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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 921547 times)
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March 11, 2015, 01:34:17 PM
 #2641

Channel needs to break on logarithmic chart too I think.

When will that be ?

By the way, I think it's very uncool you have taken the names of one of Bitcoins greatest heroes who has passed away. Have some respect man.

I don't think it's disrespectful. He's clearly not impersonating.

Too soon?

Yeah. Very poor taste. But sorry for going off topic. This is a great thread.
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Xiaoxiao
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March 11, 2015, 04:26:12 PM
 #2642

It looks like the price of BTC is about to explode for a good $100....
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March 11, 2015, 05:08:27 PM
 #2643

Channel needs to break on logarithmic chart too I think.

When will that be ?

By the way, I think it's very uncool you have taken the names of one of Bitcoins greatest heroes who has passed away. Have some respect man.

I have immense respect for Hal Finney.  My username is a homage to the hope that he is still truly alive, just stored in cold storage, to be reawakened in the future when technology allows.

I also think it would be the greatest story ever if he also has a brainwallet controlling a bunch of bitcoins.  The only way he could store his property through death, into new life.  Bitcoin would sure be the ultimate store of value in that case, wouldnt it! Smiley
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March 11, 2015, 05:44:54 PM
 #2644

It looks like the price of BTC is about to explode for a good $100....

Any way to show us what lead you to this conclusion?


Channel needs to break on logarithmic chart too I think.

When will that be ?

By the way, I think it's very uncool you have taken the names of one of Bitcoins greatest heroes who has passed away. Have some respect man.

I have immense respect for Hal Finney.  My username is a homage to the hope that he is still truly alive, just stored in cold storage, to be reawakened in the future when technology allows.

I also think it would be the greatest story ever if he also has a brainwallet controlling a bunch of bitcoins.  The only way he could store his property through death, into new life.  Bitcoin would sure be the ultimate store of value in that case, wouldnt it! Smiley


Please refrain from clogging the Masters thread with anything not analasys, please. That being said, I want some of what you are smoking.
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March 13, 2015, 09:44:09 AM
 #2645

First medium strength resistance - weekly sma20



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March 13, 2015, 10:12:00 AM
 #2646

First medium strength resistance - weekly sma20




I went short @ 291, it seems like the bear market will continue for the next weeks to month.

What do you think, am I playing with fire here?  I plan on seeing what happens if/when it hits 275...
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March 13, 2015, 10:18:56 AM
 #2647

Daily ADX and SS suggest at least correction.


masterluc
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March 13, 2015, 10:30:36 AM
 #2648

But I will be surprised if 310 high will not be broken

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March 13, 2015, 10:38:57 AM
 #2649

But I will be surprised if 310 high will not be broken

What kind of time frame are we talking about here?
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March 13, 2015, 10:43:41 AM
 #2650

Two weeks. Great chance of getting bearish hidden divergence





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March 13, 2015, 02:14:29 PM
 #2651

Why do you use stamp to at? Bitfinex or btcchina is not better now to at?
Bitstamp last days chart looks pretty different than chinese markets and finex.
Btw. great thread, I'll watch. Good luck.
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March 13, 2015, 02:46:12 PM
 #2652

notify/watch not working for me..

thanks for thread  Wink

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March 13, 2015, 07:03:50 PM
 #2653

Why do you use stamp to at? Bitfinex or btcchina is not better now to at?
Bitstamp last days chart looks pretty different than chinese markets and finex.
Btw. great thread, I'll watch. Good luck.
The market is connected, exchanges follow each other, arbitrage and create an inter-exchange dynamic which is reflected in every exchange. Analysis on only one (in this case Bitstamp) will still yield signals/patterns for the rest of them, particularly on larger timescales which is luc's range.

On lower scales, however, individual exchanges may behave slightly differently, and sometimes a decision for sudden change in movement is clearly triggered in one, usually one with highest volume, which is then followed by the rest (or sometimes not). But over time the small differences even out, so the longer term picture is similar across the board.

Besides, luc probably trades on stamp and old habits are hard to break Grin

Is it a bull? Is it a bear? No, it's just another sheep.
masterluc
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March 15, 2015, 03:06:05 AM
Last edit: March 15, 2015, 03:33:56 AM by masterluc
 #2654

I had VERY FUCKING NEGATIVE expirence trading with bfx for almost year. I don't have idea who is iFinex Inc and why do they still beta after two years.

And I am not Chinese to trade at btcchina. Don't ask dumb questions.

Also I don't see any significant difference between those 3 exchanges graphs.

As for situation report. WARNING! Hidden bearish divergences I mentioned above are doomed to be unless miracle. This doesn't mean daily sma200 can't be retested. But price should break 470 high almost immediately for good bullish scenario.

Taking into account daily picture, I look at weekly chart and unfortunately observe rising odds that bullish bounce will terminate at weekly sma20.

TLDR: this may be a bull trap.

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March 15, 2015, 03:41:37 AM
 #2655

Luc- Do you see the current correction continuing to as low as $270? or maybe even $250 ?
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March 17, 2015, 11:07:22 PM
 #2656

Daily hidden bearish macd/rsi divergence formed, warning active.

Rising bullish signal to 450 lower high break up.

Strong bearish prediction if price touch 208 low.

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March 17, 2015, 11:35:23 PM
 #2657

Daily hidden bearish macd/rsi divergence formed, warning active.

Rising bullish signal to 450 lower high break up.

Strong bearish prediction if price touch 208 low.

uh-oh... 

Are you with tim west for the bearish target?

https://www.tradingview.com/v/iWXmzaeG/
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March 18, 2015, 12:00:12 AM
 #2658

Somewhere around 100 if price will touch 208 again.

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March 18, 2015, 12:38:46 AM
 #2659

Somewhere around 100 if price will touch 208 again.

Lol. Shorts everywhere. Grin
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March 18, 2015, 12:49:49 AM
 #2660

Luc- what happened to your confident assessment that it will hit at least 310-400 or whatever. 

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