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Author Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation  (Read 3313089 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (2 posts by 1+ user deleted.)
americanpegasus
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August 05, 2015, 08:27:44 PM
 #7581

Honestly, anything under $2.00 is ridiculously cheap....

I'll sell you some XMR at $1.99. How many do you want ?
 
 
I'll pay you 2 cents per 10 Monero for an option to buy Monero from you at $1.99 until December 31st, 2017. 
 
What do you think about that?

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s1gs3gv
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August 05, 2015, 08:31:51 PM
 #7582

You sound like a gambling man to me ~LOL~
luigi1111
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August 05, 2015, 08:54:07 PM
Last edit: August 05, 2015, 10:06:41 PM by luigi1111
 #7583

Honestly, anything under $2.00 is ridiculously cheap....

I'll sell you some XMR at $1.99. How many do you want ?
 
  
I'll pay you 2 cents per 10 Monero for an option to buy Monero from you at $1.99 until December 31st, 2017.  
  
What do you think about that?

Hmm, that seems a bit (a truly monstrous amount) under the money.

You could buy such an option on 10k XMR for only $20.

A call for 879 days away at 100% volatility should go for about 18 cents. On ten XMR, that'd be $1.80, so only 90x more than your proposal!

(Would anyone actually sell options at less than 100%?)

Edited for clarity.
americanpegasus
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August 05, 2015, 09:10:33 PM
 #7584

I understood everything you said except the part about the 100% volume.   
 
Can you please elaborate on that?  I have a fair knowledge of options but I'm not an expert.

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s1gs3gv
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August 05, 2015, 10:38:20 PM
 #7585

I understood everything you said except the part about the 100% volume.  
  
Can you please elaborate on that?  I have a fair knowledge of options but I'm not an expert.

100% sounds low but I'm not an expert either, however:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black–Scholes_model
hodlmybtc
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August 06, 2015, 03:45:36 AM
 #7586

Me and an other guy on Poloniex put up a wall at 0.0022, minutes later:



Fasten your seatbelt guys!
aminorex
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August 06, 2015, 03:50:39 AM
 #7587

So now we know that 22 is irresistible.  Try 24, see if that is irresistible as well - I double dog dare you.

Give a man a fish and he eats for a day.  Give a man a Poisson distribution and he eats at random times independent of one another, at a constant known rate.
americanpegasus
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August 06, 2015, 04:20:24 AM
 #7588

Lol, whale games.

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Bavaria
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August 06, 2015, 10:15:19 AM
 #7589

Lol, whale games.

Whale show has begun?  Cheesy
saddambitcoin
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August 06, 2015, 10:57:19 AM
 #7590

I think we'll see lots of big buys in this range, as 0.0025-0.003 is where a lot of people (or a few people with lots of XMR) dumped on the way down from 0.0043 in April.

Now that the XMR show is taking off, do you think they'll be content waiting on the sidelines thinking about what could have been?

hodlmybtc
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August 06, 2015, 10:58:44 AM
 #7591

Some nice buying and volume going on, currently at resistance so there's a good chance to buy lower the coming days, nothing is guaranteed ofcourse Grin

Next resistance around 0.00268.

whap
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August 06, 2015, 11:59:13 AM
 #7592

I expected a small retrace for today and now got left behind with a ragged BTC bag, merde! This shows that BTC is quietly running out of fuel, if there's no significant move up today or tomorrow i predict a boring squeeze into more sideways- or even downmovement to test the previous lows.

TA aside, XMR's increasing position as a hedge to BTC grows into an important factor, there are obvious indicators that i'm not the only one with this mindset. This could even further push the price up if people realize the huge upside potential of XMR.
rpietila
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August 06, 2015, 12:09:22 PM
 #7593

XMR does not historically like the 200-300 range...

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August 06, 2015, 12:31:52 PM
 #7594

So now we know that 22 is irresistible.  Try 24, see if that is irresistible as well - I double dog dare you.

I tried 24 and it was good...so good.

aminorex
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August 06, 2015, 12:32:00 PM
Last edit: August 06, 2015, 01:06:33 PM by aminorex
 #7595

24 was irresistable too.

While traders and hedgers tend to think in terms of btc (cost basis), miners (suppliers) tend to think in terms of local fiat (cost basis).  USD 0.1 and 0.05 increments are psychological levels, probably.  If there are mining hoards in weakish hands the recent 40% rise should coax them out of hiding. If such hoards are depleted, this ramp could run for quite a while.

Amusing: btc is more stable than climbing USD, over the past few months.  Obviously a superior reserve currency Grin

Aside: I am long wheat futures for a nice swing.  Watching oil and gold for capitulation Real Soon Now. When that happens I expect to short EURNOK again.

Give a man a fish and he eats for a day.  Give a man a Poisson distribution and he eats at random times independent of one another, at a constant known rate.
whap
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August 06, 2015, 12:32:22 PM
 #7596

XMR does not historically like the 200-300 range...

Bloodletting historically was considered to be a cure to diseases, now we know how wrong this idea was. But i guess you are pointing at something....
dreamspark
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August 06, 2015, 12:38:43 PM
 #7597

0.0024 is resistance from he beginning of June, its not shown but I seem to remember it being a support area back when we dropped off the ath's. Either way a very interesting price zone.
rangedriver
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August 06, 2015, 02:06:51 PM
 #7598

Funny how all the trolls disappear when the price is going up...
medusa13
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August 06, 2015, 02:58:35 PM
 #7599



situation allready getting hot. do we need to cool off or is there room for more? volume slowly kicking in, btc moves slow these days, what we see now are just the front runners of this up move Grin

1w macd is green now, dont know if i am ready for fireworks yet, but when is one ready for this anyway Smiley

take care people

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MilkyLep
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August 06, 2015, 03:00:22 PM
 #7600

Waiting for a dip. Surely some whale wants to make a statement and dump 50-100k XMR right? Just let me know when and you can have my BTC.

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