Are you still 100% sure I won't produce an alt that will stand out and meet your criteria for buying an alt?
no, but you seem to be 100% sure you will. and that is the problem. your arrogance in this regard is stunning esp given the ongoing rant about how TPTB have enslaved us for 5000 yrs and despite Bitcoin having surprised everyone including you and except for early adopters like me. yet somehow, you are certain you will come up with the altcoin that will save us all.
I accede this point to you, except that you can't seem to see you are doing the exactly the same bravado combined with mono-thought in a domain where you are not expert and are just a layman-come-lately armchair chatterbox.
my record is crystal clear and verifiable right here in this forum.
HODLing from $1000 down to $150, soon to be < $100. While I was
fightingdisagreeing with rpietila, smooth, and others on the prediction for $300 back at $600 the first time, then I predicted the bounce, then I predicted the fall back to $300, then I predicted the small bounce and fall to $150. I made all of those calls. Ask the people who know me and were following me in Bitmessage. As well, I made posts on the forum about most of those timing calls.
did you sell gold and silver at their tops in 2011? i did. did you short them as well? i did.
Better than that, I predicted the exact timing of the rise from $25 and price peak and fall 8 - 9 months before it occurred. Here is was that public prediction
did you buy Bitcoin when it was low?
Did you buy 1000oz bars and mint them into rounds at $9 in 2008 when there was a shortage of rounds in the USA. And resell them to increase your stash to 18,000 oz. I did.
Did you create a one man company in 1998 to create, market, and do customer support for Cool Page and Art-O-Matic, wherein Cool Page had 335,000 websites (verified by "link:coolpage.com" a former altavista feature) and > 1 million downloads by 2001? I did. (noting this was all before any of the social networks we have today, such as Friendster which launched in 2002). Did you contract the former programmer of Borland C for 1 week of work in 2001 paying $30,000 for his services ($100,000 in todays money) and then fixing an O(n) bug in 30 minutes that he couldn't find and fix after days of requesting the fix.
I had numerous major accomplishments and I don't need to enumerate all of them.
did you buy Bitcoin when you arrived here in Jan 2013 when it was $13? no. i'm not bragging here; only defending myself from your arrogant attacks and ad hominems.
Were you rushed by ambulance (because I could only crawl) to the hospital in May 2012 with an exploded acute peptic ulcer that was leaking stomach acid into your abdominal cavity causing all the internal organs to fail, in excrutiating pain (that can't be described! and I can handle pain I played football games with broken bones!) and then after surviving what the doctors thought might be fatal, that destroying my digestive system causing my Multiple Sclerosis to go bezerk, such from that point on I was suffering severe inability to think with debilitating Chronic Fatigue Syndrome. What happening was because I am such a fighter and athlete my body when into adrenal overdrive such that I was constantly in state of panic feeling of "Fight or Flight" instinct. This caused me to feel desperation and lose $75,000 on an options bet following a promoter Graham Summers. So by the time Jan 2013 arrived, I had decided to disciple myself to make no major decisions until my illness could be cured.
Fuck if you use my performance while so incredibly ill as indicative of anything, then you are a fool.
I am coming cured now because I am smart enough to have figured out (with the help of listening and interacting with many others, something which your mono-thought myopia can't do) that the cure to Multiple Sclerosis is all about restoring the kilos of good gut bacteria.
And so now you have to deal with the real me. The one with those Herculian accomplishments in the past. And I know damn well my capabilities are in the exceptional class on the order of those core Bitcoin devs. My weakness coming in is I was not trained in cryptography and had to teach myself.
i glanced over your stuff, Shelby. we probably think alot in more ways than you think. but i, unlike you, don't claim to know the future with 100% certainty.
I did study A.I. formally. And thus I have enough understanding of what Armstrong has likely done, to know what he is capable of predicting. And his record since the 1980s shows that his extensive modeling (coupled with the largest database on earth, some $1 billion invested in collecting the data) can indeed predict the future with great accuracy. If you want to ignore the power of correlation and statistics when combined with A.I. pattern matching modeling, then you have a right to be humiliated.
I am confident because I understand the science involved.
And yet you try to tell experts in their domains that you know better than them. Is that wise? You loud mouthed fool.
Do I come into your eye clinic and boast that I know more about macular degeneration than you.
thus, i don't diss Bitcoin in the face of what it has accomplished. and that is "great things". and Satoshi is "great" until proven otherwise. the protocol has not failed nor is there any signs of it despite everyone complaining about the price. the burden of proof is on you and until or unless you prove your claims with some real results then i remain highly skeptical of you.
You are an autodidactic n00b that has grabbed onto a short-term signal and proclaimed that makes you an expert of extrapolation while lacking the sampling size to avoid aliasing error.
Two apropos terms:
confirmation bias
Dunning-Kruger
P.S. You have some capabilities for logic when you find an argument that matches your desired outcome. But you block out all logic that doesn't concur with your confirmation bias. And this is what causes you to be so foolish. Pride comes right before the fall, and n00bs who bought Bitcoin in 2012 are ripe for this overconfidence myopia. Whereas, I have actual domain experience that allows me to work through many details and form a big picture based on correlating a lot of data which you have even admitted that you chose to ignore.
P.S.S. YOU DISRESPECTFUL ASSHOLE. Don't you know that proper etiquette in Bitcointalk.org is not refer to people by their first name if they have chosen to use a pseudonym? Do I violate you that way here? What is your first and last name? What is your physical or website address (you have mine)?