---------> Monday
[/quote]

[color=blue]It is a possibility, while I have a couple of alternative counts. I will send them to you tomorrow by mail[/color]

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

http://twitter.com/BitcoinAnalyst

Subscribe here
panerai
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 84



View Profile
October 08, 2011, 08:38:38 PM
 #1284

Is this a reasonable short term wave interpretation?
Code:
Friday 19:30 21:00 02:00 11:00 14:00 18:00 22:00 Sunday---------> Monday
[/quote]

[color=blue]It is a possibility, while I have a couple of alternative counts. I will send them to you tomorrow by mail[/color]

Your predictions are not panning out huh? I enjoy your commentary, but now it appears it's really just for entertainment purposes. No money to be made here with your analysis. Not trying to be negative, just saying...
bulanula
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 518



View Profile
October 08, 2011, 08:42:23 PM
 #1285

why do I even read this anymore? you're just always optimistic, with resistances everywhere, but the price keeps dropping slowly

LOL at least someone gets it around here !
fivebells
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 462


View Profile
October 08, 2011, 09:49:26 PM
 #1286

S dropped the "o" from "counts" once, and it came out funny-sounding.
netrin
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 322


FirstBits: 168Bc


View Profile
October 08, 2011, 10:01:24 PM
 #1287

why do I even read this anymore? you're just always optimistic, with resistances everywhere, but the price keeps dropping slowly
LOL at least someone gets it around here !

critical runts who ridicule cunts

Choose your scale, http://www.bitcoinbullbear.com/ has been pretty damn accurate for several months.

Greenlandic tupilak. Hand carved, traditional cursed bone figures. Sorry, polar bear, walrus and human remains not available for export.
iopq
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 644


View Profile
October 08, 2011, 10:44:40 PM
 #1288

why do I even read this anymore? you're just always optimistic, with resistances everywhere, but the price keeps dropping slowly
LOL at least someone gets it around here !

critical runts who ridicule cunts

Choose your scale, http://www.bitcoinbullbear.com/ has been pretty damn accurate for several months.
it also said long term up when it was $14, long term up when it was $11, long term up all the time

how long is long term? if it drops to $1 and then goes back up to $4 in two years, the guy will come back and say SEE? IT'S UP LONG TERM

if it never goes up he will just say it's not long term yet, wait longer
it's impossible to prove it wrong, but the only good post is when he said $26 was too high, and to sell
that's the last time when following his advice on short term was good

osmosis
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 301



View Profile
October 08, 2011, 11:33:34 PM
 #1289

why do I even read this anymore? you're just always optimistic, with resistances everywhere, but the price keeps dropping slowly
LOL at least someone gets it around here !

critical runts who ridicule cunts

Choose your scale, http://www.bitcoinbullbear.com/ has been pretty damn accurate for several months.
it also said long term up when it was $14, long term up when it was $11, long term up all the time

how long is long term? if it drops to $1 and then goes back up to $4 in two years, the guy will come back and say SEE? IT'S UP LONG TERM

if it never goes up he will just say it's not long term yet, wait longer
it's impossible to prove it wrong, but the only good post is when he said $26 was too high, and to sell
that's the last time when following his advice on short term was good

You have to read between the lines. It means, next round of suckers, next round of suckers, next round of suckers. Line em' up! my fav was ... "oh, btw..im in an all cash position now."
School of hard knocks.
You know what?! F this. Im done, deleting my wallet! This is crap. I'm over it! This is bollsheit. Its over. Its done.
kidding

The analysis actually seems pretty good. Its mostly the scams that keep changing the trend.
netrin
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 322


FirstBits: 168Bc


View Profile
October 08, 2011, 11:38:44 PM
 #1290

how long is long term? if it drops to $1 and then goes back up to $4 in two years, the guy will come back and say SEE? IT'S UP LONG TERM
If you didn't know what long term meant, then ask. It's a year. Mid term months/weeks. Short days/hour. Any idiot can see the price has been dropping for four months just as he can see it's way up over the year.

Greenlandic tupilak. Hand carved, traditional cursed bone figures. Sorry, polar bear, walrus and human remains not available for export.
S3052
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1946


BTC Up or Down? go to www.bullbearanalytics.com


View Profile WWW
October 09, 2011, 06:05:12 PM
 #1291

Is this a reasonable short term wave interpretation?
Code:
Friday 19:30 21:00 02:00 11:00 14:00 18:00 22:00 Sunday---------> Monday
($5.0)
             ($4.5)

                  i      ($4.2)
     I     II           ii                 III
                   ($4.0)     iii    ($4.0)
                                    iv            
       ($3.8)                  ($3.8)      v           (<$3.8)
                                                a b c IV     i-v V
                                           ($3.?)                (<$3.?)
Friday 19:30 21:00 02:00 11:00 14:00 18:00 22:00 Sunday---------> Monday
or


Just sent two alternate wave counts. Let me know if you have not received it.

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

http://twitter.com/BitcoinAnalyst

Subscribe here
panerai
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 84



View Profile
October 09, 2011, 06:42:49 PM
 #1292


Quote
The analysis actually seems pretty good. Its mostly the scams that keep changing the trend.

Worth the money he's asking? I'm debating it...
netrin
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 322


FirstBits: 168Bc


View Profile
October 09, 2011, 08:25:07 PM
 #1293

Worth the money he's asking? I'm debating it...
It's possible to calculate this if you've kept record of your own performance. Choose a time scale (long, mid, short), consult public postings since you got into bitcoin and consistently follow the suggestions (hypothetically buy or sell 50% at the price 12 hours after the public post timestamp), trigger stop losses when necessary. Then compare your actual performance with this hypothetical history minus fees.

Greenlandic tupilak. Hand carved, traditional cursed bone figures. Sorry, polar bear, walrus and human remains not available for export.
S3052
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1946


BTC Up or Down? go to www.bullbearanalytics.com


View Profile WWW
October 10, 2011, 06:26:53 AM
 #1294

We are at a very important juncture on BTCUSD.

Here is an excerpt of the special update in the subscriber section: Prices are right where the longterm uptrend lines run. The view on the longterm chart, shows that we are likely at a buying opportunity of a "bitcoin lifetime". Very likely (80%), this trendline will at least spark a strong countertrend rally from approximately current levels. But as this trendline is important and prices are more in a consolidation than in a "bubble" state, there is a high probability that BTCUSD starts a rally to new all time highs. When looking at the very short term, we have been analysing two extreme scenarios: Either prices rally from here around 4 $. Or, BTCUSD will do one final dip below 3.79 $ before the reversal starts.

Only a strong, sustained move below the long term trendline will result into a much deeper correction. Still, we do not see this as the more likely option and remain long term bullish.

http://www.bitcoinbullbear.com/index.html

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

http://twitter.com/BitcoinAnalyst

Subscribe here
zby
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1431


View Profile
October 10, 2011, 07:11:29 AM
 #1295

The lines are again a little bit lower.  I have also seen 2.8 as the long term trend line border - so I guess you still have lot's of space for these adjustments.
nmat
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 602


View Profile
October 10, 2011, 07:48:41 AM
 #1296

We are at a very important juncture on BTCUSD.

Here is an excerpt of the special update in the subscriber section: Prices are right where the longterm uptrend lines run. The view on the longterm chart, shows that we are likely at a buying opportunity of a "bitcoin lifetime". Very likely (80%), this trendline will at least spark a strong countertrend rally from approximately current levels. But as this trendline is important and prices are more in a consolidation than in a "bubble" state, there is a high probability that BTCUSD starts a rally to new all time highs. When looking at the very short term, we have been analysing two extreme scenarios: Either prices rally from here around 4 $. Or, BTCUSD will do one final dip below 3.79 $ before the reversal starts.

Only a strong, sustained move below the long term trendline will result into a much deeper correction. Still, we do not see this as the more likely option and remain long term bullish.

http://www.bitcoinbullbear.com/index.html

I have been following your analyses and I really enjoy them. Thank for doing it. But honestly, you need to think "outside the chart". Bitcoins are not like the regular stock/forex market. The $30 high was caused solely by news sites and people's curiosity. Using that peak to constantly claim a rally to a new all time high is short sighted. It's simply not going to happen without another major breakthrough in the bitcoin world (something like Amazon accepts bitcoin) because there isn't enough market capital to buy coins all the way up to $30.

The volume in currency clearly shows that in June we had a lot of people trading, but they are gone now:



The prices might go up, but they aren't going anywhere near $30 anytime soon.

PS: It's simple math: the number of coins is increasing rapidly and the number of new investors is decreasing slowly.
netrin
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 322


FirstBits: 168Bc


View Profile
October 10, 2011, 08:18:06 AM
 #1297

The number of bitcoins remained relatively fixed. Obviously the number of dollars was almost ten times greater when the price was ten times greater. You would therefor expect to see ten times more volume in dollar currency. But I think it is more relevant to look at the number of trades in bitcoin, rather than the number of dollars traded.


Greenlandic tupilak. Hand carved, traditional cursed bone figures. Sorry, polar bear, walrus and human remains not available for export.
fivebells
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 462


View Profile
October 10, 2011, 09:13:32 AM
 #1298

More $ chasing fewer btc ==> higher btc/$ rate.  It's a simple supply & demand relationship which an honest prognostication on the exchange rate won't ignore.

The salient problem with nmat's reasoning is his belief that S has based his predictions on technical features of the Summer bubble.  Actually S is working from two earlier price-reversal time points, which he draws a line through on the graph.  He says that line represents an important price threshold, but provides no rational basis for this belief.

Technical analysis is just barely mathematically elaborate enough to be intellectually intimidating to most people, and set the chart reader up as someone with arcane skills.  But there doesn't seem to be any empirical evidence for its predictive power.
zby
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1431


View Profile
October 10, 2011, 09:24:29 AM
 #1299

It just needs to be suggestive.  It fails on me - because of the inconsistencies - if the line is drawn once in one way next week in another way - it loses credibility.  The question is if I am a common case - maybe not.
Xenland
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 980


I'm not just any shaman, I'm a Sha256man


View Profile
October 10, 2011, 09:31:20 AM
 #1300

Honestly I've been following the public pricing and I think S3052 is doing a good job on accurateness. He/she may or may not be using a certain style to tell the community how things will be I can tell that S3052 is trying his best to stay neutral with that analysis but at the same time trying to add a little bit of hope to it.

I agree with nmat to a point but I disagree with him where as I've also noticed that most trading around here follows social trends then they do the actual Bitcoin value and I've noticed that S3052 has been accurately following these trends as well so for nmat to say that he is strictly following Mtgox/Tradehill/campbx/bitcoin7 data is far from the truth from my personal experiences.
Pages: « 1 ... 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 [65] 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 ... 157 »
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Sponsored by , a Bitcoin-accepting VPN.
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!