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Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26405834 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
BobLawblaw
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September 20, 2020, 06:35:27 PM



Many thanks !
Last of the V8s
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Be a bank


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September 20, 2020, 06:52:43 PM

Dirty money my arse.
VB1001
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September 20, 2020, 06:54:12 PM


I'm glad that you are better.
In www.wohats.com there are all the hats, not all the versions of each one, but in your case the laser is there. Wink
Anyway, xhomerx10 sure has a backup.
nullius
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September 20, 2020, 06:54:52 PM
Last edit: September 20, 2020, 07:15:15 PM by nullius

Edit:  If you agree with the following appreciate the alluring redhead, +1 aesma.


Why the need for saccharine moralizing?  That nonsensical blue-checkmark sermon about “love” is the smug “liberal” equivalent of a stern “thou shalt not have lustful thoughts”.  Posting it in reply to that photo is sanctimonious preaching.

Man has always sought beauty.*  And that’s a good thing.


A fifteenth-century Cardinal commissioned this Renaissance restoration of a Roman copy of a Greek statue.  Love the Renaissance!


P.S., protip:  Modern notions of so-called “love” are the wrong basis for relationships.  What you really mean is an emotional codependency of narcissists who have mutually duped each other into sexual congress.  It is more shallow than simple lust, but with the added benefit of an opportunity for hypocritical platitudes.  Confirmed science:  Vide divorce rates.



* Although some of the pics posted to WO are really not beautiful, that is only an argument for better quality.  By that, I don’t mean statues.  A major reason why I typically avoid posting... desirable photos of flesh-and-blood female humans is that this forum has “no-NSFW” rules.  I don’t like to play that game, or to wonder if something is too borderline, or to Bowdlerize things.  Whereas nobody who is not fucking insane could make a fuss about my beloved statues and paintings.
AlcoHoDL
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September 20, 2020, 07:16:13 PM

New Legendary Hat in WO, in a few minutes, AlcoHoDL

+1sM

Congrats!!!

edit:



Done

Thanks so much VB1001, for giving me the turning merit, and to JSRAW for his kind generosity and good suggestion re. my Plausible Deniability Wiki! Big thanks to ivomm, xhomerx10, bitebits, and all WO brothers (and sister).

Almost all merits have come from WO members for posts in the WO thread, and that means a lot to me.

Keep on being who you are, and keep making WO the best place on cyberspace for all things, Bitcoin or not.

HoDL strong!
Toxic2040
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September 20, 2020, 07:21:45 PM

New Legendary Hat in WO, in a few minutes, AlcoHoDL

+1sM

Congrats!!!

edit:



Done

Thanks so much VB1001, for giving me the turning merit, and to JSRAW for his kind generosity and good suggestion re. my Plausible Deniability Wiki! Big thanks to ivomm, xhomerx10, bitebits, and all WO brothers (and sister).

Almost all merits have come from WO members for posts in the WO thread, and that means a lot to me.

Keep on being who you are, and keep making WO the best place on cyberspace for all things, Bitcoin or not.

HoDL strong!

+1 WOsMerit

Grats! Well earned AlcoHoDL

-------

no xhomerx10 for sure..and #nohomo...but haberdashery continues..couldnt help myself




#stronghands
JayJuanGee
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September 20, 2020, 07:27:25 PM

bitcoin will be strangled in the same way as the 500 Euro banknote for the same reason

That is some pretty BIG ASS speculation (in other words, likely an unsubstantiated FUD spreading attempt).

How is such supposed "strangling" of BTC going to take place?  Who is going to do it?  Presumably banks and governments.  Is it going to be a collaborative effort?  Are there going to be Streisand Effect risks? If so, how to avoid such Streisand Effect risks?
AlcoHoDL
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September 20, 2020, 07:27:55 PM

no xhomerx10 for sure..and #nohomo...but haberdashery continues..couldnt help myself



#stronghands

That, sir, is a work of art, and a piece of WO history!

I'm sure BobLawblaw (and xhomerx10) will approve.

#nohomo
JayJuanGee
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September 20, 2020, 07:54:10 PM
Last edit: September 20, 2020, 08:08:38 PM by JayJuanGee


Quote
1 US dollar is currently worth 9114 sats
https://usdsat.com/

Here we go $1=1Satoshi


$1 = 1000Satoshi would be good enough  Wink

Why prolong the agony? Cheesy

$1 = 1Sat would make bitcoin the world reserve currency & some bitcoin’ers would be the richest people in the world?

I’d love it to happen as I’d be rich AF too but it’s unlikely in our lifetime imo.

$1 per satoshi would be $100million per bitcoin, and that does seem a bit out of reach, even on a 50 year timeline... but surely not impossible.

Even $.01 per satoshi seems a bit difficult to achieve within our lifetime(s), and that would be $1 million per bitcoin, but surely many of us recognize scenarios in which such $1million per BTC could be reached in one or two more BTC halvening cycles, which surely would be reachable.. and I suppose, if we were to reach $.01 per satoshi, then the $1 per satoshi would not seem to far out of reach.. and maybe another two or three halvening cycles after reaching $.01 per satoshi might start to seem as if it may be in reach.

I suppose that we have to cross one bridge at a time and even walk before we run, even while a lot of these crazy-ass scenarios seem a bit out of reach, just like $10k per BTC seemed like quite a bit of pie in the sky in June 2011, when Astro was writing about $10k per BTC in the "this is gentlemen" thread.

But did you see me tighten the loose O? Wink

~ jb opens his war chest, looking for the nuke ~

Grin

Those of us who have been around here for long enuff appreciate the underlying reality that jbreher, dee picnic bear, no doesn't have it.    Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

He's a faker.   Shocked
cAPSLOCK
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September 20, 2020, 07:58:09 PM

if the stock market falls before 2010, then bitcoin will also fall to 2010 prices  Cheesy

Luckily we have a while before it's 2010 again.

But why did I unmute your idiotic ass???
BobLawblaw
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September 20, 2020, 07:58:20 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (2), cAPSLOCK (1), LFC_Bitcoin (1), AlcoHoDL (1)

That, sir, is a work of art, and a piece of WO history!
I'm sure BobLawblaw (and xhomerx10) will approve.

I'm not proud of getting as angry as I did. Justified, but still... was exhausting and an emotional drain.

I'm not about rusty pipes and sodomy lately. That's "Super Angry Bob". I don't like him very much. Good thing it takes a lot to set him off...

Peace, harmony, love, etc.

Except that Toxic2040 dude. Still mighty pissed off at his chest-puffery over "Fight Club" drama.
nullius
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September 20, 2020, 08:11:18 PM
Last edit: September 20, 2020, 08:35:17 PM by nullius
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

**LOTTA CAPSTYPINGS***
Happy Saturday!

Just to be clear, you seem to be stating that a future where transaction fees being $100, $1000 or even more per on-chain tx is a distinct possibility?

That as a possibility is implicit in my thoughts, I'd say, yes.

Well, which of those orders of magnitude do you think is a possibility?  $100?  $1000?  Unbounded “even more”?  And what are the implications?

What you are missing in this discussion is a sense of proportion of future feerates—and of the real-world practical implications of what various persons are saying.  Don’t get caught up in the minutae:  Look at the big picture.

rolling explicitly alleged that in the future, ordinary people will be completely priced out of on-chain transactions.  That is bog standard bigblocker nonsense, except with the twist that rolling relishes his fantasy of the blockchain being only the for the “big boys”.  Quote-unquote.  His words.

On-chain will be for the big boys.

jbreher probably agrees with rolling, except for the relished fantasy part.  Of course, his solution will be to increase the blocksize to the point that ordinary people cannot run nodes.  He is on record as alleging that non-mining validators are useless, anyway.

For example; boldface is his:
You are delusional. I have demonstrated over and over again that the count of non-mining validators is a powerless metric in regards to Bitcoin consensus.

[...]

A count of non-mining validators has fuck-all to do with a measure of the economic majority.

Thus arises a false dichotomy and thereupon, false synthesis:

  • Thesis, rolling, explicit and admitted:  Only “big boys” will be able to pay fees to transact on-chain.
  • Antithesis, jbreher, implicit and evaded:  Only “big boys” will be able to run nodes.
  • Synthesis:  Bitcoin under total control.  Big banker sigh of relief.

For my part, I think that most transactions will and should be off-chain.  It is ridiculously inefficient and horrible for privacy to keep a permanent record of every financial transaction in the world replicated on every node.  From a technical standpoint, the POW Nakamoto Consensus blockchain is actually the worst database ever invented—except if you need Byzantine fault-tolerant distributed consensus in a hostile network environment, with no central authority.  It should be used thus as a global synchronizer and enforcer for trustless, permissionless off-chain protocols.

An absolute prerequisite for that last:  On-chain transactions must remain accessible to ordinary people.  They may become moderately expensive, but not prohibitively expensive as rolling has proclaimed.  rolling sees the blockchain as a bank and billionaire settlement layer, not a “Be Your Own Bank” settlement layer.

A frequently made analogy, which I think is apt, is that the blockchain of the future will be the “wire transfer” mechanism for Your Own Bank.



This needs to be highlighted:

My argument is people are idiots and the few who aren't will be priced out of the market by high fees.

Your argument is pie in the sky nonsense in regards to a fear of a future of bitcoin evolving in a way that squeezes out the little guy...

You have hardly any evidence of that beyond pure speculation, and why the fuck do you believe that bitcoin had adopted segregated witness rather than increasing the block limit size?  That is in order that little normie people can run nodes.. .Have you heard about that kind of inclusiveness phenomena that puts power of the chain in the hands of the people through consensus mechanisms?

Speaking as someone who has painful real-world experience running Bitcoin on ancient, underpowered hardware, thank you.

I was thinking it, but you said it.

Anybody who does not understand this should try, just try running Bitcoin and syncing mainnet on old and/or very cheap hardware.  You will soon wish for smaller blocks.  If you have a bit of vision, thereupon contemplate network effects and the resistance to centralization brought by keeping full nodes within the reach of people who are not rich.
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September 20, 2020, 08:20:19 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (2)


Quote
1 US dollar is currently worth 9114 sats
https://usdsat.com/

Here we go $1=1Satoshi


$1 = 1000Satoshi would be good enough  Wink

Why prolong the agony? Cheesy

$1 = 1Sat would make bitcoin the world reserve currency & some bitcoin’ers would be the richest people in the world?

I’d love it to happen as I’d be rich AF too but it’s unlikely in our lifetime imo.
I'm with you in this, but...

"Hal Finney" Sun, 11 Jan 2009
Quote
As an amusing thought experiment, imagine that Bitcoin is successful and
becomes the dominant payment system in use throughout the world.  Then the
total value of the currency should be equal to the total value of all
the wealth in the world. Current estimates of total worldwide household
wealth that I have found range from $100 trillion to $300 trillion. With
20 million coins, that gives each coin a value of about $10 million.
https://www.mail-archive.com/cryptography@metzdowd.com/msg10152.html

Don't rule out any pricing option, look what they were talking about in 2009.

(I must be sick, the less BTC I have, the more bull I feel)


I must recognize that you largely are saying the same thing as me, in my above post from 20 minutes ago, but of course, you said it first, 9.5 hours ago.

By the way, VB1001.... what is going on with your finances?  You have not figured out some way to buy back some sats?  aka stack some sats.

I do appreciate that sometimes, some of us, have circumstances (negative cashflow situations) in which we are not able to save/invest... surely, that would be frustrating.

You have seen the $1 per day thread?   Of course, I speculate that you adequately understand the concepts of DCA.. and doing what you can in terms of investing into BTC and attempting to live within your means to be able to accomplish sat stacking investing... so maybe my post here is just meant to help highlight these kinds of points for any like-situated peeps who might be reading this thread.
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September 20, 2020, 08:25:18 PM
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Except that Toxic2040 dude. Still mighty pissed off at his chest-puffery over "Fight Club" drama.

Come on Bob, do yourself a favor and let it go.
I'm sure he meant well. It doesn't seem fair to have excused the others, and still hold a grudge with him.
I have no clue about the incident of course, nor want to, but fuck this.

If you really want to blame someone, blame that dickhead alevlaslo - and the fact that all the rusty pipes of the world cannot help him.


PS: I find Toxic's version of your hat amazing. Some might think it's his way of apologizing.
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September 20, 2020, 08:37:46 PM
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Apple's market cap is down around 20% from ATH a month ago to $1,8 trillion. If bitcoin had the same market cap as that one company, each BTC would need be worth $100k, doesn't sound that crazy now.
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September 20, 2020, 08:58:36 PM

EDIT: an interesting "thought" experiment would be to launch a few thou (or more) btc with the private code protected by a strong encryption (or strong multisig) into Sun-Earth L2 spot. Just in case if btc losses would be catastrophic at some point in the decades ahead. If needed, future humanity can retrieve such btc.

I cannot imagine any sort of catastrophe where a sudden injection of currency units would not exacerbate the problems faced, rather than solve them.
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September 20, 2020, 09:19:54 PM

EDIT: an interesting "thought" experiment would be to launch a few thou (or more) btc with the private code protected by a strong encryption (or strong multisig) into Sun-Earth L2 spot. Just in case if btc losses would be catastrophic at some point in the decades ahead. If needed, future humanity can retrieve such btc.

I cannot imagine any sort of catastrophe where a sudden injection of currency units would not exacerbate the problems faced, rather than solve them.

We were talking about a theoretical scenario where btc available to use would decline to some ridiculous number, say, less than 1000btc.
I can see a few catastrophes that might make most btc on Earth lost, but let's not get into gruesome details.
Having a btc "reserve' in the stable orbit (L2) might be a prudent thing to do, maybe some private company would finance it eventually.
A 100-300 year fund. Have a South Dakota perpetual "dynasty" fund investing in such "stash".
After several centuries such fund beneficiaries would probably be the richest on the planet.

Honestly, having a theoretical scenario where we have just few btc left for commerce and we now have to divide them into 10^16 sub-satoshis does not sound like a good idea to me due to the risk of a sudden discovery of a stash of a number of btc that exceeed all liquid btc at the time (on the planet).
The problem is that nobody knows what % is truly lost and what is recoverable at any given time.
In any case, it is not something to be concerned about right now, perhaps.

IMHO, an opinion that says that it does not matter how much is lost cannot possibly be serious if/when numbers of such losses would be extreme.
That said, maybe it is all a false alarm and as someone posited, losses will decrease as price increase.
Intuitively, this conjecture might be true.

JayJuanGee
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September 20, 2020, 09:24:57 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (2)

and yeah I heard you updated from your shitty van to a nicer one

Don't you be callin' Bessie 'shitty' - them's fightin' words. I drove her for twenty years, because it was the vehicle that suited me at the time.

Fair enough....

though I cannot guarantee that in the future I might not devolve into loose references that seem to be denigrating on their face, but surely I am not really meaning to denigrate your personal subjective values in that regard.

(not that you are living in it.. hahahahaha... nothing wrong with that)..

...down by the river

Quote
Another factoid I let slip a while back: At the top of the market in late 2017, I sold enough to buy My Personal Lambotm.  
I know about your mercedes or whatever it is.  

Perhaps we have a misunderstanding of the meaning of My Personal Lambotm. It is That One Purchase made whose attributes are rather ostentatious as compared to needs or requirements for an object of that class. It need not be an actual Lamborghini. Indeed, in my case, it is not any sort of vehicle.

I doubt that we need to get into specifics because I largely already understood your intended meaning in regards to "lambo".

Some of us are well into the divestment phase.  

Probably one of the first times that you mentioned that mostly "divestment phase" perspective of yourself.   Shocked Shocked

Again, not at all. From the same time frame as above: I have already stated that I have retired. Which means I need to fund my Lavish Lambo Lifestyletm* off my accumulated holdings. Hence, Divestment phase.

You are being a bit back and forth here... so you gotta admit that.  

OK, I will admit my role in this particular misunderstanding. Silly me for expecting that the trademark term on Lavish Lambo Lifestyletm would denote that the use of the term is tongue-in-cheek. Nay, other than My Personal Lambotm, I live pretty frugally. Always have. Which, of course, is what has allowed me to make the investments that have landed me in my current position.

I doubt that our misunderstanding is very BIG at all.

The only thing that I am suggesting (or perhaps leaning towards quibbling with) is that you are seemingly wanting to weave ideas of both frugality and opulence through your more recent posts in ambiguous ways that seem to be getting off topic in the sense of implying that your involvement in shitcoins has personally paid off.... rather than giving some proper (and likely deserved) credit to king daddy.

I had heard that you quit your regular job a couple of years ago.. so anyhow, that still would not necessarily mean that you are "well into the divestment phase" of your BTC unless you choose to start to make such divestments.  

Gotta eat. That's gotta be funded somehow.

Do we really need to get into particulars?  Any of us who have reached some more advanced age (and you are likely in such similar club as me, if not a bit more advanced) have likely built up a variety of cashflow sources, whether we draw upon them or not might be somewhat discretionary, at least in terms of which ones we might choose to draw upon.  So in that regard, there may be some earlier years in our "retirement" in which we do not feel comfortable drawing upon certain resources that we have, but then we also might not have advanced so far that we perceive our life to be approaching dusk years, in terms of any kind of need to really dip into principle (rather than largely attempting to live in a more sustainable way that is not really dipping into principle) - so  maybe in some sense, I am thinking that divestment has more of an "on balance" dipping into principle rather than sustainable aspects of our various overall investments that might still be riding without any dipping into them.


Yep.

I was a bit struck too (or maybe the better word choice would be "awed"?), by the jbreher strategic placement of that unimportant metric.

'unimportant metric'
 Roll Eyes
It's almost as if you are making my point for me.

It is possible that I misunderstood what you were saying, perhaps?   But, I doubt it because I have heard you spout out nonsense as if the BTC dominance was some kind of an important metric, including the post in which you used that BTC dominance term in your description of a supposed bitcoin blockalypse (referring to late 2017/early 2018) and a speculated upcoming blockalypse II (based on what you speculate is going to happen in bitcoin's next bullrun), that is referred to in my response that you cited here. 
nullius
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September 20, 2020, 09:29:53 PM

So sue me. (I've got a pretty big war chest - you better be sure of your case).

You been taking litigation lessons from diptwats? Craig and Calvin.

Get the fuck out of here with your confrontation, nonsense.

LOL.  Bragging about a legal warchest on a cypherpunk forum founded by a Tor user who invented a new form of permissionless money.

Few affronts are as frustrating to a man as demonstrating to him the limits of his own power.

I suspect that in large part, this is why Faketoshi and his clique tend to froth at the mouth against anonymity:  Their litigious lawyers are powerless to terrorize people who cannot be located.

Mr Bear, I can’t speak for anybody else, but I have some news for my own part:  Your legal “war chest” is a contemptible joke, insofar as I am concerned.  I am above your corrupt laws, and untouchable to your corrupt courts.

[Mine] is the anarchy of the good who, being good, hold fast to honour out of pride:  For the most sincere morality is the self-glorification of the proud, whose judgments of others honour the best of what they see in themselves.  It is they who would embrace death before the self-negation of dishonour—not as a sacrifice, but as a supreme act of pure selfishness...

Free yourself first from the moral authority of the mob.  You owe nothing to mass opinion; therefore, the laws which rise on mass opinion have no proper authority over you.  You do not consent to be governed by the votes of millions of anthropoid livestock who want to be bound in chains—who eagerly embrace those chains just as long as they remain warm, fed, and adequately entertained.  You are a law unto yourself.

Wherefore “anarchy” as to the masses and their so-called “governments”, which are in truth no more than the largest, most well-armed organized criminal gangs.  Don’t reject authority:  Be your own authority.

Rankles a bit, does it not.  The rattling of blunt sabres doth not impress.
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September 20, 2020, 09:39:05 PM

I didn't really get the answer about love to my bottom (which seems to be holding, BTW). If a woman is with you because of love or something else, you might never know. If you're with her because you like her or love her, that's all you can know : you're own sentiments. None of that is about qualities of someone, though, the usual dilemma is smart or beautiful, both or neither. The woman in my pic is an accomplished French actress which seems pretty smart to me, not a bimbo, so my kind of (unobtainable) woman. Dumb and beautiful can be endearing but I can't imagine that lasting long. Of course people can have qualities you can't discern like that, when you see sex symbol actors cheating on their beautiful wives with the bland nanny, there has to be a reason.

AlcoHoDL : congrats on Legendary, the path is still long for me !
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