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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 935211 times)
boumalo
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October 15, 2014, 09:35:40 AM
 #2061

...
This is pretty much what I was thinking and thats why I was surprised luc was saying we are going to 500. If we are going to 500 then we could be going much further quite quickly.

That's not possible. 500$ is a reasonable target for the peak of the first sub-wave of wave 1. After that there must be corrections.
I have some doubts that a price level of 450$ - 750$ is going to be sustainable for many months during wave 1 and corrective wave 2, we'll see.

You think the bottom is in too?

I have serious doubts.

I try to keep an open mind. Both bullish and bearish scenarios are still possible, but the latest developments favor the bullish one.
6 days ago I said that it will take 10 - 15 days until the market will decide a clear direction. It may take longer. Roll Eyes
If the bulls manage to conquer a high enough level and then defend a support level of 300+ when the corrections will come, then the bottom was 275.

It depends what you are looking for : are you waiting for the big wave? Buy now! Do you want to speculate on the short term price and you think it will go down again? Wait a little bit to buy

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masterluc
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October 15, 2014, 04:08:26 PM
 #2062

Stocks feel bad, gold bounces, xbt bounces.

masterluc
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October 15, 2014, 04:13:56 PM
 #2063

Actually xbt follows gold now. And gold follows opposite to dxy (dollar).

So xbt is now officially goes opposite to US dollar.

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October 15, 2014, 04:14:24 PM
 #2064

Stocks feel bad, gold bounces, xbt bounces.

Gold prices are getting very close to production prices. There isnt any room to go down. They will just shut mines down and creat demand.
masterluc
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October 15, 2014, 04:17:33 PM
 #2065


Gold prices are getting very close to production prices.
Nobody cares. World economics is out of reality.

CoinBurner
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October 15, 2014, 06:23:39 PM
 #2066

Actually xbt follows gold now. And gold follows opposite to dxy (dollar).

So xbt is now officially goes opposite to US dollar.

very interesting insight! So if this correlation holds, we should expect some kind of bounce short term, then additional weakness medium term (since it seems dxy is expected to go higher and gold lower in the following months) and thereafter, when hopefully the dollar collapses for good, the final, epic trip to the moon  Grin

by the way a big thank you for one of the most valuable analysis threads out there.

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October 15, 2014, 08:52:50 PM
 #2067

It can decouple although from gold soon...

We are entering new wave of Deflation, with CBs worldwide having empty guns.
So there should be bank crashes, exchanges' failures, "paper" gold's trading issues etc

In such situation BTC can go up quite a lot... Roll Eyes
This time it might become worse than it was in 2008-2009  Shocked
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October 15, 2014, 09:03:39 PM
 #2068


Gold prices are getting very close to production prices.
Nobody cares. World economics is out of reality.

Economy will survive somehow nevertheless.
Who is "out of reality" : world's rulers.
Heavily on cocaine and in rainbow dreams of achieved Recovery.
Their future is bleak.
BrightAnarchist
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October 17, 2014, 07:29:33 PM
 #2069

Deflation is spreading!

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-10-17/butter-prices-tumble-most-in-18-years-as-imports-climb.html
myself
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chaos is fun...…damental :)


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October 17, 2014, 11:52:32 PM
 #2070


so the natural thing did just win against money printing ?  Grin

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
masterluc
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October 18, 2014, 11:59:16 AM
 #2071

So the most optimistic bullish move should look like this:
- up to ~430
- back to sma20
- up to sma200

And if so, it would be an impulse and so probably reversal. So 400 level breakout is important now.



Running fine so far. But there is a some threat of another leg down from here.



masterluc
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October 18, 2014, 01:12:34 PM
 #2072

Here is a potential



oda.krell
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October 18, 2014, 01:55:39 PM
 #2073

Any chance we're seeing a regular flat correction playing out since 417?

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masterluc
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October 18, 2014, 02:06:50 PM
 #2074

Yes, but hard break down through 360 would add more odds to bears. It will harm bullish picture much.

myself
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chaos is fun...…damental :)


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October 18, 2014, 04:22:19 PM
 #2075

Here is a potential



what if 3=a 4=B 5=C ?

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
masterluc
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October 18, 2014, 04:48:07 PM
 #2076

Here is a potential



what if 3=a 4=B 5=C ?
you know the answer

kb24mvp
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October 21, 2014, 10:41:03 AM
 #2077

Luc, thoughts on the action? seems like it could go either way for your targets of 4xx or new low
Cryptoalerts.net
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October 21, 2014, 10:52:05 AM
Last edit: October 21, 2014, 08:50:20 PM by Cryptoalerts.net
 #2078

Bitstamp 1HR Time Interval

Price managed to breach the first hurdles of 50MA and 100MA resistances to the upside.

Now Bumping exactly @ the 200MA Resistance. Must Break Above to Enter Long Trade.

https://i.imgur.com/gbELNON.jpg


Our setup has been issued 4hrs ago @twitter :

Long: On a strong break above $387 (1HR 200MA) – Max Target $405 | Probability: 30% (has not triggered yet)


© 2014 – Cryptoalerts.net
lebing
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Enabling the maximal migration


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October 21, 2014, 03:13:56 PM
 #2079

Bitstamp 1HR Time Interval

Price managed to breach the first hurdles of 50MA and 100MA resistances to the upside.

Now Bumping exactly @ the 200day Middle Bollinger Band Resistance. Must Break Above to Enter Long Trade.




Our setup has been issued 4hrs ago @twitter :

Long: On a strong break above $387 (1HR 200MA) – Max Target $405 | Probability: 30% (has not triggered yet)


© 2014 – Cryptoalerts.net

Yeah cool, but hey why dont you make your own thread. This is a decent analysis but also a good way to find yourself on some ignore lists if it wasn't what people came here for.

Bro, do you even blockchain?
-E Voorhees
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October 21, 2014, 03:20:25 PM
 #2080

Bitstamp 1HR Time Interval

Price managed to breach the first hurdles of 50MA and 100MA resistances to the upside.

Now Bumping exactly @ the 200day Middle Bollinger Band Resistance. Must Break Above to Enter Long Trade.

https://i.imgur.com/eafdh8u.jpg


Our setup has been issued 4hrs ago @twitter :

Long: On a strong break above $387 (1HR 200MA) – Max Target $405 | Probability: 30% (has not triggered yet)


© 2014 – Cryptoalerts.net

Yeah cool, but hey why dont you make your own thread. This is a decent analysis but also a good way to find yourself on some ignore lists if it wasn't what people came here for.

"Analysis never ends" - Is this only for EW? If so please accept our apologies for the inappropriateness.
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