Martin Armstrong Discussion

[s29]

Now that the British Election has been concluded, let's see what statements/predictions Armstrong made about this subject in the past few months:

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/britain/brexit-live-decline-fall-of-western-society/

The plan to leave by Oct. 31st was blocked by the Remain crowd who refuse to accept any democratic process because they lost the vote. This is what is behind the decline and fall of western civilization.

WRONG - since when did Corbyn refuse the results of this election last night (either way, he wanted a second democratic referendum)? And since when is Johnson not going to deliver Brexit with his healthy Conservative majority? Armstrong is such a doomsday dramaqueen as usual here.

Nigel Farage has, in turn, pushed for his BREXIT Party to team up in a coalition with Johnson’s Conservatives for the December election. However, Johnson has so far refused the offer. That seems to be a wrong decision on Johnson’s part. This has resulted in Farage vowing that his party will contest every seat in England, Scotland and Wales against the Conservatives unless Johnson drops his BREXIT agreement, which Farage and his party believe is far worse than a no-deal BREXIT.

WRONG - Nigel Farage is very happy about the election result, didn't contest in Conservative constituencies and is content with Johnson's Brexit deal.

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/britain/the-coming-british-elections/

As we can see from the chart at the top, both Labour and the Conservatives are declining and there is a rise in both the Liberal Dems and “other” against the establishment so to speak.

WRONG - best Conservative result since Tatcher, Lib Dems lost 1 seat.

Also keep in mind that his Brexit Party does not hold any seats in Parliament at this time. That will change.

WRONG - Brexit Party 0 seats.

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/britain/brexit-pound-rally/

One of the major distinctions is how politics has degenerated into who knows what, all we need to do is look at BREXIT and the chaos of the British elections come the 13th.

WRONG - There was no chaos at all, the election was very orderly. No protests to speak of by the general public.

[1713988293]

1713988293

[1713988293]

1713988293

[Lindegas]

Now that the British Election has been concluded, let's see what statements/predictions Armstrong made about this subject in the past few months:

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/britain/brexit-live-decline-fall-of-western-society/

The plan to leave by Oct. 31st was blocked by the Remain crowd who refuse to accept any democratic process because they lost the vote. This is what is behind the decline and fall of western civilization.

WRONG - since when did Corbyn refuse the results of this election last night (either way, he wanted a second democratic referendum)? And since when is Johnson not going to deliver Brexit with his healthy Conservative majority? Armstrong is such a doomsday dramaqueen as usual here.

Nigel Farage has, in turn, pushed for his BREXIT Party to team up in a coalition with Johnson’s Conservatives for the December election. However, Johnson has so far refused the offer. That seems to be a wrong decision on Johnson’s part. This has resulted in Farage vowing that his party will contest every seat in England, Scotland and Wales against the Conservatives unless Johnson drops his BREXIT agreement, which Farage and his party believe is far worse than a no-deal BREXIT.

WRONG - Nigel Farage is very happy about the election result, didn't contest in Conservative constituencies and is content with Johnson's Brexit deal.

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/britain/the-coming-british-elections/

As we can see from the chart at the top, both Labour and the Conservatives are declining and there is a rise in both the Liberal Dems and “other” against the establishment so to speak.

WRONG - best Conservative result since Tatcher, Lib Dems lost 1 seat.

Also keep in mind that his Brexit Party does not hold any seats in Parliament at this time. That will change.

WRONG - Brexit Party 0 seats.

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/britain/brexit-pound-rally/

One of the major distinctions is how politics has degenerated into who knows what, all we need to do is look at BREXIT and the chaos of the British elections come the 13th.

WRONG - There was no chaos at all, the election was very orderly. No protests to speak of by the general public.

it’s not Armstrong’s fault if people won’t do what Socrates predicts
After all his system knows what’s going to happen in advance !!!  sorry I meant hindsight

[DigiLab]

Bashing Socrates and Armstrong continues with the same intensity. Who cares, whatever, at least prove yourself useful a bit, and if possible share his latest writings on the private blog?
Waiting for his book to become available on Amazon.

[dibley8899]

Ah digilab, possibly you missed Marty claiming he was correct on the UK election which is completely false if you would only read his own posts that have been posted, just one in a long line of claiming he is corrrect when he is in fact completely wrong but hey don't let the facts get in the way whatever you do.

Regarding buying his book you would probably be better served praying and giving the money for the book to someone who really needs it....


failing that you could always invest in a suppository

usd5,500 for the bond bubble report    you can't help but chuckle

here is my 5,500's worth then.    The long bond made a failed low attempt in yield as it tried to break the previous low set a couple of years earlier, if it passes halfway back up to the previous highs which will also break a downtrend line in the process then odds shift to those long the long bond being on the wrong side of the trade so we should see a fast move up in yields and down in bonds as they reposition and get out of the way. The failed new high or low is the signal the market is reversing quicker than expected. Watch the monthly pivot for the springboard effect.

Ok please send a discounted 5000k to me asap and I will send you my new book free of charge

[AnonymousCoder]

The Bond Bubble Institutional Report

So we are lead to believe that Martin Armstrong has institutional clients. There is no evidence of that.

Given Martin Armstrong's track record which is extremely negative, no institution would even consider his services. There is no reference to any clients on his corporate web page AE Global Solutions, Inc. which has at this time an expired security certificate.

Apart from that, he simply does not have enough resources to serve institutional clients. Not enough resources to even to get Socrates out of the bug stage after years as evidenced by the banner on it:

Thank you for visiting Ask-Socrates.com. We are in the process of updating our site, migrating data, and transitioning to a new infrastructure.
You may experience delays and discrepancies during this time. We appreciate your patience and understanding.

At best, the Institutional Clients myth and the USD5,500 Bond Bubble Report which nobody is ever going to buy, is a ploy, a facade.

Perhaps so as to make his potential Socrates clients feel good that they save themselves a lot of money when they buy the Socrates trash which for years nobody in this blog has been able to prove to be effective.

People have asked me what's wrong with his guy, why does he have to lie about everything? A long time ago I didn't quite see it that way but the more I look, the more I find that it is his way of life.


Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for a reason.

Read this blog starting here to find out more about computerized fraud.

See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog.

[s29]

Armstrong being wrong on interest rates for many years, now asking $5500 for his Bond Report . This total conman must have absolutely no shame.

[trulycoined]

Pulling out and emphasising some of the content from a link posted above about the British elections. The below is from Nov 2019:

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/britain/the-coming-british-elections/




Where MA explains:

As we can see from the chart... Labour and the Conservatives are declining and there is a rise in both the Liberal Dems and “other” against the establishment... This is part of the global trend... against established political parties everywhere.

There is a trend underway that is bigger than most suspect. I know Nigel has no designs on being Prime Minister. However, fate will determine the roll of the dice. Nigel may end up in a position he did not wish to be in.

We will try to refine the models to do a proper forecast. Keep in mind that the “other” category is due for a strong showing and this will most likely be Nigel’s party. Also keep in mind that his Brexit Party does not hold any seats in Parliament at this time. That will change.


Dissecting this:
• Socrates was wrong, despite MA's claims it is never wrong and predicts things "to the day"
• Careful use of words in case the fantasy "supercomputer" (aka MA's opinion) is wrong, with the comment "we will try to refine the models to do a proper forecast"
• His writing blends in opinions with alleged Socrates "predictions", making it even more ambiguous over what are MAs thoughts and what are machine-driven "forecasts"
• But that still doesn't change anything, where he was fundamentally wrong about everything in this article:
  ▪ The established party (Cons) had one of their best and most historic showings in a General Election
  ▪ Brexit Party didn't win a single seat in Parliament and actually did worse than the lowly Green Party (based on British FPTP rules)
  ▪ LibDems lost a seat, while Other parties gained only two; the SNP had their best results ever
  ▪ Farage was barely featured in the GE as the focus turned to Labour, Cons, Lib Dems and SNP
  ▪ On that note, why did MA/Socrates NOT mention anything about the SNP or how their strong run in the GE (why didn't Socrates "predict" this?) has seen renewed calls for Scottish independence, which is also a slow burning tinderbox in the future of the UK, and a historic event should it ever happen. Arguably it would be bigger than leaving the EU, which has only existed since 1992, and the EEC since 1973, while the United Kingdom has been the most successful unification of countries in modern history and dates back to 1707...

[s29]

Pulling out and emphasising some of the content from a link posted above about the British elections. The below is from Nov 2019:

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/britain/the-coming-british-elections/

Where MA explains:

As we can see from the chart... Labour and the Conservatives are declining and there is a rise in both the Liberal Dems and “other” against the establishment... This is part of the global trend... against established political parties everywhere.

There is a trend underway that is bigger than most suspect. I know Nigel has no designs on being Prime Minister. However, fate will determine the roll of the dice. Nigel may end up in a position he did not wish to be in.

We will try to refine the models to do a proper forecast. Keep in mind that the “other” category is due for a strong showing and this will most likely be Nigel’s party. Also keep in mind that his Brexit Party does not hold any seats in Parliament at this time. That will change.


Dissecting this:
• Socrates was wrong, despite MA's claims it is never wrong and predicts things "to the day"
• Careful use of words in case the fantasy "supercomputer" (aka MA's opinion) is wrong, with the comment "we will try to refine the models to do a proper forecast"
• His writing blends in opinions with alleged Socrates "predictions", making it even more ambiguous over what are MAs thoughts and what are machine-driven "forecasts"
• But that still doesn't change anything, where he was fundamentally wrong about everything in this article:
  ▪ The established party (Cons) had one of their best and most historic showings in a General Election
  ▪ Brexit Party didn't win a single seat in Parliament and actually did worse than the lowly Green Party (based on British FPTP rules)
  ▪ LibDems lost a seat, while Other parties gained only two; the SNP had their best results ever
  ▪ Farage was barely featured in the GE as the focus turned to Labour, Cons, Lib Dems and SNP
  ▪ On that note, why did MA/Socrates NOT mention anything about the SNP or how their strong run in the GE (why didn't Socrates "predict" this?) has seen renewed calls for Scottish independence, which is also a slow burning tinderbox in the future of the UK, and a historic event should it ever happen. Arguably it would be bigger than leaving the EU, which has only existed since 1992, and the EEC since 1973, while the United Kingdom has been the most successful unification of countries in modern history and dates back to 1707...

Lol, and what is Armstrong saying in his blogpost today: He all predicted it!

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/britain/british-elections-are-a-warning-to-democrats/

British Elections are a Warning to Democrats
Blog/BRITAIN
Posted Dec 16, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

Here is the chart showing the Labour Party’s devastation. They have been sent back to the Great Depression levels of the 1930s. Britain’s election has been a confirmation of our computer’s forecasts and as you can see the Labour Party made new lows.

That's not wat Armstrong said earlier. He said that both establisment parties were going down the tubes. Instead of apologizing for his bad forecast, he doubles down on how great he forecasted it all. And NOT a word about Farage and the Brexit Party in the whole blogpost, while his November blogpost he suggested Brexit Party would be doing great and Farage could even become prime minister...

Already in Britain, the youth have been rioting using the same nonsense chanting “Not My Prime Minister.” We are witnessing the death of Democracy. Either they win, or they refuse to accept the results of an election.

Again a severe overdramatized statement from Armstrong. There were minor protests by mostly extreme left Antifa, but not on a grand scale by the British public (like the Yellow vests in France) or politicians that refused the election results, and these Antifa people always protest and riot, nothing new or surprising or even a real danger to democracy since Antifa is not big in the UK.

[trc4949]

On the private blog

Someone asks if real estate , stocks and gold And bonds are all going DOWN  into at least first quarter 2021 and his answer is ......  YES .  

I guess on the assumption that we peak January 18 , 2020

Talk about a total meltdown ! He is posting like crazy on the private blog saying he can't sleep etc



And the culprit will be the repo crisis .  Armstrong going all on on this one !  Someone print this out and see if this prediction cones true!

[DigiLab]

trc4949, thank you for providing an input into the private blog. So, on the other side, the USD should go up, let's see.

decipher11, thank you for providing an explanation of the Armstrong's reversal system.

[AnonymousCoder]

How to copy Socrates Private Blog Text

Socrates is designed to prevent copying the report contents to the clipboard.

Obviously, this is not helpful in case you want to build a track record. You need to copy the text to archive it.

There are two ways to do it:

1) Save the entire page

2) View the source code of the page in your browser, copy the text part and remove the HTML tags and save the raw content as text file. I prefer this option because a text file or text snippet is easier to manage.

Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for a reason.

Read this blog starting here to find out more about computerized fraud.

See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog.

[DanB1]

How to copy Socrates Private Blog Text

Socrates is designed to prevent copying the report contents to the clipboard.

Obviously, this is not helpful in case you want to build a track record. You need to copy the text to archive it.

There are two ways to do it:

1) Save the entire page

2) View the source code of the page in your browser, copy the text part and remove the HTML tags and save the raw content as text file. I prefer this option because a text file or text snippet is easier to manage.

Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for a reason.

Read this blog starting at page 273 to find out more about computerized fraud.


See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog.

Or use the Windows Snipping Tool, very easy.

But I can see the markets going into a big top in the coming weeks. Looks like the markets are getting pumped into year-end.
But the macro numbers are definitely not improving. At some point something has to break. So Armstrong might have a good point.
I have been profiting from this in the last few weeks, and still keep my positions on now. I will probably start selling early January and/or use options to play a possible downturn.
But it's strange that gold will be going down as well in that kind of situation.

[AnonymousCoder]

..
But I can see the markets going into a big top in the coming weeks. Looks like the markets are getting pumped into year-end.
But the macro numbers are definitely not improving. At some point something has to break. So Armstrong might have a good point.
I have been profiting from this in the last few weeks, and still keep my positions on now. I will probably start selling early January and/or use options to play a possible downturn.
But it's strange that gold will be going down as well in that kind of situation.

Sure the markets are getting pumped higher. By WHAT that is the question. Are we getting a sharp decline / correction after that? I am not convinced we will as Martin Armstrong "predicts" just because it has been moving higher. What we need for a sharp decline is something like last time when Hillary called for the end of civility.

That is what it was. Not because the market was overbought. It wasn't even a correction because the price bounced back sharply after that. Martin Armstrong doesn't have a point. He did not even make that point as we can see here. It is your interpretation. Think about it. He is a con artist and he plays games with your mind.

Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for a reason.

Read this blog starting here to find out more about computerized fraud.

See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog.

[DanB1]

Sure the markets are getting pumped higher. By WHAT that is the question. Are we getting a sharp decline / correction after that? I am not convinced we will as Martin Armstrong "predicts" just because it has been moving higher. What we need for a sharp decline is something like last time when Hillary called for the end of civility.

That is what it was. Not because the market was overbought. It wasn't even a correction because the price bounced back sharply after that. Martin Armstrong doesn't have a point. He did not even make that point as we can see here. It is your interpretation. Think about it. He is a con artist and he plays games with your mind.

I do not agree. If you say the DOW can go to 30K around January 18th then that is quite a statement (after the run we have seen already).
To say that it's bullocks before it happens, just because Armstrong is saying it, is no argument IMO.  
Armstrong has been very wrong on many occassions but he has also some interesting points and insights, otherwise there would not have been 338 pages writen about him here.

[s29]

How to copy Socrates Private Blog Text

What about just using print screen?

But it's strange that gold will be going down as well in that kind of situation.

Illiquidity causes deflation in everything; see gold in 2008.

[believeonjesus]

How to copy Socrates Private Blog Text

What about just using print screen?

But it's strange that gold will be going down as well in that kind of situation.

Illiquidity causes deflation in everything; see gold in 2008.

Not advisable, some of the haters here would love to report you and Armstrong  probably has a team of lawyers to deal with copyright infringements, just a thought. Really enjoy the constructive contributions, Armstrong has made some very good calls over the years, but only a fool believes all things, he is the most accurate by far, but not infallible. Only Gods word is that.

[AnonymousCoder]

How to copy Socrates Private Blog Text

What about just using print screen?

But it's strange that gold will be going down as well in that kind of situation.

Illiquidity causes deflation in everything; see gold in 2008.

Not advisable, some of the haters here would love to report you and Armstrong probably has a team of lawyers to deal with copyright infringements, just a thought. Really enjoy the constructive contributions, Armstrong has made some very good calls over the years, but only a fool believes all things, he is the most accurate by far, but not infallible. Only Gods word is that.

 

Martin Armstrong is probably the worst person of all times when it comes to practicing copyright infringement. His associates are best advised not to act on such infringements. Let sleeping dogs lie!

Apart from that, how do you want to build a history of reports for back testing if you don't copy them, in clear text of course.

Don't worry. This site is full of copies, and as far as I know, nothing has ever happened.

And the guy is broke. No way he can afford to go down this rabbit hole.

Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for a reason.

Read this blog starting here to find out more about computerized fraud.

See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog.

[Traxo]

@AnonymousCoder,

Armstrong asks if you could please stop decorating his name into a wikipedia link:  

Wikipedia is a professional propaganda organization that allows fakes news and outright illegal propaganda to dominate the internet.  
Most schools no longer accept Wikipedia as a valid source for citation in universities.  
The only areas where Wikipedia may be accurate are where the topics have nothing to do with a political agenda.  
Where there are any controversial political topics, current events, conspiracy theories,  
and biographies of people who are anti-government, then the fake news and outright propaganda dominate the sensitive pages.

[believeonjesus]

@AnonymousCoder,

Armstrong asks if you could please stop decorating his name into a wikipedia link:  

Wikipedia is a professional propaganda organization that allows fakes news and outright illegal propaganda to dominate the internet.  
Most schools no longer accept Wikipedia as a valid source for citation in universities.  
The only areas where Wikipedia may be accurate are where the topics have nothing to do with a political agenda.  
Where there are any controversial political topics, current events, conspiracy theories,  
and biographies of people who are anti-government, then the fake news and outright propaganda dominate the sensitive pages.

A.......t on steemit, SMIII? Tu shay re Wickedpedia.
 
“No man escapes
When freedom fails,
The best men rot in filthy jails;
And they who cried: “Appease, Appease!”
Are hanged by men they tried to please.”
~ Hiram Mann

[Traxo]

A.......t on steemit, SMIII?

I am not him if that's what you are asking.