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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 935267 times)
lebing
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October 21, 2014, 03:22:05 PM
 #2081

Bitstamp 1HR Time Interval

Price managed to breach the first hurdles of 50MA and 100MA resistances to the upside.

Now Bumping exactly @ the 200day Middle Bollinger Band Resistance. Must Break Above to Enter Long Trade.




Our setup has been issued 4hrs ago @twitter :

Long: On a strong break above $387 (1HR 200MA) – Max Target $405 | Probability: 30% (has not triggered yet)


© 2014 – Cryptoalerts.net

Yeah cool, but hey why dont you make your own thread. This is a decent analysis but also a good way to find yourself on some ignore lists if it wasn't what people came here for.

"Analysis never ends" - Is this only for EW? If so please accept our apologies for the inappropriateness.

Its only for Luc.

Bro, do you even blockchain?
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oda.krell
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October 21, 2014, 04:26:40 PM
 #2082

...
"Analysis never ends" - Is this only for EW? If so please accept our apologies for the inappropriateness.

Have to agree with lebing, more or less. I posted some charts and lines in here as well, but usually as a question to lucif. In general, it's better to keep this thread uncluttered as quite a few people like to know what OP thinks.

Also, terminology suggestion: "hourly 200day Bollinger" sounds weird... You are tracking a 200h SMA/BB, I would say Cheesy

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hugger
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October 21, 2014, 04:29:28 PM
 #2083

Thank you for posting this. Let me grab some screenshots,I want my friends to see this.
Cryptoalerts.net
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October 21, 2014, 07:07:39 PM
Last edit: October 21, 2014, 09:28:00 PM by Cryptoalerts.net
 #2084

...
"Analysis never ends" - Is this only for EW? If so please accept our apologies for the inappropriateness.

Have to agree with lebing, more or less. I posted some charts and lines in here as well, but usually as a question to lucif. In general, it's better to keep this thread uncluttered as quite a few people like to know what OP thinks.

Also, terminology suggestion: "hourly 200day Bollinger" sounds weird... You are tracking a 200h SMA/BB, I would say Cheesy

Thank you for your comment,

Updated and corrected...  Roll Eyes
notme
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October 21, 2014, 08:02:47 PM
 #2085

...
"Analysis never ends" - Is this only for EW? If so please accept our apologies for the inappropriateness.

Have to agree with lebing, more or less. I posted some charts and lines in here as well, but usually as a question to lucif. In general, it's better to keep this thread uncluttered as quite a few people like to know what OP thinks.

Also, terminology suggestion: "hourly 200day Bollinger" sounds weird... You are tracking a 200h SMA/BB, I would say Cheesy

Thank you for your comment,

The Middle 200day BB and the 200MA or SMA (simple moving average) lines are the same. Hourly refers to the 1HR time interval candlestick chart. In other time intervals the, 200MA / Middle 200day BB, produce different values.

200 days != 200 hours

 Huh

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
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October 21, 2014, 08:37:45 PM
Last edit: October 21, 2014, 09:29:27 PM by Cryptoalerts.net
 #2086

...
"Analysis never ends" - Is this only for EW? If so please accept our apologies for the inappropriateness.

Have to agree with lebing, more or less. I posted some charts and lines in here as well, but usually as a question to lucif. In general, it's better to keep this thread uncluttered as quite a few people like to know what OP thinks.

Also, terminology suggestion: "hourly 200day Bollinger" sounds weird... You are tracking a 200h SMA/BB, I would say Cheesy

Thank you for your comment,

The Middle 200day BB and the 200MA or SMA (simple moving average) lines are the same. Hourly refers to the 1HR time interval candlestick chart. In other time intervals the, 200MA / Middle 200day BB, produce different values.

200 days != 200 hours

 Huh

Oh Crap #$@@.... We are sorry for the utter Mess (been posting 5 charts at the same time in different forums  Cry)... 200MA
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October 22, 2014, 03:45:14 AM
 #2087

After about 4 days this band will start to collapse, so we may still see a sideways movings within 3-6 days.



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October 22, 2014, 05:22:02 AM
 #2088

Looks like the original plan of new lows still looks good, we all did get a kick out of that fake out tho  Grin
oda.krell
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October 22, 2014, 11:13:44 AM
 #2089

@lucif

I can certainly see another (minor) breakdown in the coming weeks, but I'm wondering why you said earlier that you think hitting 360s would make it a bad picture for the bulls?

To me it looks like we could go all the way to ~340 for a re-test, and it would look a lot like April 16 to May 19 earlier this year. (Of course it would only be similar if there is good support at that level)

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masterluc
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October 22, 2014, 11:31:58 AM
 #2090

360 is subwave 4 triangle apex support, also middle of daily bb. It should hold to materialize optimistic bullish count.

oda.krell
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October 22, 2014, 11:44:12 AM
 #2091

So in your view, this:





is not a likely continuation, in a similar way to how May played out:



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masterluc
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October 22, 2014, 11:44:33 AM
 #2092

Also here, as price development says, II/B shows triangle formation. So any break below 370 (triangle point a) would almost completely invalidate this count.

Also I can say this is not a motive bullish wave if triangle appears in II. This means 5-3-5 (abc), not 5-3-5-3-5. In short - this means $500 should be terminal medium term bullish top.

Here is a potential




Tzupy
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October 22, 2014, 12:31:20 PM
 #2093

@lucif

I can certainly see another (minor) breakdown in the coming weeks, but I'm wondering why you said earlier that you think hitting 360s would make it a bad picture for the bulls?

To me it looks like we could go all the way to ~340 for a re-test, and it would look a lot like April 16 to May 19 earlier this year. (Of course it would only be similar if there is good support at that level)

Sorry for the unsolicited answer, but the comparison with April 16th to May 19th doesn't make sense to me.
In the bullish scenario (with 275$ THE bottom) I am looking at about 9th July 2013, in the bearish scenario
I'm looking at about 5th August 2014. Bearish scenario will be invalidated if 420$ resistance will be firmly broken.

Sometimes, if it looks too bullish, it's actually bearish
masterluc
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October 23, 2014, 08:15:36 AM
 #2094

Last activity harmed my bullish count much.

Waiting for collapse of daily bb to resolve further direction.

thefiniteidea
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October 24, 2014, 04:58:05 AM
 #2095

Gradual decline over next month...


https://twitter.com/thefiniteidea

14jNCND1PemxxHD17m2gGjScrPHWcVmduP
masterluc
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October 24, 2014, 05:00:07 AM
 #2096

Notice how xbt correlates with xau on daily basis.

devphp
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October 24, 2014, 05:04:10 AM
 #2097

Waiting for collapse of daily bb to resolve further direction.

well?
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October 24, 2014, 10:02:09 AM
 #2098

Wake me up when Bitcoin is in a multi trillion deficit, then maybe economists will take it seriously.   Cheesy

Any significantly advanced cryptocurrency is indistinguishable from Ponzi Tulips.
BrightAnarchist
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October 24, 2014, 06:20:33 PM
 #2099

The bear market is well underway but damn I can't wait for a *real* crash to start. I thought maybe it would happen in October but I still haven't gotten the right setup yet. Maybe November or December now. We shall see.
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October 24, 2014, 09:32:00 PM
 #2100

The bear market is well underway but damn I can't wait for a *real* crash to start. I thought maybe it would happen in October but I still haven't gotten the right setup yet. Maybe November or December now. We shall see.
Wasn't the original expectation for this sometime in 2010 or 2011?
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