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Question: Bitcoin Forecast: What do you expect BTC/USD prices to do in the next 4 weeks?
Up
Down
Same as now
I don't know

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Author Topic: Bitcoin Forecast, Bitcoin Speculation & Bitcoin Technical Analysis. Up or DOWN?  (Read 540168 times)
proudhon
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November 15, 2011, 11:27:16 AM
 #1521

Shorting bitcoin has been a good way to go for the past 5 months.  5 months from now I'm confident we'll be even lower (< $1), so even shorting now will probably turn out profitable.

Hope some of you were lucky enough to have shorted when everyone else was warning of a reversal and BIG squeeze.  If you did, congrats on your winnings.

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Every time a block is mined, a certain amount of BTC (called the subsidy) is created out of thin air and given to the miner. The subsidy halves every four years and will reach 0 in about 130 years.
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gewure
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November 15, 2011, 02:00:07 PM
 #1522

Shorting bitcoin has been a good way to go for the past 5 months.  5 months from now I'm confident we'll be even lower (< $1), so even shorting now will probably turn out profitable.

Hope some of you were lucky enough to have shorted when everyone else was warning of a reversal and BIG squeeze.  If you did, congrats on your winnings.

put 20 BTC on bitcoinica, sold 96, won 35.

-> ROI of 275%  Cool

i am now shortterm bull with 20 BTC, after a rebounce i expect to happen very soon, i will be short again.

best thing: i feel like i gained alot of market/trading experience within a very short time.

BadBear
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November 15, 2011, 02:11:02 PM
 #1523

Shorting bitcoin has been a good way to go for the past 5 months.  5 months from now I'm confident we'll be even lower (< $1), so even shorting now will probably turn out profitable.

Hope some of you were lucky enough to have shorted when everyone else was warning of a reversal and BIG squeeze.  If you did, congrats on your winnings.

Yeah woke up to a nice surprise this morning, was expecting a drop but not that big and fast.  Now to decide on the future.  I expect there may be a mini rally, but it certainly won't go back to 3. 

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gewure
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November 15, 2011, 02:33:13 PM
 #1524

Shorting bitcoin has been a good way to go for the past 5 months.  5 months from now I'm confident we'll be even lower (< $1), so even shorting now will probably turn out profitable.

Hope some of you were lucky enough to have shorted when everyone else was warning of a reversal and BIG squeeze.  If you did, congrats on your winnings.

put 20 BTC on bitcoinica, sold 96, won 35.

-> ROI of 275%  Cool

i am now shortterm bull with 20 BTC, after a rebounce i expect to happen very soon, i will be short again.

best thing: i feel like i gained alot of market/trading experience within a very short time.



I feel the same way at the casino every time I win at a new game:P

lol. good point
molecular
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November 15, 2011, 03:39:49 PM
 #1525

best thing: i feel like i gained alot of market/trading experience within a very short time.

I feel the same way at the casino every time I win at a new game:P

Haha, good answer. Was thinking along these lines but didn't manage to come up with this.

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S3052 (OP)
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November 15, 2011, 07:21:20 PM
 #1526

If the person(s) who have the 50,000 BTC bid on MtGox pull this out, prices will fall like a stone (or should I say falling knife)

kokjo
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November 15, 2011, 07:28:23 PM
 #1527

If the person(s) who have the 50,000 BTC bid on MtGox pull this out, prices will fall like a stone (or should I say falling knife)
but the bid wall it also proof that maniputators/traders/investors/bigmoney are intrested in bitcoin.
and there are enough buy power to get over 5.
right?

"The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves and wiser people so full of doubts." -Bertrand Russell
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November 15, 2011, 07:28:49 PM
 #1528

If the person(s) who have the 50,000 BTC bid on MtGox pull this out, prices will fall like a stone (or should I say falling knife)
The irony about this is if that happens whoever that wall belongs to would make more profits from smashing the sell orders that would pop up afterwards.

I guess he is just waiting till the technicals support it so it doesn't look so arbitrarily.

The question for the rest of us is: can we trade successfully in a cornered market?
(I know this sounds kinda silly but if you think as time as your enemy...)
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November 15, 2011, 07:36:29 PM
 #1529

Its still not that difficult to make money in this market. Looking at the charts, you dont even see any evidence for any cornering. Its just normal volatility. And its also normal that its gets more volatile on the way down.

I.e. you could have sold or shorted bitcoins around 25-30 $ (I issued a sell signal on Jun 12th with target dowon to at least 5 $) and fared quite well with it.

And currently, being on the short side is still a viable option.

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November 15, 2011, 07:44:23 PM
 #1530

That I know, but I'm kind of impatient and love to do some scalping when I am around  Wink
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November 15, 2011, 08:08:50 PM
 #1531

That I know, but I'm kind of impatient and love to do some scalping when I am around  Wink

im betting on a mini-rally to 2.5 and then a big drop again to the 1.8 or so, then again deeper and then the final buy buy buy.
Crypt_Current
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November 15, 2011, 09:29:21 PM
 #1532

That I know, but I'm kind of impatient and love to do some scalping when I am around  Wink

im betting on a mini-rally to 2.5 and then a big drop again to the 1.8 or so, then again deeper and then the final buy buy buy.

Your mini-rally to 2.5 happened last night.

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Crypt_Current
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November 15, 2011, 09:31:45 PM
 #1533

If the person(s) who have the 50,000 BTC bid on MtGox pull this out, prices will fall like a stone (or should I say falling knife)
but the bid wall it also proof that maniputators/traders/investors/bigmoney are intrested in bitcoin.
and there are enough buy power to get over 5.
right?

Not necessarily, at least not right now.  The "manipulator" is Bitcoinica.  I don't understand how no one else seems to get that.  They're responsible for 1/3 of MtGox's volume.

10% off at CampBX for LIFE:  https://campbx.com/main.php?r=C9a5izBQ5vq  ----  Authorized BitVoucher MEGA reseller (& BTC donations appreciated):  https://bitvoucher.co/affl/1HkvK8o8WWDpCTSQGnek7DH9gT1LWeV5s3/
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teflone
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November 15, 2011, 09:41:22 PM
 #1534

If the person(s) who have the 50,000 BTC bid on MtGox pull this out, prices will fall like a stone (or should I say falling knife)
but the bid wall it also proof that maniputators/traders/investors/bigmoney are intrested in bitcoin.
and there are enough buy power to get over 5.
right?

Not necessarily, at least not right now.  The "manipulator" is Bitcoinica.  I don't understand how no one else seems to get that.  They're responsible for 1/3 of MtGox's volume.

This is an interesting thought...   this almost fits...

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Crypt_Current
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November 15, 2011, 09:44:13 PM
 #1535

If the person(s) who have the 50,000 BTC bid on MtGox pull this out, prices will fall like a stone (or should I say falling knife)
but the bid wall it also proof that maniputators/traders/investors/bigmoney are intrested in bitcoin.
and there are enough buy power to get over 5.
right?

Not necessarily, at least not right now.  The "manipulator" is Bitcoinica.  I don't understand how no one else seems to get that.  They're responsible for 1/3 of MtGox's volume.

This is an interesting thought...   this almost fits...

::: extends hand hoping for a donation :::
 Cheesy Wink

10% off at CampBX for LIFE:  https://campbx.com/main.php?r=C9a5izBQ5vq  ----  Authorized BitVoucher MEGA reseller (& BTC donations appreciated):  https://bitvoucher.co/affl/1HkvK8o8WWDpCTSQGnek7DH9gT1LWeV5s3/
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teflone
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November 15, 2011, 09:51:52 PM
 #1536

If the person(s) who have the 50,000 BTC bid on MtGox pull this out, prices will fall like a stone (or should I say falling knife)
but the bid wall it also proof that maniputators/traders/investors/bigmoney are intrested in bitcoin.
and there are enough buy power to get over 5.
right?

Not necessarily, at least not right now.  The "manipulator" is Bitcoinica.  I don't understand how no one else seems to get that.  They're responsible for 1/3 of MtGox's volume.

This is an interesting thought...   this almost fits...

::: extends hand hoping for a donation :::
 Cheesy Wink

Well if you need it that bad...  Tongue

There you go.

Now how do we use this information.. ?

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Crypt_Current
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November 15, 2011, 09:52:46 PM
 #1537

If the person(s) who have the 50,000 BTC bid on MtGox pull this out, prices will fall like a stone (or should I say falling knife)
but the bid wall it also proof that maniputators/traders/investors/bigmoney are intrested in bitcoin.
and there are enough buy power to get over 5.
right?

Not necessarily, at least not right now.  The "manipulator" is Bitcoinica.  I don't understand how no one else seems to get that.  They're responsible for 1/3 of MtGox's volume.

This is an interesting thought...   this almost fits...

::: extends hand hoping for a donation :::
 Cheesy Wink

Well if you need it that bad...  Tongue

There you go.

Now how do we use this information.. ?

Thanks.
Only way I know how to use it is to cut me a slice of the pie ;-)

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epetroel
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November 15, 2011, 09:56:45 PM
 #1538

That I know, but I'm kind of impatient and love to do some scalping when I am around  Wink

If you're looking to make a quick buck, buy in USD on gox and sell for EUR or GBP on Intersango or Tradehill.  Both look pretty good right now.
notme
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November 15, 2011, 10:11:47 PM
 #1539

That I know, but I'm kind of impatient and love to do some scalping when I am around  Wink

If you're looking to make a quick buck, buy in USD on gox and sell for EUR or GBP on Intersango or Tradehill.  Both look pretty good right now.

Who would want euros right now?

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
old_engineer
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November 16, 2011, 01:47:31 AM
 #1540

That I know, but I'm kind of impatient and love to do some scalping when I am around  Wink

If you're looking to make a quick buck, buy in USD on gox and sell for EUR or GBP on Intersango or Tradehill.  Both look pretty good right now.

Who would want euros right now?
Not me!
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