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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26401564 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
aesma
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October 13, 2020, 07:21:12 AM



This Trump assessment was right, the problem was that the conclusion he made : do less tests ! That was of course totally stupid.

There should be a way to emphasize the difference between now that we have massive testing capacity, and the early part of the pandemic. Because right now when looking at COVID cases over time things look really scary, but looking at people in hospital with COVID, much less scary.
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October 13, 2020, 07:25:49 AM

Meantime this is a pretty good compilation of modern conspiracies. Where do we fall on this spectrum?

(Hint: I hit the "Hollow Earth" level myself)



Interesting that they consider Covid being made in a lab as a lower probability than Elvis still being alive.

That was surely worded poorly, Should be Covid doesn't exist.

There is also a big difference between "COVID escaped from a lab" which is quite possible, but only some Chinese people know for sure, and "COVID was made in a lab". Conspiracy theorists will take any hint the former happened to jump to the latter.
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October 13, 2020, 07:50:05 AM

Deep State and George Soros are 100% real deal. Should be at the bottom.

Tells you a lot about the author.
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October 13, 2020, 08:01:11 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (2)

4 years

Oct 12, 2016
Oct 12, 2020

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October 13, 2020, 08:12:55 AM



#ronnie.the.rocket
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October 13, 2020, 08:22:36 AM
Last edit: October 13, 2020, 12:04:16 PM by tranthidung
Merited by aesma (1)

The message is "Bitcoin is the King!"

I took a few top and old altcoins for this dataset. If you need more, you can ask!


  • Data source: https://coinmarketcap.com
  • Price: is low of daily price
  • Bitcoin pumps: % changes between 2 consecutive days >= 5%
  • Bitcoin dump: % changes between 2 consecutive days <=  -5%


FINDINGS
  • In 2020, so far, there are 14 pumps and 11 dumps (based on above definitions) from bitcoin
  • Bitcoin does perform stronger than altcoins.
  • When bitcoin pumps, altcoins increase less than bitcoin. (look at p50)
  • When bitcoin dumps, altcoins fell deeper than bitcoin. (look at p50)



Overall
Easily to see that the time-series of pclowBTC is almost overlapped and covered by others. It means generally the percent changes of BTC are smaller than of altcoins (in this dataset).

For specific coin


Over specific years
(I choose 3 years: 2018, 2019 and 2020)

Raw data for 2020
Pumps
Code:
   variable |         N      mean        sd       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    pclowBTC |        14  8.900714  5.012295     7.455      6.34       9.6      5.11     24.79
   pclowDASH |        14  8.879286  9.402313     6.565      3.11      9.87     -1.29     31.02
    pclowETH |        14  8.196429  7.176675      5.13       4.2     11.84      -.63     28.61
    pclowLTC |        14  8.193571  7.878448     6.705      3.81      8.81      1.24     33.12
    pclowXLM |        14      5.93  7.630899       4.8      1.81      7.26     -1.35     29.71
    pclowXMR |        14      8.44  8.202507      6.62      3.94       9.6      -.16      33.3
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dumps
Code:
   variable |         N      mean        sd       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    pclowBTC |        11 -11.15818  9.042039     -8.83    -12.37     -5.39    -36.41     -5.12
   pclowDASH |        11 -14.24091  8.896276    -13.65    -19.06     -5.91    -33.95     -4.48
    pclowETH |        11 -12.79091  9.679633    -10.37    -14.41     -7.03    -39.68     -4.15
    pclowLTC |        11 -13.55909  8.184129    -13.92    -16.52      -8.5    -33.76     -4.21
    pclowXLM |        11 -12.02273  7.210211     -11.6    -14.65     -5.91    -30.62     -5.33
    pclowXMR |        11 -13.01364  8.834594    -11.82    -16.65     -6.36    -35.98     -5.97
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Code:
    +----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date   pclowBTC   pclowETH   pclowD~H   pclowXMR   pclowXLM   pclowLTC     pc_cat |
     |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  1. | 04jan2020       5.71       5.18       7.44        9.6       1.81       6.29   BTC pump |
  2. | 15jan2020       6.34      11.84      27.36       7.35       6.19      13.04   BTC pump |
  3. | 14mar2020      24.79      28.61      31.02       33.3      29.71      33.12   BTC pump |
  4. | 17mar2020       8.89       4.98       8.13      12.78       7.64       7.12   BTC pump |
  5. | 20mar2020      12.01       6.87       11.7       4.45       3.08       5.58   BTC pump |
  6. | 24mar2020      10.82       9.27       9.67      14.22       7.26       8.05   BTC pump |
  7. | 31mar2020       7.98       5.08       5.69       5.89       5.72       3.81   BTC pump |
  8. | 02apr2020       6.35       4.62       4.17        3.2       3.17       4.81   BTC pump |
  9. | 07apr2020       5.22      14.39       5.46       3.94       9.66       8.81   BTC pump |
 10. | 17apr2020       7.55       12.9       9.87       8.18       7.07       8.81   BTC pump |
 11. | 30apr2020        9.6        4.2      -1.29       -.16      -1.18       1.24   BTC pump |
 12. | 08may2020       6.88       3.35        .79       8.99        .36       3.55   BTC pump |
 13. | 14may2020       5.11       4.09       1.19       2.05      -1.35       1.26   BTC pump |
 14. | 28jul2020       7.36       -.63       3.11       4.37       3.88       9.22   BTC pump |
     |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
 15. | 26feb2020      -6.45     -10.37     -15.62      -8.44     -11.59      -16.4   BTC dump |
 16. | 08mar2020      -8.83     -15.55     -15.32     -13.91     -13.11      -14.5   BTC dump |
 17. | 09mar2020      -5.12      -4.15       -7.8      -6.54       -5.6       -8.6   BTC dump |
 18. | 12mar2020     -36.41     -39.68     -33.95     -35.98     -30.62     -33.76   BTC dump |
 19. | 13mar2020      -15.5     -14.41     -23.33     -18.92      -14.8     -16.52   BTC dump |
 20. | 16mar2020     -11.49     -13.69     -13.65     -16.65      -11.6      -10.5   BTC dump |
 21. | 28mar2020      -5.39      -5.21      -5.91      -6.27      -5.33       -4.6   BTC dump |
 22. | 10apr2020      -5.25      -7.79      -4.48      -6.36      -6.21       -8.5   BTC dump |
 23. | 10may2020     -12.37     -12.61     -12.48     -11.82     -14.65     -13.92   BTC dump |
 24. | 21may2020      -6.11      -7.03      -5.05      -5.97      -5.91      -4.21   BTC dump |
 25. | 03sep2020      -9.82     -10.21     -19.06     -12.29     -12.83     -17.64   BTC dump |
     +----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

Correction for my past work. It is a shame that today when I played with data again, I found a bug in my code for past update. I am sorry for this. You can ignore that post (data validity is unknow, I took from another source).

The newest one is correct and data validity is good (from coinmarketcap.com). So I am sorry again and enjoy today update.

Yearly low price of bitcoin:



  • During the period of almost 8 years, the lowest yearly price of BTC has 7 years with increase (positive in percent_change), only has 1 year with a fall (negative in percent_change, at -40.7 % in 2015).
  • Min and max percent of increase is 6.3% (2019) and 341.5% (2014).
  • Also, see median_l, p25l and p75l (in statistics and in chart) to see the continuous growth (yearly low price) of bitcoin
  • Make double check with another dataset from 2010 to 2020 that I made in WO

Raw results:
Code:
    +---------------------------------+
     | year     min_l   percent_change |
     |---------------------------------|
  1. | 2013     65.53                . |
  2. | 2014     289.3           341.48 |
  3. | 2015    171.51           -40.72 |
  4. | 2016    354.91           106.93 |
  5. | 2017    755.76           112.94 |
     |---------------------------------|
  6. | 2018    3191.3           322.26 |
  7. | 2019   3391.02             6.26 |
  8. | 2020   4106.98            21.11 |
     +---------------------------------+
Karartma1
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October 13, 2020, 08:40:39 AM
Last edit: October 13, 2020, 09:33:50 AM by Karartma1

https://news.bitcoin.com/crypto-cruise-ship-satoshi/
I guess we knew it already on the Wall Observer.
Sorry for the media outlet posted, that's where I found it.

Always on the WO first, don't forget.

EDIT:The following is thanks to fillippone since I was in a rush and couldn't find it myself

Quote from: fillippone
El duderino_
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October 13, 2020, 08:55:50 AM

Just arrested and
@officialmcafee
 already launched the next shitcoin called Prison Coin - a P2P payment network at correctional facilities Lachend gezicht met zonnebril

https://twitter.com/BitcoinMemeHub/status/1313386376092581888?s=20

The video made me laugh  Cheesy
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October 13, 2020, 09:08:38 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)








I call this series

" Museum of Fools"


https://twitter.com/BitcoinMemeHub/status/1304345627971612674?s=20
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October 13, 2020, 09:23:34 AM


https://twitter.com/MMCrypto/status/1315941560190631937?s=20
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Privacy Servers. Since 2009.


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October 13, 2020, 09:28:37 AM

Dying bear, fearful,
cold, alone, gazes sadly
at the rising moon

(I tried to make that
a little more bucolic
JimboToronto)

a day late

This is so underrated this one... deserves much more merit imho...  Cool
aesma
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October 13, 2020, 09:35:12 AM
Merited by soullyG (1)

Deep State and George Soros are 100% real deal. Should be at the bottom.

Tells you a lot about the author.

Is George Soros financing US politicians ? Yes, like many other billionaires of all sides. That's not a conspiracy theory. The conspiracy is that he's part of the QAnon delirium with pedophilia, satanism etc.

Deep state, what does that even mean ?
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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October 13, 2020, 10:20:09 AM

Deep state, what does that even mean ?

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Decentralize everything


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October 13, 2020, 10:23:54 AM



heh, nice edit vapour, we think alike
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October 13, 2020, 10:38:50 AM

Is such a thing even possible?
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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October 13, 2020, 10:51:29 AM

heh, nice edit vapour, we think alike

heh. i originally just wrote "aliens" as it took a moment to find the pic. i thought i had it on standby but must of lost it.
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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October 13, 2020, 10:52:18 AM

Is such a thing even possible?

depends. which color was the pill you took?
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October 13, 2020, 10:53:28 AM
Merited by El duderino_ (2), JayJuanGee (1), Torque (1), kurious (1)


This is also very funny, while being serious (found further down in your Twitter link) — Enable sound:

https://twitter.com/SwanBitcoin/status/1315742598632538112
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October 13, 2020, 11:10:45 AM


This is also very funny, while being serious (found further down in your Twitter link) — Enable sound:

https://twitter.com/SwanBitcoin/status/1315742598632538112

Certainly raised a smile...

Edit: It's hard not to be a fan of a guy who simply takes his (listed) company's cash pile of hundreds of millions of dollars and puts it in Bitcoin.
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October 13, 2020, 11:26:29 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (2)


This is also very funny, while being serious (found further down in your Twitter link) — Enable sound:

https://twitter.com/SwanBitcoin/status/1315742598632538112

Certainly raised a smile...

Edit: It's hard not to be a fan of a guy who simply takes his (listed) company's cash pile of hundreds of millions of dollars and puts it in Bitcoin.

Very true. In fact, had many of us (including myself) put most, if not all, of our fiat in Bitcoin years ago, we would now be orders of magnitude wealthier. You've got to take risks... Smart guy!
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