Biden to stand down - Bitcoin betting on the 2024 US Presidential Election

[EarnOnVictor]

~snip~
I disagree, Biden's ratings in the polls where much higher than 20%. I reckon they were 40% or higher, however, it was lower than 50%. The odds on Polymarket were very much similar also.

We can be quite certain that before the assassination attempt, Biden had a chance to win despite his old age and his dementia that was shown during the debate against Trump.

It is a bit strange but I've seen waves of support for one candidate or another in the mainstream media all around the world.

It seems like they are in control of someone and they are changing their mind.

Also strange is that you rarely hear anything about the actual presidential promises, you only hear about how bad the other candidate is.

I can almost guarantee that most people that will vote don't really have a clear idea of the projects that will be done in their candidate's term, but they will know that the other one is bad.

The voters already have a clear decision on who they will be voting on November. They cannot be convinced to vote for the bad candidate because they already have decided years or months before the election. However, will bitcoiners vote for Biden while they know that he will be bad for bitcoin and the cryptospace? They very much will, I reckon. They do not like this pump because it is the Trump pump. This is very headshaking behavior because these politicians do not care about you. They only serve the real rulers of the country. These real rulers are the people who own much of the wealth, who own the largest companies, who own the largest lands. They own the politicians and they own you. You have owners.

Your position here reminds me of the fact that politics is deep and so is the decision of people at the polling booth. You sound as if the choice of people is known already, but you are wrong, a lot of issues are arising and many factors will continue to split people's decision in this next election. Now, you have to consider the gender, the colour, and the strongholds of the parties above all these Bitcoin/crypto distractions that you guys often bring to politics. If I may ask, do you think Trump is sincere with his crypto manifestos? If you do, then you are being deceived. I only see a man who is desperate to get there, and even if he wants to do something, there are procedures to follow, it will never be automatic. As for Biden and his government, the guy has done well in the best interest of his country. I see nothing wrong in regulating means of financial flows, but I wonder why many would think it's an anti-crypto move. Crypto is dangerous without regulations and you guys should expect more.

[bbc.reporter]

I think that was a genius plot developed by Biden's team. They have found excuse for Biden and  put  Trump under fire of Kamala Harris - the former California Attorney General who is in her prime, very cute and sharp-tongued. She will chew up and spit out that old crock of Trump.  I would bet on Kamala Harris.

She cannot win a debate against Trump, I reckon. According to Polymarket, Trump has 62% chance of being victorious on November, Kamala Harris is 35% and Michelle Obama is 2%.

https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1721958116417

However, after a debate vs. Trump, I predict this rating will dump. On Michelle Obama's rating after a debate, I reckon there is a very much big possibility that this will pump hehe.

Also, many people consider Kamala to be a stupid woman. The storyline for her is despite her stupidness, she might be a safe bet. This is headshaking hehehehe.



Sky News host Andrew Bolt says Kamala Harris is a “shapeshifter” and could turn from an “airhead into a safe bet”.

Source https://www.townsvillebulletin.com.au/news/national/shes-a-shapeshifter-kamala-harris-could-turn-from-airhead-into-a-safe-bet/video/35f82be2a35fd5fa0045ed57c358b8e4?nk=31797837ad19023d4565d9bfbaacfb27-1721958431

[Sithara007]

She cannot win a debate against Trump, I reckon. According to Polymarket, Trump has 62% chance of being victorious on November, Kamala Harris is 35% and Michelle Obama is 2%.

https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1721958116417

However, after a debate vs. Trump, I predict this rating will dump. On Michelle Obama's rating after a debate, I reckon there is a very much big possibility that this will pump hehe.

Also, many people consider Kamala to be a stupid woman. The storyline for her is despite her stupidness, she might be a safe bet. This is headshaking hehehehe.



Sky News host Andrew Bolt says Kamala Harris is a “shapeshifter” and could turn from an “airhead into a safe bet”.

Source https://www.townsvillebulletin.com.au/news/national/shes-a-shapeshifter-kamala-harris-could-turn-from-airhead-into-a-safe-bet/video/35f82be2a35fd5fa0045ed57c358b8e4?nk=31797837ad19023d4565d9bfbaacfb27-1721958431

I don't think that given the current trends Kamala has a realistic chance of defeating Donald Trump. The best thing for her to do would be to focus on the 2028 POTUS elections. She is young, and has plenty of time left in active politics (unlike the case with Biden). This time it will be better to put up someone like Michelle Obama or Kim Kardashian as the Democrat nominee. In case Kamala runs against Trump this time, and losses by a landslide, then her career is finished.

[hedgeh0g]

She cannot win a debate against Trump, I reckon. According to Polymarket, Trump has 62% chance of being victorious on November, Kamala Harris is 35% and Michelle Obama is 2%.

https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1721958116417

However, after a debate vs. Trump, I predict this rating will dump. On Michelle Obama's rating after a debate, I reckon there is a very much big possibility that this will pump hehe.

Also, many people consider Kamala to be a stupid woman. The storyline for her is despite her stupidness, she might be a safe bet. This is headshaking hehehehe.



Sky News host Andrew Bolt says Kamala Harris is a “shapeshifter” and could turn from an “airhead into a safe bet”.

Source https://www.townsvillebulletin.com.au/news/national/shes-a-shapeshifter-kamala-harris-could-turn-from-airhead-into-a-safe-bet/video/35f82be2a35fd5fa0045ed57c358b8e4?nk=31797837ad19023d4565d9bfbaacfb27-1721958431

I don't think that given the current trends Kamala has a realistic chance of defeating Donald Trump. The best thing for her to do would be to focus on the 2028 POTUS elections. She is young, and has plenty of time left in active politics (unlike the case with Biden). This time it will be better to put up someone like Michelle Obama or Kim Kardashian as the Democrat nominee. In case Kamala runs against Trump this time, and losses by a landslide, then her career is finished.

Maybe you are right, but you need to look at the statistics for all the previous time, how many of those who lost in the first election, will win in the next one and whether this happened at all. At first glance, it seems to me that it is better to declare yourself in the first election and immediately win it, but it is better to trust the facts.

I would not say that Trump will obviously win, because on betting sites Trump is leading with a probability of 60%, while Kamalla with 40%. History has shown more than once that such a small gap can change in completely opposite directions with incredible ease and at the moment I cannot say at all who will win, even if the chances were now 70/30. But if you are so sure, then you need to bet on it, of course, if you see the point in it.

[Hispo]

Interestingly enough, I have started to see in corporate media some patterns about how the news hosts are managing the fact Joe Biden has dropped out, they have started to point out how now Donald Trump has officially become the oldest candidate running for the presidency of the country during the whole history of the nation. Pretty weird, considering not long ago it was the case being made by Republicans, against the presidency of Biden. Now they are being targeted by their own ideas and propaganda. Also, I have not heard anything new about Hunter Biden since all these news of Biden dropping out came to light, It could also have something to do with the defamation lawsuit Hunter is planning to put on the table.

So many things change when one of the two biggest candidates happen to drop out. I am calling it already, if Kamala wins, there is no way MAGA will accept a defeat.

[satscraper]

what will happen to the gamblers who have bet on Biden when Biden, or is considered to have lost? or what?

You have put an interesting question. I think their bets should be automatically hold invalid and they need to make the new ones if they wanna proceed with predictions. Personally I would proceed with betting on Kamala who is very  wit and young  person when comparing with that old fart of Trump who proved to be the insolent bullshit artist.

[Timelord2067]

More interestingly the oldest candidate never mentioned how *cough* corrupt (defamation lawsuit pending) the current VP is until she was nominated by the majority of her party.

Same accusation against the current President and the same accusation against the previous candidate from the opposition party.

They are only accused of *cough* corruption when the oldest candidate is on the back foot... And he still sounds withered from that thing that happened a week or two ago - no fire left in his belly.

Time for a generational change.

[topbitcoin]

what will happen to the gamblers who have bet on Biden when Biden, or is considered to have lost? or what?

You have put an interesting question. I think their bets should be automatically hold invalid and they need to make the new ones if they wanna proceed with predictions. Personally I would proceed with betting on Kamala who is very  wit and young  person when comparing with that old fart of Trump who proved to be the insolent bullshit artist.

So maybe they get a refund from the casino, because it is considered an invalid bet, yes that's fair enough instead of losing and losing money. LOL

Indeed, the old fart is very arrogant and talks too much, but speaking of influence and potential winners Trump has it today, although I also admit that Kamala Harris has the accuracy and is also much fresher than Trump, but on gambling talks and the possibility of winning Trump still has a very high electability today in US society, of course it is something to consider for people who want to bet on this occasion, we are not voting for who is the best but we are voting for who has a greater chance of winning the American election.

[bbc.reporter]

She cannot win a debate against Trump, I reckon. According to Polymarket, Trump has 62% chance of being victorious on November, Kamala Harris is 35% and Michelle Obama is 2%.

https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1721958116417

However, after a debate vs. Trump, I predict this rating will dump. On Michelle Obama's rating after a debate, I reckon there is a very much big possibility that this will pump hehe.

Also, many people consider Kamala to be a stupid woman. The storyline for her is despite her stupidness, she might be a safe bet. This is headshaking hehehehe.



Sky News host Andrew Bolt says Kamala Harris is a “shapeshifter” and could turn from an “airhead into a safe bet”.

Source https://www.townsvillebulletin.com.au/news/national/shes-a-shapeshifter-kamala-harris-could-turn-from-airhead-into-a-safe-bet/video/35f82be2a35fd5fa0045ed57c358b8e4?nk=31797837ad19023d4565d9bfbaacfb27-1721958431

I don't think that given the current trends Kamala has a realistic chance of defeating Donald Trump. The best thing for her to do would be to focus on the 2028 POTUS elections. She is young, and has plenty of time left in active politics (unlike the case with Biden). This time it will be better to put up someone like Michelle Obama or Kim Kardashian as the Democrat nominee. In case Kamala runs against Trump this time, and losses by a landslide, then her career is finished.

It appears you have underestimated that this is her only chance. She will be forgotten in 4 years and during the 4 years if Trump has the victory, she will be shown to be very stupid to run for president. It also appears that Trump chose JD Vance as his vice president because he will be prepared to takeover as president during the election on 2028. The Democrats appear to have no one.

Also, Kim Kardashian? I have no words for you my friend.

[mindrust]

It appears you have underestimated that this is her only chance. She will be forgotten in 4 years and during the 4 years if Trump has the victory, she will be shown to be very stupid to run for president. It also appears that Trump chose JD Vance as his vice president because he will be prepared to takeover as president during the election on 2028.

Nobody has seen Kamala in the last 4 years anyways so if she is gone for another 4 years it won't make a difference. Can something that never existed disappear? Nobody has heard her speaking before and it looks like nobody will hear anything from her in the future. Except for the next 3 months. She should be happy that she will be the demrat talking head for 3 months. Enjoy your 3 month fame Kam.

The Democrats appear to have no one.

Totally incompetent. They should disband.

[STT]

Harris isnt stupid, just ditzy perhaps which is a personality facet.  I actually take that as fake 'niceness' akin to politicians kissing babies, fake but the real character under facade who knows.   Thats a reason for failure, if people dont feel they know the real person they wont vote them.

I dont assume the state DA is unable to win a debate against someone whose main credentials in public speaking is a tv show type approach.   Thats not that hard to beat, mostly Trump wins by breaking the rules, stacking the odds against others in any debate and just lying simple as that.


Mostly I expect this election will be won off the debate stage, what goes on there will mostly be two people shouting at each other giving no leeway agreeing on nothing.   Somehow Trump got to the point where its his election to lose & looking to be the more experienced when really the opposite might be true in skills;  you could never say this about any former president as they carry this gravitas till death.

[bbc.reporter]

It appears you have underestimated that this is her only chance. She will be forgotten in 4 years and during the 4 years if Trump has the victory, she will be shown to be very stupid to run for president. It also appears that Trump chose JD Vance as his vice president because he will be prepared to takeover as president during the election on 2028.

Nobody has seen Kamala in the last 4 years anyways so if she is gone for another 4 years it won't make a difference. Can something that never existed disappear? Nobody has heard her speaking before and it looks like nobody will hear anything from her in the future. Except for the next 3 months. She should be happy that she will be the demrat talking head for 3 months. Enjoy your 3 month fame Kam.

The Democrats appear to have no one.

Totally incompetent. They should disband.

According to Polymarket, Kamala Harris is 97% to be the Democratic nominee. Michelle Obama is only 1%. The others who are mentioned are Hillary Clinton, Gavin Newsom, Elizabeth Warren, Robert Kennedy and Dean Philipps.

https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-nominee-2024?tid=1722231967997

I am mistaken. The Democrats have someone hehehe. This is Robert Kennedy.

[Sithara007]

According to Polymarket, Kamala Harris is 97% to be the Democratic nominee. Michelle Obama is only 1%. The others who are mentioned are Hillary Clinton, Gavin Newsom, Elizabeth Warren, Robert Kennedy and Dean Philipps.

https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-nominee-2024?tid=1722231967997

I am mistaken. The Democrats have someone hehehe. This is Robert Kennedy.

According to the link that you have provided, her chances have increased to 99%. BTW, I am confused about Robert Kennedy. He is no longer a Democrat. He is running this election as an independent candidate. And his candidature is going to hurt Trump more than Kamala. BTW, recent opinion polls are suddenly showing Kamala leading Trump. The one from Daily Kos/Civiqs shows Kamala leading by 4 points, while the one from Economist/YouGov shows her ahead by 2. And according to Bloomberg/MrnConsult, Kamala is leading by 11 points in Michigan!

[Hispo]

...

Has not been established and made clear already Kennedy is just an opportunistic candidate in this race for the presidency of the United States. It is not only there would be nobody who would bet outside of Irony for him,  but he has been caught also trying to sell his sponsorship to Donald Trump. He is aware he hurts more Trump than he does to Kamala Harris, so he would rather just to be offered a good quantity of money and drop out the race silently. He actually never seemed to have a project for the country and to build a better future for the people of USA, he tried to snatch the democrat nomination and could not, now he has gone independent just for the sake of money.

He is the kind of person who is never supposed to be close to power, he is a swamp creature.

[bbc.reporter]

According to Polymarket, Kamala Harris is 97% to be the Democratic nominee. Michelle Obama is only 1%. The others who are mentioned are Hillary Clinton, Gavin Newsom, Elizabeth Warren, Robert Kennedy and Dean Philipps.

https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-nominee-2024?tid=1722231967997

I am mistaken. The Democrats have someone hehehe. This is Robert Kennedy.

According to the link that you have provided, her chances have increased to 99%. BTW, I am confused about Robert Kennedy. He is no longer a Democrat. He is running this election as an independent candidate. And his candidature is going to hurt Trump more than Kamala. BTW, recent opinion polls are suddenly showing Kamala leading Trump. The one from Daily Kos/Civiqs shows Kamala leading by 4 points, while the one from Economist/YouGov shows her ahead by 2. And according to Bloomberg/MrnConsult, Kamala is leading by 11 points in Michigan!

It also appears that Kamala Harris might be chasing Trump's lead according to the latest odds on Polymarket. If Michelle Obama is removed from this listing, we can be quite certain that her votes will go to Harris.

https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1722831792740

It appears the hype on Trump is decreasing. In any case, the second debate will be on September. If my prediction is correct, this will increase Trump's favorability on the polls and surveys again hehe.

[beerlover]

It also appears that Kamala Harris might be chasing Trump's lead according to the latest odds on Polymarket. If Michelle Obama is removed from this listing, we can be quite certain that her votes will go to Harris.

https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1722831792740

It appears the hype on Trump is decreasing. In any case, the second debate will be on September. If my prediction is correct, this will increase Trump's favorability on the polls and surveys again hehe.

I feel like that's not really that shocking, considering that we have known Biden to be a terrible candidate, and we have seen Kamala do fine so far, that isn't a surprise to anyone that she would eventually get the lead. There were a ton of people who said "not Biden not trump" type of thinking, there were a lot of people who hated both, and didn't want to vote for them, and that is why I would guess that this wasn't really something that would make it go that beyond unreal.

We are seeing Kamala be "voice of reason" and that is saying something, if Kamala is the voice of reason in a place, you know how crazy that place must be, and that is what Trump is losing to points. He is rambling incoherent stupid stuff, whereas she is talking about actual progress that she will make and improve the nation by. This is why I think it is going to be Kamala that wins it in the end.

[Sithara007]

I feel like that's not really that shocking, considering that we have known Biden to be a terrible candidate, and we have seen Kamala do fine so far, that isn't a surprise to anyone that she would eventually get the lead. There were a ton of people who said "not Biden not trump" type of thinking, there were a lot of people who hated both, and didn't want to vote for them, and that is why I would guess that this wasn't really something that would make it go that beyond unreal.

We are seeing Kamala be "voice of reason" and that is saying something, if Kamala is the voice of reason in a place, you know how crazy that place must be, and that is what Trump is losing to points. He is rambling incoherent stupid stuff, whereas she is talking about actual progress that she will make and improve the nation by. This is why I think it is going to be Kamala that wins it in the end.

Except for his age, Biden was one of the best possible candidates from the Democrat party. He was one of the few Democrat leaders with an ability to attract the independent or moderate vote. On the other hand, Kamala has a reputation of being far-left. Anyway, the left-wing politics within the United States and also globally has moved to the far-left of the political spectrum. This may result in Kamala being viewed as an acceptable candidate. But that was not the case a few years ago, and I still don't think that she has the capability to attract independent votes.

[Hispo]

...

The independent vote in the United States in my opinion are people within the center of the political spectrum who don't know where their vote is supposed to be, those people usually look for the most normal and logical candidate, in this case, that candidate is Kamala Harris.
True moderates and the moderate vote will not take chances with Trump, to be honest, that is why Trump's speech has reached a point in which can only attract and appeal to the far right and those within the capitalist spectrum, that is why he continues to talk badly of immigration, against alledgedly socialists taking over the country and other imaginary threats in the United States, with that speech he only throws the moderate voters down the drain.
Anyways, he does not seem to need those actually moderates, as he seems to be winning with the radicalized right if the USA alone, without caring for the center.

Still, I am waiting to the October Surprise before placing my bet.

[bbc.reporter]

It also appears that Kamala Harris might be chasing Trump's lead according to the latest odds on Polymarket. If Michelle Obama is removed from this listing, we can be quite certain that her votes will go to Harris.

https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1722831792740

It appears the hype on Trump is decreasing. In any case, the second debate will be on September. If my prediction is correct, this will increase Trump's favorability on the polls and surveys again hehe.

I feel like that's not really that shocking, considering that we have known Biden to be a terrible candidate, and we have seen Kamala do fine so far, that isn't a surprise to anyone that she would eventually get the lead. There were a ton of people who said "not Biden not trump" type of thinking, there were a lot of people who hated both, and didn't want to vote for them, and that is why I would guess that this wasn't really something that would make it go that beyond unreal.

We are seeing Kamala be "voice of reason" and that is saying something, if Kamala is the voice of reason in a place, you know how crazy that place must be, and that is what Trump is losing to points. He is rambling incoherent stupid stuff, whereas she is talking about actual progress that she will make and improve the nation by. This is why I think it is going to be Kamala that wins it in the end.

Heheheh Kamala Harris is not a very intelligent politician if we compare this to the 5 years younger version of Joe Biden. I am not quite certain how she will win a debate against Trump who is a very energetic and unpredictable opponent in a debate. On Trump's debate against Hillary on 2016, he was making her appears to be very much stupid and Trump was not taking her debates serious. This might be something similar against Kamala.

On the decreasing hype on Trump, I reckon that this is good that this has happened 3 months before election than getting all the hype then a decrease 2 weeks before election. Trump can gather more hype again later near election day.