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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 939288 times)
myself
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chaos is fun...…damental :)


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December 03, 2014, 09:39:53 AM
 #2261

I very like what happened with gold at monday. This is bullish sign, but only a sign.

I am completely 50/50 in estimations. Or may be 52/48 in bull side. Be careful! Its a very important moment. Don't act unless either trendline break.

wait for 1050-1000  maybe wee can get an 800

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
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Argwai96
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Thug for life!


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December 05, 2014, 02:24:54 AM
 #2262

I really hope and think we'll break up.

What do you think though?
The upcoming silk road auction will likely cause at least short term pressure on the price.
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December 07, 2014, 07:30:46 PM
 #2263

Goodbye America!

http://www.forbes.com/sites/timworstall/2014/12/07/chinas-now-the-world-number-one-economy-and-it-doesnt-matter-a-darn/


myself
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chaos is fun...…damental :)


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December 07, 2014, 08:11:35 PM
 #2264



shut up



weee cant hear you


nananananananananananananaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!!!!!!!!!!

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
ElectricMucus
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December 07, 2014, 11:07:08 PM
 #2265

Probably it has been that way since half a decade, just the method of their statistics did "favor" the US or the western states.
smoothie
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December 08, 2014, 01:34:13 AM
 #2266

I really hope and think we'll break up.

What do you think though?
The upcoming silk road auction will likely cause at least short term pressure on the price.

How so?

Who in their right mind would pay market price or higher then turn around on an exchange and dump the price down further than where they bought in?

lol

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phoenix1
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December 08, 2014, 01:36:29 AM
 #2267

I really hope and think we'll break up.

What do you think though?
The upcoming silk road auction will likely cause at least short term pressure on the price.

How so?

Who in their right mind would pay market price or higher then turn around on an exchange and dump the price down further than where they bought in?

lol

Good question, unless they wanted them all, which we already know someone did not ...
And if not putting in a knock-out bid  for all of them who in their right mind would pay above current market price for blocks of 2 or 3k ?

"Before you embark on a journey of revenge, dig two graves"  - Confucius (China 551BC-479 BC)
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December 09, 2014, 06:56:12 AM
 #2268

Since oda.krell posted a bullish scenario that doesn't make sense to me, I decided to post how a bullish scenario should look IMO.



Remember this? It has been invalidated. Now the bullish scenario is to test support at 275$ on huge volume and bounce for good.

Sometimes, if it looks too bullish, it's actually bearish
masterluc
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December 09, 2014, 07:08:21 AM
 #2269

Impulse continues, bear flag triggered.



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December 09, 2014, 10:17:28 PM
 #2270

So sub-200 was not a typo but instead a clear prediction of the coming trend.
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December 12, 2014, 07:27:17 PM
 #2271

Impulse continues, bear flag triggered.

Good good, got my money ready Smiley

Any estimate of target? Sub $200 was a typo, right?

pinky
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December 12, 2014, 07:35:09 PM
 #2272

Impulse continues, bear flag triggered.

Good good, got my money ready Smiley

Any estimate of target? Sub $200 was a typo, right?

Nobody knows, depends on a level of panic, but below 200 is not impossible.



████████████▀████▄████████████████▀███▀████████████████▄█
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      |                  |                  |            
mymenace
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Smile


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December 12, 2014, 08:52:09 PM
 #2273

Impulse continues, bear flag triggered.

Good good, got my money ready Smiley

Any estimate of target? Sub $200 was a typo, right?

Nobody knows, depends on a level of panic, but below 200 is not impossible.

the more bears who yell sell the more the price will rise

Grin
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December 12, 2014, 08:57:52 PM
 #2274

Impulse continues, bear flag triggered.

Good good, got my money ready Smiley

Any estimate of target? Sub $200 was a typo, right?

Nobody knows, depends on a level of panic, but below 200 is not impossible.

The double whammy of paypal and microsoft will have sparked enough new big capital interest, to make me assume we've already seen the bottom this year.
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December 12, 2014, 10:08:10 PM
 #2275

Impulse continues, bear flag triggered.

Good good, got my money ready Smiley

Any estimate of target? Sub $200 was a typo, right?

Nobody knows, depends on a level of panic, but below 200 is not impossible.

The double whammy of paypal and microsoft will have sparked enough new big capital interest, to make me assume we've already seen the bottom this year.

It feels like each new positive news is not having enough effect. The downwards pressure over the longer term is quite high.


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...INTRODUCING WAVES........
...ULTIMATE ASSET/CUSTOM TOKEN BLOCKCHAIN PLATFORM...






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December 15, 2014, 03:20:48 PM
Last edit: December 20, 2014, 12:01:55 PM by Tzupy
 #2276

While the waves are poorly defined, my most probable scenario for the near future is a repeat of the August 11 - 17 crash.
Since the market moves about twice as fast than in June - August, I used 12h for the old chart and 6h for the current chart.
To confirm this, 6h MACD divergence and 6h PSAR should turn bearish.





PS. This also supports the bearish scenario.



PS2. 6h PSAR just flipped. 6hMACD divergence still positive (barely).

Sometimes, if it looks too bullish, it's actually bearish
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December 15, 2014, 08:46:34 PM
 #2277

Since the market moves about twice as fast than in June - August
Thanks for the analysis. I'm curious, how do you measure market speed changes? Given it's fractal nature, it seems to be non-trivial task.

Fairplay medal of dnaleor's trading simulator. Smiley
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December 15, 2014, 08:59:04 PM
 #2278

Since the market moves about twice as fast than in June - August
Thanks for the analysis. I'm curious, how do you measure market speed changes? Given it's fractal nature, it seems to be non-trivial task.

It sure was confusing for the last weeks, but it seems to get clearer. I measure time elapsed between peaks and bottoms of the sub-sub-waves or even sub-sub-sub-waves (if recognizable).
If the speed stays twice as fast as June - August - 6th October, then THE bottom could be reached in January instead of February as I guesstimated some time ago.

Sometimes, if it looks too bullish, it's actually bearish
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December 15, 2014, 09:03:27 PM
 #2279

Since the market moves about twice as fast than in June - August
Thanks for the analysis. I'm curious, how do you measure market speed changes? Given it's fractal nature, it seems to be non-trivial task.

It sure was confusing for the last weeks, but it seems to get clearer. I measure time elapsed between peaks and bottoms of the sub-sub-waves or even sub-sub-sub-waves (if recognizable).
If the speed stays twice as fast as June - August - 6th October, then THE bottom could be reached in January instead of February as I guesstimated some time ago.
Thanks.

Fairplay medal of dnaleor's trading simulator. Smiley
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December 15, 2014, 10:09:29 PM
 #2280

Impulse continues, bear flag triggered.




Does this mean you think we will be down to 200 by about new years day?
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