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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 941576 times)
fonzie
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February 14, 2014, 01:14:44 AM
 #1341


uuhh, that looks nasty.

Thanks for sharing.

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February 14, 2014, 05:27:06 AM
 #1342


Mt Gox is no longer a good metric for bitcoin price IMHO.  That said it is not meaningless.  Gox still matters, and it might just drag us down with itself.
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February 14, 2014, 09:34:10 AM
 #1343


Mt Gox is no longer a good metric for bitcoin price IMHO.  That said it is not meaningless.  Gox still matters, and it might just drag us down with itself.
so complaining only on the down side ?

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
oda.krell
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February 14, 2014, 11:13:04 AM
 #1344


Mt Gox is no longer a good metric for bitcoin price IMHO.  That said it is not meaningless.  Gox still matters, and it might just drag us down with itself.
so complaining only on the down side ?

No. Your point is valid, but using mtgox data as your main reference for current btc price is beyond silly. Unless you trade on gox. In which case: good luck :)

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February 14, 2014, 12:19:16 PM
 #1345



shameless self quote and /bump

Yes, using weekly for bollinger makes the most sense in bitcoin  Roll Eyes

Looking at daily, which do you think might be more relavent? http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/bitstampUSD#rg180zigDailyztgSzbgBza1gSMAzm1g200za2gSMAzm2g20zv

Bro, do you even blockchain?
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myself
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February 14, 2014, 12:40:54 PM
 #1346


No. Your point is valid, but using mtgox data as your main reference for current btc price is beyond silly. Unless you trade on gox. In which case: good luck Smiley

this is a new extreme https://i.imgur.com/R3Us5pq.jpg  but nothing new

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
myself
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February 14, 2014, 12:42:14 PM
 #1347



shameless self quote and /bump

Yes, using weekly for bollinger makes the most sense in bitcoin  Roll Eyes


i think u have some problems, go to a medic your eyes deceive you

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
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February 14, 2014, 05:15:34 PM
 #1348

According to ADX and SAR here may be some rebound.

btce and mtgox pictures are too scary to show to bulls.

Also sma200 wasn't touched yet on bitstamp. I'm surprised (more downside?).


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February 14, 2014, 05:18:51 PM
 #1349


Mt Gox is no longer a good metric for bitcoin price IMHO.  That said it is not meaningless.  Gox still matters, and it might just drag us down with itself.
so complaining only on the down side ?

Not in the least.  I think Gox has been relatively invalid for quite a while.  But it is currently like another planet with its own economy reflected by the sentiment that it may be insolvent. Things ARE different now.
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February 14, 2014, 06:30:15 PM
 #1350

Emergency warning to S3052 subscribers. Today I got email with their full credentials

Quote
"Adam has shared a secure document with you via CloudDock.
>
> A special report about what is really going on behind the scenes at MtGox
> and Bitstamp, and what it will mean for the short and long term price.
> Provided to you as part of your DigitalCurrencyResearch.com (Bitcoin
> BullBear) membership.
>
> [image: Document] Inside Details Behind
> MtGox/Bitstamp<
> xttps://authiy.com/gp/?token=764dee088ab3f82410458602248d71c6 [DO NOT CLICK[
>

File was already removed from this site, but it can be a trojan or something like that.

When I compared this email with their previous email headers, I found them both very similar. So I made conclusion that at least S3052 admin panel was compromised and attacker has ability to send arbitrary updates to their subscribers directly from S3052 server with valid DKIM signatures and so on.

JustAnotherSheep
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February 16, 2014, 01:48:22 AM
 #1351

I find the lack of triangles in this thread disturbing Grin



When last a continuation pattern appeared after a major drop ($1.2K to $570) it turned out to be false and broke to the upside. However, this one seems to have a clear bearish bias. Hell if you compensate for the first drop a bit it becomes a descending triangle.

Based on my noobish TA then this means Gox is dropping even lower very soon. Interested to see how it plays out, and how low it's gonna go.

Is it a bull? Is it a bear? No, it's just another sheep.
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February 16, 2014, 03:01:17 PM
 #1352

Just broke $266, which was the high of wave 3. This is significant for psychological reasons

And yet, in my estimation, and the coming mean-reversion bounces notwithstanding, the bear market in Bitcoin is just getting started
masterluc (OP)
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February 16, 2014, 03:23:19 PM
 #1353

266 was broken on btce and mtgox. More than obvious overlap

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February 16, 2014, 03:24:15 PM
 #1354

Just broke $266, which was the high of wave 3. This is significant for psychological reasons

And yet, in my estimation, and the coming mean-reversion bounces notwithstanding, the bear market in Bitcoin is just getting started

Yeah but BTC-e broke it days ago.

Also Gox went to near-zero in the past.

Today is a reflection of Gox the company - everyone knows that (hopefully).

In a sense we are watching a company going bankrupt minute by minute; under normal circumstances not many people could watch such a situation unfold in such painful detail. But this is being broadcast live to the world!

You copy and paste from the other thread; I follow.

                                                                               
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.◆ ◆ ◆ ONE TOKEN TO MOVE ANYTHING ANYWHERE ◆ ◆ ◆.
▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁
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February 16, 2014, 03:37:28 PM
 #1355

266 was broken on btce and mtgox. More than obvious overlap
Good point. Do we know that it was NOT the result of a liquidation (I heard btc-e offers leverage) or a hacked account? I would take it much more seriously then.
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February 16, 2014, 03:38:39 PM
 #1356

266 was broken on btce and mtgox. More than obvious overlap
Good point. Do we know that it was NOT the result of a liquidation (I heard btc-e offers leverage) or a hacked account? I would take it much more seriously then.

Just looking at the chart tells you that was a freak straight off!

                                                                               
███████████████▄▄▄                     ▄█▄     ▀█████▄                     ▄█████▀
████████████████████▄                ▄█████▄     ▀█████▄                 ▄█████▀
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.◆ ◆ ◆ ONE TOKEN TO MOVE ANYTHING ANYWHERE ◆ ◆ ◆.
▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁
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February 16, 2014, 03:42:03 PM
 #1357

266 was broken on btce and mtgox. More than obvious overlap
Good point. Do we know that it was NOT the result of a liquidation (I heard btc-e offers leverage) or a hacked account? I would take it much more seriously then.

Just looking at the chart tells you that was a freak straight off!
Still doesn't tell me whether it was a "voluntary" = conscious sell or not.
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February 16, 2014, 03:50:44 PM
 #1358

266 was broken on btce and mtgox. More than obvious overlap
Good point. Do we know that it was NOT the result of a liquidation (I heard btc-e offers leverage) or a hacked account? I would take it much more seriously then.

I think it was a cascade of forced liquidation trough the MT4 platform.
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February 16, 2014, 04:55:47 PM
 #1359

Just broke $266, which was the high of wave 3. This is significant for psychological reasons

And yet, in my estimation, and the coming mean-reversion bounces notwithstanding, the bear market in Bitcoin is just getting started

Quote from: masterluc
266 was broken on btce and mtgox. More than obvious overlap

Official bears taking the Gox price and a forced liquidation price in a illiquid market seriously. You can't get more contrarian signs than that.
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February 17, 2014, 01:20:37 PM
 #1360

Just broke $266, which was the high of wave 3. This is significant for psychological reasons

And yet, in my estimation, and the coming mean-reversion bounces notwithstanding, the bear market in Bitcoin is just getting started

Quote from: masterluc
266 was broken on btce and mtgox. More than obvious overlap

Official bears taking the Gox price and a forced liquidation price in a illiquid market seriously. You can't get more contrarian signs than that.

+1
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