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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 941447 times)
Bagatell
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October 12, 2014, 03:03:06 PM
 #1981

breakout ??

(I watched Bitstamp and Huobi, this time Bitstamp followed Huobi)

Yep. All four default Wisdom 1 hr. charts.
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Every time a block is mined, a certain amount of BTC (called the subsidy) is created out of thin air and given to the miner. The subsidy halves every four years and will reach 0 in about 130 years.
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marvinrouge
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October 12, 2014, 04:04:17 PM
Last edit: October 12, 2014, 04:30:55 PM by marvinrouge
 #1982

Bearish alternative (I hope not) :

Bagatell
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October 12, 2014, 04:10:40 PM
 #1983


That last blue line is simply hanging off one candle. Shouldn't trend lines have at least two points of contact?
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October 12, 2014, 04:34:14 PM
 #1984


That last blue line is simply hanging off one candle. Shouldn't trend lines have at least two points of contact?

I updated the chart, is it more accurate ? Anyway it's just an alternative, I prefer the bullish version posted above Cheesy

The bearish chart will be invalidated if we cross 370
Okurkabinladin
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October 12, 2014, 08:54:08 PM
 #1985


That last blue line is simply hanging off one candle. Shouldn't trend lines have at least two points of contact?

I updated the chart, is it more accurate ? Anyway it's just an alternative, I prefer the bullish version posted above Cheesy

The bearish chart will be invalidated if we cross 370

Wrong. There is no volume.
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October 13, 2014, 12:14:50 AM
 #1986

Close above daily sma20: check (barely so, but check)




Weekly green candle, high volume close above lower BB, and above 30 RSI: check.




~3 month downtrend, upper line: still unbroken




Bitcoin has a way to keep things interesting.

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Barney
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October 13, 2014, 09:06:28 AM
 #1987

~3 month downtrend, upper line: still unbroken
Bitcoin has a way to keep things interesting.

To keep it even more interesting it was broken on Huobi

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October 13, 2014, 02:37:47 PM
 #1988

Luc, awesome prediction on the rebound to 390... now that we're hovering around that level and you mentioned new lows on the horizon are you expecting this to get rejected and continue the bear market til December previously mentioned?
masterluc (OP)
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October 13, 2014, 08:02:41 PM
 #1989

Potential inverse bullish H&S here with target at around 500.



From other side there is a hard resistance at around daily upper BB @430 (and falling). Falling upper BB during rising price always strong resistance and good point to close long or open short position. (as well as opposite - rising BB bottom during falling price - good support).



Almost always bounces back to sma20


masterluc (OP)
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October 13, 2014, 08:09:47 PM
 #1990

So the most optimistic bullish move should look like this:
- up to ~430
- back to sma20
- up to sma200

And if so, it would be an impulse and so probably reversal. So 400 level breakout is important now.


realdos
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October 13, 2014, 10:22:15 PM
 #1991

So the most optimistic bullish move should look like this:
- up to ~430
- back to sma20
- up to sma200

And if so, it would be an impulse and so probably reversal. So 400 level breakout is important now.



400 already broken out. Now 430 the next target?
masterluc (OP)
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October 13, 2014, 10:57:53 PM
 #1992

Volume suggests h&s triggering, which should send price back to daily 200 sma forming even larger inverse h&s

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October 13, 2014, 11:18:30 PM
 #1993

Volume suggests h&s triggering, which should send price back to daily 200 sma forming even larger inverse h&s




bullish?
masterluc (OP)
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October 14, 2014, 12:39:46 AM
 #1994

Yes, this is bullish reversal formation despite I expected more downside.

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October 14, 2014, 01:13:02 AM
 #1995

But the reversal is not yet confirmed? At what point would you say it is?
masterluc (OP)
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October 14, 2014, 01:33:36 AM
 #1996

Say what? Weekly and daily ADX show reversal. "V" formation on charts is a reversal struct. Price closed back inside weekly bb and in positive daily BB zone.

We may expect some bounce (1-2 months) into 500-600 area. But I am skeptic about further bullish move. Wake me up at 500, I'll post next analysis.

windjc
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October 14, 2014, 01:42:15 AM
 #1997

Say what? Weekly and daily ADX show reversal. "V" formation on charts is a reversal struct. Price closed back inside weekly bb and in positive daily BB zone.

We may expect some bounce (1-2 months) into 500-600 area. But I am skeptic about further bullish move. Wake me up at 500, I'll post next analysis.

Nah. I think we are in the C of an A,B,C correction. We will hit the upper BB around 420, maybe go past it and then we are in bear mode again. Head and shoulder patterns rarely happen in bitcoin.
masterluc (OP)
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October 14, 2014, 01:49:06 AM
 #1998

Nah. I think we are in the C of an A,B,C correction. We will hit the upper BB around 420, maybe go past it and then we are in bear mode again. Head and shoulder patterns rarely happen in bitcoin.
Impulse here. We are in A or I since 275



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October 14, 2014, 07:53:15 AM
 #1999

430 target reached.

And up we go...

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October 14, 2014, 08:15:41 AM
 #2000

430 target reached.

And up we go...

430? Are you from the future?
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