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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 919294 times)
Afrikoin
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July 14, 2015, 03:07:02 PM
 #3201


@Fakhoury different Elliott Wave analysts have different wave counts. Some like masterluc feel we are in impulsive wave 3 while others think we are in corrective wave b see this post for different counts

]


+1

Also, wave 3 is invalidated if we hit a top ($370 - $600) and go down below $219 (estimate).

Wave B scenario invalidated if we correct from same top, but continue on up.

*Feel free to add*



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1563605256
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Reply with quote  #2

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masterluc
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July 14, 2015, 03:07:27 PM
 #3202

Don't PM me about next wave target estimations. I will not feed your greed. I don't know. Big. Period.

masterluc
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July 14, 2015, 03:10:17 PM
 #3203


+1

Also, wave 3 is invalidated if we hit a top ($370 - $600) and go down below $219 (estimate).

Wave B scenario invalidated if we correct from same top, but continue on up.

*Feel free to add*

Wave 3 invalidated if wave 2 hit bellow start of wave 1. So it will be invalidated if Bitcoin goes below $0

RyNinDaCleM
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Legen -wait for it- dary


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July 14, 2015, 03:58:30 PM
 #3204


@Fakhoury different Elliott Wave analysts have different wave counts. Some like masterluc feel we are in impulsive wave 3 while others think we are in corrective wave b see this post for different counts

]


+1

Also, wave 3 is invalidated if we hit a top ($370 - $600) and go down below $219 (estimate).

Wave B scenario invalidated if we correct from same top, but continue on up.

*Feel free to add*

Wave-B can actually make new ATH's, so there is some room before invalidation occurs.

AnonymousEconomist
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July 14, 2015, 04:18:42 PM
 #3205

Don't PM me about next wave target estimations. I will not feed your greed. I don't know. Big. Period.

This is who you are all dickriding. Like I said, he has no idea what he is talking about.

Add me on Twitter! @AnonOnAMoose
sana54210
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CyberDice - Best Bitcoin Dice Game


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July 14, 2015, 04:28:10 PM
 #3206

Don't PM me about next wave target estimations. I will not feed your greed. I don't know. Big. Period.

This is who you are all dickriding. Like I said, he has no idea what he is talking about.

Actually it is you being the dick. You are only here to insult. You have contributed absolutely nothing to what - before your self righteous appearance  - was one of the best threads on the forum. You are here only to play out some inner psychological need, and you have seized upon Luc's thread to do this in. Again. The only person being a dick here is you.

BTCtrader71
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July 14, 2015, 04:48:49 PM
 #3207

Don't PM me about next wave target estimations. I will not feed your greed. I don't know. Big. Period.

This is who you are all dickriding. Like I said, he has no idea what he is talking about.

Luc is not responding to your childishness because he has better things to do with his time. Everyone on this thread feels that way. You too know this to be true.


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saddambitcoin
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July 14, 2015, 04:50:18 PM
 #3208

Don't reply or quote him, he won't listen. Just hit ignore!  Cheesy

Ultros
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July 14, 2015, 04:50:42 PM
 #3209

Just do like the master and do not waste your time responding to him (also, ignore button).
Miz4r
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July 14, 2015, 05:00:45 PM
 #3210

Just do like the master and do not waste your time responding to him (also, ignore button).

+1, this is what the ignore button is for.

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Dump3er
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July 14, 2015, 05:58:31 PM
 #3211

Wow, luc has now his personal flamer. Don’t be annoyed, it’s like a trophy! Treat him like he were your tamagotchi Cheesy

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AnonymousEconomist
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July 14, 2015, 06:01:09 PM
 #3212

Don't PM me about next wave target estimations. I will not feed your greed. I don't know. Big. Period.

This is who you are all dickriding. Like I said, he has no idea what he is talking about.

Luc is not responding to your childishness because he has better things to do with his time. Everyone on this thread feels that way. You too know this to be true.



i didnt PM him. it was someone else. you are just ignorant.

the results show. i have received a gazillion PM's agreeing with me, so i dont need you idiotards. this is why you are all the 95% who dont make money. cuz you just dont know what you are talking about.

Add me on Twitter! @AnonOnAMoose
akhentek
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July 14, 2015, 06:16:33 PM
 #3213

+1 on the ignore. This is one of my favourite threads.  Thanks Luc.
bitlind
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July 14, 2015, 06:42:02 PM
 #3214

Don't PM me about next wave target estimations. I will not feed your greed. I don't know. Big. Period.

This is who you are all dickriding. Like I said, he has no idea what he is talking about.

Luc is not responding to your childishness because he has better things to do with his time. Everyone on this thread feels that way. You too know this to be true.



i didnt PM him. it was someone else. you are just ignorant.

the results show. i have received a gazillion PM's agreeing with me, so i dont need you idiotards. this is why you are all the 95% who dont make money. cuz you just dont know what you are talking about.

Just create your own thread and post in it.  There is your solution AE, no need to flame here Cheesy

StarenseN
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July 14, 2015, 07:57:37 PM
 #3215

I have never saw so bullish Lucif. Looks like he has sold his account.
Roll Eyes I do seem to recall him being similarly bullish at one point - in October 2013 just at the very start of the bubble rise to $1200.

Yeah this was pretty spot on.

I reviewed masterluc's posts in oct-dec '13 and I have to say, it was like reading a crystal ball. Here is luc calling the top on Dec 4:

I think it should reach $2k-$4k in near future in a final push, especially if it will draw a triangle now 7-14 days long.

But I don't want to take a part in further market actions. I reached all my targets, dreams and so on. And now I cashed out for 80%. Thanks China. Thanks US Senate. Thanks uncle Ben, I like your Franklins in my hands.

I think selling in wave 4 of final historical 5 is not bad. I left 20% coins for final wave.

Ah, of course thanks Satoshi and community, but I am still here =) Next entering point for me is in 2016-2017 year.

Yes, it's once in lifetime epic event. And I am happy I was participated. Such stories live in generations.

I thought the end will have more epic start. Third day in a row I wake up, see charts and ask myself "Is this the end?" and third day in a row answer is "Yes".



This was indeed a great call from him, but...

Despite all the respect I have for masterluc/lucif and the great stuff he's taking care to share with us. You should know that everybody make mistakes and, like every of us, he already made some in the past like beeing a long lasting bear between december 2012 -february 2013[1] missing a big part of the first bubble of 2013 (i.e. short between 13 to 25$ and more)

I just wanted to remember that to the person who are blindly glorifying masterluc as the "chosen one" guru. At some point you could end complaining like this guy: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=131065.msg1521185#msg1521185

And yeah it's part of the game. Do your homeworks first !!

[1] Check the 35 first pages of the first version of this thread called "yet another analyst" started by lucif/masterluc.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=131065

lebing
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July 14, 2015, 08:45:37 PM
 #3216

I have never saw so bullish Lucif. Looks like he has sold his account.
Roll Eyes I do seem to recall him being similarly bullish at one point - in October 2013 just at the very start of the bubble rise to $1200.

Yeah this was pretty spot on.

I reviewed masterluc's posts in oct-dec '13 and I have to say, it was like reading a crystal ball. Here is luc calling the top on Dec 4:

I think it should reach $2k-$4k in near future in a final push, especially if it will draw a triangle now 7-14 days long.

But I don't want to take a part in further market actions. I reached all my targets, dreams and so on. And now I cashed out for 80%. Thanks China. Thanks US Senate. Thanks uncle Ben, I like your Franklins in my hands.

I think selling in wave 4 of final historical 5 is not bad. I left 20% coins for final wave.

Ah, of course thanks Satoshi and community, but I am still here =) Next entering point for me is in 2016-2017 year.

Yes, it's once in lifetime epic event. And I am happy I was participated. Such stories live in generations.

I thought the end will have more epic start. Third day in a row I wake up, see charts and ask myself "Is this the end?" and third day in a row answer is "Yes".



This was indeed a great call from him, but...

Despite all the respect I have for masterluc/lucif and the great stuff he's taking care to share with us. You should know that everybody make mistakes and, like every of us, he already made some in the past like beeing a long lasting bear between december 2012 -february 2013[1] missing a big part of the first bubble of 2013 (i.e. short between 13 to 25$ and more)

I just wanted to remember that to the person who are blindly glorifying masterluc as the "chosen one" guru. At some point you could end complaining like this guy: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=131065.msg1521185#msg1521185

And yeah it's part of the game. Do your homeworks first !!

[1] Check the 35 first pages of the first version of this thread called "yet another analyst" started by lucif/masterluc.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=131065

You will notice that I have been there since page 1 on his first thread and I'm still here listening to this guy. In fact, I have really come around to appreciating the fact that TA works because of guys like him. Noone is right 100% of the time, nor can they be expected to be. Having a slight edge is everything in trading and IMO Luc is one of the very few that have it.

Bro, do you even blockchain?
-E Voorhees
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July 14, 2015, 09:07:38 PM
 #3217

Anyone who thinks any specific speculator on this forum is some kind of prophet and is always right is just too brainless for this game. I've seen many noobs worship someone who has made one or two good predictions on this forum, and then later on they get severely burned for blindly following their analysis to the letter. I've seen not one analyst making constant good predictions, the market is simply too unpredictable for that. What separates the good traders from the bad is good risk management and proper trade setups, not how well they can draw charts and make accurate predictions. Look at the trade simulator and see how many times people sell or buy at the wrong time, even the ones at the top make many mistakes. You just have to know when you are wrong. That said masterluc did make a few great calls in the past and he does seem to have a very keen market intuition, also I think he has grown and learned a lot since the beginning of 2013. But this doesn't mean he always is correct of course.

Bitcoin = Gold on steroids
masterluc
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July 15, 2015, 05:57:42 AM
 #3218

Wow, here is a some sort of holy war about me.

Guys, I don't  have any communications with any professional traders and trading gamblers. I didn't studied at any financial lessons, except I was long term subscriber at s3052 and waveaddict and now learning more heavy elliottwave.com subscription.

I don't understand any trader I meet as well as them don't understand me.

I am a "sofa" trader and lonely wolf and counter-social element. The only reason I post this thread - is to throw out bulk information out of my head, read it and feedbacks and then systematize it back. And repeat.

This thread helps me to keep chaos in my head under control because I read megabytes a day. I don't need power, glory, prophecy or whatever. I just want to keep clear with lots of information. I share it with you along with my fear and my greed.

Without this thread I think I'd already was dead, because last bubble informational and emotional pressure put me in deep hypertensive crisis despite I earned a lot of money.

lebing
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July 15, 2015, 06:13:43 AM
 #3219

Without this thread I think I'd already was dead, because last bubble informational and emotional pressure put me in deep hypertensive crisis despite I earned a lot of money.

Sorry to hear that Lucif. Know that you are not alone with the burden that comes with such an experience. Thanks for doing what you do.

Bro, do you even blockchain?
-E Voorhees
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July 15, 2015, 06:43:22 AM
 #3220

I am trying to learn some basics of EW theory from here:
http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:market_analysis:elliott_wave_theory
and would like to see if I am correctly interpreting the following statements.

wave 3 is invalidated if we hit a top ($370 - $600) and go down below $219 (estimate).

Wave 3 invalidated if wave 2 hit bellow start of wave 1. So it will be invalidated if Bitcoin goes below $0

If I understand correctly you are both applying Rule 1 (Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1), but at different degrees or levels. Luc is applying it at the highest level, i.e. the "Grand Supercycle," and Africoin is applying it at the next level down, i.e. the SuperCycle. One question I would have: in Africoin's analysis, wouldn't the start of wave 1 be in the 150-160 range from Jan 14, 2015? Or is it valid to place the start of Grand Supercycle Wave 3 (= the start of Super Cycle Wave 1) sometime in April-May-June 2015 even though this would be somewhere in the 210-220 range?

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