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1901  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 19, 2023, 05:17:31 PM
in many scenarios where we are faced with a company with a lot of money or a team with a lot of money, the regulatory bodies are more thoughtful in their decisions that they will take in relation to the accusations that are made against the rich team or rich company, because a decision Hard damage can harm a lot of things and the damage can be irreparable in the short term. Let's look at the case of Manchester City, I don't know to what extent all these accusations are true or not, but let's imagine that all the accusations are true and they decide to punish Manchester City with the maximum penalties, something like being relegated, what would happen to the Premier League? league if manchester city were relegated?

it would be something catastrophic, in a way it would affect the competitiveness of the premier league, the manchester city players who are English and play for the england national team would be affected because they would be playing in the low competitive league (second division league) and the england national team England would also see a reduction in good players and other national teams from other countries would also be harmed by this decision. So I wonder why the bodies responsible for the premier league don't opt for penalties such as payments of money in case of infractions, rather than having penalties of points reduction and relegation which are penalties that when implemented harm the team on a catastrophic level.

I think that some penalties need to be revised, I know and understand that one should not comment on infractions, but we all know that it is difficult to comply with the rules, which is why they do not impose penalties such as cash payments and take the money to improve even further the league and can do other things than suffer penalties that can destroy a team for many years. This doesn't help at all, what would they gain by relegating Manchester City?

No one should be above the law. As someone said, selective application of the law is lawlessness. And your reasoning has a serious flaw: if City had been punished immediately, at least for the first ten violations, then everything would not have worsened to such an extent that if they were punished now it would have catastrophic consequences. At the moment, when Ludogorets/Everton are punished, but City/PSG are left alone, it looks like a mockery of common sense.
1902  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [ POLL ] The Unification Fight: FURY vs USYK 17th FEBRUARY 2024 on: November 19, 2023, 05:06:01 PM
This is not sumo where size and weight always help you, if Fury cannot hit Usik, then there is a chance that by the end of the fight Fury himself will fall from fatigue (haha). The question is how much faster Usik will be and how long he can remain invulnerable. It’s hard for me to guess who will be luckier - Usik or Fury, so I’m taking the basic 50/50. There were many fights where the technician wore down the knockout guy and vice versa where the knockout guy suppressed the technician with his physical power, I don’t know how it will be here. And it’s clear that they’re both techies, but there’s a similar pattern here: superior power versus speed.

Come on! In boxing, size and weight always matter. There's a reason why an agreed weight will have to be strictly implemented. To fail is to pay a costly fine. Worse, the match could be cancelled and you're still asked to pay for certain expenses. Moreover, Fury isn't that big that it's taking a toll on his movement and speed. Fury floats. This is a lethal combination.

In addition to his size and weight, which Fury makes the most of in his fights, there's also that 7-inch difference in reach. We've also seen how Fury stretches that arm to keep his opponents at bay.

I'm not saying Usyk doesn't even have the slightest chance to win. The man is quick for his weight class. But it cannot be possible that he would wear out Fury to the point that he would fall from fatigue. LOL!

Oh, well, I hope you didn’t take my words about fatigue literally? I meant a slightly different kind of fatigue - when you can’t hit your opponent and he regularly hits you. At this weight, even light jabs (that land) are exhausting, and if it goes on for 12 rounds, any boxer can get tired. In general, if you look at what you write, Usik has chances, but they are so illusory that there are almost none, but even bookmakers give him solid chances.
1903  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 19, 2023, 12:11:52 PM
It seems the situation for some teams in the Premier League is not good at all because, after the financial issues Everton had, they lost ten points while there is some other news about Chelsea and Macnshter City.
Everton broke some rules and according to some news, Chelsea and Manchester City broke more rules and there is even a chance for them to get relegated.



https://www.theguardian.com/football/2023/nov/17/premier-league-financial-fair-play-everton-manchester-city-chelsea

Regarding the City, this is not news, but a continuation of a long-term case that the League for some reason cannot investigate, they “lack the authority.” It sounds crazy because they can punish Everton, but for some reason they cannot punish City, who are accused of 115 FFP violations (and, as I understand it, not only that). But due to some procedural issues, the League allegedly cannot punish City  Grin
1904  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Are you in profit? on: November 19, 2023, 12:07:10 PM
I think it might be better if you put a poll so that we can vote instead of those colors.

Nevertheless, just like others, I'm into the negative as well. Just last night, went out with my friends and to go casino and I have a budget, I did bring some money, initial it was just up and down. But suddenly I'm on the losing streak and we all lost some money. Me? half of my capital was lost too, 50% of it. So I just went home with another half of the money that I brought in. Others might say that at least I didn't lose everything, but yeah, at least I enjoy with my friends, had a few drinks.

It would be good if the OP (since he created the topic and is interested in this question) counted the number of answers and compiled statistics.
By the way, if we take into account not only the financial side, but also the pleasure that we get from gambling, the number of players who are in the black would be much greater than in the case when we take into account only finances. In my opinion, this is logical, because we don’t complain about cinemas because we spend money on tickets, but for some reason we complain about casinos  Grin
1905  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: November 19, 2023, 12:01:34 PM
I also read from several other newspapers that the Brazilian winger was injured in the match against Colombia. Based on Romano's report, Real Madrid estimates that Vini Jr will be absent for at least two months, possibly two months and a half based on the recovery process. other reports, another major blow for Madrid after Camavingga's injury which is expected to occur again in January. Apart from that, there are several other players who are injured, such as Tchouameni, and several players who have previously been injured. What is certain is that this condition is unpleasant news for Real Madrid fans.
~

This is because FIFA and UEFA invent nonsense/garbage tournaments (like the Nations League, Conference League) and expand tournament formats in such a way that the number of games is constantly growing. At the same time, the quality of competitions and interest in them decreases, plus, as we see, the players cannot withstand such stress. It seems this month there will be another court hearing regarding the Super League, I hope business represented by the clubs will finally take control into their own hands and we will see a cleansing of garbage in football.
1906  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: November 19, 2023, 11:52:24 AM
Man City is very lucky to have a coach who is very competent and can always solve every problem at the club. It's no wonder Pep Guardiola has received many awards as a coach. Because we all know he has made the teams he coached win many trophies. Even last season, Man City also won 3 trophies in one season. thanks to the expertise of coach Pep Guardiola.
~

City dominate not because of the figure of the head coach, but because of the endless money that allows them to buy the best players and due to the fact that they are higher than the FFP. Guardiola became the first coach to spend more than two billion on transfers - fill everything with money, how “brilliant” that is! Everton were punished for just one episode of FFP violation, and City are accused of 115 episodes, but for some reason there is still no punishment.
1907  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: November 19, 2023, 11:44:53 AM
France won 14 goals without a single goal in return coming from Gibraltar. France recorded 7 wins from 7 matches. In the closing qualifying match in Group B, France will play against Greece, which has no chance of qualifying from Group B because the Netherlands after getting a narrow win over Ireland and the Netherlands will have an easy match against Gibraltar.

When I saw the result, I thought that Mbappe probably scored 10 goals, but in fact he only scored a hat-trick, Giroud and Coman scored a double. Mbappe is now just one goal behind Ronaldo and Lukaku in the top scorers race. Today Belgium will play with Azerbaijan and Portugal with Iceland, these are more serious rivals than Gibraltar but also a good opportunity to improve their statistics.
1908  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Are you in profit? on: November 18, 2023, 08:40:49 PM
I have noticed some individuals claiming to be successful in gambling.
but, my personal experience with online gambling platform over the past 8 months has been consistently unprofitable
I haven't broken even or made any gains. I'm curious if anyone in our community has actually achieved profitability through gambling. If yes, we can calculate that how much percentage of us are profitable.
I know most of the people pay to win and deposit to recover previous losses.

write in this format:
Code:
Context:
[color=green]YES[/color] [color=red]NO[/color]

YES

I don’t know exactly how much I’m in the black, but I’m definitely in the black thanks to a couple of big wins that I was lucky enough to win. I play for fun, so I mostly bet small amounts and it’s unlikely that I will ever go into red. In addition, although I am too lazy to engage in bonus hunting or look for the most favorable odds, if I see an opportunity to get a boost or make a bet with profit, then I do it.
1909  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: November 18, 2023, 07:42:15 PM


Previously, I discussed the injury suffered by Camavinga during a training session with the French national team and the latest news is that Camavinga will be absent until the end of 2023 because he suffered a ruptured knee ligament in his right leg. Apart from that, other players who suffered injuries were Vinicius and Ter Stegen and this was only confirmed today. Vinicius was withdrawn during the World Cup qualifier against Colombia and this is the second blow for Real Madrid after previously losing Camavinga. It is reported that Vinicius has returned to Madrid to undergo treatment and the results will be known later after passing the examination.

Meanwhile, Ter Stegen is experiencing acute back pain and has left the German training camp. It is reported that Ter Stegen will return to Barcelona tomorrow to find out more about his condition and whether he will be fit for the next La Liga match. This seems to be a wound for Real Madrid and Barcelona who have lost key players in the international break and I can only hope that things get better soon.

For Real this is close to disaster. Their middle line has sagged and now Modric and Kroos will get maximum playing time, this is good for them, but I’m not sure that Real will maintain the champion’s pace (Girona’s chances of winning the title are growing hahaha). On the one hand, it’s interesting to look at the skill of coaches who get out of difficult situations using different tactical solutions, but on the other hand, I prefer to see games (especially big ones) with the optimal composition.
1910  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: November 18, 2023, 07:34:18 PM
Manchester United is filled with injured players. Goalkeeper Andre Onana was added to the general list. While playing for the Cameroon national team in qualifying for the 2026 World Cup, the goalkeeper was injured. Thus, he was added to the club’s list of injured: Hoylund, Eriksen, Evans, Martinez.

Is it just me or is the number of injuries during this break abnormal? Real lost two players at once, some clubs have also already suffered and there are still enough games ahead for the list of injured to be replenished. I would like to know what this is connected with - for example, last season had a tighter schedule of games due to the winter World Cup, but I don’t remember such an epidemic of injuries.
1911  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: November 18, 2023, 07:27:55 PM
And its over, 1:1.  Grin

As I suspected, Wales didn't have an easy game in Armenia and in the end they should be happy with that one point. If Armenia had a little bit more compuster they would have take 3 points. In the end, this is the best result for Croatia as now everything is in our hands while Armenia is not the treath anymore.

An excellent outcome for Croatia, but it’s too early for them to relax - ideally, they now need a victory over Armenia (and I think they will get it in a home game) because if Croatia draws and Wales wins (which, by the way, will be difficult against Turkey), then according to the results in head-to-head matches Wales will be higher. But at the moment we can say that Croatia has resolved the issue by 99%.
1912  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 18, 2023, 07:21:43 PM
Do you really believe that any of the big clubs will be punished? Everton received a punishment for one incident, while City are charged with 115. If even half of the claims are proven to be true, then City should be stripped of all their titles for many years and sent to the Championship. But for some reason I think that City will not be punished even for one episode out of 115  Grin
or maybe because Man City is a big team with more money to escape this punishment? ah, my mind seems to be getting dirty. Roll Eyes
I fully support you, no matter how bad things have been done, Man City will not receive this punishment and it would be very funny if that could happen and Man City would be stripped of the title.

Its truly terrible to see Everton having to receive this punishment, even though if you investigate all the possibilities, its not just Everton, however, this is like drama that has happened to teams in other leagues.

It is noteworthy that, for example, in Italy people know what the mafia is, so they punished Juventus there, even to the point of sending them to Serie B. And of course, in Italy it was not only Juventus who was to blame, but you see the difference: in Italy they punished the top team so that everyone else understood that everything seriously, it’s better not to break the law, but in the Premier League they punish Everton, while City has been cheating for many years and they simply don’t care about the law.
1913  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [banned mixer] 🦁 Fantasy Premier League Pool ⚽ Discussion Thread on: November 18, 2023, 01:59:21 PM
~Regarding the injuries, I never believe in the stories (like in Haaland's case). He's got nothing to play for for Norway and will rather rest and recoup.
Most of the clubs have the same strategy, especially towards players from other continents. I expect Haaland to play the full 90 against Liverpool.

It infuriates me that I made some multi-bets that include both national team games and club games, and now when players get injured (Real two players dropped out at once - Camavinga + Vinny, damn!) I understand that my bets have lost a little relevance (in in terms of the correctness of the coefficients). In club games, players also get injured, but I rarely make multi-bets there with games from different rounds.
1914  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [ POLL ] The Unification Fight: FURY vs USYK 17th FEBRUARY 2024 on: November 18, 2023, 01:52:11 PM
Hmmm... It seems to me that any bet on Usik with odds higher than 2.1 is profitable. At the moment, Fury is much more hyped than Usyk plus he is the favorite so it can be assumed that bookmakers base their quotes on cash flow from betters. Therefore, I will assume that these quotes poorly reflect the sports balance of power where it seems that the chances are 50 to 50.

I don't see it as 50:50. I actually agree with the odds. That's why I was curious where this Fury's 1.62 odds are posted because that's for me higher than it could actually be in reality. Usyk has a talent, yes, but if he could only win an SD against a breaking Joshua in their rematch, I can't see any reason how he could defeat a much bigger, stronger, and more confident and undefeated Fury.

This is not sumo where size and weight always help you, if Fury cannot hit Usik, then there is a chance that by the end of the fight Fury himself will fall from fatigue (haha). The question is how much faster Usik will be and how long he can remain invulnerable. It’s hard for me to guess who will be luckier - Usik or Fury, so I’m taking the basic 50/50. There were many fights where the technician wore down the knockout guy and vice versa where the knockout guy suppressed the technician with his physical power, I don’t know how it will be here. And it’s clear that they’re both techies, but there’s a similar pattern here: superior power versus speed.
1915  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Can a mega winner say no to public presentation? on: November 18, 2023, 01:43:24 PM
I guess it depends on what State if you are in the US,

Quote
16 States Where Lottery Jackpot Winners Can Remain Anonymous

-Arizona (only for winners of $100,000+, but city and county will be revealed)
-Delaware
-Illinois (only for winners of $250,000+)
-Kansas
-Maryland
-Minnesota (only for winners of $10,000+)
-Mississippi
-Missouri
-Montana (town or city may be revealed)
-New Jersey
-New Mexico (only for winners of $10,000+, but you can request anonymity if you have security concerns)
-North Dakota
-South Carolina
-Texas (only for winners of $1 million+)
-Virginia (only for winners of $10 million+)
-West Virginia (only for winners of $1 million+)
-Wyoming

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/remain-anonymous-win-mega-millions-182448839.html

So maybe other States wanted to let everyone knows that some real person won the lottery and that it was not rigged or something and so it is allowed publicly for anyone to check.

But for me, for privacy safe I would rather remain anonymous, I don't want anyone to know that I have won the lottery.

So with that, it really depends on what State or what the laws of your country, if you can remain hidden from the public eye, the better for you.

It’s quite funny that this is spelled out in the law, although in my opinion this can be decided by the lottery organizers, and people themselves will choose where it is more convenient for them (which lottery to play). I find it a bit immoral and unnatural when the "curiosity" of the majority is satisfied at the expense of losing someone's privacy. If you don't trust that the lottery draw will be fair, how can knowing who won the jackpot convince you that everything is fair?
1916  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 18, 2023, 01:33:01 PM
It seems that not only Everton are being punished with points deductions, but I see rumors that Chelsea and Manchester City are also being threatened with this punishment, but we'll see if these rumors are true.

Source

This punishment will definitely make Everton devastated because they have to suffer the unfortunate fate that now the points they have been collecting have to be cut short due to the punishment they have to face and Everton have to fight again to secured their position in order to remain in the English league, hopefully Everton can get up and fight in the remaining matches they will face and catch up.

Do you really believe that any of the big clubs will be punished? Everton received a punishment for one incident, while City are charged with 115. If even half of the claims are proven to be true, then City should be stripped of all their titles for many years and sent to the Championship. But for some reason I think that City will not be punished even for one episode out of 115  Grin
1917  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: November 18, 2023, 01:26:54 PM
Damn you, Italy. All I needed for a great ticket to hit is for you not to win by 3+ goals difference.
Italy really isn't a team that hunts goals, I don't recall when they scored 5 times.

When North Macedonia went from 3-0 to 3-2, I already started counting the money. Still, seems that due to the importance of the game and negative experience against Macedonia in the past, the Italians decided to chase this one until the end.

Croatia and Wales on program today, hugely important round of games for us. Come on Armenia!

Have you made any multi-bet where this event was included? If so, what was the coefficient?
I reasoned exactly like you when I included Italy’s victory with a handicap of -2 goals. They really wanted to take revenge on North Macedonia and did so with will and considerable effort. As they say, it turned into something personal.
Today I hope that the Netherlands will not be lazy in front of their fans and will win with a handicap of -1 goal.
1918  Local / Трейдеры / Re: Последний вагон на север on: November 18, 2023, 12:26:28 PM
А зависит от того, зачем запруживают мемпул. Если, как уже кто-то в теме писал, чтобы под ATH выбить тех, кто будет жаться заплатить огромные деньги за отправку своих сатошиков на биржу, то не раньше ATH и ещё какого-то времени после него посвободнеет мемпул. Потому что не допустить широкие массы до праздничного пирога, это вполне реально возможная тактика.

Я писал. И основное это здесь думаю "забота" о тех хомяках которые полезут в биток на пампе, а не ко тех которые уже в нем. Что выберет хомяк: получить "натуральный" биток с комсой в 100 баксов, или "такой же натуральный но на бирже" с комсой как за обычный фиатный перевод (ноль или близко к этому)? Очевидно что второй вариант. Т.е. будущий памп это загон хомяков на биржи, а вот для чего хз - то ли чтобы все сразу привыкли к стойлу, то ли мтгокснуть (выглядит вроде слишком смело, но в большой игре "прививка хомякам от желания покидать фиатную систему" очень даже норм).
И делается все это максимально топорно: нфт/ординалсы нахуй никому не упали, тема отыграна, но с каких-то хуев находятся те кто оплачивает засирание блокчейна (причем уже не только битка).
1919  Local / Идеи / Re: Хочу продать гениальную идею :) on: November 18, 2023, 11:58:01 AM
Ну ок, опустим сказки о воровстве и т.п. (я сейчас больше о страхе), что мешает собрать средства для реализации с комьюнити? До сих пор, всякие бездари с типа уникальной идеей спокойно поднимают по 500к. баксов c комьюнити (привет Pyme  Grin). Вот и из относительно свежего (не по теме крипты), ребята
под свой продукт Flipper Zero подняли почти 5 миллионов баксов (а ключевая планка была в размере 60к.$)

"Сказки" о воровстве? Вы уже переехали в волшебную страну с молочными реками и кисельными берегами?  Wink

Что касается ваших примеров, то не думаю что они релевантны: на кикстартере в основном не скидывают бабло в венчур, а лишь покупают будущий продукт. Т.е. собранные суммы это лишь сумма заказов того что будет произведено.
Что касается того что кто-то наебал (?) комьюнити, то тут тоже есть два важных момента: во-первых, это разные ситуации: какое-то комьюнити и один из его членов собирает на что-то, и ситуация когда ноунейм ищет финансирование не находясь в каком-то комьюнити. Разница в том что в первом случае кто-то уже обладает социальным капиталом.
Во-вторых, как это ни парадоксально но инвестиции в венчур это не то на что честный человек будет искать финансирование: риск прогореть близок к 100% поэтому стрёмно подписывать под такое других людей. Многие рассуждают так, мне например предлагал финансирование (в реале) друг, но я его вежливо послал.
1920  Local / Юристы / Re: Регулирование крипты в разных странах on: November 18, 2023, 11:34:07 AM
Так ведь речь идет не о росте долларизации, когда мы говорим о стейблкоинах. Стейблкоины никаким образом не увеличивают оборот реального доллара, и поэтому на экономику США позитивным образом практически не влияют, кроме случаев, когда обмениваются на фиатный доллар. Но на фиатный доллар можно обменять и любую другую криптовалюту, поэтому у стейблкоинов тут преимуществ нет. Они используются именно как криптовалюты для фиксации цены, это не какая-то часть из общей эмиссии реального доллара США.

Тогда как в пейпале наличны именно реальные доллары. Часть эмиссии. Поэтому их оборот влияет и на инфляцию, и на общее состояние экономики штатов.

Стейблы увеличивают оборот именно реального доллара. Стейблы как минимум на значительную часть обеспечены долларами поэтому оборачивая УСДТ вы пользуетесь долларами и не важно в каком они виде наличном/безналичном/криптобезналичном.
Удобство криптобаксов создаёт великолепные возможности для долларизации любых операций которые в обычных условиях вам бы не позволили произвести, например купить товар в стране А находясь в стране Б: либо идете официальным путем через банки где тугрики страны А меняете на тугрики страны Б (и вас нагревают на всех этапах) либо просто используете криптобаксы а тугрики идут лесом.
Плюс свобода хранить любые суммы в УСДТ и пересекать любые границы без потери к ним доступа/лишних сложностей тоже играет в пользу долларизации.
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