aesma
|
|
October 13, 2020, 07:21:12 AM |
|
This Trump assessment was right, the problem was that the conclusion he made : do less tests ! That was of course totally stupid. There should be a way to emphasize the difference between now that we have massive testing capacity, and the early part of the pandemic. Because right now when looking at COVID cases over time things look really scary, but looking at people in hospital with COVID, much less scary.
|
|
|
|
aesma
|
|
October 13, 2020, 07:25:49 AM |
|
Meantime this is a pretty good compilation of modern conspiracies. Where do we fall on this spectrum? (Hint: I hit the "Hollow Earth" level myself) Interesting that they consider Covid being made in a lab as a lower probability than Elvis still being alive. That was surely worded poorly, Should be Covid doesn't exist. There is also a big difference between "COVID escaped from a lab" which is quite possible, but only some Chinese people know for sure, and "COVID was made in a lab". Conspiracy theorists will take any hint the former happened to jump to the latter.
|
|
|
|
Phil_S
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2096
Merit: 1469
We choose to go to the moon
|
|
October 13, 2020, 07:50:05 AM |
|
Deep State and George Soros are 100% real deal. Should be at the bottom.
Tells you a lot about the author.
|
|
|
|
Phil_S
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2096
Merit: 1469
We choose to go to the moon
|
|
October 13, 2020, 08:01:11 AM Merited by JayJuanGee (2) |
|
4 years Oct 12, 2016 Oct 12, 2020
|
|
|
|
|
tranthidung
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2310
Merit: 4090
Farewell o_e_l_e_o
|
|
October 13, 2020, 08:22:36 AM Last edit: October 13, 2020, 12:04:16 PM by tranthidung |
|
The message is "Bitcoin is the King!"I took a few top and old altcoins for this dataset. If you need more, you can ask!
- Data source: https://coinmarketcap.com
- Price: is low of daily price
- Bitcoin pumps: % changes between 2 consecutive days >= 5%
- Bitcoin dump: % changes between 2 consecutive days <= -5%
FINDINGS- In 2020, so far, there are 14 pumps and 11 dumps (based on above definitions) from bitcoin
- Bitcoin does perform stronger than altcoins.
- When bitcoin pumps, altcoins increase less than bitcoin. (look at p50)
- When bitcoin dumps, altcoins fell deeper than bitcoin. (look at p50)
OverallEasily to see that the time-series of pclowBTC is almost overlapped and covered by others. It means generally the percent changes of BTC are smaller than of altcoins (in this dataset). For specific coin
Over specific years (I choose 3 years: 2018, 2019 and 2020) Raw data for 2020Pumps variable | N mean sd p50 p25 p75 min max -------------+-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- pclowBTC | 14 8.900714 5.012295 7.455 6.34 9.6 5.11 24.79 pclowDASH | 14 8.879286 9.402313 6.565 3.11 9.87 -1.29 31.02 pclowETH | 14 8.196429 7.176675 5.13 4.2 11.84 -.63 28.61 pclowLTC | 14 8.193571 7.878448 6.705 3.81 8.81 1.24 33.12 pclowXLM | 14 5.93 7.630899 4.8 1.81 7.26 -1.35 29.71 pclowXMR | 14 8.44 8.202507 6.62 3.94 9.6 -.16 33.3 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dumps variable | N mean sd p50 p25 p75 min max -------------+-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- pclowBTC | 11 -11.15818 9.042039 -8.83 -12.37 -5.39 -36.41 -5.12 pclowDASH | 11 -14.24091 8.896276 -13.65 -19.06 -5.91 -33.95 -4.48 pclowETH | 11 -12.79091 9.679633 -10.37 -14.41 -7.03 -39.68 -4.15 pclowLTC | 11 -13.55909 8.184129 -13.92 -16.52 -8.5 -33.76 -4.21 pclowXLM | 11 -12.02273 7.210211 -11.6 -14.65 -5.91 -30.62 -5.33 pclowXMR | 11 -13.01364 8.834594 -11.82 -16.65 -6.36 -35.98 -5.97 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+ | date pclowBTC pclowETH pclowD~H pclowXMR pclowXLM pclowLTC pc_cat | |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| 1. | 04jan2020 5.71 5.18 7.44 9.6 1.81 6.29 BTC pump | 2. | 15jan2020 6.34 11.84 27.36 7.35 6.19 13.04 BTC pump | 3. | 14mar2020 24.79 28.61 31.02 33.3 29.71 33.12 BTC pump | 4. | 17mar2020 8.89 4.98 8.13 12.78 7.64 7.12 BTC pump | 5. | 20mar2020 12.01 6.87 11.7 4.45 3.08 5.58 BTC pump | 6. | 24mar2020 10.82 9.27 9.67 14.22 7.26 8.05 BTC pump | 7. | 31mar2020 7.98 5.08 5.69 5.89 5.72 3.81 BTC pump | 8. | 02apr2020 6.35 4.62 4.17 3.2 3.17 4.81 BTC pump | 9. | 07apr2020 5.22 14.39 5.46 3.94 9.66 8.81 BTC pump | 10. | 17apr2020 7.55 12.9 9.87 8.18 7.07 8.81 BTC pump | 11. | 30apr2020 9.6 4.2 -1.29 -.16 -1.18 1.24 BTC pump | 12. | 08may2020 6.88 3.35 .79 8.99 .36 3.55 BTC pump | 13. | 14may2020 5.11 4.09 1.19 2.05 -1.35 1.26 BTC pump | 14. | 28jul2020 7.36 -.63 3.11 4.37 3.88 9.22 BTC pump | |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| 15. | 26feb2020 -6.45 -10.37 -15.62 -8.44 -11.59 -16.4 BTC dump | 16. | 08mar2020 -8.83 -15.55 -15.32 -13.91 -13.11 -14.5 BTC dump | 17. | 09mar2020 -5.12 -4.15 -7.8 -6.54 -5.6 -8.6 BTC dump | 18. | 12mar2020 -36.41 -39.68 -33.95 -35.98 -30.62 -33.76 BTC dump | 19. | 13mar2020 -15.5 -14.41 -23.33 -18.92 -14.8 -16.52 BTC dump | 20. | 16mar2020 -11.49 -13.69 -13.65 -16.65 -11.6 -10.5 BTC dump | 21. | 28mar2020 -5.39 -5.21 -5.91 -6.27 -5.33 -4.6 BTC dump | 22. | 10apr2020 -5.25 -7.79 -4.48 -6.36 -6.21 -8.5 BTC dump | 23. | 10may2020 -12.37 -12.61 -12.48 -11.82 -14.65 -13.92 BTC dump | 24. | 21may2020 -6.11 -7.03 -5.05 -5.97 -5.91 -4.21 BTC dump | 25. | 03sep2020 -9.82 -10.21 -19.06 -12.29 -12.83 -17.64 BTC dump | +----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Correction for my past work. It is a shame that today when I played with data again, I found a bug in my code for past update. I am sorry for this. You can ignore that post (data validity is unknow, I took from another source).The newest one is correct and data validity is good (from coinmarketcap.com). So I am sorry again and enjoy today update. Yearly low price of bitcoin: - During the period of almost 8 years, the lowest yearly price of BTC has 7 years with increase (positive in percent_change), only has 1 year with a fall (negative in percent_change, at -40.7 % in 2015).
- Min and max percent of increase is 6.3% (2019) and 341.5% (2014).
- Also, see median_l, p25l and p75l (in statistics and in chart) to see the continuous growth (yearly low price) of bitcoin
- Make double check with another dataset from 2010 to 2020 that I made in WO
Raw results: +---------------------------------+ | year min_l percent_change | |---------------------------------| 1. | 2013 65.53 . | 2. | 2014 289.3 341.48 | 3. | 2015 171.51 -40.72 | 4. | 2016 354.91 106.93 | 5. | 2017 755.76 112.94 | |---------------------------------| 6. | 2018 3191.3 322.26 | 7. | 2019 3391.02 6.26 | 8. | 2020 4106.98 21.11 | +---------------------------------+
|
|
|
|
Karartma1
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2310
Merit: 1422
|
|
October 13, 2020, 08:40:39 AM Last edit: October 13, 2020, 09:33:50 AM by Karartma1 |
|
https://news.bitcoin.com/crypto-cruise-ship-satoshi/I guess we knew it already on the Wall Observer. Sorry for the media outlet posted, that's where I found it. Always on the WO first, don't forget. EDIT:The following is thanks to fillippone since I was in a rush and couldn't find it myself
|
|
|
|
|
El duderino_
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2548
Merit: 12364
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
|
|
October 13, 2020, 09:08:38 AM Merited by JayJuanGee (1) |
|
|
|
|
|
El duderino_
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2548
Merit: 12364
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
|
|
October 13, 2020, 09:23:34 AM |
|
|
|
|
|
serveria.com
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1184
Privacy Servers. Since 2009.
|
|
October 13, 2020, 09:28:37 AM |
|
Dying bear, fearful, cold, alone, gazes sadly at the rising moon
(I tried to make that a little more bucolic JimboToronto)
a day late
This is so underrated this one... deserves much more merit imho...
|
|
|
|
aesma
|
|
October 13, 2020, 09:35:12 AM |
|
Deep State and George Soros are 100% real deal. Should be at the bottom.
Tells you a lot about the author. Is George Soros financing US politicians ? Yes, like many other billionaires of all sides. That's not a conspiracy theory. The conspiracy is that he's part of the QAnon delirium with pedophilia, satanism etc. Deep state, what does that even mean ?
|
|
|
|
vapourminer
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 4368
Merit: 3656
what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?
|
|
October 13, 2020, 10:20:09 AM |
|
Deep state, what does that even mean ?
|
|
|
|
soullyG
|
|
October 13, 2020, 10:23:54 AM |
|
heh, nice edit vapour, we think alike
|
|
|
|
Phil_S
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2096
Merit: 1469
We choose to go to the moon
|
|
October 13, 2020, 10:38:50 AM |
|
Is such a thing even possible?
|
|
|
|
vapourminer
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 4368
Merit: 3656
what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?
|
|
October 13, 2020, 10:51:29 AM |
|
heh, nice edit vapour, we think alike
heh. i originally just wrote "aliens" as it took a moment to find the pic. i thought i had it on standby but must of lost it.
|
|
|
|
vapourminer
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 4368
Merit: 3656
what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?
|
|
October 13, 2020, 10:52:18 AM |
|
Is such a thing even possible?
depends. which color was the pill you took?
|
|
|
|
|
kurious
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2590
Merit: 1643
|
|
October 13, 2020, 11:10:45 AM |
|
Certainly raised a smile... Edit: It's hard not to be a fan of a guy who simply takes his (listed) company's cash pile of hundreds of millions of dollars and puts it in Bitcoin.
|
|
|
|
AlcoHoDL
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2408
Merit: 4322
Addicted to HoDLing!
|
|
October 13, 2020, 11:26:29 AM Merited by JayJuanGee (2) |
|
Certainly raised a smile... Edit: It's hard not to be a fan of a guy who simply takes his (listed) company's cash pile of hundreds of millions of dollars and puts it in Bitcoin. Very true. In fact, had many of us (including myself) put most, if not all, of our fiat in Bitcoin years ago, we would now be orders of magnitude wealthier. You've got to take risks... Smart guy!
|
|
|
|
|