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1441  Other / Meta / Re: LoyceV's: Follow users on Bitcointalk.org (posts and/or topics) on: January 10, 2020, 06:13:42 AM
Unsure if I'm a bit slow or something here, though I'm coming over from Piggys little quote notification bot, wanted to know how / If it'd be possible to see if someone quotes me or replies to one of my post. Rather then the regular notify button, as that goes away after the one email.

Thanks Loyce, I appreciate it.
1442  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Iran has made a huge mistake and the world will pay a price for it. on: January 08, 2020, 11:35:13 PM
Indeed, it was a gutsy move. They are already experts at raiding embassies but imho they shouldn't have bragged about it online. And after that dude got killed they chose to escalate by firing those missiles.

I don't really know what's their game, if they really think they can take on America. I remember there's some conspiracy theory circulating that China and Russia would support an aggression by Iran and when conflict starts, they all gang up on an overstretched America. How likely would that be?

This really isn't an issue for right now anymore, both Iran and the US came out saying that both of them are going to be relaxing tensions against one another and do not want war. Makes sense for both sides to be honest.

Iran doesn't want to go to war with the US (and their coalition) and be destroyed as a nation.
America doesn't want to deal with the issues at home of dealing with a war. As those are never too popular when its a war like this. People have a bad taste in their mouth from Iraq and Afghan.

This is going to wind down now, maybe a few more hiccups for the next couple months. But we now know that neither nation wants this to turn into war.
1443  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Bitmex - Unrealised vs. Realised Profits on: January 08, 2020, 11:29:44 PM

Is it your first trade?

If not, have you made losses while trading in the same account before?

It is not my first trade and I made losses on trades before, but this should not effect my current position i think  Huh

I closed the possition now (but I missed to make a screenshot) and even when my realised profits where negative I made some profits because my unrealised profits was higher then my realised profits. It is still confusing because I dont now how to calculate it correctly.

Can I calculate my unrealised profits minus my realised profits to see how much the profit will be? How do you calculate it?

And why the realised profits turn in positive profits sometimes?

I read about it on Bitmex but its still confusing, I thing there should be a easy understandable way to figure that out  Huh


Thank you for your answers! Smiley


The site is trying to tell you that prior to this, you've lost money on trades. The amount you've lost on all prior trades is -0.0004 BTC. The amount that you've made on this one particular trade is .0086 BTC, and you haven't realized this profit yet. The way to realize this profit will be to close out your trade.

Once that happens, your realized profit will change to .0086-.0004 = Realized Profits.

I'd recommend not using BitMex too often, doesn't usually end well.
1444  Other / Politics & Society / What news sources do ya guys use? on: January 08, 2020, 11:05:10 PM
I'm pretty stuck on using WSJ and NYTimes for my news these days, not paying for it anymore thankfully (thanks Twitchy) because of (https://github.com/iamadamdev/bypass-paywalls-chrome) which is beyond helpful. Pretty big fan of both sites for news, though I do like the WSJ editorial section more.

Wanted to know if everyone else could share the news sources that they use and like, maybe even some authors in particular, etc. Always looking for a new reputable source of news.

Let me know. Even if you guys have some sort of aggregate that you use (Like RealClearPolitics or Apple News, etc, anything is appreciated)


This is going to be a self moderated thread, so please don't sig spam or I'll delete it, thanks Smiley
1445  Economy / Economics / Re: Since 2009 There Was A 500% Increase In Internet Traffic. on: January 08, 2020, 10:57:28 PM
Today, The Average Household Has More Than 7 Internet-Connected Devices, By 2020 There Will Be 6.58 Connected Devices Per Person.

Based on those statistics, this means the average household contains barely more than 1 person?

1.064 people per household if my calculations are correct (using your data).

That seems suspiciously low to me, unless we're also talking unoccupied property.

This just further proves that the article is kinda stupid. You're unable to read it because its poorly written.

I have no idea why people put word blockchain in everything, it looks like blockchain is a magic word that's used instead of Abracadabra, I wouldn't even be surprised if magicians say Blockchain while doing tricks. I think that increase mostly comes from former Soviet Republics because in these countries, a lot of people don't had access on PC and internet, there was DSL in most of these countries for a long time and we can say that fiber is new for them.
Also in some countries internet is expensive but at the same time there is a huge bandwidth usage because of pirate websites (multiple upload of different movies, games and etc for each website).

Cause that's the buzzword of todays tech companies. They use Blockchain like it's this magic word that's going to help with the growth of their company. People don't even understand what the word means, they just see BLOCKCHAIN -- and they think WOW IT'S GONNA BE LIKE BITCOIN OR SOMETHING.

While all that really means is that they're using some sort of internally hosted server / database. It's not like a blockchain that everyone is going to be able to see, cause that would be stupid -- no company would want to do that.

Ugh.

Actually it has an opposite effect in my country. If a company would say that they have a development based on blockchain technology, probably they would be blamed about trying to scam or fraud. Smiley

Hm. Interesting, what country is that? I know in the US, and most western countries theres going to be a VERY large difference between saying that your company uses and likes Cryptocurrency and that they use the Blockchain.

1446  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Situation of war between IRAN & USA on: January 08, 2020, 10:20:05 PM
Both sides are claiming huge achievements at there end. USA has a proof that he killed Iranian general while Iran has no such proof of USA base attack. Iran should stay away from war with USA as Irani land and it's people will suffer the most.

This is exactly what has happened here. Both sides are going to go back to their people and say that they did a great job. That's how politics works, people are both aiming for themselves.

I don't think something like this was planned from the beginning, I guess that's just me being someone who believes in some conspiracies.

At least we're going to avoid war, for now. We really shouldn't be involved in countless endless wars.
1447  Economy / Economics / Re: Since 2009 There Was A 500% Increase In Internet Traffic. on: January 08, 2020, 02:18:20 PM
I have no idea why people put word blockchain in everything, it looks like blockchain is a magic word that's used instead of Abracadabra, I wouldn't even be surprised if magicians say Blockchain while doing tricks. I think that increase mostly comes from former Soviet Republics because in these countries, a lot of people don't had access on PC and internet, there was DSL in most of these countries for a long time and we can say that fiber is new for them.
Also in some countries internet is expensive but at the same time there is a huge bandwidth usage because of pirate websites (multiple upload of different movies, games and etc for each website).

Cause that's the buzzword of todays tech companies. They use Blockchain like it's this magic word that's going to help with the growth of their company. People don't even understand what the word means, they just see BLOCKCHAIN -- and they think WOW IT'S GONNA BE LIKE BITCOIN OR SOMETHING.

While all that really means is that they're using some sort of internally hosted server / database. It's not like a blockchain that everyone is going to be able to see, cause that would be stupid -- no company would want to do that.

Ugh.
1448  Economy / Economics / Re: Best Stocks to buy this year? on: January 08, 2020, 04:39:50 AM
This is a very interesting place to be asking this question, because most people are going to say -- DONT BUY STOCKS, BUY CRYPTO IT'S THE WAY OF THE FUTURE AND IT'S GOING TO GO UP 1000000X VERY SOON.

But come on guys, no sane person is going to dump their retirement savings into a speculative asset like Bitcoin that is very volatile. That's not something that people should do anyway. If anything, make it a few percent of your entire portfolio and be ready to lose it all if this all goes to shit.

Onto the topic of stocks though. The best thing you can do for yourself is to buy funds from Vanguard. I'd go through some of the Bogelheads info (John Bogel is the founder of Vanguard, the low cost index investing company) See here - https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Lazy_portfolios

That's the best thing you'll ever do for your retirement. Not kidding at all. Please do this for yourself, everyone reading. You'll kick yourself in 20-30 years if you dont do this.
1449  Economy / Economics / Re: Your Views: Which Innovative Ways Government Might Use To Expand Crypto Use on: January 08, 2020, 04:30:13 AM
It's not a big if if you think about one thing. Government isn't going to want to cede their control of money, we all already know that though. That means that when you're talking about cryptocurrency when it comes to government, you're not talking about Bitcoin, you're talking about some sort of FIAT cryptocurrency. One under government supervision, control on printing (token issuing), etc.

So Government would love to do this, because they'd be able to track so much more about peoples purchases. Much easier then tracking cash. Wouldn't be surprised if in like 20-30 years this is what happens.

You guys have to understand that the government isn't going to help the adoption of Bitcoin, that's stupid for them as they'd be losing tons and tons of control over monetary policy which they use all the time.
1450  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Iran has made a huge mistake and the world will pay a price for it. on: January 08, 2020, 04:21:22 AM
Just keep in mind in evaluating things, that the USA does not need Middle East oil anymore. Thanks to fracking, those days are over.

Because oil is a fungible resource, it is likely that no part of this fracas with affect oil prices.

This isn't the case yet though. Even if the US is the worlds largest oil producer by one single nation, it PALES in comparison to the production of all of the OPEC nations (see here - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OPEC)

So even if the US is producing more oil then Saudi Arabia, or getting close to them -- that doesn't mean anything when you're talking about all of the oil by Middle Eastern countries (plus like Venezuela)
1451  Other / Politics & Society / Re: USA NATO Strong Military power vs Middle east on: January 08, 2020, 04:18:28 AM
This is very simple. If the US has a real coalition, which would be NATO and the US with its full force. Iran would be wiped out within a few months to a year. Yes, both sides would lose a good deal of troops, but with a real coalition and sanctions and all that not only will not only destroy the country physically but economically will be destroyed.

If you are to establish this sort of coalition, and use sanctions to economically destroy this nation -- then Iran will be destroyed quickly from within. The people will protest beyond belief once the economy is destroyed.

This isn't even a real question, come on.
1452  Other / Politics & Society / Re: US President Donald Trump has threatened Iran on: January 08, 2020, 04:10:31 AM
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/07/world/middleeast/iran-plane-crash-boeing-ukraine.html

A Boeing 737 carrying 180 people crashed shortly after takeoff from Tehran because of technical problems, according to the Iranian Students News Agency, a state-run media agency.

The conditions of the passengers and crew were not immediately known.

The plane was bound for Ukraine, the news agency reported.  



Perfect, one can blame Iran, US, or whoever else for this that fits the narrative they believe.

Oh this is great.... Here comes the slew of (warranted) conspiracy theories that are going to be fun to read through for days.

Where is Pelosi?  Congress needs to put the leash on Trump instead of just sitting by while he takes us to war.

I don't think Congress will be able to slow this down, the War Powers Resolution is vague enough that it might as well not exist, and they would need a veto proof majority to pass a new one.

Best chance of things slowing down enough to begin some sort of negotiation would probably be someone who can really kiss his ass and make him feel good, like Rand Paul or Lindsay Graham or even Mitch, convincing Trump that his maximum pressure strategy could have a worse result than Bush and Iraq and offering some scenario for him to back down and convince his followers he didn't actually back down and any negative side effects are 100% the democrats fault.



Oh yeah, Congress literally cant. They ceded all of their powers to the executive and this is what they get for it. I don't want this to be the case, but Congress should never have done this. This is literally what happens when the parties continue to give up power to 'their people' (meaning whenever their parties president is in office) and then it bites them in the ass.

Sigh. Really hoping for things like this to change, but it probably wont.
1453  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Iraq votes to expel US Coalition Troops on: January 08, 2020, 04:04:38 AM
Why this demand came only after US killed Iranian general? It surely means that Iraq had ties with Iran. Iran is responsible for creating problems for Sunni Muslims in every Muslim country including Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Palestine. US leaving Iraq at this point means handing over the country to Iran and that’s not what all Iraqis want but demand of shias of Iraq.

Just curious. What if the us doesn't want to pull out their forces. What will happen then? Will they be forcefully pushed out? If so, how? The military conflict may just blow up inside their own country. Hopefully there's a more diplomatic way to resolve this issue though it's quite clear that both governments aren't willing to give ground.

Nothing. The conquered doesn't get voting rights to oust the conqueror, and the UN etc won't go beyond diplomacy, some protesting, ambassadors recalled, maybe even more sanctions, nothing more.

Of course the conqueror has to pay the price for keeping the conquered land, that means sending troops, feed them, risk them etc. The usual. Logic says Iraq has nothing to do with USA, they should leave and let Iran do whatever they want (of course it was the USA that demolished Iraq's forces in the first place, paving the way for the iranians).

Then again Israel might want to have fun again if the Americans leave... Breathing space or something.

I mean this is just all bullshit. Iraq wasn't conquered by the US, the US did change the regime that was ruling Iraq. They removed Saddam Hussain from power, a ruthless dictator, from power.

People today may say that Saddam was a great leader in Iraq, but that's just not the case and the people hated him. He was a ruthless dictator. Here's some info on what the Iraqis thought about this.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/11647/gallup-poll-iraq-iraqis-judge-saddam-hussein-when.aspx - Iraqis thoughts about Saddams crimes against his own people and if he should be put to trial.
https://www.cnn.com/2003/ALLPOLITICS/12/17/elec04.prez.poll/index.html - Saddams capture had boosted Bushs approval ratings, showing that's what the American people wanted.

This is why the US is there, then it transitioned into ISIS and stopping them from taking more land in Iraq.
1454  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Iran has made a huge mistake and the world will pay a price for it. on: January 08, 2020, 03:49:57 AM
Just to further update this, it's been reported by most news sources that there were no causalities in the attack. Iran has also just announced, through their foreign minister, that they are not seeking escalation of war, and that their strikes were done in response to the killing of Maj. Gen. Qassim Suleimani. They've made it seem very diplomatic, even the attack -- as they cited Article 51 of the UN charter stating that they used self defense and that is all they'll be doing.

Trump will be making a statement in the morning, though on his twitter he's already stated that "ALL IS WELL"

Trump is going to want to calm the markets, a war isn't going to be popular with the voters. Yet again, we'll see where this takes us.

Source:

NY TIMES - https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/07/world/middleeast/trump-iran.html?action=click&module=Top%20Stories&pgtype=Homepage
WSJ - https://www.wsj.com/articles/stampede-at-funeral-procession-for-iranian-commander-kills-35-11578390888?mod=hp_lead_pos1
1455  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Iraq votes to expel US Coalition Troops on: January 06, 2020, 04:57:42 PM
172 to 0. I wonder how much pressure there was to vote yes, and if some actually prefer them to stay. Having said that, it doesn't take away from the fact that it's what most want. It's just that it's so rare to see 172 to 0. Usually there are some who would vote the other way. Like a great, wonderful YouTube video. No matter how many likes it has there are always people who would thumb it down, and people ask, "Who would thumbs down such a video?"

As said before, most (if not all) of the other members of the 332 person chamber didn't attend the vote and would've voted NO. Meaning that this wouldn't have looked like such a blowout. Though the minority knew that it'd make more sense for them to protest the vote rather then to be in the chambers and lose there.

So, this wasn't a true 172-0. More like a 172-0-ALL THE OTHER NON VOTING MEMBERS WHO WOULD'VE VOTED NO.

So that Iranian troops can take over the country and other holy places for which Iran is struggling since revolution 1979. USA and other forces must quit and handover security to Iraqi forces and make sure that Iran stay away from affairs of there internal matters
If the US troops leave that region then it's going to be the last chance for stability in that region and the Iranians would have achieved what they wanted to do all along. The Iraqis are nowhere ready to take total control of their own security  especially with this US -IRAN tensions currently brewing.

Plus the US isn't going to be too happy to be forced out of a region that they dumped large amounts of money into to attempt to bring democracy and stablization to. That's a pretty big slap in the face TBH.



1456  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Iraq votes to expel US Coalition Troops on: January 06, 2020, 04:29:50 PM
Just want to note that the link in OP is a WSJ article credited to a WSJ white house reporter and a WSJ middle east correspondent.

PrimeNumbers link is an editorial (opinion piece) credited to the WSJ Editorial Board.

Not dissing either one, WSJ is respected and I recommend reading both, but I don't think an editorial should be considered a 'better source' for someone just looking to figure out wtf is going on.



Off topicish, but I use https://github.com/iamadamdev/bypass-paywalls-chrome to pretty much bypass all major news paywalls.  Little bit of an effort to install, but then everything just works.  Probably a simpler way for each individual news outlet (incognito or new browser user or the outline extension works for most, but not WSJ, Financial Times, Bloomberg, New Yorker or a couple others).

Offtopic but very helpful. THANKS SO MUCH -- GUESS I CAN CANCEL MY NYTIMES SUB right now.

Will this thing autoupdate from GitHub or am I just going to have to take a look at the GitHub every so often. This is an absolute lifesaver, thanks so much Twitchy. Don't want this to get too popular though, or they'll block it!
1457  Other / Politics & Society / Re: How does this World work?(legally) - Life-savings(fiat)confiscated with BTC-e on: January 06, 2020, 03:26:02 PM

i assume there is a public list of all large forfeitures?


Yes, but you need to know the details of the case.

https://www.forfeiture.gov/

Though I don't think that they were able to seize the Bitcoin that BTC-E was holding -- because we all know that the only way this would be possible is if their coins were sitting on another exchange that would listen to US subpoenas (Gemini, Coinbase, etc) if they had been holding their coins in cold storage, or any other method where they were the only people with the coins then BTC-E owners and shareholders would just be holding onto them.

Officially they were able to obtain more than a third of the coins.

On 28 July 2017, US authorities seized the BTC-e.com domain name and 38% of all customer funds. To repay its customers BTC-e created WEX tokens, which were used to represent customers' seized equity. The WEX tokens represented $1 and were issued to account for the value of customers cryptocurrencies at the time of the theft.


Ah. So really a 38 percent haircut should be what all customers experienced right off the bat. Which was cleared up by the WEX tokens being issued, though I highly doubt those coins were able to keep their peg at $1.

So the customers probably ended up taking a 5-15 percent haircut after all things were said and done. Given that they were able to get the rest of their funds off of BTC-E mirror websites/domains.
1458  Other / Politics & Society / Re: 2020 Democrats on: January 06, 2020, 05:07:19 AM
Looks like Julian Castro officially ended his 2020 Presidential campaign. Of course, everyone knew this was coming and it seems clear Castro only held his campaign up to see if he could secure a Vice Presidential spot or cabinet position in the Democratic nominee's administration. He was polling at less than one percent throughout his campaign so I can't imagine many people will be disappointed. - https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/02/us/politics/julian-castro-dropping-out.html



Also, our favorite candidate Marianne Williamson is close to ending her campaign as she has now laid off her entire campaign staff nationally. - https://www.foxnews.com/politics/2020-white-house-hopeful-williamson-lets-go-of-entire-campaign-staff

Was really rooting for Marianne 2020. I can't tell you all how disappointed I am.


Also to add, betting odds currently reflect that Andrew Yang is ahead  of Amy Klobuchar winning the nominee which is interesting considering Klobuchar is an established US senator with political experience where as Yang came out of thin air shooting himself to the national stage. Yang hit is Q4 fund raising goal and is picking up a bit of momentum it seems like but it's not being shown in the polling averages.

Honestly he'll probably end up with a cabinet position anyway, he's someone who's trusted around the DNC establishmnt and he'd be given something like he was given in the Obama admin -- HUD or something minor like that.

In other news some of his staffers are saying that the primary process has the deck stacked against minorities due to the makeup of Iowa and New Hampshire (https://www.politico.com/news/2020/01/02/castro-democratic-primary-093079) They're pretty much saying that because of the demographics in Iowa and NH not representing the rest of the party (minority wise) and the reliance on doing well in these states to do well in the rest of the primary, that it is unfair towards minorities.

It's a fair argument to make in general.  Always having the same 4 states primary or caucus before everyone else doesn't seem like the most effective way to choose the best candidate for the other 46.  There's been a push to change it for a while, so it could happen soon.

Iowa and NH are two of the least diverse states, but SC and NV also happen before Super Tuesday - NV has much higher hispanic population than average and same with SC blacks.  (ironic that SC is the only race where we already knew the outcome months ago: old white guy wins in a land slide)


Yeah not a bad argument, though the problem is that it's not like Castro had great polling numbers everywhere else and was going to crush it elsewhere. Though the staffers said that their arguments extend to further then him, to Booker and Harris as well, as their campaigns didn't/haven't fared too well.

SC is one of the states that Harris had been targeting heavily, had saw that in one of the political podcasts that I listen too. They had been saying that the black community isn't rallying around Harris like they rallied around Obama. Also, there's the fact that the black community was nervous to support her because she didn't seem electable vs Trump (which if the national / state by state polls were right, that's true)

Just have all the primaries on one day and end it there. Make them all proportional and that's the end of it. Though that'd have to be approved by each individual states party chapter.

1459  Other / Politics & Society / Re: 2020 Democrats on: January 06, 2020, 12:06:01 AM
Looks like Julian Castro officially ended his 2020 Presidential campaign. Of course, everyone knew this was coming and it seems clear Castro only held his campaign up to see if he could secure a Vice Presidential spot or cabinet position in the Democratic nominee's administration. He was polling at less than one percent throughout his campaign so I can't imagine many people will be disappointed. - https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/02/us/politics/julian-castro-dropping-out.html



Also, our favorite candidate Marianne Williamson is close to ending her campaign as she has now laid off her entire campaign staff nationally. - https://www.foxnews.com/politics/2020-white-house-hopeful-williamson-lets-go-of-entire-campaign-staff

Was really rooting for Marianne 2020. I can't tell you all how disappointed I am.


Also to add, betting odds currently reflect that Andrew Yang is ahead  of Amy Klobuchar winning the nominee which is interesting considering Klobuchar is an established US senator with political experience where as Yang came out of thin air shooting himself to the national stage. Yang hit is Q4 fund raising goal and is picking up a bit of momentum it seems like but it's not being shown in the polling averages.

Honestly he'll probably end up with a cabinet position anyway, he's someone who's trusted around the DNC establishmnt and he'd be given something like he was given in the Obama admin -- HUD or something minor like that.

In other news some of his staffers are saying that the primary process has the deck stacked against minorities due to the makeup of Iowa and New Hampshire (https://www.politico.com/news/2020/01/02/castro-democratic-primary-093079) They're pretty much saying that because of the demographics in Iowa and NH not representing the rest of the party (minority wise) and the reliance on doing well in these states to do well in the rest of the primary, that it is unfair towards minorities.
1460  Other / Politics & Society / Iraq votes to expel US Coalition Troops on: January 05, 2020, 09:54:22 PM
In a stunning rebuke to the US (that MEANS NOTHING) Iraqi Lawmakers voted 170-0 to expel US troops (and coalition troops) from Iraq. It's important to note that this vote is not final as this current caretaker government doesn't have the authority to oust the US (from NY times, will source this below) Most members of the chamber hadn't been present as well, as there are 328 members of the chamber and the rest hadn't attended the vote as they were boycotting it. These other members are Sunni and Kurds.


I''d just like to note again that what they've passed is a nonbinding resolution asking for the PM of Iraq to rescind the invitation of the US to assist in removing ISIS from the country. Pretty much a nothing burger.

Source:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/iraqi-parliament-votes-in-favor-of-expelling-u-s-troops-11578236473
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