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Author Topic: [CLOSED] BTC Guild - Pays TxFees+NMC, Stratum, VarDiff, Private Servers  (Read 828731 times)
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eleuthria
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April 01, 2014, 10:48:50 PM
 #6601

i found the btcguild thread .
akin to the holy grail, you are saved

I just noticed https://www.scryptguild.com/ in eleuthria's sig so I will check that out and hopefully recommend it elsewhere, good stuff and is there a separate thread for that


ScryptGuild Thread: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=457016.0

R.I.P. BTC Guild, 2011 - 2015.
BTC Guild Forum Thread
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Unlike traditional banking where clients have only a few account numbers, with Bitcoin people can create an unlimited number of accounts (addresses). This can be used to easily track payments, and it improves anonymity.
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crilleaz
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★ Always strive for the best ★


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April 02, 2014, 04:30:13 PM
 #6602

Hey miners!
I've made a Webinterface-API wich is free to use, very simple! (exclusive for btcguild)

Check out the thread!
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=554401.0

LiskFaucets. The hub and rotator for Lisk faucets. Overview faucets | RotatorReferral generator
Vote for 'liskfaucets' as delegate so we can ensure higher faucet rewards!
BSZ28
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April 04, 2014, 05:09:05 PM
 #6603

What is the chance of having a 3-month pool luck at 97.29% when btcguild is the 2nd/3rd largest pool?
It must be pretty low I guess, right?

mdude77
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April 04, 2014, 05:10:26 PM
 #6604

What is the chance of having a 3-month pool luck at 97.29% when btcguild is the 2nd/3rd largest pool?
It must be pretty low I guess, right?

Eligius, a little under BTCG, is at 95% for 90 days.  Someone is having good luck, and it doesn't seem to be any of the big pools.

M

MMinerMonitor author, monitor/auto/schedule reboots/alerts/remote/MobileMiner for Ants and Spondoolies! Latest (5.2). MPoolMonitor author, monitor stats/workers for most pools, global BTC stats (current/nxt diff/USD val/hashrate/calc)! Latest (v4.2) 
Buyer beware of Bitmain hardware and services.
Trongersoll
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April 04, 2014, 05:50:26 PM
 #6605

What is the chance of having a 3-month pool luck at 97.29% when btcguild is the 2nd/3rd largest pool?
It must be pretty low I guess, right?

Eligius, a little under BTCG, is at 95% for 90 days.  Someone is having good luck, and it doesn't seem to be any of the big pools.

M

Size has nothing to do with Luck. If someone is having bad Luck, it does not imply that someone else is having good Luck. Luck does not balance out, it just averages out over time. Luck is just that, Luck.

*insert appropriate begging line here* 
BTC: 1CS6AV7VnjcPLxaTFoUhTjXK4mQCTzfSxE
Doge: DB22tiynvXKg7SyPpnH9jyfitKLTZb6ejc
ericisback
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April 04, 2014, 09:18:52 PM
 #6606

Size has nothing to do with Luck. If someone is having bad Luck, it does not imply that someone else is having good Luck. Luck does not balance out, it just averages out over time. Luck is just that, Luck.

I'm confused.  If two people flip a coin six times an hour, and each time the winner gets 25 bitcoins - doesn't ones person's luck affect the other persons luck? In this analogy, I understand the "size of the player" doesn't matter because they have the same chance of winning (the exact same pool size), but one player's luck seems to affect the other player.

I also understand how a smaller pool's share of the total bitcoin rewards will eventually equal its percent of the total network hashrate; however, even taking this into consideration, one pool's luck should impact other pools (in the short term).

BTC:  152kxHXJEZpQPvsB2iaQfWHT2DMMYnn8dD
murraypaul
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April 04, 2014, 09:23:57 PM
 #6607

Size has nothing to do with Luck. If someone is having bad Luck, it does not imply that someone else is having good Luck. Luck does not balance out, it just averages out over time. Luck is just that, Luck.

I'm confused.  If two people flip a coin six times an hour, and each time the winner gets 25 bitcoins - doesn't ones person's luck affect the other persons luck? In this analogy, I understand the "size of the player" doesn't matter because they have the same change of winning (the exact same pool size), but one player's luck seems to affect the other player.

Mining is more like continually flipping coins until you get X in a row.
Both players can be unlucky and take much longer than expected.
You aren't competing directly against each other, but both racing to be the first to hit a random target. Me being slow doesn't make you any faster.
There is not a fixed rate of Bitcoin generation, on average it should be 25 every 10 minutes, but it could be 25 in 10 seconds or 25 in 2 hours.

BTC: 16TgAGdiTSsTWSsBDphebNJCFr1NT78xFW
SRC: scefi1XMhq91n3oF5FrE3HqddVvvCZP9KB
hurricandave
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April 04, 2014, 10:24:56 PM
 #6608

   Umm, I noticed that the dashboard behavior has changed a little bit this morning. It seems like each time a block is found it lists it as "Orphaned" for a short time then sometimes switches to "waiting for conformation". Of course this also seems to be affected by the length of time it takes to be confirmed. I wondered if it was really the intent to always list new found blocks as "Orphaned" initially or is this still in the tweaking phase ??
eleuthria
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April 05, 2014, 04:45:50 AM
 #6609

  Umm, I noticed that the dashboard behavior has changed a little bit this morning. It seems like each time a block is found it lists it as "Orphaned" for a short time then sometimes switches to "waiting for conformation". Of course this also seems to be affected by the length of time it takes to be confirmed. I wondered if it was really the intent to always list new found blocks as "Orphaned" initially or is this still in the tweaking phase ??

Thanks for the report, I'll take a look.  I've never caught it showing 'Orphaned' instead of "Waiting for confirmation" so the window of time that it shows that is pretty small.  Will look into why it might be doing that.


EDIT:  Found it, looks like there's a 1 minute window where it would show Orphaned.  When it inserts the found block into the database it doesn't insert as 1 confirmation, but 0.  Then the next minute when it checks for confirmations it updates it to 1.  Fixed it so it starts at 1 as it should.

R.I.P. BTC Guild, 2011 - 2015.
BTC Guild Forum Thread
hurricandave
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April 05, 2014, 05:32:30 AM
 #6610

 It looks good now. You got me good this morning though, I woke up the monitor and blam "Ophaned" I was like NOOOOOOO!!!!!
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April 05, 2014, 01:05:05 PM
 #6611

What is the chance of having a 3-month pool luck at 97.29% when btcguild is the 2nd/3rd largest pool?
It must be pretty low I guess, right?

Eligius, a little under BTCG, is at 95% for 90 days.  Someone is having good luck, and it doesn't seem to be any of the big pools.

M

Size has nothing to do with Luck. If someone is having bad Luck, it does not imply that someone else is having good Luck. Luck does not balance out, it just averages out over time. Luck is just that, Luck.

If you flip a coin 10 times, it is not hard to get 7 heads.
If you flip a coin 1000 times, it is unlikely to get 700 heads.

For a small pool that on average finds 1 block a week (12 blocks in 3 months), it is not surprising if it finds 11 blocks (91.6% luck).
For a large pool that on average finds 10 blocks a day (900 blocks in 3 months), it is very very unlucky if it finds 825 blocks (91.6% luck).

So, if my understanding is correct, the pool size does matter.

BRADLEYPLOOF
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April 05, 2014, 02:21:08 PM
 #6612

What is the chance of having a 3-month pool luck at 97.29% when btcguild is the 2nd/3rd largest pool?
It must be pretty low I guess, right?

Eligius, a little under BTCG, is at 95% for 90 days.  Someone is having good luck, and it doesn't seem to be any of the big pools.

M

Size has nothing to do with Luck. If someone is having bad Luck, it does not imply that someone else is having good Luck. Luck does not balance out, it just averages out over time. Luck is just that, Luck.

If you flip a coin 10 times, it is not hard to get 7 heads.
If you flip a coin 1000 times, it is unlikely to get 700 heads.

For a small pool that on average finds 1 block a week (12 blocks in 3 months), it is not surprising if it finds 11 blocks (91.6% luck).
For a large pool that on average finds 10 blocks a day (900 blocks in 3 months), it is very very unlucky if it finds 825 blocks (91.6% luck).

So, if my understanding is correct, the pool size does matter.

Define luck...
raskul
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April 05, 2014, 02:30:28 PM
 #6613

What is the chance of having a 3-month pool luck at 97.29% when btcguild is the 2nd/3rd largest pool?
It must be pretty low I guess, right?

Eligius, a little under BTCG, is at 95% for 90 days.  Someone is having good luck, and it doesn't seem to be any of the big pools.

M

Size has nothing to do with Luck. If someone is having bad Luck, it does not imply that someone else is having good Luck. Luck does not balance out, it just averages out over time. Luck is just that, Luck.

If you flip a coin 10 times, it is not hard to get 7 heads.
If you flip a coin 1000 times, it is unlikely to get 700 heads.

For a small pool that on average finds 1 block a week (12 blocks in 3 months), it is not surprising if it finds 11 blocks (91.6% luck).
For a large pool that on average finds 10 blocks a day (900 blocks in 3 months), it is very very unlucky if it finds 825 blocks (91.6% luck).

So, if my understanding is correct, the pool size does matter.

Define luck...

staggering home drunk having had 14 pints, without a piss. managing to find toilet, and not aiming wide.
Luck.

tips    1APp826DqjJBdsAeqpEstx6Q8hD4urac8a
jedimstr
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April 05, 2014, 02:31:12 PM
 #6614

What is the chance of having a 3-month pool luck at 97.29% when btcguild is the 2nd/3rd largest pool?
It must be pretty low I guess, right?

Eligius, a little under BTCG, is at 95% for 90 days.  Someone is having good luck, and it doesn't seem to be any of the big pools.

M

Size has nothing to do with Luck. If someone is having bad Luck, it does not imply that someone else is having good Luck. Luck does not balance out, it just averages out over time. Luck is just that, Luck.

If you flip a coin 10 times, it is not hard to get 7 heads.
If you flip a coin 1000 times, it is unlikely to get 700 heads.

For a small pool that on average finds 1 block a week (12 blocks in 3 months), it is not surprising if it finds 11 blocks (91.6% luck).
For a large pool that on average finds 10 blocks a day (900 blocks in 3 months), it is very very unlucky if it finds 825 blocks (91.6% luck).

So, if my understanding is correct, the pool size does matter.

Define luck...

staggering home drunk having had 14 pints, without a piss. managing to find toilet, and not aiming wide.
Luck.

That's not luck.
That's a miracle.

ionux
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April 05, 2014, 03:09:29 PM
 #6615

What is the chance of having a 3-month pool luck at 97.29% when btcguild is the 2nd/3rd largest pool?
It must be pretty low I guess, right?

Eligius, a little under BTCG, is at 95% for 90 days.  Someone is having good luck, and it doesn't seem to be any of the big pools.

M

Size has nothing to do with Luck. If someone is having bad Luck, it does not imply that someone else is having good Luck. Luck does not balance out, it just averages out over time. Luck is just that, Luck.

If you flip a coin 10 times, it is not hard to get 7 heads.
If you flip a coin 1000 times, it is unlikely to get 700 heads.

For a small pool that on average finds 1 block a week (12 blocks in 3 months), it is not surprising if it finds 11 blocks (91.6% luck).
For a large pool that on average finds 10 blocks a day (900 blocks in 3 months), it is very very unlucky if it finds 825 blocks (91.6% luck).

So, if my understanding is correct, the pool size does matter.

That's not the way probability works.  Flipping a coin and getting heads does not remove it from future flips or increase the chance of getting tails - no matter how many times it is flipped.  Period.  You are just as likely to get 10 heads in a row as you are any other result.  So just because you increase the number of flips, it does not increase or decrease the likelihood of getting one result over another (for flips < infinity).


CoinPrice.US - Current market prices in a clean, ad-free interface.  API available for adding Bitcoin prices to your site!  |  Escrow service: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=502569.0  |  Reputation thread: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=494163  |  Public key: http://coinprice.us/public_key.txt  |  URL shortener project: http://10b.us  Cheesy
jojo69
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April 05, 2014, 06:48:16 PM
 #6616

both websites throwing me bad certs this morning...anybody else?

nevermind, was momentary I guess, now they are working fine

This is not some pseudoeconomic post-modern Libertarian cult, it's an un-led, crowd-sourced mega startup organized around mutual self-interest where problems, whether of the theoretical or purely practical variety, are treated as temporary and, ultimately, solvable.
Censorship of e-gold was easy. Censorship of Bitcoin will be… entertaining.
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April 06, 2014, 05:23:44 AM
 #6617

Probably only a few days from 6-month luck under 100%  Cry
BrandonMcPherson
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April 06, 2014, 05:32:55 AM
 #6618

This recent run is pretty damned epic.
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April 06, 2014, 11:39:08 AM
 #6619

bad luck or what  Roll Eyes I know i just sold 670GH of the farm, but my 24hour payout is so low.

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April 06, 2014, 06:09:37 PM
 #6620

I wonder how much of this bad luck turn is due to external influences?

Somebody is DDOS eligius, and recently succeeded in a NMC payout hack against the pool. I also have noticed BTCGuild, Ghash and Blockchain showing the cloud flare error in the past few days.

A semi-well known fact about me:  my real life job includes DDoS mitigation at the ISP level for multiple ISPs.

This particular attack against Eligius has taken almost every form possible... UDP reflection attacks (DNS, NTP, SNMP, etc... 30+ gigabit at times), TCP SYN attacks (over 20 gigabit peaks), botnets directly flooding pool ports (multiple gigabit), botnets attempting application layer (stratum and HTTP) attacks (varies up to several gigabit and > 100k connections), HTTP request floods from botnets and other amplification (wordpress being one), hanging TCP connection attacks, various attack attempts against public facing bitcoinds, flood attacks against upstream routers, social engineering attempts (someone has contacted the abuse@ addresses for some nodes claiming Eligius is DoS attacking them, lol, presumably in an attempt to stir trouble with our hosts), and probably a ton of other things that are just automatically filtered/ignored.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=441465.msg5986935#msg5986935

Luck for eligius and BTCGuild are both well under 100%
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=441465.msg6077549#msg6077549

Unknown pool is rapidly growing share, up to 33 34%
http://blockchain.info/pools?timespan=48hrs

And there maybe an unknown binary Merkle tree weakness being used (where the included transaction count are base 2). Now even if the weakness is theoretical, this is severely delaying confirmation times.

https://blockchain.info/blocks/80.241.217.46
http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/22cohy/8024121746_mining_18_blocks_today_containing/
http://reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/20y0nq/why_do_all_the_blocks_hashed_by_unknown_miners/

Would a faster-to-calculate power of 2 Merkle tree make a selfish attack slightly more effective ?

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