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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 941445 times)
sinner
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January 26, 2015, 11:24:24 PM
 #2481

Please note! If Current daily candle will be shooting star - there is a high chance price will revisit $100

ewwwww, it looks like this is gonna happen
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January 27, 2015, 12:17:55 AM
 #2482

Please note! If Current daily candle will be shooting star - there is a high chance price will revisit $100

Pronounced enough?
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January 27, 2015, 12:19:39 AM
 #2483

Please note! If Current daily candle will be shooting star - there is a high chance price will revisit $100

Pronounced enough?

it did not happen
Xiaoxiao
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January 27, 2015, 02:09:58 PM
 #2484



Am I on to something? Does this latest upswing resemble earlier and we are heading even lower in the next months?
masterluc (OP)
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January 27, 2015, 02:26:14 PM
 #2485

yes. but bottom is comming

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January 27, 2015, 02:32:20 PM
 #2486



Am I on to something? Does this latest upswing resemble earlier and we are heading even lower in the next months?
Yep.

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January 27, 2015, 02:44:45 PM
 #2487



Am I on to something? Does this latest upswing resemble earlier and we are heading even lower in the next months?

On the 17th November I posted this to show how a bullish scenario should have looked back then.
With different dates and price points, the same applies now (yes, I'm to lazy to make a new one Tongue).


Sometimes, if it looks too bullish, it's actually bearish
idee2013
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January 27, 2015, 02:50:05 PM
 #2488

yes. but bottom is comming

HI master :-)

why do you think 100 and not double bottom 150?
masterluc (OP)
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January 27, 2015, 03:17:31 PM
 #2489

I didn't say 100 is the bottom. Probably but not mandatory.

I see signs of coming bottom - high volatility, nervous investors, growing panic.

It may be 100 or 75, or it was 150. I don't know. I know longterm (4+ years) long position from current levels down to zero is safe enough.

That's why I said LONG.

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January 27, 2015, 03:21:40 PM
 #2490

but the question is.. are you long? ^^
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January 27, 2015, 03:56:05 PM
 #2491

I know longterm (4+ years) long position from current levels down to zero is safe enough.


I am usually pretty good at deciphering the Lucif code, but today I am at a loss.
 Huh

Bro, do you even blockchain?
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January 27, 2015, 04:03:37 PM
 #2492

I know longterm (4+ years) long position from current levels down to zero is safe enough.


I am usually pretty good at deciphering the Lucif code, but today I am at a loss.
 Huh

If you are a long-term investor (that will hold for 4 or more years) it is safe for you to buy all the way down.
cAPSLOCK
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January 27, 2015, 04:04:22 PM
 #2493

I think he is being clearer than ever.
tarmi
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January 27, 2015, 04:56:46 PM
 #2494

I know longterm (4+ years) long position from current levels down to zero is safe enough.


I am usually pretty good at deciphering the Lucif code, but today I am at a loss.
 Huh


if you buy in the 0~260 $ range long term you are ok.
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January 27, 2015, 05:38:31 PM
 #2495

Please note! If Current daily candle will be shooting star - there is a high chance price will revisit $100

So you would base a 65% decline in price on a single candlestick?

That's awkward
Tzupy
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January 27, 2015, 05:43:18 PM
 #2496

Please note! If Current daily candle will be shooting star - there is a high chance price will revisit $100

So you would base a 65% decline in price on a single candlestick?

That's awkward

I think he means that if buying power stays sluggish and dumps crash through critical support levels, then revisiting ~150$ is probable.
For the bullish scenario a minimum buying power is needed to keep traders from dumping hard.

Sometimes, if it looks too bullish, it's actually bearish
myself
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January 28, 2015, 12:35:28 AM
 #2497

Please note! If Current daily candle will be shooting star - there is a high chance price will revisit $100

So you would base a 65% decline in price on a single candlestick?

That's awkward
read some example http://thepatternsite.com/Blog-May08.html#P16

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
oda.krell
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January 28, 2015, 12:16:39 PM
 #2498

Please note! If Current daily candle will be shooting star - there is a high chance price will revisit $100

So you would base a 65% decline in price on a single candlestick?

That's awkward
read some example http://thepatternsite.com/Blog-May08.html#P16

Yeah, but bad example in the context of this discussion:

Bulkowski on the 'shooting star':

Quote
Day traders that I know depend on the shooting star more often than I think they should, but my statistics are based on the daily charts, not intra day ones. I found that the shooting star candle acts as a bearish reversal 59% of the time. I consider that "near random" performance.

http://thepatternsite.com/ShootingStar.html

But that's his result for traditional markets. Possible that in BTC, shooting star is a better predictor.

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masterluc (OP)
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January 28, 2015, 02:38:28 PM
 #2499

Looks like there is kinda h&s pattern since Jan 21 with a target around $170. Somebody illustrate pls

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January 28, 2015, 02:47:16 PM
 #2500

http://thepatternsite.com/ShootingStar.html

But that's his result for traditional markets. Possible that in BTC, shooting star is a better predictor.

Or worse. Since FOMO is so strong in this market you get crazy spikes sometimes followed by big drops back to 'normal' levels, making these shooting stars a somewhat regular thing in this market. Or perhaps it does work as a self-fulfilling prophecy and positive feedback loop, as people become conditioned to sell when they see these candles appear on the charts. And since everyone who is trading BTC has access to internet and free technical analysis everywhere warning about these shooting star patterns, it could be quite a big market force all combined.

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