Bitcoin Forum
December 03, 2024, 12:16:06 AM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 28.0 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Pages: « 1 ... 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 370 371 372 373 [374] 375 376 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 418 419 420 421 422 423 424 ... 2192 »
  Print  
Author Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation  (Read 3313089 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (2 posts by 1+ user deleted.)
TrueCryptonaire
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000



View Profile
August 03, 2015, 07:55:13 PM
 #7461

kenji's mental breakdown post was removed

He needs to book an appointment from http://dr.mindsci.com/
This guy is one of Monero Merchants.  Grin
Melbustus
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1722
Merit: 1004



View Profile
August 03, 2015, 10:03:25 PM
 #7462

I used to think some variant of Peter R's theory made the most sense. What I could never quite reconcile, though, was that there was no blockchain trail of stolen coins in 2011. So I figured that maybe the 2011 hack involved the hackers copying a bunch of code, finding exploits a while later (or having installed a backdoor), and then slowly bleeding Gox in relatively small amounts over the years.

One easy way to reconcile this is that the coins were not stolen but just lost: private keys erased with no usable backup, either by a hacker (vandalism) or by Karpeles himself (error).


Yeah - certainly possible.



Quote
But honestly, reading that Ashley Barr thread makes me think that the whole thing more likely has a far simpler explanation; ie, Karpeles just spent a few million of the fiat deposits that came into the bank account (which was his personal account(!)) frivolously, while crediting traders with BTC. Given prices at the time (mid-2011 through 2012), it would only have taken <$5m in lavish "corporate" spending to run up ~550,000BTC in liabilities. Unfortunately there's a long history of startups proving that it's not hard to blow a few million bucks on dumb stuff.

In general terms the idea he spent the money is plausible but the low level specifics don't work. He would have had to credit them with phoney fiat, not BTC. Without some other fraud, this would not affect the balance of BTC on the exchange.


Why couldn't he just have created fake BTC sell orders and let 'em get filled, thereby effectively crediting traders with positive BTC balances (comprised of bitcoin that never existed)? ....all the while spending the fiat out of the personal/corporate bank account?

Quote from: JapanTimes
Karpeles is suspected of manipulating data on the exchange’s computer system in 2013 to artificially create about $1 million in bitcoins.
http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2015/08/03/national/crime-legal/mtgox-ceo-admits-tweaking-account-faces-fresh-claim-misusing-8-9-million-deposits/#.Vb_kJnVGjUb

...some convoluted way to spend fiat while trying to make the books balance?


Bitcoin is the first monetary system to credibly offer perfect information to all economic participants.
smooth (OP)
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198



View Profile
August 03, 2015, 10:19:20 PM
 #7463

general terms the idea he spent the money is plausible but the low level specifics don't work. He would have had to credit them with phoney fiat, not BTC. Without some other fraud, this would not affect the balance of BTC on the exchange.


Why couldn't he just have created fake BTC sell orders and let 'em get filled, thereby effectively crediting traders with positive BTC balances (comprised of bitcoin that never existed)? ....all the while spending the fiat out of the personal/corporate bank account?

Sure he could have created fake BTC, but that would be another part of the "low level specifics" that would have to be added tp the story. Just spending the fiat on lots of overpriced coffee drinks wouldn't be enough to make the theory work.

In theory if this is the case you would be able to see fake BTC being created somewhere, not just fiat being spent out of his personal bank account, but of course we know that the records and systems being used there were a mess, so easier said than done (maybe not even possible).
smooth (OP)
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198



View Profile
August 04, 2015, 01:06:55 AM
 #7464

With all this Gox talk I think it's time haul out some amusing pictures.

Maybe, but not here

The discussion about MtGox is mostly off topic (although I think it started as a comment about the direction of the Monero and Bitcoin markets) but at least there was some substance to it.

Anyway, let's get back to "Monero Speculation"


s1gs3gv
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1316
Merit: 1014

ex uno plures


View Profile WWW
August 04, 2015, 01:33:10 AM
 #7465

Speaking of Monero speculation, there doesn't seem to be a lot of speculation in Monero … just a nice steady coin with a thoughtful and focused development team with their eyes on the prize - private transactions and fungability. When the approaching 'Great Deflation' in crypto occurs, I predict Monero will be one of the last coins standing.

But I am just speculating …
americanpegasus
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 770
Merit: 504



View Profile
August 04, 2015, 01:35:17 AM
 #7466

Bringing it back full circle I would say that all cryptocurrency exchanges, including our beloved Polo need to develop a "code of conduct" which includes such things as maintaining a certain % of funds in offline cold wallets, having separate business accounts for the exchange itself, and promising total and immediate transparency if any Hacks ever occur. 
 
This way a cryptocurrency exchange could simply say, "We are Crypto Trade Compliant" and you would know they met minimum standards for behavior. 

Account is back under control of the real AmericanPegasus.
hodlmybtc
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 700
Merit: 500



View Profile WWW
August 04, 2015, 01:37:09 AM
 #7467

Got some bids filled around 0.00212

Hourly hidden bull divs:


4H with hidden bull div:
s1gs3gv
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1316
Merit: 1014

ex uno plures


View Profile WWW
August 04, 2015, 01:37:28 AM
 #7468

Bringing it back full circle I would say that all cryptocurrency exchanges, including our beloved Polo need to develop a "code of conduct" which includes such things as maintaining a certain % of funds in offline cold wallets, having separate business accounts for the exchange itself, and promising total and immediate transparency if any Hacks ever occur.  
  
This way a cryptocurrency exchange could simply say, "We are Crypto Trade Compliant" and you would know they met minimum standards for behavior.  

Claims and promises are worthless without an audit process by trusted 3rd parties. Are trusted 3rd parties relevant or possible in a decentralized trust-less economic system ?
americanpegasus
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 770
Merit: 504



View Profile
August 04, 2015, 01:39:18 AM
 #7469

Speaking of Monero speculation, there doesn't seem to be a lot of speculation in Monero … just a nice steady coin with a thoughtful and focused development team with their eyes on the prize - private transactions and fungability. When the approaching 'Great Deflation' in crypto occurs, I predict Monero will be one of the last coins standing..

But I am just speculating …
 
  
Looking at the all time price chart the other day I realized that no one has really made any money on Monero yet...  Well, not crazy 10x or 100x money.  As fluffy has said, the primary motivation for this is to be a currency, not get rich, but if we are lucky enough to be the premier private global ledger then we will need to be "inflated" enough to be able to send a billion dollars or two across the blockchain without any severe volatility occurring from someone buying in or selling out.  
  
That can only mean one thing, and the greedy human in me likes it.  The philanthropist is keeping him on a tight leash though, and thinking of things like Job Centers for the homeless and pay-what-you-want restaurants.

Account is back under control of the real AmericanPegasus.
jehst
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 798
Merit: 1000

21 million. I want them all.


View Profile
August 04, 2015, 01:40:23 AM
 #7470

I can't trade on Polo because I'm a New York resident and we have until Aug. 8th to get out of Polo. Funny thing is that the guy who owns Polo is also from New York. Shapeshift also blocks NY users but that's easily circumvented.

Year 2021
Bitcoin Supply: ~90% mined
Supply Inflation: <1.8%
vokain
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1834
Merit: 1019



View Profile WWW
August 04, 2015, 01:43:54 AM
 #7471

Speaking of Monero speculation, there doesn't seem to be a lot of speculation in Monero … just a nice steady coin with a thoughtful and focused development team with their eyes on the prize - private transactions and fungability. When the approaching 'Great Deflation' in crypto occurs, I predict Monero will be one of the last coins standing..

But I am just speculating …
 
  
Looking at the all time price chart the other day I realized that no one has really made any money on Monero yet...  Well, not crazy 10x or 100x money.  As fluffy has said, the primary motivation for this is to be a currency, not get rich, but if we are lucky enough to be the premier private global ledger then we will need to be "inflated" enough to be able to send a billion dollars or two across the blockchain without any severe volatility occurring from someone buying in or selling out.  
  
That can only mean one thing, and the greedy human in me likes it.  The philanthropist is keeping him on a tight leash though, and thinking of things like Job Centers for the homeless and pay-what-you-want restaurants.

Early miners?
smooth (OP)
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198



View Profile
August 04, 2015, 01:52:02 AM
 #7472

Speaking of Monero speculation, there doesn't seem to be a lot of speculation in Monero … just a nice steady coin with a thoughtful and focused development team with their eyes on the prize - private transactions and fungability. When the approaching 'Great Deflation' in crypto occurs, I predict Monero will be one of the last coins standing..

But I am just speculating …
 
 
Looking at the all time price chart the other day I realized that no one has really made any money on Monero yet...  Well, not crazy 10x or 100x money.  As fluffy has said, the primary motivation for this is to be a currency, not get rich, but if we are lucky enough to be the premier private global ledger then we will need to be "inflated" enough to be able to send a billion dollars or two across the blockchain without any severe volatility occurring from someone buying in or selling out.   
 
That can only mean one thing, and the greedy human in me likes it.  The philanthropist is keeping him on a tight leash though, and thinking of things like Job Centers for the homeless and pay-what-you-want restaurants.

Early miners?

Very early miners made some (I was one of them), and some very early buyers too, but the price and hash rate of the coin skyrocketed pretty fast, so both were short-lived opportunities and didn't involve that many coins.

Within two weeks of launch it already traded at 0.0017 BTC, and BTC was more like 500 USD, making that a loss today (and for most of the history) in USD terms. (old OTC thread)

dga and his miner optimizing effort made about 100-200K USD, I think (I'm not sure he's ever said how much they made exactly but that was the impression I got).

If you traded on the swings well you could have made a bit of money, especially on the Mintpal pump up to 0.01.

But it is true that no BIG money has been made on this coin yet.

CryptoSporidium
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 405
Merit: 250


View Profile
August 04, 2015, 02:59:17 AM
 #7473

How important is crypto kingdom to future success of Monero?
jehst
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 798
Merit: 1000

21 million. I want them all.


View Profile
August 04, 2015, 03:14:32 AM
 #7474

How important is crypto kingdom to future success of Monero?

XMR is virtually the only coin besides bitcoin with any non-speculative use. XMR can do well without Crypto Kingdom, but CK helps to distinguish it from other coins and it may be the reason that XMR will pull ahead of the pack.

Year 2021
Bitcoin Supply: ~90% mined
Supply Inflation: <1.8%
kenji
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 448
Merit: 255



View Profile
August 04, 2015, 03:38:08 AM
 #7475

crypto kingdom is like the silkroud for monero Cheesy
wpalczynski
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000



View Profile
August 04, 2015, 04:28:20 AM
 #7476

crypto kingdom is like the silkroud for monero Cheesy

Not quite.

dreamspark
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 798
Merit: 1000


View Profile
August 04, 2015, 12:41:58 PM
 #7477

Speaking of Monero speculation, there doesn't seem to be a lot of speculation in Monero … just a nice steady coin with a thoughtful and focused development team with their eyes on the prize - private transactions and fungability. When the approaching 'Great Deflation' in crypto occurs, I predict Monero will be one of the last coins standing..

But I am just speculating …
 
 
Looking at the all time price chart the other day I realized that no one has really made any money on Monero yet...  Well, not crazy 10x or 100x money.  As fluffy has said, the primary motivation for this is to be a currency, not get rich, but if we are lucky enough to be the premier private global ledger then we will need to be "inflated" enough to be able to send a billion dollars or two across the blockchain without any severe volatility occurring from someone buying in or selling out.   
 
That can only mean one thing, and the greedy human in me likes it.  The philanthropist is keeping him on a tight leash though, and thinking of things like Job Centers for the homeless and pay-what-you-want restaurants.

Early miners?

Very early miners made some (I was one of them), and some very early buyers too, but the price and hash rate of the coin skyrocketed pretty fast, so both were short-lived opportunities and didn't involve that many coins.

Within two weeks of launch it already traded at 0.0017 BTC, and BTC was more like 500 USD, making that a loss today (and for most of the history) in USD terms. (old OTC thread)

dga and his miner optimizing effort made about 100-200K USD, I think (I'm not sure he's ever said how much they made exactly but that was the impression I got).

If you traded on the swings well you could have made a bit of money, especially on the Mintpal pump up to 0.01.

But it is true that no BIG money has been made on this coin yet.



Yes and no. As an early miner on ec2 I certainly made good money. At one point one of the miners had over half the hashrate and a quarter of a mil ec2 bill. The same miner also sold me 30k+ coins at 0.0008 when cryptonote exchange dipped that low. Playing the several swings from 0.001-0.002 that we had plus offloading a nice amount during the mintpal pump has certainly made it a profitable coin to say the least. Big money as in millions ? Probably not. Big money as in 10's or 100's of thousands. Sure. Also depends on if you held btc or cashed out to fiat. 30k coins at 0.0008 to 0.008-0.01 was approx 24btc - 200+btc. Selling that profit at $500 per btc = $100,000.
jehst
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 798
Merit: 1000

21 million. I want them all.


View Profile
August 04, 2015, 12:53:10 PM
 #7478

Speaking of Monero speculation, there doesn't seem to be a lot of speculation in Monero … just a nice steady coin with a thoughtful and focused development team with their eyes on the prize - private transactions and fungability. When the approaching 'Great Deflation' in crypto occurs, I predict Monero will be one of the last coins standing..

But I am just speculating …
 
  
Looking at the all time price chart the other day I realized that no one has really made any money on Monero yet...  Well, not crazy 10x or 100x money.  As fluffy has said, the primary motivation for this is to be a currency, not get rich, but if we are lucky enough to be the premier private global ledger then we will need to be "inflated" enough to be able to send a billion dollars or two across the blockchain without any severe volatility occurring from someone buying in or selling out.  
  
That can only mean one thing, and the greedy human in me likes it.  The philanthropist is keeping him on a tight leash though, and thinking of things like Job Centers for the homeless and pay-what-you-want restaurants.

Early miners?

Very early miners made some (I was one of them), and some very early buyers too, but the price and hash rate of the coin skyrocketed pretty fast, so both were short-lived opportunities and didn't involve that many coins.

Within two weeks of launch it already traded at 0.0017 BTC, and BTC was more like 500 USD, making that a loss today (and for most of the history) in USD terms. (old OTC thread)

dga and his miner optimizing effort made about 100-200K USD, I think (I'm not sure he's ever said how much they made exactly but that was the impression I got).

If you traded on the swings well you could have made a bit of money, especially on the Mintpal pump up to 0.01.

But it is true that no BIG money has been made on this coin yet.



Yes and no. As an early miner on ec2 I certainly made good money. At one point one of the miners had over half the hashrate and a quarter of a mil ec2 bill. The same miner also sold me 30k+ coins at 0.0008 when cryptonote exchange dipped that low. Playing the several swings from 0.001-0.002 that we had plus offloading a nice amount during the mintpal pump has certainly made it a profitable coin to say the least. Big money as in millions ? Probably not. Big money as in 10's or 100's of thousands. Sure. Also depends on if you held btc or cashed out to fiat. 30k coins at 0.0008 to 0.008-0.01 was approx 24btc - 200+btc. Selling that profit at $500 per btc = $100,000.

The post that you're quoting already acknowledges that people have made up to 100-200k. He's simply not considering that to be BIG money.

Year 2021
Bitcoin Supply: ~90% mined
Supply Inflation: <1.8%
binaryFate
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1512
Merit: 1012


Still wild and free


View Profile
August 04, 2015, 01:12:22 PM
 #7479

The post that you're quoting already acknowledges that people have made up to 100-200k. He's simply not considering that to be BIG money.

There cannot be many people in the same ballpark as dga, because he controlled for a few weeks a good half of the network. Dga's profits are most likely by far an upper bound.

Monero's privacy and therefore fungibility are MUCH stronger than Bitcoin's. 
This makes Monero a better candidate to deserve the term "digital cash".
jehst
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 798
Merit: 1000

21 million. I want them all.


View Profile
August 04, 2015, 01:14:40 PM
 #7480

The post that you're quoting already acknowledges that people have made up to 100-200k. He's simply not considering that to be BIG money.

There cannot be many people in the same ballpark as dga, because he controlled for a few weeks a good half of the network. Dga's profits are most likely by far an upper bound.


Correct.

Year 2021
Bitcoin Supply: ~90% mined
Supply Inflation: <1.8%
Pages: « 1 ... 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 370 371 372 373 [374] 375 376 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 418 419 420 421 422 423 424 ... 2192 »
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!