All the data is available but it would take a few days work. I did this back in the fall and bitminter was fine for a 90 day period of time. I will tell you what i will go back and do it again. I will go back to aug 2012.
Below is from aug 1 2012. I used this calculator
https://bitclockers.com/calc to get the normal number.
keep in mind 50 coins a block if you try to double-check my work until late nov.
hash power is the hash for each block made added and divided by the blocks made . so it is a good but not perfect number. I am up to aug 10th 2012 we made 61 blocks and normal would be 53.16
61 blocks made vs 53.16 is huge . 1.147 to 1 or 14.7 percent over normal then toss in the namecoins. you also need to understand that determining the true daily hash rate is not possible I don't have enough samples of hash rate my samples are when a block is found.
DATE------------------Blocks----------------Difficulty--------------Hashpower-------------- normal blocks for this
Aug 1 2012------------7-------------- 2,036,671------------------470.85Gh/s--------------------- 4.64
Aug 2 2012------------3---------------2,036,671------------------534.00Gh/s----------------------5.26
Aug 3 2012------------5---------------2,036,671------------------531.99Gh/s----------------------5.25
Aug 4 2012------------6---------------2,036,671------------------513.04Gh/s----------------------5.07
Aug 5 2012------------4---------------2,036,671------------------518.61Gh/s----------------------5.11
Aug 6 2012------------3---------------2,036,671------------------552.93Gh/s----------------------5.46
Aug 7 2012------------5---------------2,036,671------------------536.80Gh/s----------------------5.30
Aug 8 2012------------8---------------2,036,671------------------540.74Gh/s----------------------5.34
Aug 9 2012------------9---------------2,036,671------------------557.76Gh/s----------------------5.51
Aug 10 2012-----------11--------------2,036,671------------------633.70Gh/s----------------------6.26
This method has a flaw the hash rate of bitminter is found by using the hashpower when a block was made. so if it was a bad day and 3 blocks were made only 3 samples of hash rate were used to find the daily hashrate. So the hash rate could be higher and the luck is worse but more likely the average hash rate is lower . reason is if bitminter goes down and hash rate is 0 for 1 hour no block will be made. So my hash rate average is missing all down time. BTW I believe that is true when you look at bitminter's luck charts. In order to be really accurate 4 samples of hashrate every hour would be far better to know the true daily hashrate. A total of 96 samples a day.
I think the doctors luck chart is wrong and always reads low for the same reason. He uses the current hashrate when the block is found. Thus the luck is calculated with all down time missing. So in a 24 hour day if the system is down 1 hour luck will be based on 24 hours up time. The only way to really figure out luck is for some one to write a script that gives us 4 samples(even 10 per hour) of bitminter every hour of every day for the next month. I would be certain that the average hashrate with those numbers will be 3 to 5% less then the hash rate used by counting it only when a block is minted.
