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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 941360 times)
poncho32
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January 15, 2015, 04:57:39 PM
 #2421

It's not only bitcoin that's seen carnage this week then. It's a reminder that fiat can be extremely volatile too.
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silverfuture
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January 15, 2015, 05:12:47 PM
 #2422

It's not only bitcoin that's seen carnage this week then. It's a reminder that fiat can be extremely volatile too.

Stability is a myth in a volatile universe.

http://nakamotoinstitute.org/mempool/bitcoin-as-a-store-of-value-unit-of-account-and-medium-of-exchange/

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lebing
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January 15, 2015, 06:05:16 PM
 #2423



They just completely fucked over their export business.
no they dint also is irrelevant is all about imports

tell that to swatch.


made in china?

They are all swiss made and have been since 1983. They use some components from asia, but its all assembled in CH.

That's just one example. It's naive to say that the swiss have no exports. Without exports their economy shrinks by more than half.
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/switzerland/exports-of-goods-and-services-percent-of-gdp-wb-data.html

Bro, do you even blockchain?
-E Voorhees
SmoothCurves
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January 15, 2015, 06:10:35 PM
 #2424

Found this chart today:

----

TARGET CORRECTION/UPDATE

using a semilog chart the target for wave 5 is about USD 28,000
semilog is more suited to bitcoin market behavior rather than using arithmetic scale


https://www.tradingview.com/v/dHbn7XZ4/

RyNinDaCleM
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January 15, 2015, 06:22:37 PM
 #2425

Found this chart today:

----

TARGET CORRECTION/UPDATE

using a semilog chart the target for wave 5 is about USD 28,000
semilog is more suited to bitcoin market behavior rather than using arithmetic scale


https://www.tradingview.com/v/dHbn7XZ4/



Yet another chart that ignores Bitcoin price history before 2013  Roll Eyes

Tzupy
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January 15, 2015, 09:07:59 PM
 #2426

Found this chart today:

----

TARGET CORRECTION/UPDATE

using a semilog chart the target for wave 5 is about USD 28,000
semilog is more suited to bitcoin market behavior rather than using arithmetic scale

https://www.tradingview.com/v/dHbn7XZ4/


Yet another chart that ignores Bitcoin price history before 2013  Roll Eyes

Even with the fake 2013 trend, it would take turbo-Willy to reach that high so soon, he must be smoking hallucinogens.
I would be pleasantly surprised to be above 500$ by April, but 28k$??? Come on...

Oh shit, I closed my short too early again! Angry

Sometimes, if it looks too bullish, it's actually bearish
myself
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January 15, 2015, 10:08:11 PM
 #2427



They just completely fucked over their export business.
no they dint also is irrelevant is all about imports

tell that to swatch.
why then bother to sell goods if they can sell painted paper ? just export money and import goods jesus is not hard to understand

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
Pruden
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Spanish Bitcoin trader


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January 15, 2015, 10:23:07 PM
 #2428



They just completely fucked over their export business.
no they dint also is irrelevant is all about imports

tell that to swatch.


made in china?

They are all swiss made and have been since 1983. They use some components from asia, but its all assembled in CH.

That's just one example. It's naive to say that the swiss have no exports. Without exports their economy shrinks by more than half.
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/switzerland/exports-of-goods-and-services-percent-of-gdp-wb-data.html
It is a common lie told by the banksters that a country can, like Switzerland, live off the financial sector. Few people know it is the most industrialised country in the world, together with Japan, in terms of industrial GDP per capita.

Its industry may be small, like the country, but has a long history and has world leaders in several sectors.
JustAnotherSheep
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January 16, 2015, 07:44:49 PM
 #2429

Latest bottom should be followed by triangle consolidation in a case of continuation.
How about a flag?



By my counts at least movements up (and down) have been of corrective structure ever since 152 bottom, which seems to support consolidation scenario here before resumption of bear trend.

Is it a bull? Is it a bear? No, it's just another sheep.
bassclef
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January 16, 2015, 07:58:45 PM
 #2430

Latest bottom should be followed by triangle consolidation in a case of continuation.
How about a flag?



By my counts at least movements up (and down) have been of corrective structure ever since 152 bottom, which seems to support consolidation scenario here before resumption of bear trend.

Probably not as there's a pretty well defined top resistance area that we've been bouncing off of with lower lows since the big crash.
masterluc (OP)
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January 18, 2015, 12:14:19 AM
 #2431

I am worry about price is under both daily and weekly bb, so it may accelerate down. Also I don't like latest bearish weekly macd hook.
Now this is official. Under bb for 2nd time + macd bearish hook




Next support could be found at around 120 (Sept 2013 consolidation)

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January 18, 2015, 12:35:05 AM
 #2432

Does this nullify your wedge throw-over possibility Luc?
masterluc (OP)
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January 18, 2015, 01:05:07 AM
 #2433

I dont know ))

2011 fractal (not mine)


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January 18, 2015, 01:07:34 AM
 #2434

Interesting. So basically too soon to tell. Thanks for the reply!
ronald98
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January 18, 2015, 01:30:22 AM
 #2435

Are you still long because of the Bitstamp thing luc?
seleme
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January 18, 2015, 02:32:26 AM
 #2436

Are you still long because of the Bitstamp thing luc?

Does his post looks like he is long, lol.

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ronald98
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January 18, 2015, 03:08:57 AM
 #2437

Are you still long because of the Bitstamp thing luc?

Does his post looks like he is long, lol.

He said he chose to go long a while ago because of the risk of using Bitstamp. I'm sure he would have traded otherwise. I was wondering if he is prepared to use another exchange because I'm in a similar position and don't really trust any of them. I'm pondering which one with decent liquidity is the least risky.

Went out mostly long due to bitstamp incident
Isn't this the opposite of what people usually do?

I'd prefer to wait for current levels for long, but yes, risk with bitstamp was high.
RyNinDaCleM
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January 18, 2015, 03:18:12 AM
 #2438

Are you still long because of the Bitstamp thing luc?

Does his post looks like he is long, lol.

He said he chose to go long a while ago because of the risk of using Bitstamp. I'm sure he would have traded otherwise. I was wondering if he is prepared to use another exchange because I'm in a similar position and don't really trust any of them. I'm pondering which one with decent liquidity is the least risky.

Went out mostly long due to bitstamp incident
Isn't this the opposite of what people usually do?

I'd prefer to wait for current levels for long, but yes, risk with bitstamp was high.

Last I knew, he trades on BTC-e, but the spill-over effect from the BS hack is probably what he was waiting for.
He may have moved to BS, but Not afaik. Now, with the price well below the Weekly BB and the Weekly MACD hooking down, is not the time to be long. So I doubt he's long more than a small percentage.

ronald98
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January 18, 2015, 10:32:19 AM
 #2439

Are you still long because of the Bitstamp thing luc?

Does his post looks like he is long, lol.

He said he chose to go long a while ago because of the risk of using Bitstamp. I'm sure he would have traded otherwise. I was wondering if he is prepared to use another exchange because I'm in a similar position and don't really trust any of them. I'm pondering which one with decent liquidity is the least risky.

Went out mostly long due to bitstamp incident
Isn't this the opposite of what people usually do?

I'd prefer to wait for current levels for long, but yes, risk with bitstamp was high.

Last I knew, he trades on BTC-e, but the spill-over effect from the BS hack is probably what he was waiting for.
He may have moved to BS, but Not afaik. Now, with the price well below the Weekly BB and the Weekly MACD hooking down, is not the time to be long. So I doubt he's long more than a small percentage.

Considering the price just shot up by $20 it was a good time to be long last night. How come it went up with the Weekly BB and the Weekly MACD hooking down?
seleme
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January 18, 2015, 10:38:35 AM
 #2440

Because bulls are trying to push the price up to close inside weekly BB. That would form pretty bullish candle too.

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.Duelbits.
.
..THE MOST REWARDING CASINO......
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PROVABLY FAIR
GAMES
   $500,000  
MONTHLY
PRIZE POOL
      $10,000     
BLACKJACK
GIVEAWAY
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