Showdown: Trump Vs Haley. Bitcoin betting on the 2024 US Presidential Election

[Timelord2067]

Bitcoin betting on the 2024 US Presidential Election | Biden+Harris Vs ?? ??

It's on!

Biden Vs Trump.

With a slump in the midterms, can The Don reclaim the crown?

Would you put a wager on it?

With hours to go before Joe Biden is sworn in as the 46th President of the United States of America, will he stand down in two years time age 80 and give the electors a glimpse of a Harris administration for two years?

Or, will President Biden serve for four years and seek re-election in 2024?

Who will be the Republican challenger? Donald Trump, his daughter Ivana Marie "Ivanka" Trump... Mike Pence?

Will Bernie Sanders, Taylor Swift or even Kanye West have enough momentum to be a serious or credabital contender?

What odds would you expect to see for each of the challengers, and, if Bitcoin is worth about $36,000 right now, what might it be worth in four years time when the election is called?

In post two I'll post odds and websites taking wagers.

[Timelord2067]

Reserved #1



News Articles

• https://fox8.com/news/you-may-be-surprised-to-see-who-oddsmakers-think-will-win-the-2024-election/

[romero121]

Thats too early to make a prediction on the election, because Biden hasn't sworn as the president upon the 2020 win. However your post has made people think well, because Biden at the age of 80 and four years left. We don't know whether his presidential period gets completed. Donald Trump doesn't have an opportunity anymore, because if he's found to be an able candidate he could've won this election.

Along with the same you've well connected the bitcoin market. The price right now seems to be well stabilized and stays strong above $35000. With time we will experience growth rather than decline. In such a way I'm sure to see big rise in the price of bitcoin. Also we'll be crossing the next halving by then.

[Sithara007]

Given the fact that Biden faced health issues during his campaigning for the 2020 POTUS elections, the chances of him seeking a re-election in 2024 are very slim. On the other hand, I would say that there is a very good chance that he will step down by 2022-23, to be replaced by Kamala Harris. And in all probability Kamala will be seeking re-election in 2024. Making a bet in favor of Kamala seems to be the best option right now. But the question is whether you are ready to trust the gambling sites with your coins for such a long duration.

[FinneysTrueVision]

I had no idea Ivanka's real name wasn't Ivanka.

I think at this point the favorite to win the 2024 election would be Biden. I think Harris' odds are almost as good though because many people think Biden won't run again. If the economy is booming after covid is under control it'll be hard to beat any candidate from the Democratic party.

[michellee]

Biden is not yet working hard and serves their people, and it is too early to say if Biden has a chance to be the next candidate in the next Presidential Election. Besides that, the situation will be changing a lot in the future, especially in the next 3 years later, and I think if Biden can work hard to solve every problem in their country, Biden can be elected again. But the matter of the age will be the other things that Biden should think, and if his opponent is younger than him and can work hard to the country, maybe Biden will not get elect.

[avikz]

Lol! It's too early to speculate anything about 2024 or 2025. Because US citizens are very much unpredictable. When Trump came into power, he was won by majority but look at him now, acting like a clown while majority of the US is looking to see a more sane person to sit on the throne and Biden is definitely a more composed and calm personality for an US president! But gives his age, I wouldn't be surprised if he gives way to Kamala Harris after serving initial 2 years as a president. But however, we will see to it!

I don't think republicans will dare to promote either Trump or Pence as their next contender for presidential election. Rather they might look for popular faces from other industries who might not have a pure political background! Ivanka can be a good choice for them but I think she is much younger for such huge responsibility so most of the US citizens wouldn't vote for such a young face. So even Ivanka doesn't look good here! Again, we will see as the time comes!

But in 4 years we all can be a millionaire if we are holding thigh amount of bitcoin now, so who cares about the president! Useful information below,

https://fox8.com/news/you-may-be-surprised-to-see-who-oddsmakers-think-will-win-the-2024-election/

Enjoy!

[iamsheikhadil]

In my personal view, I'm quite sure that Biden will complete this first term and won't rerun again for election given his age. We might see Kamala Harris as nomination for president, and more young people in the blue side in presidential debates. In the Republican side, we might see Trump trying to get into debates but he will not be nominated. He might even try to run as an independent, and given his followers, he might even pull many votes that no independent candidate has ever got! It will be really interesting to see what happens in the following years!

[dothebeats]

Trump would literally be out of the question for the GOP, given that he has already trashed the party's credibility and image in the public, albeit still retaining some solid supporters across the US. Perhaps from the rank of Pence, Pompeo, and those who already gained nationwide exposure and 'popularity' from the outgoing administration will the GOP pick their roster for 2024. Until then, it's anyone's guess. Trump wasn't even the main projected candidate back in 2016 until the roster was locked.

[Alucard1]

This is too early for the 2024 US Election, we are still in the year 2021, we will wait for 4 years before it happens do you think this is food to discuss this thing on which it will take 4 years before the result. Besides Biden has not yet served as president and we know also that he is now facing a health issue which makes us think whether he could make it until 2024. 

[mu_enrico]

LoL, Biden's ability to stay alive in the next four years is already questionable, let alone become the 2024 President. I think:
- Biden: RIP;
- Bernie: RIP;
- Trump: alive but in decline.

None of them will become a candidate.

[Timelord2067]

Via the link provided by @avikz just above, we see that the betting site Williams already has the following list of people it is accepting wagers for the 2024 POTUS election:

(But no with Bitcoin I wouldn't imagine)

Here are the presidential election betting odds for 2024:

Odds to win the 2024 U.S. presidential election

Election Winner   Odds as of Jan 15, 2021
Kamala Harris   +350
Joe Biden   +450
Donald Trump   +600
Mike Pence   +900
Nikki Haley   +1,200
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez   +1,600
Dwayne Johnson   +2,500
Ivanka Trump   +2,500
Tucker Carlson   +2,500
Donald Trump Jr.   +3,300
Michelle Obama   +3,300
Pete Buttigieg   +3,300
Andrew Cuomo   +5,000
Candace Owens   +5,000
Elizabeth Warren   +5,000
Marco Rubio   +5,000
Mike Pompeo   +5,000
Ted Cruz   +5,000
Tom Cotton   +5,000
Amy Klobuchar   +6,600
Andrew Yang   +6,600
Bernie Sanders   +6,600
Dan Crenshaw   +6,600
Gavin Newsom   +6,600
Josh Hawley   +6,600
Kanye West   +6,600
Paul Ryan   +6,600

Odds courtesy of William Hill

Guys, help me out with a newbie question here, are they saying the odds are starting at 350:1 for Kamala Harris and go up to over 6000:1 for some of the less likely candidates ?? ??

[tyKiwanuka]

Guys, help me out with a newbie question here, are they saying the odds are starting at 350:1 for Kamala Harris and go up to over 6000:1 for some of the less likely candidates ?? ??

Hehe, you wish Those are american odds and +350 is 4.50 in decimal odds, i.e. it shows how much you can net win for every $100 staked. Favourites' odds are shown with a minus in this "system" and tell you how much you have to stake to win $100.

So a -125 odd indicates you have to stake $125 to win $100. And it makes sense because -125 is 1.80 in decimal odds and if you stake $125 on this 1.80, you will win exactly $100

I always found the american odds very confusing - at least for the favourites - but it's maybe because I am used to decimal odds and grew up with them.

[Questat]

That's 3 years from now, I think it's too risky to put your bitcoin in a gambling site, we don't know what would happen in that span of time.

What if they will go dark and scam bettors? That's really a high risk for bettors and personally I would not put a bet that early.

I always found the american odds very confusing - at least for the favourites - but it's maybe because I am used to decimal odds and grew up with them.

Same here, I'm glad the bookies I'm using have option where we can choose to display a decimal betting odds.

[Fundamentals Of]

Oh that's a very long way to go. Biden has just been sworn in. I don't think somebody is really interested this early on the 2024 US elections. That's 4 years to go and all kinds of possibilities are found in between. And politics is toxic especially if you stick to it all the time. Betting on election outcome is kind of fun when the campaign has already kicked in, the debates have started, and things are already a bit heated. But for now, the smoke of the last elections has not yet even settled down.

All those people on William Hill's list may not even be found on the 2024 ballot.

[bryant.coleman]

LoL, Biden's ability to stay alive in the next four years is already questionable, let alone become the 2024 President. I think:
- Biden: RIP;
- Bernie: RIP;
- Trump: alive but in decline.

None of them will become a candidate.

Completely agreed. And for Trump, if he had any scant chances for 2024, all of that evaporated with the capitol riots. It was the last straw and now I don't even consider Trump or any of his children (including Ivanka) as potential candidates for the 2024 elections. Biden/Bernie will be 80 plus, and even if they are alive they won't be in a condition to contest the elections.

[Reatim]

Isn't it best to tackle the gambling rules first ? because i believe what happens this last election is something to be clarified first.
What Trump did makes the election betting difficult to take place  while same rules are applied .
maybe revisions need to take place so the next election will go smoothly even if the 2020 election problem happens again.

That's 3 years from now, I think it's too risky to put your bitcoin in a gambling site, we don't know what would happen in that span of time.

I think we had enough Legit gambling sites here that will be worth trusting even if that 3-4 years waiting happen.

What if they will go dark and scam bettors? That's really a high risk for bettors and personally I would not put a bet that early.
.

though i believe that only Few will go on this early because we had so many chances in doubling or even higher our funds before the next Election comes.

[agustina2]

That's 3 years from now, I think it's too risky to put your bitcoin in a gambling site, we don't know what would happen in that span of time.

What if they will go dark and scam bettors? That's really a high risk for bettors and personally I would not put a bet that early.

Not just it's risky but there are lots of circumstances on this event if betting will be early.

I think there's no bitcoin gambling site yet that opens a bet for 2024 Futures. If I'm not mistaken, betting only open for at least a year in advance on crypto gambling sites. Different from fiat sportsbook that opens the betting much ahead of time.

[crzy]

A lot of things can happen and its hard to speculate especially if Biden is newly appointed today. I’ll not take any risk to to bet and wait for the next 3 years before the next election. I’m sure Trump is not done yet and we will hear more dramas in the coming days, let’s just hope that Biden will not become the puppet of China and make the US great again.

[Indymoney]

LoL, Biden's ability to stay alive in the next four years is already questionable, let alone become the 2024 President. I think:
- Biden: RIP;
- Bernie: RIP;
- Trump: alive but in decline.

None of them will become a candidate.

Completely agreed. And for Trump, if he had any scant chances for 2024, all of that evaporated with the capitol riots. It was the last straw and now I don't even consider Trump or any of his children (including Ivanka) as potential candidates for the 2024 elections. Biden/Bernie will be 80 plus, and even if they are alive they won't be in a condition to contest the elections.

Its look like now we have to wait for some time who is strong enough for next USA Presidnetial candidate because as looking Biden Bernie very old Trump already done bad enough for this all so hopefully Republican's will bring some good and stronge candidate for Kamala because this could be not easy for them as they already faced in shape of Trump.