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1401  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Bryan Micon's Butterfly Labs Scammer Investigation including Josh Zerlan on: January 16, 2013, 09:41:47 AM
Looking for members that want to post anonymously to this site with any BFL information:

http://joshzerlan.com/

1402  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin will be at CES2013 (Official Thread) on: January 16, 2013, 09:40:11 AM

PS - Still waiting for the "Fuck You Machine" you promised me.


something more like this then?

http://joshzerlan.com/



1403  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Bryan Micon's Butterfly Labs Scammer Investigation including Josh Zerlan on: January 16, 2013, 07:04:55 AM
A very telling video of Josh Zerlan explaining to a reporter at CES 2013 who started with the softballs and towards the end got to the tough questions.  Pay special attention to Josh Zerlan's eyes looking down-left at the 4:41 mark - it is a great lesson in "low confidence tells" and I suggest Joe Navarro's entire body of work if you'd like to high and low confidence body language better, not just for beating-poker reasons.

This video starts a few seconds before the question is answered by Josh Zerlan but watch carefull at the 4:41 mark for his down-left eye movement

http://youtu.be/5ZUPniBo5UQ?t=4m29s

shout to CoinHoarder for first noticing Josh's low-confidence tells in this video.





This is all BS, did you notice how Josh seems tired and exausted ?  look at his eyes, he seems in total sleep depravation !  Because he works hard ?  because he's stressfull ?  because he does'nt sleep well with the fact of running a scam ?  Choose any you want, but from my point of view.. He's not at his best, whatever why, just give the man a pause.  If he's scamming, then just let foolish peoples get scammed.. If he's working hard for real, for a real product..  Believe me, you must all (trolls) be shamefull for hitting a man that tired/stressed !

Like for any furture asic mining rig, just let it cool for the purpose of it !

Is it not BS if its from a former FBI agent?

 
1404  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin will be at CES2013 (Official Thread) on: January 16, 2013, 06:24:50 AM
I'm thinking the temporary marriage between BitPay and BFL to split the $13K booth rate was arranged last summer or so. Surely not in November or December, for the booth needed to be locked in and artwork for the display had to get underway.

Regardless of whatever sentiment may have arisen after that, it's good business etiquette to honor and maintain the marriage unless, of course, one of the parties is, beyond a shadow of a doubt, a nefarious entity (of which the underlined clause isn't the case), then you annul the contract. Otherwise, move forward, as they both did, and hope for a great show, and build further mind share for Bitcoin--as they both did.

Full disclosure: This post was written on my Toshiba Satellite A135-S7404 while sitting on the porcelain throne that may, or may not, need a good cleaning with equal portions of bleach and ammonia. (apologies to Bryan)

1)  As long as bitpay distances themselves starting now I don't see how the community would find fault.  I have said this over and over and I'm saying it again because the other bullshit is on repeat around here, so the good needs to be said multiple times too:  Bitpay is doing damn fine work for the bitcoin community.  They allow small businesses to instantly and easily accept bitcoin.  They are actively spreading the bitcoin gospel and taking a very fair 0.99% along the way and I hope they make a killing and I will do anything personally to support them.

2) lolz.  And clean your turlet!
1405  Economy / Gambling / Re: Bet between mrb and Micon (are BFL ASICs real?) on: January 16, 2013, 05:22:23 AM

Should be interesting as this is a "sure thing".

1)  we call this type of a bet "polarized" i.e. it's there is very little that will be up for discussion.  Either massive fail or huge success

2)  what types of btc business are you into now?  did you learn your pirate lesson and work for good now?  or still evil?
1406  Economy / Gambling / Re: Bet between Micon and mrb (are BFL ASICs real?) on: January 16, 2013, 05:19:42 AM
Just to clarify, I am not making the bet.  I'm just stating that if anyone were to make a bet with Bryan Miscam, you should definitely escrow.  There's no way a character like him would pay out when he lost.


1)  your hubris will be your downfall.  It clearly extends to ever part of your essence.  You are blind, or just irrational because of the terrible situation you have put yourself in with BFL and the promises and the pre-orders.

2)  Josh Zerlan - in another thread you were claiming to be running a real company about to rent a BMW or Peugeot.  Today your desperation is so great and your denial so palpable you decided to drop multiple posts trolling up mrb & my betting thread, where myself and mrb (and a big tytytyty to Casascius) are calmly, rationally coming to terms on a $140 bet like gentlemen.  You call me a troll, then you spend all day trolling one of my betting threads.  You said I used profanity and stomped around the booth on day 1, but here is a video of you using profanity vs me: http://youtu.be/UlWrmIqGs3Y?t=2m48s  and here is what really happened on day 1: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=133487.msg1452374#msg1452374  anyone refute that?  no?  not even you?  Silence Lloyd - it's fucking golden.

3)  that in the professional gambling world it has been my experience for the last decade that once terms are agreed upon for a smaller bet, it may lead to larger and larger wagers.  I am excited to have this booked as soon as mrp says yes and we both hit the hash.
1407  Economy / Gambling / Re: Bet between Micon and mrb (are BFL ASICs real?) on: January 16, 2013, 05:06:48 AM
I'd be willing to serve as an escrow agent using Cryptographic Escrow.  This would result in an arrangement where I never touch the funds, and don't have to do anything to release unless there's a stalemate and the two of you refuse to release funds to the winner.  Best of all, no fee.  Benefit for me is publicity for an idea that everyone should know about.

Simply send me or link me to your PGP public keys, and I'll send you each an "escrow invitation code".  (crypto details: they're a pair from a matched set: I create integers/private keys x and y, one person gets a string encoding x and Gy, the other person gets y and Gx)

Once received, you can use my utility at https://casascius.com/btcaddress-alpha.zip to generate a "payment invitation".  (It doesn't matter who does it, but one person must generate the invitation, send it to the other, and the other person keep a copy and verify it results in the same bitcoin address since the eventual winner will also need it to unlock the funds).  (crypto details: the payment invitation encodes a third integer/private key, z.  The escrowed address is Gxyz and its private key is the product xyz, everyone is missing exactly one factor so nobody can calculate the private key unless the missing factor is released their way by one of the other parties.)

Once you have agreed that you are both looking at the same address, and that you have safely saved your escrow invitation and payment invitation codes, each of you pay your bet to that address.

When the time comes, the loser should send his original escrow invitation (the code I sent them) to the winner.  With it, the winner can calculate the private key and collect the bet.  Whoever has both escrow invitation codes plus the payment invitation (all 3 parts) can get the private key.

If the loser won't send the code, I'll have both escrow invitations, and can send both to the person I determine is the winner.

mrb-

I will 100% make a 10 coin wager with mrb using this method as escrow with the following terms:

-- BFL equipment is reported to by 10+ "good standing" forum members (I doubt this bet comes down to "no those were shills reporting hardware" - I think the writing will be on the wall on the date our bet settles)

-- 7/1/2013 as the settle date for when 10+ Forum members must have rec'd their pre-ordered BFL ASICs

-- And that BFL achieves 350+ Mhash/Joule on the devices shipped

-- Method described by Casascius above as escrow


Casascius - tytytyty for this I read a paper on this form of cryptography to solve this sort of escrow, even if I lose I thank you very much for this.  IMO always give a copy of the .zip to 1 other approved trusted person in case, you know...   also I do not have a pgp key - can you please help with this and apologies for being a crypto-newb in this area, I've always done communication openly, never have anything to hide.

mrb - 10 coins on this / gimme a hash for this crazy escrow system.

I'm in like this guy:

1408  Economy / Scam Accusations / Josh Zerlan & Butterfly Labs paid or bot downvoting Reddit video of his outburst on: January 16, 2013, 04:42:20 AM
http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/16fjxj/josh_zerlan_a_principal_in_butterfly_labs_i_cant/

That reddit flew up as soon as I posted it, then the BFL damage control team went into Buffcon 5:  Josh Zerlan spoke or posted mode and immediately started fighting the "fuck-you machine" with paid or botted downvotes - and they weren't even smart about it - notice all the commentry, then if there was some way or it may already be a function.... I'm a reddit newbie... but if you could graph the Reddit voting it skyrockets up then skyrockets down to exactly 0, then up a little again then down to exactly, exactly 0... hit it with 1 up vote, insta-0'd again.

idk how long they have it on or whatever but if you guys know Reddit (I'm a total newb, if this is something regular that happens then apologies / sorry / at least I didn't steal ur btc and generally try and work for good) can some1 please take a look?  I have this feeling that BFL is mostly concerned with 3 things right now:

1)  Damage control from not shipping ASICs [and generally letting Josh out in public with a BFL nametag and speaking on their behalf in any way on any form of media]
2)  making sure the pre-order $ keeps rolling in.  By all means necessary.  All ad networks.  All search terms close to bitcoin
3)  talking shit about Avalon.  I think i read something on their forums today about Chinese new year *not* affecting their shipping, and I think I remember reading Avalon is China-based and CNYE is huge there with fireworks and shit]

Guys, I'm just going to get real with you all, like I do with business - I just plainly say what deal I want and why I want it, then go from there.  I'm the same way when you meet me IRL.  So let's drop the bullshit, I don't know much about mining.  You all know that.  I don't know about Avalon or BFL or bASIC except a casual glance over the forums.  I live in Vegas, help run SealsWithClubs, and when I see a btc scam I like to blow it's spot up as soon as possible before it damages the community further.   I bat a very high % with scam detection at this stage in my life and have a few hides of a few scammers who now have shit on their name when any potential future mark googles them [try "Justin Wade Smith" and see how far you have to dig to find the video of him smoking meth] to prove it.  When CES comes to Vegas I go to CES.   I didn't plan any of this, I always thought BFL may be a scam from a few months ago but never really looked into it, I have businesses to run, poker and sports to bet on, and oh yeah a brand new baby girl to look after and provide endless love to in this most important time of her life.   I see the bitpay guys every time they come.  I have seen all 3 of their bitcoin girls.  They are nice guys, they are running a btc->fiat business with easy to use merchant APIs and charging 1% to do it - what an amazing business, we should all be thanking them for being a solid company that gives any restaurant, bar, or *any other small business at all* the instant ability to add bitcoin to their shopping cart check out payment options.  Bravo Bitpay, mad internet brofist for offering that service.  I hope you guys make a mint and whoever tossed in the $510k gets richer as well.  It's a much needed service that directly benefits bitcoin as a whole.  Another word of advice to Bitpay - GET THE FUCK AWAY FROM BUTTERFLY LABS ASAP.  Do not share booths.  I don't fault Bitpay for processing BFL transactions up until somewhere about nowish, but now I think if I were them, having just acquired a very public and awesomely received round of funding, it's best from a marketing perspective to stay away at all costs - you don't want to be the guys that made 1% on all those boys getting rolled.  Get all BurtW and Paytob.tc on 'em.
1409  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Bryan Micon's Butterfly Labs Scammer Investigation including Josh Zerlan on: January 16, 2013, 02:59:56 AM
Micon. Iv'e watched the vid.. and kept an eye on  the comments made by BFL staff on the forums.
I have to say that i have never met you... but just watching the video you pissed me off more than josh.

Seriously if you are going to do this sort of  exposure for god sake work on your public mannerisms and STFU when interviewing.
Given the chance: the more you allow a person to say, the more they will catch THEMSELVES out. Unfortunately since you cannot STFU in the vid... you end up catching yourself out.
And dude if you are going to pull the pud about  'being an expert poker player' FFS do it in the bar with your mates not on the internet in a BFL slam-down.

Finally can I recommend that you follow the time approved method of camera control when asking questions(watch the pros), because the way you were swinging the fucking camera about filming yourself made me dizzy.....(I.E we don't need to see your face to hear you speaking...thats not how microphones work dude...)




some valid criticism in this post, and I disagree with only 2 points

Valid IMO:

1)  I have a big problem not STFU'ing when I should.  I do this on my podcast each Wed. and get similar feedback.  I know this is a personal problem of mine, and even though I am concious of it when I watch the entire video I'm saying in my own head "Micon, shut up and let them talk!" 

2)  I have no journalistic schooling of any sort.  I am an Indiana University dropout and just fire when I think is right.

3)  the amateur hour portrait video is embarrassing.  I wasn't planning any of this.  I just saw BFL Dave day 1 (not even knowing they were there) got some scammer-talk when I asked a few tough questions, had a child a few weeks ago and my parents were flying in, so I took an extra hour on Day 2 to just rip it.  I was fully expecting BFL to say "here is our boxes, this is what they will do, the ASICs are on the way"  but wow was I surprised at the even more scammer-ish total deflection response on day 2.  Most everything I do is raw and unedited, rife with procedural error but spot on in content.

Invalid IMO:

1)  I angered you more than Josh:  If you dislike my personality or lack of journalistic style, or that I talk too much during the video, I understand that.  Josh is holding millions and millions when delimited in USD.  When a known skeptic asks to see what you brought to CES, and as a BFL company representative you bait the reporter with asking to repeat the question, and answer it with "I can't hear you over your fucking stupidity" I think you have to find more fault with the guy holding millions promising the btc community what the journalist thinks is vaporware for his rudeness and refusal to show what he knew I would record and report truthfully as a box of fans.   Asking the softballs is not my thing.  you are "killing the messenger" if you hate me more than Josh in this vid.

2)  Pro poker players that train themselves to find body language tells are very good at spotting liars away from the poker tables.  It is a science.  I have studied it, and IMO it is a very valid point. I have tweeted this video at Joe Navarro, former FBI agent that I learned much of my tell-reading skills from, we have met briefly at one of his conferences and have communicated on twitter before.  I hope he has the time to check the 30 seconds of video I tweet'd at him and give a true expert opinion on Josh Zerlan's true opinion on the ASIC shipping info he provided to that reporter.
1410  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Bryan Micon's Butterfly Labs Scammer Investigation including Josh Zerlan on: January 16, 2013, 01:49:07 AM
But can you please tell us what part of this is a real tangible issue and what part of this is you saying Josh would regret what he said to you? I mean, from the video you posted I can tell you don't like the guy and "thats how you roll" -- going after someone with a vengeance -- but it tends to cloud the real issues here. Can you please stop your personal vindictive campaign and come up with some actual evidence? The FCC rule violation is a great start, but this poker-tell stuff is pretty lame.

I agree 100%. The closest thing to proof of this being a scam I've seen is "he looked nervous." Poker tells don't cut it when it comes to issues like this.

For the record: I don't have any faith in BFL delivering either. But I wouldn't be shouting it into a virtual megaphone on the internet branding it with my name as a conclusive scam report if I didn't have factual and tangible proof to back it up.

I understand this point and it is certainly valid.

Check the above post.  IMO the evidence is mounting, mix the super-spending on pre-order ads and the personal interaction with both Dave and Josh leads me to believe these guys are scammers and this company is filthy.  If I had the iron-clad proof you bet it would be in the OP of this thread.  I have also titled this thread as "Scammer Investigation" so I am doing nothing more than listing all evidence as I collect it and making my "IMO comments" about it.  

1411  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Bryan Micon's Butterfly Labs Scammer Investigation including Josh Zerlan on: January 16, 2013, 01:38:46 AM
A very telling video of Josh Zerlan explaining to a reporter at CES 2013 who started with the softballs and towards the end got to the tough questions.  Pay special attention to Josh Zerlan's eyes looking down-left at the 4:41 mark - it is a great lesson in "low confidence tells" and I suggest Joe Navarro's entire body of work if you'd like to high and low confidence body language better, not just for beating-poker reasons.

This video starts a few seconds before the question is answered by Josh Zerlan but watch carefull at the 4:41 mark for his down-left eye movement

http://youtu.be/5ZUPniBo5UQ?t=4m29s

shout to CoinHoarder for first noticing Josh's low-confidence tells in this video.

I respect what you are trying to do here in that there are in fact outstanding issues with BFL. But can you please tell us what part of this is a real tangible issue and what part of this is you saying Josh would regret what he said to you? I mean, from the video you posted I can tell you don't like the guy and "thats how you roll" -- going after someone with a vengeance -- but it tends to cloud the real issues here. Can you please stop your personal vindictive campaign and come up with some actual evidence? The FCC rule violation is a great start, but this poker-tell stuff is pretty lame. Yes, it may warrant a second look but a second look at what? Are you really going to sit here for the next month babbling about poker tells? I sure hope you're right because your coming down a little hard on a company that has a proven track record of actually delivering. Just based on that alone if I was the one running a scam investigation into BFL I'd stick to the facts and be a little plainer about what I had against the company personally.

Hello, and thanks again for the question.  I understand what you are asking here, something like "Are you just pissed this Josh Zerlan guy insulted you and gave you a quarter, or do you really believe BFL to be a scam"

I have long questioned the legitimacy of BFL.  I don't fire off threads like this lightly, and I think my track record on BTC scams speaks for itself at this point.  BFL is very different than Pirateat40 / BCST in that they have the magical possible business unit, and it is technically extremely complex.  This makes it easier to lie to the community for long periods of time.  BCST was a plain, transparent Ponzi that anyone could spot.  BFL has a history of shipping products that mined bitcoins and has formed a company to my knowledge (some1 plz post the company name and state of incorporation, or link me up as I'm sure this info is already public and posted here) so this is not an easy to spot scam.  The evidence has been mounting over time, so let me explain where I'm at:

1)  BFL bought damn near every single search-based advertisment for "bitcoin" - and I mean they bought ads across every network.  You can't do a search for bitcoin on ask jeeves or bing without hitting a BFL pre-order ad.  This alone is not scary... or is it....  

2)  Those ads cost money.  The only money it appears BFL is spending is on more ads to take more pre-orders.  It's a +EV game for them - they advertise, pay top dollar across every network, hell they even pay users here to make their sigs "buy BFL pre-ordered ASICs"

3)  Missed shipping date after missed shipping date.  Original shipping date:  9/2012  Missed shipping dates cost money.  Something didn't work right.  They didn't get ASICs and I actually believe they tried extremely hard to make them.  I also think based on the other groups trying to make ASIC chips that fabricating these are exceptionally difficult, or they would be to market already and the network hash rate would skyrocket.  

4)  The timeframe now lends itself to months and months of BFL not shipping any product and clearly scrambling, all the while max-spending on advertising to maximize pre-orders.  To me, at this stage, it appears they may be pulling a "Rouge Trader" and trying to gamble their way out of it, i.e. use the pre-order money to fund different sourcing, i.e. buy another batch of chips, pay the same manufacturer or a different one to try and make the ASIC chips again, as clearly the first run didn't work.  

5)  Or maybe they know the writing is on the wall, they are still collecting preorders with no intention to ever ship, pay themselves whatever they can legally from the company, and file a very legal bankrupcy and the scammer CEO that started the company +1's his bank account and the btc community gets boned again.  This is where the real wild speculation comes in.  Further more, I really don't think that BFL started out attempting to become a giant scam.  I do however think their first trials failed misserably, and now they are gambling on R&D with pre-order money.  They could theoretically hit, ship, and I'll look extremely foolish and Josh will look like a boss telling me off and the ASICs are in the mail.   However, I am willing to bet against that possibility.

6)  the personal interactions with Dave & Josh Zerlan set off my scammer radar something fierce.  I smell the largest btc scam in history brewing once again.
1412  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Bryan Micon's Butterfly Labs Scammer Investigation including Josh Zerlan on: January 16, 2013, 01:08:31 AM
from here [screenshot saved & timestamped in case this is edited / deleted by Josh Zerlan or otherwise BFL]:

https://forums.butterflylabs.com/announcements/692-bfl-asic-status.html#post10249


Quote from: Josh Zerlan
Here is the currently estimated timeline, and while this is subject to change of course, it's pretty solid at this time:


Week of January 13th
Travel to packaging facility for final prep and walkthrough
Confirm travel plans and trip details with lead ASIC engineer for trip to fab

Week of January 20th
Final assembly facility prep
Leave for fab at the end of the week

Week of January 26th
Final chips roll off the line
Grab suitcase, a BMW or a Peugeot and make a break for the airport, Ronin style (You can see Tom about 6 minutes, 20 seconds into the video)
Arrive California at chip packaging plant
KC facility starts assembly process of units to drop PCB into

Week of February 3rd
Chips packaged
Packaged chips sent to assembly house
Assembled PCB is set for final testing and MCU programming
Notify users to start sending their FPGA units or BTC for trade in participants
Bulk assembled PCBs arrive in KC, we start dropping PCBs into waiting units
Boxing/labeling for shipment

Week of February 10th
We implement the 1/3 shipping plan en mass
1/3 of our assembled units will go to new orders in FIFO
1/3 of our assembled units will go to upgrade orders
1/3 will be randomly selected from both groups

We descend upon the Post Office, DHL, UPS and FedEx like a horde of angry locust


Discussion thread for this update can be found here:

This is a cute way to buy a few more weeks IMO.  
1413  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Bryan Micon's Butterfly Labs Scammer Investigation including Josh Zerlan on: January 16, 2013, 12:32:05 AM
A very telling video of Josh Zerlan explaining to a reporter at CES 2013 who started with the softballs and towards the end got to the tough questions.  Pay special attention to Josh Zerlan's eyes looking down-left at the 4:41 mark - it is a great lesson in "low confidence tells" and I suggest Joe Navarro's entire body of work if you'd like to high and low confidence body language better, not just for beating-poker reasons.

This video starts a few seconds before the question is answered by Josh Zerlan but watch carefull at the 4:41 mark for his down-left eye movement

http://youtu.be/5ZUPniBo5UQ?t=4m29s

shout to CoinHoarder for first noticing Josh's low-confidence tells in this video.



1414  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin will be at CES2013 (Official Thread) on: January 15, 2013, 10:22:10 PM

PS - Still waiting for the "Fuck You Machine" you promised me.




Fyi I made this image with my Samsung Galaxy Note II using the "hold down S-pen" feature and have recently expanded its memory with a 32gb ultra micro-SD card
1415  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin will be at CES2013 (Official Thread) on: January 15, 2013, 09:56:09 PM
Micon,

For those of you wondering why I told him to buy a clue, he was berating one of my employees and cussing at them, in public, at our booth and making a general scene yesterday, stomping around and yelling "IS IT JUST A FUCKING BOX WITH A FANS?!" over and over. Yes, he was literally stomping around like a child.  I figured that was the end of it, but apparently he decided to show up again today, so I was ready for him.



How did you see this if you were not in the booth? 

how can you say:

Yes, he was literally stomping around like a child.  

and you weren't even there? 

Since your memory is selective and your denial palpable, I will post my full account of day 1 CES again for you:

Quote from: micon
This is to the best I can remember.  I wasn't recording anything day 1, wasn't planning on anything but sneaking into CES to shake some BTC hands as I always do when BTC companies buy booths in Vegas for conventions.

1)  About "sneaking in" to CES:  I always "sneak in" to all conventions I want to go to here in Vegas.  I wear my WSOP media badge from a few years ago and just walk in like a boss.  Sure I could call whatever bitcoin-facing booth is there and have them give me a badge for the ~30 minutes I'll be there.  As will all conferences, the booth buyers usually need to pay extra for another badge, or at the very least pull a "hey let me use your badge and then I walk out with 2 badges and give one to you"   - I "sneak in" because it is +EV for everyone involved.  Next time, if ever, BFL comes to the conference I will acquire a legitimate badge as it was clear they called security to have me removed. 

2)  About the "stomping and cussing" on day 1 that Josh keeps referring to.  First off, Josh was not there day 1.  Only Dave was in the booth representing BFL.  I imagine Josh was off doing Yoga or other form of meditation & self-reflection.  We will get to that in a second.  Let's start at the beginning:

3)  Whenever a bitcoin booth at any conference comes to Vegas, I go to say hi, shake a hand, say "hey, I'm Micon.  I help Freemoney run SealsWithClubs, the market leading bitcoin online poker site."  And just see who is there and what they want to talk about, trade bitcoin ideas for ~20-30 minutes then be on my way.  I have done this many times and met a bunch of BTC industry leaders.  Erik Voorhees I met this way and he is an amazingly awesome human, and Charlie Shrem I met I think at the same Money2020 conference maybe 6 months ago or so at Aria, and I had Charlie on my donkdown podcast for an awesome interview about the bitinstant operation based in New York.  I was skeptical about parts of bitinstant and bitpay at the start, but when I asked the company directors of those organizations I was met with clear answers and follow up interviews.

4) Ok so I was on the same grind on day 1 CES - just go and meet the boys again, shake some hands, congratulate bitpay on the round of funding, etc.  My daughter was born ~ 2 weeks ago but I made time before picking my parents up at the airport to stop by CES to do this because I feel it is very important, + I'm a huge nerd and CES is nerd porn.  Right after the nerd porn convention they have a real porn convention here but that's not the point of this story.  When I found the Bitpay booth,  I didn't realize they would be sharing a booth with BFL, in fact I was very excited to see BFL equipment on display and I planned on asking some extremely nerdy questions about how the hardware will solve the proof-of-work problem much, much faster than current equipment.  I also wanted to understand the metrics of what ASIC will do to the network hash rate, as I understand mining conceptually but not technically.

5) Dave immediately engaged me when I walked near the BFL equipment.  I congratulated him on selling a large amount of pre-orders.  he said in a smug way "yeah... we've done very well"  To a studied poker professional such as myself, his body language gave me the impression that this man felt by collecting the pre-order monies he has already done well.   If I were in his shoes, the first thing I would have said was "We have a huge responsibility to get these things shipped ASAP.  The community has handed us a large amount of money"   I would feel like the weight of the world was on my shoulders to make good on the massively distributed promise of sending these machines.  Dave felt like a winner, IMO.

6)  I asked very plainly "is this your ASICs" or something to that effect.  This is when it got predatory.  He showed me the box of fans + 1 android tablet and said that is where ASIC chips will eventually go, and the android device will be the output screen to show you how fast it's mining and other stats.  I asked what the cube connected to a second android sitting on top of the fan-box was, and Dave said it's an FPGA miner that BFL used to sell, but it wasn't currently mining and you can't buy it from BFL anymore.  I asked Dave what items were available for purchase right now from BFL that they could ship immediately, he said there were none.  I then asked when they would ship ASICs, he said "in a couple of weeks," and showed me 3 cases that ASIC chips would come inside.

7)  After it was clear I was no longer a friendly and was asking some tough questions, he hit me with a classic scammer line something to the effect of "if you don't believe in BFL, then you don't believe in bitcoin."  This is where the "stomping and profanity" as Josh put it came in.  Please don't take Josh's or My word for it - Ask the bitpay guys about this next part - I give a very intelligent response to Dave, certainly using profanity for emphasis (but not in the personally derogatory way that Josh Zerlan does to me here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UlWrmIqGs3Y&feature=youtu.be&t=2m43s ) more like "I believe so much in bitcoin that I wear this fucking button (point to bitcoin button I always wear when leaving the house for any reason) each day, and help run the market leading bitcoin online poker site, dedicating most of my awake time to the betterment of this technology."  Ask the bitpay guys.  I was certainly pissed off, and this guy used a classic scammer line on me and IMO it required a forceful response so Dave understands that I'm a real guy with real BTC credentials, and his line is bullshit and +1's in my head that he and his company are dishonest.

  After my response, emotions briefly settled, and I asked him when filled with ASICs how fast this machine would hash at.  He said something like 1+ T-hashes per second.  I.e. 1000 ghashes/s , would produce in terms of Dave did not know network hashrate.  I told him it wasn't a test, just tell me about how many T-hashes/s the network hash rate was.  Dave said he still didn't know, so I quickly looked it up on my Galaxy Note II by Samsung running Android Jellybean OS by removing the S-pen and quickly speaking into google "total bitcoin network hashrate"   This site came up: http://bitcoin.sipa.be/  and to me it looks like the current total bitcoin network hashrate is around 20-25 Thash/s - which means that if Dave was right, just one of these boxes could have ~ 6% of total current network hashing power.   I was surprised he had never run the math before...

9) so after this, I post the pic I took and illustrated that BFL did not bring anything worthwhile to CES.  I posted on bitcointalk that I'd be back tomorrow to film closely and ask the tough questions.  Obviously we all saw Josh Zerlan's response: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UlWrmIqGs3Y&feature=youtu.be&t=2m43s


If there is anything that needs clarification please ask.  I am 100% transparent.  I further state that it is possible I have made a small chronological or grammatical error of some sort.  I feel I captured the general feel of the day 1 CES experience as it relates to BFL.

feel free to not answer this, deflect, and strawman as you get destroyed more.  BTW I'm working on a Reddit up-voter so you better be reloading /bitcoin all day today in addition to not doing anything for your customers demanding refunds or chips.
1416  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin will be at CES2013 (Official Thread) on: January 15, 2013, 09:47:59 PM
No Bryan, I'm not trashing Bitpays thread to respond to your ignorance and stupidity.  Unlike you, I pay respect to people who deserve it.  You're just a punk bitch who can't tell his head from his ass.

PS - Still waiting for the "Fuck You Machine" you promised me.


1)  your hubris will be your downfall

2)  you "trashed bitpay's thread" a handful of times already, using personal insults and even considering my <3 week old daughter in one of them.  Because your memory is selective and your denial palpable, maybe you need quotes and links:

2a)
[first 'tilt-response' when you accuse me of cussing at you and your employees, yet you did that to me as evident here: http://youtu.be/UlWrmIqGs3Y?t=2m38s ]
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=133487.msg1447190#msg1447190

2b)
[Josh takes offense to anti-semetic joke before he realized my parents were born into this odd categorization of "jewish" while still launching venomous replies] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=133487.msg1447244#msg1447244

2c) [Josh Zerlan says I have BO, the official lowbrow mark of this argument IMO]
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=133487.msg1448058#msg1448058

2d) [deflection & straw-manning from BFL not showing up at CES with ASICs, citing poker and refuting straw-man arguments]
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=133487.msg1448867#msg1448867

3)  just because you have access to a Reddit down-voter doesn't mean this video wont get a run on /bitcoin.  The "Fuck you machine" is not a button or a bomb.  Think of it more like an insurgency you can't fight all aspects of at all times.  Certainly you seem concerned with it enough to monitor this thread, other threads here, youtube, and reddit.
1417  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Bryan Micon's Butterfly Labs Scammer Investigation including Josh Zerlan on: January 15, 2013, 09:28:43 PM
When there is no actual product and no prototypes accepting orders is an "investment" not a purchase. It is basically a no interest loan especially if they use the funds to finance their production process. In this case yes the SEC does prosecute investment scams, because thats what it is.

Exactly.  BFL appears to be crowdfunding without being straightforward about it, much less compliant with the numerous applicable regulations.


https://forums.butterflylabs.com/bfl-forum-miscellaneous/690-13-jan-2013-asic-update-discussion-thread-5.html#post10399

Quote from: JoshZerlan
Another delay we've had to endure is the fact that we have effectively tied the ASIC teams payment to the success of the chip. If the chip were to be a failure they don't get paid... so they have incentive to get it right but that has made them very cautious and slow to approve final masks (This is why we can refund all pre-orders we want and why we have the capital to do what we need to do without a failure putting us in bankruptcy).

Seems to me like BFL is using pre-order money to fund ongoing R&D & pay Josh Zerlan + other BFL employee salaries.  It seems like they have shot some of that pre-order $$$ at China and China has not shot back ASIC chips.  Who knows where the fail could be in such a complex machine. 

I wonder if they keep gambling:  maybe they send more of the pre-order money at a different Chinese manufacturer that promises that can produce the chips, all the while using the huge pre-order bankroll for operations and weekly salaries.

Apparently some of the funds are also used to buy CES booths with fan-boxes as a show of corporate strength, with instruction to cuss at anyone asking the tough questions: http://youtu.be/UlWrmIqGs3Y?t=2m38s
From what Josh said, they are only using the pre-order money IF the chips work.  Otherwise, the engineers don't get paid.  Josh never said anything about paying anyone with pre-order money yet - in fact, he says "This is why we can refund all pre-orders we want".  How do you get that they are shooting pre-order money left and right when that is exactly the opposite of what Josh said?

Here is another thing that Josh said:  http://youtu.be/UlWrmIqGs3Y?t=2m38s  It involves cussing at me and handing me a quarter when I ask the start of what he knows would have been a very tough line of questioning from a skeptic.   I wouldn't place too much stock in what this man says.  Think about it logically:  What chip maker would ever agree to such terms?  Don't pay us *anything* until we show you a working ASIC that no one else has made yet?
Based on what you had done the day before, I am not surprised.

There are plenty of payment arrangements based on performance.  If a chip maker has experience in custom ASICs, and believes that they can produce the product, then they very well may accept such an arrangement.

If you have no personal knowledge of "what I did the day before" then please read this post that pretty much shut down BFL's weak excuses for Josh Zerlan acting in such an unprofessional manner:  https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=133487.msg1452374#msg1452374

which is worth a full repost in this thread, as that was the first BFL defense mechanism for explaining why their empolyee would talk to a known skeptic in such a way.  I am also adding this to the OP for full context of when watching the video:

This is to the best I can remember.  I wasn't recording anything day 1, wasn't planning on anything but sneaking into CES to shake some BTC hands as I always do when BTC companies buy booths in Vegas for conventions.

Quote from: micon
1)  About "sneaking in" to CES:  I always "sneak in" to all conventions I want to go to here in Vegas.  I wear my WSOP media badge from a few years ago and just walk in like a boss.  Sure I could call whatever bitcoin-facing booth is there and have them give me a badge for the ~30 minutes I'll be there.  As will all conferences, the booth buyers usually need to pay extra for another badge, or at the very least pull a "hey let me use your badge and then I walk out with 2 badges and give one to you"   - I "sneak in" because it is +EV for everyone involved.  Next time, if ever, BFL comes to the conference I will acquire a legitimate badge as it was clear they called security to have me removed. 

2)  About the "stomping and cussing" on day 1 that Josh keeps referring to.  First off, Josh was not there day 1.  Only Dave was in the booth representing BFL.  I imagine Josh was off doing Yoga or other form of meditation & self-reflection.  We will get to that in a second.  Let's start at the beginning:

3)  Whenever a bitcoin booth at any conference comes to Vegas, I go to say hi, shake a hand, say "hey, I'm Micon.  I help Freemoney run SealsWithClubs, the market leading bitcoin online poker site."  And just see who is there and what they want to talk about, trade bitcoin ideas for ~20-30 minutes then be on my way.  I have done this many times and met a bunch of BTC industry leaders.  Erik Voorhees I met this way and he is an amazingly awesome human, and Charlie Shrem I met I think at the same Money2020 conference maybe 6 months ago or so at Aria, and I had Charlie on my donkdown podcast for an awesome interview about the bitinstant operation based in New York.  I was skeptical about parts of bitinstant and bitpay at the start, but when I asked the company directors of those organizations I was met with clear answers and follow up interviews.

4) Ok so I was on the same grind on day 1 CES - just go and meet the boys again, shake some hands, congratulate bitpay on the round of funding, etc.  My daughter was born ~ 2 weeks ago but I made time before picking my parents up at the airport to stop by CES to do this because I feel it is very important, + I'm a huge nerd and CES is nerd porn.  Right after the nerd porn convention they have a real porn convention here but that's not the point of this story.  When I found the Bitpay booth,  I didn't realize they would be sharing a booth with BFL, in fact I was very excited to see BFL equipment on display and I planned on asking some extremely nerdy questions about how the hardware will solve the proof-of-work problem much, much faster than current equipment.  I also wanted to understand the metrics of what ASIC will do to the network hash rate, as I understand mining conceptually but not technically.

5) Dave immediately engaged me when I walked near the BFL equipment.  I congratulated him on selling a large amount of pre-orders.  he said in a smug way "yeah... we've done very well"  To a studied poker professional such as myself, his body language gave me the impression that this man felt by collecting the pre-order monies he has already done well.   If I were in his shoes, the first thing I would have said was "We have a huge responsibility to get these things shipped ASAP.  The community has handed us a large amount of money"   I would feel like the weight of the world was on my shoulders to make good on the massively distributed promise of sending these machines.  Dave felt like a winner, IMO.

6)  I asked very plainly "is this your ASICs" or something to that effect.  This is when it got predatory.  He showed me the box of fans + 1 android tablet and said that is where ASIC chips will eventually go, and the android device will be the output screen to show you how fast it's mining and other stats.  I asked what the cube connected to a second android sitting on top of the fan-box was, and Dave said it's an FPGA miner that BFL used to sell, but it wasn't currently mining and you can't buy it from BFL anymore.  I asked Dave what items were available for purchase right now from BFL that they could ship immediately, he said there were none.  I then asked when they would ship ASICs, he said "in a couple of weeks," and showed me 3 cases that ASIC chips would come inside.

7)  After it was clear I was no longer a friendly and was asking some tough questions, he hit me with a classic scammer line something to the effect of "if you don't believe in BFL, then you don't believe in bitcoin."  This is where the "stomping and profanity" as Josh put it came in.  Please don't take Josh's or My word for it - Ask the bitpay guys about this next part - I give a very intelligent response to Dave, certainly using profanity for emphasis (but not in the personally derogatory way that Josh Zerlan does to me here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UlWrmIqGs3Y&feature=youtu.be&t=2m43s ) more like "I believe so much in bitcoin that I wear this fucking button (point to bitcoin button I always wear when leaving the house for any reason) each day, and help run the market leading bitcoin online poker site, dedicating most of my awake time to the betterment of this technology."  Ask the bitpay guys.  I was certainly pissed off, and this guy used a classic scammer line on me and IMO it required a forceful response so Dave understands that I'm a real guy with real BTC credentials, and his line is bullshit and +1's in my head that he and his company are dishonest.

  After my response, emotions briefly settled, and I asked him when filled with ASICs how fast this machine would hash at.  He said something like 1+ T-hashes per second.  I.e. 1000 ghashes/s , would produce in terms of Dave did not know network hashrate.  I told him it wasn't a test, just tell me about how many T-hashes/s the network hash rate was.  Dave said he still didn't know, so I quickly looked it up on my Galaxy Note II by Samsung running Android Jellybean OS by removing the S-pen and quickly speaking into google "total bitcoin network hashrate"   This site came up: http://bitcoin.sipa.be/  and to me it looks like the current total bitcoin network hashrate is around 20-25 Thash/s - which means that if Dave was right, just one of these boxes could have ~ 6% of total current network hashing power.   I was surprised he had never run the math before...

9) so after this, I post the pic I took and illustrated that BFL did not bring anything worthwhile to CES.  I posted on bitcointalk that I'd be back tomorrow to film closely and ask the tough questions.  Obviously we all saw Josh Zerlan's response: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UlWrmIqGs3Y&feature=youtu.be&t=2m43s


If there is anything that needs clarification please ask.  I am 100% transparent.  I further state that it is possible I have made a small chronological or grammatical error of some sort.  I feel I captured the general feel of the day 1 CES experience as it relates to BFL.
1418  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Bryan Micon's Butterfly Labs Scammer Investigation including Josh Zerlan on: January 15, 2013, 08:58:42 PM
When there is no actual product and no prototypes accepting orders is an "investment" not a purchase. It is basically a no interest loan especially if they use the funds to finance their production process. In this case yes the SEC does prosecute investment scams, because thats what it is.

Exactly.  BFL appears to be crowdfunding without being straightforward about it, much less compliant with the numerous applicable regulations.


https://forums.butterflylabs.com/bfl-forum-miscellaneous/690-13-jan-2013-asic-update-discussion-thread-5.html#post10399

Quote from: JoshZerlan
Another delay we've had to endure is the fact that we have effectively tied the ASIC teams payment to the success of the chip. If the chip were to be a failure they don't get paid... so they have incentive to get it right but that has made them very cautious and slow to approve final masks (This is why we can refund all pre-orders we want and why we have the capital to do what we need to do without a failure putting us in bankruptcy).

Seems to me like BFL is using pre-order money to fund ongoing R&D & pay Josh Zerlan + other BFL employee salaries.  It seems like they have shot some of that pre-order $$$ at China and China has not shot back ASIC chips.  Who knows where the fail could be in such a complex machine. 

I wonder if they keep gambling:  maybe they send more of the pre-order money at a different Chinese manufacturer that promises that can produce the chips, all the while using the huge pre-order bankroll for operations and weekly salaries.

Apparently some of the funds are also used to buy CES booths with fan-boxes as a show of corporate strength, with instruction to cuss at anyone asking the tough questions: http://youtu.be/UlWrmIqGs3Y?t=2m38s
From what Josh said, they are only using the pre-order money IF the chips work.  Otherwise, the engineers don't get paid.  Josh never said anything about paying anyone with pre-order money yet - in fact, he says "This is why we can refund all pre-orders we want".  How do you get that they are shooting pre-order money left and right when that is exactly the opposite of what Josh said?

Here is another thing that Josh said:  http://youtu.be/UlWrmIqGs3Y?t=2m38s  It involves cussing at me and handing me a quarter when I ask the start of what he knows would have been a very tough line of questioning from a skeptic.   I wouldn't place too much stock in what this man says.  Think about it logically:  What chip maker would ever agree to such terms?  Don't pay us *anything* until we show you a working ASIC that no one else has made yet?
1419  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Bryan Micon's Butterfly Labs Scammer Investigation including Josh Zerlan on: January 15, 2013, 08:55:47 PM
When there is no actual product and no prototypes accepting orders is an "investment" not a purchase. It is basically a no interest loan especially if they use the funds to finance their production process. In this case yes the SEC does prosecute investment scams, because thats what it is.

Exactly.  BFL appears to be crowdfunding without being straightforward about it, much less compliant with the numerous applicable regulations.


https://forums.butterflylabs.com/bfl-forum-miscellaneous/690-13-jan-2013-asic-update-discussion-thread-5.html#post10399

Quote from: JoshZerlan
Another delay we've had to endure is the fact that we have effectively tied the ASIC teams payment to the success of the chip. If the chip were to be a failure they don't get paid... so they have incentive to get it right but that has made them very cautious and slow to approve final masks (This is why we can refund all pre-orders we want and why we have the capital to do what we need to do without a failure putting us in bankruptcy).

Seems to me like BFL is using pre-order money to fund ongoing R&D & pay Josh Zerlan + other BFL employee salaries.  It seems like they have shot some of that pre-order $$$ at China and China has not shot back ASIC chips.  Who knows where the fail could be in such a complex machine. 

I wonder if they keep gambling:  maybe they send more of the pre-order money at a different Chinese manufacturer that promises that can produce the chips, all the while using the huge pre-order bankroll for operations and weekly salaries.

Apparently some of the funds are also used to buy CES booths with fan-boxes as a show of corporate strength, with instruction to cuss at anyone asking the tough questions: http://youtu.be/UlWrmIqGs3Y?t=2m38s

What are you talking about?

Quote
We have all of our parts needed to build the units in stock, with the exception of the chips. We have taken delivery of all of our Chinese made components at this time and they are filling up our warehouse and the assembly plant warehouse. Our fab is not located in China and our chips will be done before CNY in any event. Our packaging plant is located in California and obviously not affected by CNY, our assembly house is located in the US and thus also not affected.

The location of the factory that BFL contracted to make ASIC chips is not relevant to the discussion.  In fact, what country is doing the producing of these chips again?  I have only begun my initial research, this thread is serving as just that - Bryan Micon's research into Butterfly Labs.  I appologize if small, irrelevant errors are made along the way.  They will be corrected as quickly possible for accuracy.
1420  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Bryan Micon's Butterfly Labs Scammer Investigation including Josh Zerlan on: January 15, 2013, 08:52:46 PM
Hi Bryan.

I am also a poker player, albeit an amateur, but I do have a couple cashes at WSOP and WSOPc. I have read several poker books which go over tells pretty extensively. It is easy for BFL to lie in forum posts and announcements/press releases, however when they do it face to face, they cannot hide involuntary responses the body has while lying. After reading your post and watching your video, I started looking around for articles/videos of BFL at CES.

I found this video interesting: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5ZUPniBo5UQ

If you fast forward to 4:25, you will see the camera man ask Josh a tough question... something along the lines of "Now this is just a case, you don't actually have ASICs ready?" At this moment Josh gives off several visual tells.

First, he is blinking quickly, which is an involuntary reaction to bluffing (if you don't play poker, bluffing means lying). Now I went back through the rest of the video and he actually blinks a lot more often than a normal person, so as you know Bryan, this tell cannot be given much credence.

Secondly, Josh looked down and to the left at least three times while answering the tough question of "so.. this is just a box of fans?" and saying his product will ship soon. This was the most obvious tell for me that he was lying and already knew about a delay that hadn't been announced or are not shipping products at all. This is the most telling of his visual tells and the one that really made me think he was lying.

After watching this video I do not trust BFL or Josh at all. Good luck on your effort to prove BFL is a scam. I for one am happy to have got a refund so now I don't need to worry about my money being in BFL's pockets.

1)  This is a very, very good analysis of body language, and I stand by what I say, not just because you are backing up my point in this thread.  The above words demonstrate knowledge in reading people in any situation, not just poker.  Clearly you have done your homework.  Navarro ftw?  are you as nostalgic as me and re-read the Mike Caro tell book once in a while for funzies?

2)  I watched that video [ comments disabled btw ] and full agree.  I catch many "negative confidence tells" here.  A classic "looking down-left" occurs and is quickly corrected at the 4:41 mark, I have started the video a few seconds earlier to hear the interviewer as the question: http://youtu.be/5ZUPniBo5UQ?t=4m38s
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